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Kauno Žalgiris II vs Garliava Result & Analysis

Date: 21/06/2024
Time: 16:00
Final 2-2
Kauno Žalgiris II
Kauno Žalgiris II
Vs
45%
28%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Garliava
Garliava
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kauno Žalgiris II win✗ Miss
45.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Garliava win✗ Miss
26.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L02L21W30W21W01L20W05L44D02LH·NEV29/03H·BE105/04H·FK 15/04A·HEG29/04H·BAN04/05A·ATM11/05H·PAN20/05A·TAU26/05A·FA 03/06A·EKR16/06
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.701.731.131.072.27
vs Stronger (26)1.541.771.711.071.332.58
vs Similar (4)0.501.252.002.000.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Garliava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GarliavaGarliava

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W01L11D05L12L01L11D12L23L12LA·SAN20/04A·NEP26/04H·NEV03/05H·KAU07/05A·BE111/05H·FK 18/05A·HEG26/05H·BAN31/05A·ATM08/06H·PAN14/06
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.230.871.201.271.27
vs Stronger (26)0.961.310.671.501.211.14
vs Similar (4)1.750.751.670.002.003.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Kauno Žalgiris II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%017%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.0%
Under 1.5
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.8%
Under 2.5
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.0%
Under 3.5
73.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.6%
No
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.5%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-2 ✓
5.1%
Kauno Žalgiris II goals ↓
Garliava goals →
01234
08.5%6.9%4.5%1.7%0.5%
19.7%13%6.8%2.5%0.7%
28.3%9.2%5.1%1.9%0.5%
34.2%4.6%2.6%1.0%0.3%
41.6%1.8%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kauno Žalgiris II goals (down), columns = Garliava goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FK Trakai
2.47
Be1 NFA
2.10
Babrungas
1.90
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.90
Tauras
1.57
Nevėžis
1.57
Atmosfera
1.47
Ekranas
1.30
BFA
1.23
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.17
Hegelmann II
1.13
Panevėžys II
1.13
FA Šiauliai II
1.07
Minija
1.03
Garliava
0.77
Banga II
0.40
Kauno Žalgiris II is 0.40 points better than Garliava in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 0.77).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FK Trakai
2.33
Neptūną Klaipėda
2.13
Be1 NFA
1.90
Babrungas
1.87
Tauras
1.83
FA Šiauliai II
1.77
BFA
1.50
Nevėžis
1.47
Ekranas
1.40
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.30
Hegelmann II
1.23
Panevėžys II
1.23
Atmosfera
1.20
Garliava
0.97
Minija
0.93
Banga II
0.60
Kauno Žalgiris II is 0.33 goals better than Garliava in terms of goals scored per game (1.30 vs 0.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FK Trakai
0.63
Be1 NFA
0.87
Babrungas
0.93
Tauras
1.03
Nevėžis
1.07
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.27
Atmosfera
1.30
Minija
1.33
Ekranas
1.60
BFA
1.60
Garliava
1.70
Panevėžys II
1.77
Hegelmann II
1.97
Kauno Žalgiris II
2.03
Banga II
2.27
FA Šiauliai II
2.30
Kauno Žalgiris II is 0.33 goals worse than Garliava in terms of goals conceded per game (2.03 vs 1.70).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L11D10W00D00D00D01L32W01LH·NEV29/03H·BE105/04H·FK 15/04A·HEG29/04H·BAN04/05A·ATM11/05H·PAN20/05A·TAU26/05A·FA 03/06A·EKR16/06
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.670.600.330.331.00
vs Stronger (26)0.500.730.570.360.421.17
vs Similar (4)0.250.251.000.000.000.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Garliava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GarliavaGarliava

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L00D00D11D01L00D02L11D01LH·BAB13/04A·NEP26/04H·NEV03/05H·KAU07/05A·BE111/05H·FK 18/05A·HEG26/05H·BAN31/05A·ATM08/06H·PAN14/06
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.500.380.500.570.50
vs Stronger (26)0.350.540.150.620.540.46
vs Similar (4)1.250.251.330.001.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Kauno Žalgiris II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kauno Žalgiris II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Garliava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Garliava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Garliava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L01L10W20W21W01L20W04L12L01LH·NEV29/03H·BE105/04H·FK 15/04A·HEG29/04H·BAN04/05A·ATM11/05H·PAN20/05A·TAU26/05A·FA 03/06A·EKR16/06
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.171.001.070.731.27
vs Stronger (26)0.961.191.001.000.921.42
vs Similar (4)0.251.001.002.000.000.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Garliava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GarliavaGarliava

