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Keflavik vs FH hafnarfjordur Result & Analysis

Date: 31/07/2023
Time: 19:15
Final 2-3
Keflavik
Keflavik
Vs
47%
25%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FH hafnarfjordur
FH hafnarfjordur
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik win✗ Miss
47.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur win✓ Hit
28.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KeflavikKeflavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L00D00D14L11D11D02L33D11D34LH·HK 14/05A·VAL21/05H·BRE29/05A·FRA02/06H·STJ11/06H·FYL23/06A·KR 28/06H·VIK08/07A·IBV16/07H·KA 24/07
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.831.271.871.871.80
vs Stronger (4)1.002.501.002.001.004.00
vs Similar (24)1.421.791.331.831.501.75
vs Weaker (2)4.501.00--4.501.00
Clean sheet %20% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (FH hafnarfjordur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W02L32W43W11D22D40W05L01L24LH·KEF08/05A·VIK14/05A·IBV22/05H·HK 28/05A·VAL02/06H·BRE10/06H·FRA23/06A·STJ29/06A·KR 18/07H·FYL24/07
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.902.291.501.002.25
vs Stronger (9)0.561.890.751.250.402.40
vs Similar (19)2.052.002.781.561.402.40
vs Weaker (2)2.001.004.002.000.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.0%
Under 1.5
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.1%
Under 2.5
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.9%
Under 3.5
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.8%
No
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
7.0%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.4%
1-0
6.4%
3-1
5.7%
0-0
5.1%
Keflavik goals ↓
FH hafnarfjordur goals →
01234
05.1%4.6%3.8%1.8%0.6%
16.4%11%7.0%3.2%1.1%
26.8%9.3%6.4%3.0%1.0%
34.1%5.7%3.9%1.8%0.6%
41.9%2.6%1.8%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Keflavik goals (down), columns = FH hafnarfjordur goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.44
Valur Reykjavik
2.04
Stjarnan
1.70
Breidablik
1.52
KA Akureyri
1.52
FH hafnarfjordur
1.48
KR Reykjavik
1.37
Fylkir
1.07
Fram Reykjavik
1.00
HK Kopavogur
1.00
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0.93
Keflavik
0.59
Keflavik is 0.89 points worse than FH hafnarfjordur in terms of average points per game (0.59 vs 1.48).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.81
Valur Reykjavik
2.44
Stjarnan
2.04
Breidablik
1.93
FH hafnarfjordur
1.81
Fylkir
1.59
KA Akureyri
1.56
HK Kopavogur
1.52
Fram Reykjavik
1.48
KR Reykjavik
1.41
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.15
Keflavik
1.00
Keflavik is 0.81 goals worse than FH hafnarfjordur in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.81).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stjarnan
1.07
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.11
Valur Reykjavik
1.30
KA Akureyri
1.67
KR Reykjavik
1.78
Breidablik
1.81
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.85
Keflavik
2.00
FH hafnarfjordur
2.00
Fylkir
2.04
HK Kopavogur
2.04
Fram Reykjavik
2.07
Keflavik and FH hafnarfjordur are level in goals conceded per game (both 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KeflavikKeflavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D01L00D01L01L22D01L12LH·HK 14/05A·VAL21/05H·BRE29/05A·FRA02/06H·STJ11/06H·FYL23/06A·KR 28/06H·VIK08/07A·IBV16/07H·KA 24/07
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.830.600.730.600.93
vs Stronger (4)0.501.500.671.670.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.500.790.580.500.421.08
vs Weaker (2)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (FH hafnarfjordur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W02L11D22D11D12L20W03L00D12LH·KEF08/05A·VIK14/05A·IBV22/05H·HK 28/05A·VAL02/06H·BRE10/06H·FRA23/06A·STJ29/06A·KR 18/07H·FYL24/07
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.101.140.790.381.38
vs Stronger (9)0.331.220.250.500.401.80
vs Similar (19)0.891.111.440.890.401.30
vs Weaker (2)1.000.502.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Keflavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KeflavikKeflavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D13L11D10W01L11D10W22DH·HK 14/05A·VAL21/05H·BRE29/05A·FRA02/06H·STJ11/06H·FYL23/06A·KR 28/06H·VIK08/07A·IBV16/07H·KA 24/07
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.000.671.131.270.87
vs Stronger (4)0.501.000.330.331.003.00
vs Similar (24)0.921.000.751.331.080.67
vs Weaker (2)2.501.00--2.501.00
Clean sheet %37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FH hafnarfjordur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D21W21W00D10W20W02L01L12LH·KEF08/05A·VIK14/05A·IBV22/05H·HK 28/05A·VAL02/06H·BRE10/06H·FRA23/06A·STJ29/06A·KR 18/07H·FYL24/07
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.801.140.710.620.88
vs Stronger (9)0.220.670.500.750.000.60
vs Similar (19)1.160.891.330.671.001.10
vs Weaker (2)1.000.502.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Keflavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
IV (18)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
Keflavik and FH hafnarfjordur have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
Keflavik and FH hafnarfjordur have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
Keflavik and FH hafnarfjordur have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
KEF (7)
€1m
FYL (6)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
Keflavik and FH hafnarfjordur have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
KEF wins
0
Draws
3
FH wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Keflavik vs FH hafnarfjordur · H/A from KEF
DateH/AGameScore
08/05/23AFH hafnarfjordur Vs KEF2-1
15/10/22HKEF Vs FH hafnarfjordur2-3
22/08/22AFH hafnarfjordur Vs KEF3-0
22/05/22HKEF Vs FH hafnarfjordur2-1

KeflavikKeflavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/07/23HKEF Vs KA Akureyri3-4
16/07/23AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs KEF1-1
08/07/23HKEF Vs Vikingur Reykjavik3-3
28/06/23AKR Reykjavik Vs KEF2-0
23/06/23HKEF Vs Fylkir1-1
11/06/23HKEF Vs Stjarnan1-1
02/06/23AFram Reykjavik Vs KEF4-1
29/05/23HKEF Vs Breidablik0-0
21/05/23AValur Reykjavik Vs KEF0-0
14/05/23HKEF Vs HK Kopavogur0-2

FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/07/23HFH Vs Fylkir2-4
18/07/23AKR Reykjavik Vs FH1-0
29/06/23AStjarnan Vs FH5-0
23/06/23HFH Vs Fram Reykjavik4-0
10/06/23HFH Vs Breidablik2-2
02/06/23AValur Reykjavik Vs FH1-1
28/05/23HFH Vs HK Kopavogur4-3
22/05/23AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs FH2-3
14/05/23AVikingur Reykjavik Vs FH2-0
08/05/23HFH Vs Keflavik2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Keflavik
Keflavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 0 Wins / 6 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDDL1.09
HomeDDDDL1.00
AwayLDLLD1.19
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%23%33%
AVG goals3.473.323.62
Over 1.5 %84%82%86%
Over 2.5 %65%64%67%
Over 3.5 %44%50%38%
Scored1.651.551.76
Conceded1.811.771.86
BTTS60%59%62%
Clean Sheet21%18%24%
Corners---
Cards---
FH hafnarfjordur
FH hafnarfjordur
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLL1.10
HomeWWDWL1.75
AwayLWDLL0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%50%9%
AVG goals3.363.802.95
Over 1.5 %83%90%77%
Over 2.5 %69%80%59%
Over 3.5 %40%50%32%
Scored1.522.250.86
Conceded1.831.552.09
BTTS57%60%55%
Clean Sheet19%30%9%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik2766
78%
2.4
7630+46
3.9
93%
78%
63%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.81.1
-
2Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik2755
63%
2.0
6635+31
3.7
89%
70%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.41.3
-
3StjarnanStjarnan2746
52%
1.7
5529+26
3.1
93%
52%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.01.1
-
4BreidablikBreidablik2741
44%
1.5
5249+3
3.7
85%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.8
-
5KA AkureyriKA Akureyri2741
44%
1.5
4245-3
3.2
85%
59%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.7
-
6FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur2740
44%
1.5
4954-5
3.8
93%
78%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.82.0
-
7KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik2737
37%
1.4
3848-10
3.2
85%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.8
-
8FylkirFylkir2729
26%
1.1
4355-12
3.6
89%
70%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.0
-
9HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur2727
22%
1.0
4155-14
3.6
81%
59%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.52.0
-
10Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik2727
26%
1.0
4056-16
3.6
81%
70%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.52.1
-
11IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar2725
22%
0.9
3150-19
3.0
85%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.9
-
12KeflavikKeflavik2716
7%
0.6
2754-27
3.0
85%
56%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.02.0
-
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

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