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Keflavik vs FH hafnarfjordur Result & Analysis

Date: 15/10/2022
Time: 14:00
Final 2-3
Keflavik
Keflavik
Vs
49%
28%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FH hafnarfjordur
FH hafnarfjordur
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik win✗ Miss
48.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur win✓ Hit
23.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KeflavikKeflavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-822D21W00D03L01L20W03L84W32W12LA·IBV30/07A·LEI08/08H·KR 15/08A·FH 22/08H·IA 28/08A·STJ04/09H·VIK11/09A·FRA17/09H·IA 02/10A·IBV10/10
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.791.831.581.672.002.00
vs Stronger (4)1.003.501.003.001.004.00
vs Similar (18)1.891.611.561.562.221.67
vs Weaker (2)2.500.503.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %21% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (FH hafnarfjordur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L03L14L30W00D00D61W12L12L42WA·VAL03/08H·KA 07/08A·IBV14/08H·KEF22/08A·KR 28/08A·LEI04/09H·IA 11/09A·STJ17/09A·IBV05/10H·LEI10/10
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.622.171.580.501.67
vs Stronger (8)0.621.880.751.500.502.25
vs Similar (13)1.621.542.831.500.571.57
vs Weaker (3)2.001.333.002.000.000.00
Clean sheet %21% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%222%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.1%
Under 1.5
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.4%
Under 2.5
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.9%
Under 3.5
75.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.6%
No
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-0
11.0%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
9.2%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.8%
Keflavik goals ↓
FH hafnarfjordur goals →
01234
09.2%6.7%3.9%1.3%0.3%
111%13%6.0%2.0%0.5%
29.4%9.3%4.6%1.5%0.4%
34.8%4.8%2.4%0.8%0.2%
41.9%1.8%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Keflavik goals (down), columns = FH hafnarfjordur goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Breidablik
2.33
KA Akureyri
1.96
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.78
KR Reykjavik
1.41
Keflavik
1.37
Stjarnan
1.37
Valur Reykjavik
1.30
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.19
Fram Reykjavik
1.15
FH hafnarfjordur
0.93
IA Akranes
0.93
Leiknir R.
0.78
Keflavik is 0.44 points better than FH hafnarfjordur in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 0.93).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Breidablik
2.44
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.44
Keflavik
2.07
KA Akureyri
2.00
Fram Reykjavik
1.96
Valur Reykjavik
1.70
Stjarnan
1.63
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.59
KR Reykjavik
1.56
FH hafnarfjordur
1.33
IA Akranes
1.33
Leiknir R.
1.04
Keflavik is 0.74 goals better than FH hafnarfjordur in terms of goals scored per game (2.07 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Breidablik
1.00
KA Akureyri
1.11
KR Reykjavik
1.48
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.52
Valur Reykjavik
1.63
FH hafnarfjordur
1.70
Keflavik
1.78
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.85
Stjarnan
1.93
IA Akranes
2.33
Fram Reykjavik
2.33
Leiknir R.
2.44
Keflavik is 0.07 goals worse than FH hafnarfjordur in terms of goals conceded per game (1.78 vs 1.70).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KeflavikKeflavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D10W00D02L00D00D03L43W21W02LA·IBV30/07A·LEI08/08H·KR 15/08A·FH 22/08H·IA 28/08A·STJ04/09H·VIK11/09A·FRA17/09H·IA 02/10A·IBV10/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.881.041.000.750.751.33
vs Stronger (4)0.252.750.502.000.003.50
vs Similar (18)1.000.781.110.560.891.00
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %46% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FH hafnarfjordur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L03L20W00D00D31W12L11D21WA·VAL03/08H·KA 07/08A·IBV14/08H·KEF22/08A·KR 28/08A·LEI04/09H·IA 11/09A·STJ17/09A·IBV05/10H·LEI10/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.710.831.080.750.330.92
vs Stronger (8)0.380.620.250.000.501.25
vs Similar (13)0.771.001.331.170.290.86
vs Weaker (3)1.330.672.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %46% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Keflavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KeflavikKeflavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D11D00D01L01L20W00D41W11D10WA·IBV30/07A·LEI08/08H·KR 15/08A·FH 22/08H·IA 28/08A·STJ04/09H·VIK11/09A·FRA17/09H·IA 02/10A·IBV10/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.920.790.580.921.250.67
vs Stronger (4)0.750.750.501.001.000.50
vs Similar (18)0.890.830.441.001.330.67
vs Weaker (2)1.500.502.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %46% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FH hafnarfjordur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L11D10W00D00D30W00D01L21WA·VAL03/08H·KA 07/08A·IBV14/08H·KEF22/08A·KR 28/08A·LEI04/09H·IA 11/09A·STJ17/09A·IBV05/10H·LEI10/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.791.080.830.170.75
vs Stronger (8)0.251.250.501.500.001.00
vs Similar (13)0.850.541.500.330.290.71
vs Weaker (3)0.670.671.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %38% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Keflavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.573.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
IV (18)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
Keflavik and FH hafnarfjordur have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
Keflavik and FH hafnarfjordur have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
Keflavik and FH hafnarfjordur have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
KEF (7)
€1m
LR (9)
€0m
Keflavik and FH hafnarfjordur have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
KEF wins
0
Draws
1
FH wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Keflavik vs FH hafnarfjordur · H/A from KEF
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/22AFH hafnarfjordur Vs KEF3-0
22/05/22HKEF Vs FH hafnarfjordur2-1

KeflavikKeflavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/10/22AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs KEF2-1
02/10/22HKEF Vs IA Akranes3-2
17/09/22AFram Reykjavik Vs KEF4-8
11/09/22HKEF Vs Vikingur Reykjavik0-3
04/09/22AStjarnan Vs KEF0-2
28/08/22HKEF Vs IA Akranes0-1
22/08/22AFH hafnarfjordur Vs KEF3-0
15/08/22HKEF Vs KR Reykjavik0-0
08/08/22ALeiknir R. Vs KEF1-2
30/07/22AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs KEF2-2

FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/10/22HFH Vs Leiknir R.4-2
05/10/22AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs FH2-1
17/09/22AStjarnan Vs FH2-1
11/09/22HFH Vs IA Akranes6-1
04/09/22ALeiknir R. Vs FH0-0
28/08/22AKR Reykjavik Vs FH0-0
22/08/22HFH Vs Keflavik3-0
14/08/22AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs FH4-1
07/08/22HFH Vs KA Akureyri0-3
03/08/22AValur Reykjavik Vs FH2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Keflavik
Keflavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWL1.29
HomeLDLLW1.25
AwayWLWWL1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%33%42%
AVG goals3.623.254.00
Over 1.5 %83%75%92%
Over 2.5 %75%75%75%
Over 3.5 %46%50%42%
Scored1.791.582.00
Conceded1.831.672.00
BTTS58%58%58%
Clean Sheet21%17%25%
Corners---
Cards---
FH hafnarfjordur
FH hafnarfjordur
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLW0.92
HomeDLWWW1.58
AwayLDDLL0.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %21%42%0%
AVG goals2.963.752.17
Over 1.5 %79%92%67%
Over 2.5 %62%75%50%
Over 3.5 %29%50%8%
Scored1.332.170.50
Conceded1.621.581.67
BTTS54%58%50%
Clean Sheet21%25%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BreidablikBreidablik2763
74%
2.3
6627+39
3.4
78%
70%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.41.0
-
2KA AkureyriKA Akureyri2753
59%
2.0
5430+24
3.1
78%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.01.1
-
3Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik2748
48%
1.8
6641+25
4.0
93%
89%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.41.5
-
4KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik2738
33%
1.4
4240+2
3.0
70%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.5
-
5KeflavikKeflavik2737
41%
1.4
5648+8
3.9
85%
78%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1012.11.8
-
6StjarnanStjarnan2737
37%
1.4
4452-8
3.6
93%
70%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.9
-
7Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik2735
37%
1.3
4644+2
3.3
81%
67%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.6
-
8IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar2732
30%
1.2
4350-7
3.4
85%
78%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.61.9
-
9Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik2731
26%
1.1
5363-10
4.3
96%
78%
70%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.02.3
-
10FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur2725
22%
0.9
3646-10
3.0
81%
67%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.31.7
-
11IA AkranesIA Akranes2725
22%
0.9
3663-27
3.7
89%
78%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.32.3
-
12Leiknir R.Leiknir R.2721
19%
0.8
2866-38
3.5
78%
70%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.4
-
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

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