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Kauno Žalgiris vs TransINVEST Vilnius Result & Analysis

Date: 26/06/2024
Time: 16:30
Final 2-0
Kauno Žalgiris
Kauno Žalgiris
Vs
54%
27%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
TransINVEST Vilnius
TransINVEST Vilnius
Lithuania: A Lyga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kauno Žalgiris win✓ Hit
53.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius win✗ Miss
19.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-723L50W21W01L00D70W10W00D22D41WA·TRA02/05A·GAR07/05H·ŠIA12/05A·FK 19/05A·PAN25/05A·NEM29/05A·DŽI02/06A·DAI15/06A·SUD19/06H·HEG23/06
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.870.901.871.071.870.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.561.062.001.111.001.00
vs Weaker (14)2.210.711.671.002.620.50
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (TransINVEST Vilnius) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius

Last 10 – goals for & against
110-1132W111W01L13L10W21W13L02L30W30WH·KAU02/05A·EUF03/05A·DAI11/05H·ŠIA18/05A·SUD24/05H·FK 30/05H·FK 02/06A·BAN15/06H·PAN19/06H·DŽI22/06
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.031.402.191.311.861.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.501.561.781.561.141.57
vs Weaker (14)2.641.212.711.002.571.43
Clean sheet %20% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Kauno Žalgiris) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.2%
Under 1.5
27.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.3%
Under 2.5
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.0%
Under 3.5
76.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.9%
No
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-0 ✓
10.8%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
6.1%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
Kauno Žalgiris goals ↓
TransINVEST Vilnius goals →
01234
09.5%6.1%3.2%0.9%0.2%
112%13%5.1%1.5%0.3%
211%9.5%4.1%1.2%0.3%
35.8%5.1%2.2%0.6%0.1%
42.3%2.0%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kauno Žalgiris goals (down), columns = TransINVEST Vilnius goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.19
Hegelmann Litauen
1.86
Be1 NFA
1.50
Kauno Žalgiris
1.50
Dainava
1.25
Banga
1.19
Šiauliai
1.17
Džiugas Telšiai
1.17
Panevėžys
1.14
Suduva Marijampole
1.11
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.06
Kauno Žalgiris is 0.44 points better than TransINVEST Vilnius in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.06).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.11
Hegelmann Litauen
1.67
Kauno Žalgiris
1.19
Šiauliai
1.08
Banga
1.03
Be1 NFA
1.00
TransINVEST Vilnius
0.97
Dainava
0.94
Panevėžys
0.94
Džiugas Telšiai
0.92
Suduva Marijampole
0.89
Kauno Žalgiris is 0.22 goals better than TransINVEST Vilnius in terms of goals scored per game (1.19 vs 0.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0.86
Be1 NFA
1.00
Suduva Marijampole
1.08
Dainava
1.08
Hegelmann Litauen
1.11
Kauno Žalgiris
1.11
Panevėžys
1.11
Banga
1.28
Džiugas Telšiai
1.33
Šiauliai
1.39
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.39
Kauno Žalgiris is 0.28 goals better than TransINVEST Vilnius in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.39).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D01L00D00D30W00D00D11D21WA·TRA02/05A·GAR07/05H·ŠIA12/05A·FK 19/05A·PAN25/05A·NEM29/05A·DŽI02/06A·DAI15/06A·SUD19/06H·HEG23/06
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.300.600.530.870.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.750.250.670.440.860.00
vs Weaker (14)0.710.360.500.670.880.12
Clean sheet %73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (TransINVEST Vilnius) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
80-802L80W00D02L10W00D01L01L20W20WH·KAU02/05A·EUF03/05A·DAI11/05H·ŠIA18/05A·SUD24/05H·FK 30/05H·FK 02/06A·BAN15/06H·PAN19/06H·DŽI22/06
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.570.880.691.070.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.380.560.330.560.430.57
vs Weaker (14)1.640.571.570.861.710.29
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Kauno Žalgiris) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L50W20W01L00D40W10W00D11D20WA·TRA02/05A·GAR07/05H·ŠIA12/05A·FK 19/05A·PAN25/05A·NEM29/05A·DŽI02/06A·DAI15/06A·SUD19/06H·HEG23/06
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.601.270.531.000.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.810.811.330.670.141.00
vs Weaker (14)1.500.361.170.331.750.38
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (TransINVEST Vilnius) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W31W01L11D00D21W12L01L10W10WH·KAU02/05A·EUF03/05A·DAI11/05H·ŠIA18/05A·SUD24/05H·FK 30/05H·FK 02/06A·BAN15/06H·PAN19/06H·DŽI22/06
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.831.310.620.791.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.121.001.441.000.711.00
vs Weaker (14)1.000.641.140.140.861.14
Clean sheet %40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Kauno Žalgiris) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.576.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (27)
€10m
FZV (29)
€7m
PAN (28)
€6m
ŠIA (28)
€6m
SM (26)
€6m
BAN (22)
€6m
HL (22)
€6m
TV (24)
€5m
DT (22)
€5m
DAI (1)
€0m
Kauno Žalgiris's squad is €4m more valuable than TransINVEST Vilnius's (€10m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (11)
€4m
SM (10)
€2m
BAN (7)
€2m
TV (8)
€2m
FZV (9)
€2m
PAN (8)
€2m
HL (6)
€2m
ŠIA (7)
€2m
DT (5)
€1m
DAI (0)
€0m
Kauno Žalgiris's attack is €2m more valuable than TransINVEST Vilnius's (€4m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FZV (8)
€3m
PAN (7)
€2m
DT (7)
€2m
KŽ (4)
€2m
ŠIA (10)
€2m
HL (7)
€2m
BAN (5)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
TV (5)
€1m
DAI (1)
€0m
Kauno Žalgiris and TransINVEST Vilnius have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (12)
€4m
FZV (12)
€3m
ŠIA (11)
€3m
PAN (13)
€2m
TV (11)
€2m
HL (9)
€2m
SM (11)
€2m
BAN (10)
€2m
DT (10)
€2m
DAI (0)
€0m
Kauno Žalgiris's defence is €2m more valuable than TransINVEST Vilnius's (€4m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
KŽ wins
0
Draws
1
TV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kauno Žalgiris vs TransINVEST Vilnius · H/A from KŽ
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/24ATransINVEST Vilnius Vs KŽ3-2
12/03/24HKŽ Vs TransINVEST Vilnius2-1

