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Karvan vs Qarabag Result & Analysis

Date: 31/08/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 0-2
Karvan
Karvan
vs
Qarabag
Qarabag
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karvan win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Qarabag win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KarvanKarvan

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-553W11D11D20W20W03L22D12L11D32WA·DIF03/04H·IMI11/04A·MOI18/04H·CƏB25/04H·QAB02/05A·ZAQ09/05H·QAR16/05A·MIN22/05H·QAB15/08A·KAP23/08← Birinci DastaPremyer Liqa →
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.901.432.071.131.731.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.861.431.821.181.901.70
vs Weaker (9)2.001.442.751.001.401.80
Clean sheet %17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Qarabag) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QarabagQarabag

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W10W22D30W10W10W51W31W01L23LH·KAP18/05A·ŞAM24/05H·SAB31/05A·SHE23/07H·SHE30/07A·SHK05/08H·SHK12/08A·FER19/08H·SUM22/08H·FER27/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.000.772.270.731.730.80
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (5)1.801.601.672.002.001.00
vs Weaker (24)2.120.502.420.421.830.58
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Karvan) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sabah FA
2.36
Qarabag
2.09
Neftchi Baku
1.79
Turan
1.79
Zira
1.61
Araz
1.39
Sumqayıt
1.19
Şamaxı FK
1.15
Imisli FK
1.06
Qabala
0.88
Kapaz
0.82
Karvan
0.45
Mingəçevir
0.00
Karvan is 1.64 points worse than Qarabag in terms of average points per game (0.45 vs 2.09).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sabah FA
2.27
Qarabag
2.15
Neftchi Baku
1.73
Araz
1.33
Turan
1.33
Sumqayıt
1.31
Zira
1.30
Qabala
1.00
Şamaxı FK
0.94
Kapaz
0.76
Imisli FK
0.72
Karvan
0.70
Mingəçevir
0.00
Karvan is 1.45 goals worse than Qarabag in terms of goals scored per game (0.70 vs 2.15).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sabah FA
0.76
Turan
0.82
Qarabag
0.82
Neftchi Baku
0.97
Zira
1.09
Şamaxı FK
1.21
Imisli FK
1.25
Qabala
1.44
Sumqayıt
1.53
Araz
1.76
Kapaz
1.85
Mingəçevir
2.00
Karvan
2.00
Karvan is 1.18 goals worse than Qarabag in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 0.82).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KarvanKarvan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W01L01L10W00D00D02L01L00D10WA·DIF03/04H·IMI11/04A·MOI18/04H·CƏB25/04H·QAB02/05A·ZAQ09/05H·QAR16/05A·MIN22/05H·QAB15/08A·KAP23/08← Birinci DastaPremyer Liqa →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.500.730.600.730.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.760.570.640.640.900.50
vs Weaker (9)0.670.331.000.500.400.20
Clean sheet %67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Qarabag) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QarabagQarabag

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D11D10W10W10W41W01L00D21WH·KAP18/05A·ŞAM24/05H·SAB31/05A·SHE23/07H·SHE30/07A·SHK05/08H·SHK12/08A·FER19/08H·SUM22/08H·FER27/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.301.200.330.870.27
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (5)1.000.801.331.000.500.50
vs Weaker (24)1.080.211.170.171.000.25
Clean sheet %70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Karvan) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Karvan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karvan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karvan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Qarabag over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Qarabag over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Qarabag over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KarvanKarvan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L10W10W10W20W03L20W11D11D22DA·DIF03/04H·IMI11/04A·MOI18/04H·CƏB25/04H·QAB02/05A·ZAQ09/05H·QAR16/05A·MIN22/05H·QAB15/08A·KAP23/08← Birinci DastaPremyer Liqa →
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.931.330.531.001.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.100.861.180.551.001.20
vs Weaker (9)1.331.111.750.501.001.60
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Qarabag) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QarabagQarabag

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W11D20W00D00D10W30W01L02LH·KAP18/05A·ŞAM24/05H·SAB31/05A·SHE23/07H·SHE30/07A·SHK05/08H·SHK12/08A·FER19/08H·SUM22/08H·FER27/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.471.070.400.870.53
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (5)0.800.800.331.001.500.50
vs Weaker (24)1.040.291.250.250.830.33
Clean sheet %73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Karvan) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Karvan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karvan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karvan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Qarabag over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Qarabag over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Qarabag over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

No selections above 70% probability for this match.

