Kauno Žalgiris vs Šiauliai Result & Analysis

Kauno Žalgiris are tipped to edge Šiauliai, with a 45% chance of triumph, 28% for a draw and 27% for a Šiauliai win. The model expects 2.6 goals in total, most likely a 1-1 draw, a 13.4% probability for that exact scoreline. At home, Žalgiris average 2.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded against similarly ranked opponents, while Šiauliai, on the road, average 1.31 scored and 1.46 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 with 75.4% probability and Under 3.5 with 72.6% probability. The team that is most likely to win is Kauno Žalgiris, with the match expected to finish 1-1, a 13.4% chance, and a 2-goal total most probable. The home win percentage is 45%, the draw 28%, and the away win 27%. The model’s selection for Over 1.5 is 75.4%, for Under 3.5 is 72.6%.

The win extends Kauno Žalgiris’s recent form, as they finished the match 3-0, confirming the model’s home win pick and the predicted outcome. The Pythia model had named the home side as favourite with a 45% probability, and it was right. The match produced three goals, so the over 1.5 selection hit, while the under 3.5 also hit, both with 75.4% and 72.6% probabilities respectively. The most likely scoreline of 1-1 was missed, and the 1-0 and 2-1 possibilities also missed. Kauno Žalgiris’s strong home form and low concession rate helped them dominate, while Šiauliai’s recent struggles were reflected in their 1-2 loss away.