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Kastrioti Krujë vs Laci Result & Analysis

Date: 22/10/2022
Time: 13:00
Final 0-1
Kastrioti Krujë
Kastrioti Krujë
Vs
42%
34%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Laci
Laci
Albania: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastrioti Krujë win✗ Miss
42.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
33.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Laci win✓ Hit
24.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D21W00D01L00D21W00DA·BYL21/08H·ERZ27/08A·FK 03/09H·TIR10/09A·VLL18/09A·EGN01/10H·TEU08/10A·PAR16/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.620.670.330.400.80
vs Stronger (6)0.330.671.000.500.000.75
vs Similar (2)1.000.500.000.002.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Laci) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LaciLaci

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D14L31W01L01L01L01L01L33D11DA·PET21/07H·PET28/07H·TEU21/08A·PAR29/08H·EGN04/09H·BYL11/09A·ERZ17/09H·FK 01/10A·TIR07/10H·VLL16/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.751.170.711.290.801.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.821.180.831.330.801.00
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %25% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Kastrioti Krujë) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%16%026%128%217%38%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
57.9%
Under 1.5
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
29.6%
Under 2.5
70.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
12.5%
Under 3.5
87.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
37.8%
No
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.3%
1-0
15.4%
1-1
14.4%
0-1 ✓
10.4%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
5.1%
0-2
4.6%
Kastrioti Krujë goals ↓
Laci goals →
01234
016%10%4.6%1.2%0.2%
115%14%5.1%1.3%0.3%
29.3%7.3%2.9%0.7%0.1%
33.5%2.7%1.1%0.3%0.1%
41.0%0.8%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kastrioti Krujë goals (down), columns = Laci goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Partizani
1.86
Tirana
1.86
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.44
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.39
Laci
1.33
Teuta Durrës
1.33
FK Kukesi
1.25
Erzeni Shijak
1.11
Bylis
1.06
Korabi Peshkopi
1.00
Kastrioti Krujë
0.97
Kastrioti Krujë is 0.36 points worse than Laci in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Partizani
1.56
Tirana
1.56
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.28
Laci
1.25
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.08
Korabi Peshkopi
1.00
Erzeni Shijak
1.00
Teuta Durrës
0.92
Bylis
0.86
FK Kukesi
0.86
Kastrioti Krujë
0.72
Kastrioti Krujë is 0.53 goals worse than Laci in terms of goals scored per game (0.72 vs 1.25).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0.89
Tirana
0.92
FK Kukesi
0.97
Korabi Peshkopi
1.00
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.03
Partizani
1.03
Teuta Durrës
1.11
Bylis
1.17
Laci
1.28
Erzeni Shijak
1.32
Kastrioti Krujë
1.36
Kastrioti Krujë is 0.08 goals worse than Laci in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 1.28).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D00D01L00D21W00DA·BYL21/08H·ERZ27/08A·FK 03/09H·TIR10/09A·VLL18/09A·EGN01/10H·TEU08/10A·PAR16/10
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.250.250.670.330.000.20
vs Stronger (6)0.330.331.000.500.000.25
vs Similar (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %75% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Laci) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LaciLaci

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W10W01L00D00D00D01L12L00DA·PET21/07H·PET28/07H·TEU21/08A·PAR29/08H·EGN04/09H·BYL11/09A·ERZ17/09H·FK 01/10A·TIR07/10H·VLL16/10
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.330.290.140.400.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.360.270.330.000.400.60
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %75% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Kastrioti Krujë) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D21W00D00D00D00D00DA·BYL21/08H·ERZ27/08A·FK 03/09H·TIR10/09A·VLL18/09A·EGN01/10H·TEU08/10A·PAR16/10
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.250.380.000.000.400.60
vs Stronger (6)0.000.330.000.000.000.50
vs Similar (2)1.000.500.000.002.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %75% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Laci) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LaciLaci