🎽 13. Player market rates

Qarabag
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Camilo Durán40%
Leandro Andrade36%
Marko Janković18%
Abdellah Zoubir17%
Elvin Jafarguliyev17%
Musa Qurbanlı12%
Oleksiy Kashchuk11%
Bahlul Mustafazada9%
Matheus Silva8%
Kevin Medina8%
Emmanuel Addai8%
Toral Bayramov0%
Kady Borges0%
Joni Montiel0%
Chris Kouakou0%
Mateusz Kochalski0%
Pedro Bicalho0%
Dani Bolt0%
Nariman Akhundzade0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matheus Silva33%
Kevin Medina25%
Marko Janković18%
Pedro Bicalho17%
Nariman Akhundzade12%
Toral Bayramov11%
Camilo Durán10%
Abdellah Zoubir0%
Kady Borges0%
Joni Montiel0%
Chris Kouakou0%
Bahlul Mustafazada0%
Elvin Jafarguliyev0%
Oleksiy Kashchuk0%
Mateusz Kochalski0%
Musa Qurbanlı0%
Leandro Andrade0%
Dani Bolt0%
Emmanuel Addai0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nariman Akhundzade25%
Joni Montiel20%
Marko Janković18%
Leandro Andrade18%
Abdellah Zoubir17%
Kady Borges12%
Camilo Durán10%
Bahlul Mustafazada9%
Matheus Silva8%
Elvin Jafarguliyev8%
Toral Bayramov0%
Kevin Medina0%
Chris Kouakou0%
Oleksiy Kashchuk0%
Mateusz Kochalski0%
Musa Qurbanlı0%
Pedro Bicalho0%
Dani Bolt0%
Emmanuel Addai0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Camilo Durán20%
Abdellah Zoubir17%
Emmanuel Addai8%
Toral Bayramov0%
Kady Borges0%
Matheus Silva0%
Marko Janković0%
Kevin Medina0%
Joni Montiel0%
Chris Kouakou0%
Bahlul Mustafazada0%
Elvin Jafarguliyev0%
Oleksiy Kashchuk0%
Mateusz Kochalski0%
Musa Qurbanlı0%
Leandro Andrade0%
Pedro Bicalho0%
Dani Bolt0%
Nariman Akhundzade0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QAR (25)
€25m
SF (24)
€17m
NB (23)
€13m
ZIR (23)
€12m
TUR (23)
€10m
SUM (22)
€9m
IF (18)
€6m
ARA (19)
€6m
KAP (24)
€5m
QAB (18)
€5m
ŞF (15)
€4m
KAR (4)
€1m
MIN (2)
€0m
Karvan's squad is €24m less valuable than Qarabag's (€1m vs €25m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QAR (9)
€8m
ZIR (10)
€6m
SF (7)
€5m
NB (7)
€4m
SUM (7)
€4m
TUR (7)
€3m
IF (7)
€3m
ARA (7)
€3m
QAB (5)
€1m
ŞF (6)
€1m
KAP (8)
€1m
KAR (3)
€0m
MIN (2)
€0m
Karvan's attack is €7m less valuable than Qarabag's (€0m vs €8m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SF (7)
€5m
QAR (3)
€3m
NB (6)
€3m
SUM (4)
€2m
TUR (4)
€2m
ARA (5)
€2m
KAP (6)
€2m
ŞF (3)
€1m
ZIR (3)
€1m
QAB (3)
€1m
IF (2)
€1m
MIN (0)
€0m
KAR (0)
€0m
Karvan's midfield is €3m less valuable than Qarabag's (€0m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QAR (13)
€14m
SF (10)
€7m
NB (10)
€6m
ZIR (10)
€6m
TUR (12)
€5m
SUM (11)
€4m
IF (9)
€3m
QAB (10)
€3m
KAP (10)
€3m
ARA (7)
€2m
ŞF (6)
€2m
KAR (1)
€0m
MIN (0)
€0m
Karvan's defence is €14m less valuable than Qarabag's (€0m vs €14m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
KAR wins
0
Draws
0
QAR wins