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D00D11D05L01L00D11D10W12L11DH·BAB13/04A·NEP26/04H·NEV03/05H·KAU07/05A·BE111/05H·FK 18/05A·HEG26/05H·BAN31/05A·ATM08/06H·PAN14/06
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.870.620.880.430.86
vs Stronger (26)0.540.920.691.080.380.77
vs Similar (4)0.500.500.330.001.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Kauno Žalgiris II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kauno Žalgiris II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Garliava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Garliava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Garliava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HI (4)
€0m
MIN (3)
€0m
FŠI (4)
€0m
TAU (2)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
Kauno Žalgiris II and Garliava have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TAU (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
Kauno Žalgiris II and Garliava have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FŠI (2)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
TAU (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HI (2)
€0m
TAU (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
Kauno Žalgiris II and Garliava have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
KŽI wins
2
Draws
0
GAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kauno Žalgiris II vs Garliava · H/A from KŽI
DateH/AGameScore
13/10/23AGarliava Vs KŽI0-0
29/05/23HKŽI Vs Garliava2-2

Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/06/24AEkranas Vs KŽI2-0
03/06/24AFA Šiauliai II Vs KŽI4-4
26/05/24ATauras Vs KŽI5-0
20/05/24HKŽI Vs Panevėžys II2-0
11/05/24AAtmosfera Vs KŽI1-0
04/05/24HKŽI Vs Banga II2-1
29/04/24AHegelmann II Vs KŽI0-3
15/04/24HKŽI Vs FK Trakai2-1
05/04/24HKŽI Vs Be1 NFA0-2
29/03/24HKŽI Vs Nevėžis1-2

GarliavaGarliava

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/06/24HGAR Vs Panevėžys II1-2
08/06/24AAtmosfera Vs GAR3-2
31/05/24HGAR Vs Banga II1-2
26/05/24AHegelmann II Vs GAR1-1
18/05/24HGAR Vs FK Trakai0-1
11/05/24ABe1 NFA Vs GAR2-1
07/05/24HGAR Vs Kauno Žalgiris0-5
03/05/24HGAR Vs Nevėžis1-1
26/04/24ANeptūną Klaipėda Vs GAR1-0
20/04/24ASaned Joniškis Vs GAR0-5

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kauno Žalgiris II
Kauno Žalgiris II
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDL1.12
HomeLLWWW1.38
AwayWLLDL0.86
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%38%23%
AVG goals3.023.242.82
Over 1.5 %79%90%68%
Over 2.5 %58%67%50%
Over 3.5 %33%43%23%
Scored1.351.760.95
Conceded1.671.481.86
BTTS47%62%32%
Clean Sheet23%24%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Garliava
Garliava
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL1.10
HomeDLLLL1.16
AwayWLLDL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%28%20%
AVG goals2.422.202.64
Over 1.5 %70%68%72%
Over 2.5 %40%36%44%
Over 3.5 %20%12%28%
Scored1.181.001.36
Conceded1.241.201.28
BTTS50%40%60%
Clean Sheet28%36%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FK TrakaiFK Trakai3074
80%
2.5
7019+51
3.0
73%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.30.6
-
2Be1 NFABe1 NFA3063
63%
2.1
5726+31
2.8
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.9
-
3BabrungasBabrungas3057
53%
1.9
5628+28
2.8
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.9
-
4Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda3057
57%
1.9
6438+26
3.4
80%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.3
-
5TaurasTauras3047
43%
1.6
5531+24
2.9
73%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
6NevėžisNevėžis3047
43%
1.6
4432+12
2.5
70%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.1
-
7AtmosferaAtmosfera3044
43%
1.5
3639-3
2.5
70%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
8EkranasEkranas3039
33%
1.3
4248-6
3.0
80%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
9BFABFA3037
30%
1.2
4548-3
3.1
83%
53%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.6
-
10Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II3035
33%
1.2
3961-22
3.3
97%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
11Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II3034
30%
1.1
3753-16
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
12Hegelmann IIHegelmann II3034
33%
1.1
3759-22
3.2
90%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
13FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II3032
33%
1.1
5369-16
4.1
87%
77%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.3
-
14MinijaMinija3031
20%
1.0
2840-12
2.3
67%
37%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.3
-
15GarliavaGarliava3023
17%
0.8
2951-22
2.7
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
16Banga IIBanga II3012
7%
0.4
1868-50
2.9
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.3
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Lithuania: 1 Lyga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: 1 Lyga stats & trends →

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