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Kauno Žalgiris vs Banga Result & Analysis

Date: 29/10/2022
Time: 11:00
Final 3-0
Kauno Žalgiris
Kauno Žalgiris
Vs
50%
26%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Banga
Banga
Lithuania: A Lyga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kauno Žalgiris win✓ Hit
50.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Banga win✗ Miss
23.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W11D30W10W51W02L21W11D20W10WA·JON13/08A·HEG20/08A·ŠIA28/08A·BAN04/09H·DŽI07/09H·FK 11/09H·JON16/09H·HEG09/10A·SUD19/10H·ŠIA23/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.031.441.121.430.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.251.081.001.291.600.80
vs Weaker (18)1.561.001.781.001.331.00
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Banga) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BangaBanga

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L00D12L01L01L50W11D02L11D22DA·FK 06/08H·SUD14/08A·PAN21/08H·FK 26/08H·KAU04/09A·JON07/09A·ŠIA11/09A·SUD18/09H·PAN09/10A·FK 21/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.370.861.211.061.50
vs Stronger (9)0.891.671.250.750.602.40
vs Similar (21)1.001.240.701.401.271.09
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Kauno Žalgiris) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.8%
Under 1.5
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.7%
Under 2.5
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.5%
Under 3.5
69.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.4%
No
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-0
8.9%
0-0
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
Kauno Žalgiris goals ↓
Banga goals →
01234
07.3%5.6%3.7%1.3%0.4%
19.3%13%6.2%2.3%0.6%
28.9%9.7%5.3%1.9%0.5%
35.0%5.5%3.0%1.1%0.3%
42.1%2.3%1.3%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kauno Žalgiris goals (down), columns = Banga goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.33
Kauno Žalgiris
1.75
Panevėžys
1.72
Hegelmann Litauen
1.69
FK Trakai
1.64
Suduva Marijampole
1.53
Šiauliai
1.39
Banga
0.83
Džiugas Telšiai
0.75
Jonava
0.08
Kauno Žalgiris is 0.92 points better than Banga in terms of average points per game (1.75 vs 0.83).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.36
Hegelmann Litauen
1.72
Kauno Žalgiris
1.53
FK Trakai
1.47
Panevėžys
1.39
Suduva Marijampole
1.33
Šiauliai
1.08
Džiugas Telšiai
0.94
Banga
0.92
Jonava
0.33
Kauno Žalgiris is 0.61 goals better than Banga in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 0.92).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0.75
Panevėžys
0.86
Hegelmann Litauen
0.89
Kauno Žalgiris
1.03
Šiauliai
1.08
Suduva Marijampole
1.11
FK Trakai
1.14
Banga
1.50
Džiugas Telšiai
1.86
Jonava
2.86
Kauno Žalgiris is 0.47 goals better than Banga in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L10W00D10W00D11D11D20W10WA·JON13/08A·HEG20/08A·ŠIA28/08A·BAN04/09H·DŽI07/09H·FK 11/09H·JON16/09H·HEG09/10A·SUD19/10H·ŠIA23/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.600.440.690.570.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.420.580.290.570.600.60
vs Weaker (18)0.560.610.560.780.560.44
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Banga) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BangaBanga

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D02L01L00D40W00D02L01L00DA·FK 06/08H·SUD14/08A·PAN21/08H·FK 26/08H·KAU04/09A·JON07/09A·ŠIA11/09A·SUD18/09H·PAN09/10A·FK 21/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.530.360.500.440.56
vs Stronger (9)0.330.560.250.250.400.80
vs Similar (21)0.430.520.400.600.450.45
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Kauno Žalgiris) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W10W20W10W41W02L10W00D00D00DA·JON13/08A·HEG20/08A·ŠIA28/08A·BAN04/09H·DŽI07/09H·FK 11/09H·JON16/09H·HEG09/10A·SUD19/10H·ŠIA23/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.431.000.440.860.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.830.500.710.711.000.20
vs Weaker (18)1.000.391.220.220.780.56
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Banga) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BangaBanga