Head-to-head

Karvan vs Qarabag · H/A from KAR
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

KarvanKarvan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/25AKapaz Vs KAR2-3
15/08/25HKAR Vs Qabala1-1
22/05/25AMingəçevir Vs KAR2-1
16/05/25HKAR Vs Qaradağ Lökbatan2-2
09/05/25AZaqatala Vs KAR3-0
02/05/25HKAR Vs Qabala2-0
25/04/25HKAR Vs Cəbrayıl2-0
18/04/25AMOIK Vs KAR1-1
11/04/25HKAR Vs Imisli FK1-1
03/04/25ADifai Ağsu Vs KAR3-5

QarabagQarabag

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/08/25HQAR Vs Ferencvarosi TC2-3
22/08/25HQAR Vs Sumqayıt0-1
19/08/25AFerencvarosi TC Vs QAR1-3
12/08/25HQAR Vs Shkendija5-1
05/08/25AShkendija Vs QAR0-1
30/07/25HQAR Vs Shelbourne1-0
23/07/25AShelbourne Vs QAR0-3
31/05/25HQAR Vs Sabah FA2-2
24/05/25AŞamaxı FK Vs QAR0-1
18/05/25HQAR Vs Kapaz3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Karvan
Karvan
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLDW1.68
HomeDWWDD1.84
AwayWDLLW1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%52%44%
AVG goals3.022.603.44
Over 1.5 %76%68%84%
Over 2.5 %44%36%52%
Over 3.5 %34%32%36%
Scored1.661.521.80
Conceded1.361.081.64
BTTS50%44%56%
Clean Sheet26%40%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Qarabag
Qarabag
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL2.10
HomeDWWLL2.00
AwayDWWWW2.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%64%68%
AVG goals2.883.402.36
Over 1.5 %74%88%60%
Over 2.5 %58%72%44%
Over 3.5 %34%44%24%
Scored2.042.321.76
Conceded0.841.080.60
BTTS38%44%32%
Clean Sheet52%48%56%
Corners7.897.009.00
Cards4.565.004.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sabah FASabah FA3378
73%
2.4
7525+50
3.0
76%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
17
5572.30.8
-
2QarabagQarabag3369
64%
2.1
7127+44
3.0
76%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
25
83142.20.8
-
3Neftchi BakuNeftchi Baku3359
48%
1.8
5732+25
2.7
73%
55%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
4361.71.0
-
4TuranTuran3359
52%
1.8
4427+17
2.2
67%
45%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3251.30.8
-
5ZiraZira3353
39%
1.6
4336+7
2.4
70%
42%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
6161.31.1
-
6ArazAraz3346
39%
1.4
4458-14
3.1
88%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3221.31.8
-
7SumqayıtSumqayıt3238
34%
1.2
4249-7
2.8
78%
56%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
4241.31.5
-
8Şamaxı FKŞamaxı FK3338
27%
1.2
3140-9
2.2
67%
45%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.91.2
-
9Imisli FKImisli FK3234
22%
1.1
2340-17
2.0
53%
31%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3130.71.2
-
10QabalaQabala3430
24%
0.9
3449-15
2.4
68%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1131.01.4
-
11KapazKapaz3327
24%
0.8
2561-36
2.6
76%
45%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1230.81.8
-
12KarvanKarvan3315
9%
0.5
2366-43
2.7
82%
48%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.72.0
-
13MingəçevirMingəçevir10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa stats & trends →

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