This opponent (Banga) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Banga
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.23
1.08
1.31
1.65
1.18
vs Stronger (11)
1.36
1.45
1.25
1.75
1.43
1.29
vs Similar (19)
1.42
1.11
1.00
1.11
1.80
1.10
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Kauno Žalgiris) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.1%
Under 1.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.7%
Under 2.5
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.0%
Under 3.5
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.2%
No
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.8%
0-1 ✓
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.1%
Kauno Žalgiris goals ↓
Banga goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.8%
6.3%
3.7%
1.2%
0.3%
1
11%
13%
5.9%
1.9%
0.5%
2
9.6%
9.5%
4.7%
1.5%
0.4%
3
5.1%
5.0%
2.5%
0.8%
0.2%
4
2.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kauno Žalgiris goals (down), columns = Banga goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hegelmann Litauen
2.60
Džiugas Telšiai
2.25
Kauno Žalgiris
2.25
Atmosfera
2.25
Banga
2.20
Nemunas
2.00
Alternatyvus FK
2.00
FK Trakai
2.00
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.00
Viltis Vilnius
2.00
Minija
2.00
Jonava
2.00
Ekranas
2.00
FKS Ukmergė
2.00
Babrungas
2.00
Be1 NFA
1.50
Dembava
1.50
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1.50
VGTU Vilkai
1.50
Sendvaris
1.50
Sirijus Klaipėda
1.50
Tauras
1.50
Garliava
1.50
Euforija
1.50
BFA
1.50
Klaipėdos FM
1.33
Šiauliai
1.33
Nevėžis
1.33
Suduva Marijampole
1.00
Sviedinys Vilnius
0.00
Širvėna Biržai
0.00
Tera
0.00
Kazlų Rūda Kaunas
0.00
Neptūną Klaipėda
0.00
Dainava
0.00
Katastrofa Vilnius
0.00
Geležinis Vilkas
0.00
Trivartis Vilnius
0.00
TOP Kickers
0.00
Venta
0.00
Sveikata
0.00
Futboliukas Vilnius
0.00
Ave.Ko
0.00
Granitas
0.00
Utenis Utena
0.00
Baltai
0.00
Fortūna Kaunas
0.00
Nadruvis
0.00
Saned Joniškis
0.00
Utenos Utena
0.00
Panevėžys
0.00
Šilutė
0.00
Kauno Žalgiris is 0.05 points better than Banga in terms of average points per game (2.25 vs 2.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
VGTU Vilkai
5.50
Ekranas
5.00
TransINVEST Vilnius
4.67
FKS Ukmergė
4.33
Alternatyvus FK
4.00
Dembava
4.00
Tauras
4.00
Kauno Žalgiris
3.75
Klaipėdos FM
3.67
Babrungas
3.67
FK Trakai
3.00
TOP Kickers
3.00
Jonava
3.00
Sendvaris
3.00
Euforija
3.00
Banga
2.60
Džiugas Telšiai
2.50
Sirijus Klaipėda
2.50
Garliava
2.50
Atmosfera
2.50
Hegelmann Litauen
2.20
Minija
2.00
Šiauliai
2.00
BFA
2.00
Nemunas
1.67
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1.50
Viltis Vilnius
1.50
Sviedinys Vilnius
1.00
Be1 NFA
1.00
Kazlų Rūda Kaunas
1.00
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.00
Suduva Marijampole
1.00
Geležinis Vilkas
1.00
Trivartis Vilnius
1.00
Sveikata
1.00
Fortūna Kaunas
1.00
Panevėžys
1.00
Nevėžis
1.00
Šilutė
1.00
Širvėna Biržai
0.00
Tera
0.00
Dainava
0.00
Katastrofa Vilnius
0.00
Venta
0.00
Futboliukas Vilnius
0.00
Ave.Ko
0.00
Granitas
0.00
Utenis Utena
0.00
Baltai
0.00
Nadruvis
0.00
Saned Joniškis
0.00
Utenos Utena
0.00
Kauno Žalgiris is 1.15 goals better than Banga in terms of goals scored per game (3.75 vs 2.60).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Be1 NFA
0.50
Alternatyvus FK
0.50
Minija
0.50
Kauno Žalgiris
0.50
Hegelmann Litauen
0.60
Ekranas
0.67
Banga
0.80
Suduva Marijampole
1.00
Viltis Vilnius
1.00
VGTU Vilkai
1.00
Atmosfera
1.25
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.33
Jonava
1.33
FKS Ukmergė
1.33
Šiauliai
1.33
Džiugas Telšiai
1.50
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1.50
Klaipėdos FM
1.67
Sviedinys Vilnius
2.00
Dainava
2.00
FK Trakai
2.00
Granitas
2.00
Tauras
2.00
Fortūna Kaunas
2.00
Panevėžys
2.00
Babrungas
2.00
Šilutė
2.00
Nevėžis
2.33
Sirijus Klaipėda
2.50
Garliava
2.50
Nemunas
3.00
Neptūną Klaipėda
3.00
Sveikata
3.00
Futboliukas Vilnius
3.00
Sendvaris
3.00
Baltai
3.00
BFA
3.00
Dembava
3.50
Kazlų Rūda Kaunas
4.00
Venta
4.00
Širvėna Biržai
5.00
Tera
5.00
Geležinis Vilkas
5.00
TOP Kickers
5.00
Saned Joniškis
5.00
Euforija
5.50
Utenis Utena
7.00
Ave.Ko
8.00
Utenos Utena
9.00
Katastrofa Vilnius
10.00
Trivartis Vilnius
10.00
Nadruvis
13.00
Kauno Žalgiris is 0.30 goals better than Banga in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 0.80).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Kauno Žalgiris or Draw✗ Miss