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D10W00D01L10W11D00D10W22DA·FK 06/08H·SUD14/08A·PAN21/08H·FK 26/08H·KAU04/09A·JON07/09A·ŠIA11/09A·SUD18/09H·PAN09/10A·FK 21/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.830.500.710.620.94
vs Stronger (9)0.561.111.000.500.201.60
vs Similar (21)0.570.710.300.800.820.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Kauno Žalgiris) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (27)
€10m
FZV (29)
€7m
PAN (28)
€6m
ŠIA (28)
€6m
SM (26)
€6m
BAN (22)
€6m
HL (22)
€6m
DT (22)
€5m
Kauno Žalgiris's squad is €4m more valuable than Banga's (€10m vs €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (11)
€4m
SM (10)
€2m
BAN (7)
€2m
FZV (9)
€2m
PAN (8)
€2m
HL (6)
€2m
ŠIA (7)
€2m
DT (5)
€1m
Kauno Žalgiris's attack is €2m more valuable than Banga's (€4m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FZV (8)
€3m
PAN (7)
€2m
DT (7)
€2m
KŽ (4)
€2m
ŠIA (10)
€2m
HL (7)
€2m
BAN (5)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
Kauno Žalgiris and Banga have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (12)
€4m
FZV (12)
€3m
ŠIA (11)
€3m
PAN (13)
€2m
HL (9)
€2m
SM (11)
€2m
BAN (10)
€2m
DT (10)
€2m
Kauno Žalgiris's defence is €2m more valuable than Banga's (€4m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
KŽ wins
1
Draws
1
BAN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kauno Žalgiris vs Banga · H/A from KŽ
DateH/AGameScore
04/09/22ABanga Vs KŽ0-1
26/06/22HKŽ Vs Banga1-1
15/04/22ABanga Vs KŽ3-1

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/10/22HKŽ Vs Šiauliai1-0
19/10/22ASuduva Marijampole Vs KŽ0-2
09/10/22HKŽ Vs Hegelmann Litauen1-1
16/09/22HKŽ Vs Jonava2-1
11/09/22HKŽ Vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius0-2
07/09/22HKŽ Vs Džiugas Telšiai5-1
04/09/22ABanga Vs KŽ0-1
28/08/22AŠiauliai Vs KŽ0-3
20/08/22AHegelmann Litauen Vs KŽ1-1
13/08/22AJonava Vs KŽ1-2

BangaBanga

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/10/22AFK Trakai Vs BAN2-2
09/10/22HBAN Vs Panevėžys1-1
18/09/22ASuduva Marijampole Vs BAN2-0
11/09/22AŠiauliai Vs BAN1-1
07/09/22AJonava Vs BAN0-5
04/09/22HBAN Vs Kauno Žalgiris0-1
26/08/22HBAN Vs FK Trakai0-1
21/08/22APanevėžys Vs BAN2-1
14/08/22HBAN Vs Suduva Marijampole0-0
06/08/22AFK Zalgiris Vilnius Vs BAN2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kauno Žalgiris
Kauno Žalgiris
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWW1.64
HomeWLWDW1.59
AwayWDWWW1.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %45%41%50%
AVG goals2.452.592.31
Over 1.5 %79%76%81%
Over 2.5 %48%53%44%
Over 3.5 %18%29%6%
Scored1.391.471.31
Conceded1.061.121.00
BTTS55%53%56%
Clean Sheet30%29%31%
Corners7.509.006.00
Cards3.003.00-
Banga
Banga
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLDD0.84
HomeDDLLD0.87
AwayLWDLD0.82
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %16%13%18%
AVG goals2.342.072.59
Over 1.5 %72%60%82%
Over 2.5 %38%27%47%
Over 3.5 %22%20%24%
Scored0.910.801.00
Conceded1.441.271.59
BTTS47%47%47%
Clean Sheet19%20%18%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Zalgiris Vilnius3684
72%
2.3
8527+58
3.1
78%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2332.40.8
-
2Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris3663
50%
1.8
5537+18
2.6
81%
53%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.51.0
-
3PanevėžysPanevėžys3662
50%
1.7
5031+19
2.2
67%
47%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.40.9
-
4Hegelmann LitauenHegelmann Litauen3661
44%
1.7
6232+30
2.6
75%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.70.9
-
5FK TrakaiFK Trakai3659
47%
1.6
5341+12
2.6
72%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.1
-
6Suduva MarijampoleSuduva Marijampole3655
42%
1.5
4840+8
2.4
81%
44%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.31.1
-
7ŠiauliaiŠiauliai3650
36%
1.4
3939+0
2.2
61%
44%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2231.11.1
-
8BangaBanga3630
17%
0.8
3354-21
2.4
75%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2120.91.5
-
9Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai3627
14%
0.8
3467-33
2.8
69%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1220.91.9
-
10JonavaJonava363
0%
0.1
12103-91
3.2
86%
64%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.32.9
-
Lithuania: A Lyga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: A Lyga stats & trends →

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