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/06/24HKŽ Vs Hegelmann Litauen4-1
19/06/24ASuduva Marijampole Vs KŽ2-2
15/06/24ADainava Vs KŽ0-0
02/06/24ADžiugas Telšiai Vs KŽ0-1
29/05/24ANemunas Vs KŽ0-7
25/05/24APanevėžys Vs KŽ0-0
19/05/24AFK Zalgiris Vilnius Vs KŽ1-0
12/05/24HKŽ Vs Šiauliai2-1
07/05/24AGarliava Vs KŽ0-5
02/05/24ATransINVEST Vilnius Vs KŽ3-2

TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/06/24HTV Vs Džiugas Telšiai3-0
19/06/24HTV Vs Panevėžys3-0
15/06/24ABanga Vs TV2-0
02/06/24HTV Vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius1-3
30/05/24HTV Vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius2-1
24/05/24ASuduva Marijampole Vs TV0-1
18/05/24HTV Vs Šiauliai1-3
11/05/24ADainava Vs TV1-0
03/05/24AEuforija Vs TV1-11
02/05/24HTV Vs Kauno Žalgiris3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kauno Žalgiris
Kauno Žalgiris
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDDW1.56
HomeWWLWW1.76
AwayDWWDD1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%52%32%
AVG goals2.742.842.64
Over 1.5 %72%72%72%
Over 2.5 %50%60%40%
Over 3.5 %28%28%28%
Scored1.641.681.60
Conceded1.101.161.04
BTTS54%56%52%
Clean Sheet32%28%36%
Corners8.0011.005.00
Cards4.004.00-
TransINVEST Vilnius
TransINVEST Vilnius
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWW1.84
HomeLWLWW2.00
AwayLWLWL1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%65%50%
AVG goals3.423.383.46
Over 1.5 %84%85%83%
Over 2.5 %66%69%62%
Over 3.5 %38%35%42%
Scored2.242.272.21
Conceded1.181.121.25
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet30%31%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Zalgiris Vilnius3679
67%
2.2
7631+45
3.0
78%
61%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2332.10.9
-
2Hegelmann LitauenHegelmann Litauen3667
53%
1.9
6040+20
2.8
72%
53%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.71.1
-
3Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris3654
42%
1.5
4340+3
2.3
61%
44%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.21.1
-
4DainavaDainava3645
33%
1.2
3439-5
2.0
53%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.1
-
5BangaBanga3643
28%
1.2
3746-9
2.3
69%
36%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.01.3
-
6Suduva MarijampoleSuduva Marijampole3842
26%
1.1
3441-7
2.0
47%
34%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2120.91.1
-
7ŠiauliaiŠiauliai3642
28%
1.2
3950-11
2.5
67%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2231.11.4
-
8Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai3642
31%
1.2
3348-15
2.2
61%
44%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1220.91.3
-
9PanevėžysPanevėžys3641
25%
1.1
3440-6
2.1
56%
36%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2220.91.1
-
10TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius3638
31%
1.1
3550-15
2.4
69%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.4
-
11Be1 NFABe1 NFA23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
Lithuania: A Lyga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: A Lyga stats & trends →

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