77.7%
Avg Implied -
50%
27%
22%
covers Kauno Žalgiris + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris or Banga✓ Hit
72.5%
Avg Implied -
50%
27%
22%
covers Kauno Žalgiris + Banga
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Banga✓ Hit
49.7%
Avg Implied -
50%
27%
22%
covers Draw + Banga
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
79.7%
Under
20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
47.3%
Under
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
21.5%
Under
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.8%
Under
92.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
62.8%
Under
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
26.0%
Under
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.8%
Under
92.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Kauno Žalgiris, so a minus line means Kauno Žalgiris give that many goals of a start and Banga receive them. At -1, Kauno Žalgiris must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kauno Žalgiris win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Kauno Žalgiris)Actual: Banga
Kauno Žalgiris -2
11.3%
Draw -2
15.8%
Banga +2
72.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Kauno Žalgiris)Actual: Banga
Kauno Žalgiris -1
27.1%
Draw -1
23.2%
Banga +1
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Kauno Žalgiris)Actual: Draw
Kauno Žalgiris +1
77.7%
Draw +1
13.9%
Banga -1
8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Kauno Žalgiris)Actual: Kauno Žalgiris
Kauno Žalgiris +2
91.7%
Draw +2
6.1%
Banga -2
2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kauno Žalgiris
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.43
0.33
0.67
0.78
0.28
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.41
0.38
0.62
0.78
0.22
vs Weaker (13)
0.62
0.46
0.25
0.75
0.78
0.33
Clean sheet %
60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Banga) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Banga
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.47
0.46
0.54
0.59
0.41
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
0.45
0.50
0.50
0.57
0.43
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.47
0.44
0.56
0.60
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Kauno Žalgiris) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kauno Žalgiris
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.40
1.33
0.17
0.94
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.82
0.47
1.38
0.12
0.33
0.78
vs Weaker (13)
1.46
0.31
1.25
0.25
1.56
0.33
Clean sheet %
70% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Banga) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Banga
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.77
0.62
0.77
1.06
0.76
vs Stronger (11)
0.82
1.00
0.75
1.25
0.86
0.86
vs Similar (19)
0.89
0.63
0.56
0.56
1.20
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Kauno Žalgiris) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (27)
€10m
FZV (29)
€7m
PAN (28)
€6m
ŠIA (28)
€6m
SM (26)
€6m
BAN (22)
€6m
HL (22)
€6m
TV (24)
€5m
DT (22)
€5m
MIN (3)
€0m
TAU (2)
€0m
DAI (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
Kauno Žalgiris's squad is €4m more valuable than Banga's (€10m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (11)
€4m
SM (10)
€2m
BAN (7)
€2m
TV (8)
€2m
FZV (9)
€2m
PAN (8)
€2m
HL (6)
€2m
ŠIA (7)
€2m
DT (5)
€1m
TAU (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
Kauno Žalgiris's attack is €2m more valuable than Banga's (€4m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FZV (8)
€3m
PAN (7)
€2m
DT (7)
€2m
KŽ (4)
€2m
ŠIA (10)
€2m
HL (7)
€2m
BAN (5)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
TV (5)
€1m
DAI (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
TAU (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
Kauno Žalgiris and Banga have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (12)
€4m
FZV (12)
€3m
ŠIA (11)
€3m
PAN (13)
€2m
TV (11)
€2m
HL (9)
€2m
SM (11)
€2m
BAN (10)
€2m
DT (10)
€2m
TAU (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
Kauno Žalgiris's defence is €2m more valuable than Banga's (€4m vs €2m).
Lithuania: A Lyga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: A Lyga stats & trends →