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D04L21W00D01L01L01L00D21W11DA·PET21/07H·PET28/07H·TEU21/08A·PAR29/08H·EGN04/09H·BYL11/09A·ERZ17/09H·FK 01/10A·TIR07/10H·VLL16/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.420.830.431.140.400.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.450.910.501.330.400.40
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %42% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Kastrioti Krujë) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.587.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.570.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (24)
€7m
TD (22)
€6m
PAR (29)
€5m
TIR (20)
€5m
VS (23)
€4m
LAC (22)
€3m
KK (18)
€2m
KP (24)
€2m
FK (20)
€1m
Kastrioti Krujë's squad is €2m less valuable than Laci's (€2m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAR (13)
€2m
TD (9)
€2m
TIR (7)
€2m
ER (6)
€2m
LAC (6)
€1m
VS (6)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
KP (9)
€1m
FK (6)
€0m
Kastrioti Krujë and Laci have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (5)
€1m
VS (7)
€1m
TIR (5)
€1m
LAC (6)
€1m
TD (4)
€1m
PAR (5)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
KP (4)
€0m
FK (4)
€0m
Kastrioti Krujë and Laci have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (13)
€3m
TD (9)
€3m
VS (10)
€3m
TIR (8)
€2m
PAR (11)
€2m
LAC (10)
€1m
KP (11)
€1m
FK (10)
€1m
KK (4)
€0m
Kastrioti Krujë's defence is €1m less valuable than Laci's (€0m vs €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
KK wins
0
Draws
0
LAC wins

Head-to-head

Kastrioti Krujë vs Laci · H/A from KK
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/10/22APartizani Vs KK0-0
08/10/22HKK Vs Teuta Durrës2-1
01/10/22AEgnatia Rrogozhinë Vs KK0-0
18/09/22AVllaznia Shkodër Vs KK1-0
10/09/22HKK Vs Tirana0-0
03/09/22AFK Kukesi Vs KK1-2
27/08/22HKK Vs Erzeni Shijak0-0
21/08/22ABylis Vs KK2-0

LaciLaci

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/10/22HLAC Vs Vllaznia Shkodër1-1
07/10/22ATirana Vs LAC3-3
01/10/22HLAC Vs FK Kukesi0-1
17/09/22AErzeni Shijak Vs LAC1-0
11/09/22HLAC Vs Bylis0-1
04/09/22HLAC Vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë0-1
29/08/22APartizani Vs LAC1-0
21/08/22HLAC Vs Teuta Durrës3-1
28/07/22HLAC Vs Petrocub1-4
21/07/22APetrocub Vs LAC0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kastrioti Krujë
Kastrioti Krujë
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWD1.25
HomeDDW1.67
AwayLWLDD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%33%20%
AVG goals1.121.001.20
Over 1.5 %38%33%40%
Over 2.5 %25%33%20%
Over 3.5 %0%0%0%
Scored0.500.670.40
Conceded0.620.330.80
BTTS25%33%20%
Clean Sheet50%67%40%
Corners---
Cards---
Laci
Laci
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDD0.83
HomeWLLLD0.71
AwayWDLLD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %17%14%20%
AVG goals1.922.001.80
Over 1.5 %33%43%20%
Over 2.5 %25%29%20%
Over 3.5 %25%29%20%
Scored0.750.710.80
Conceded1.171.291.00
BTTS33%43%20%
Clean Sheet25%14%40%
Corners12.0011.0013.00
Cards4.005.003.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1TiranaTirana3667
56%
1.9
5633+23
2.5
69%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.60.9
-
2PartizaniPartizani3667
56%
1.9
5637+19
2.6
78%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.0
-
3Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë3652
39%
1.4
4632+14
2.2
64%
39%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2131.30.9
-
4Vllaznia ShkodërVllaznia Shkodër3650
36%
1.4
3937+2
2.1
58%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1131.11.0
-
5LaciLaci3648
39%
1.3
4546-1
2.5
64%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.3
-
6Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës3648
33%
1.3
3340-7
2.0
61%
31%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2130.91.1
-
7FK KukesiFK Kukesi3645
33%
1.2
3135-4
1.8
58%
31%
6%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.0
-
8Erzeni ShijakErzeni Shijak3741
22%
1.1
3749-12
2.3
73%
38%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
9BylisBylis3638
25%
1.1
3142-11
2.0
61%
31%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
10Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë3635
22%
1.0
2649-23
2.1
53%
36%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1100.71.4
-
11Korabi PeshkopiKorabi Peshkopi11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
Albania: Superliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: Superliga stats & trends →

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