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Keflavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar Result & Analysis

Date: 30/08/2024
Time: 17:30
Final 3-2
Keflavik
Keflavik
Vs
41%
25%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik win✓ Hit
40.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar win✗ Miss
34.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KeflavikKeflavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-505L00D21W10W31W32W21W00D31W23LA·IBV30/06A·FJO04/07H·GRO11/07A·IR 18/07A·AFT25/07H·THO31/07H·GRI08/08A·LEI14/08H·DAL18/08A·THR24/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.432.311.381.211.50
vs Stronger (2)1.002.502.001.000.004.00
vs Similar (23)1.831.522.081.581.551.45
vs Weaker (5)2.000.603.330.670.000.50
Clean sheet %20% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (IBV Vestmannaeyjar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W10W12L10W30W21W51W22D21W23LH·KEF30/06H·LEI06/07A·THR11/07H·DAL20/07A·THO27/07H·NJA03/08A·FJO09/08H·IR 14/08H·GRO18/08H·AFT24/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.031.602.211.291.881.88
vs Stronger (4)2.253.002.002.002.333.33
vs Similar (26)2.001.382.231.231.771.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.8%
Under 1.5
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.4%
Under 2.5
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.2%
Under 3.5
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.7%
No
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
5.6%
1-0
5.5%
3-1
4.9%
0-1
4.9%
Keflavik goals ↓
IBV Vestmannaeyjar goals →
01234
04.8%4.9%4.6%2.4%0.9%
15.5%11%7.9%4.1%1.6%
25.6%8.7%6.8%3.5%1.4%
33.2%4.9%3.9%2.0%0.8%
41.4%2.1%1.6%0.9%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Keflavik goals (down), columns = IBV Vestmannaeyjar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.77
Afturelding
1.72
Keflavik
1.64
IR Reykjavik
1.58
Fjolnir
1.58
Njardvik
1.50
Throttur Reykjavik
1.36
Leiknir R.
1.27
Thor Akureyri
1.18
Grindavik
1.18
Grotta
0.73
Dalvík / Reynir
0.59
Keflavik is 0.13 points worse than IBV Vestmannaeyjar in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 1.77).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2.27
Grindavik
1.82
Keflavik
1.72
Afturelding
1.72
Throttur Reykjavik
1.68
Njardvik
1.55
Leiknir R.
1.50
Fjolnir
1.46
Thor Akureyri
1.45
IR Reykjavik
1.42
Grotta
1.41
Dalvík / Reynir
1.05
Keflavik is 0.55 goals worse than IBV Vestmannaeyjar in terms of goals scored per game (1.72 vs 2.27).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Keflavik
1.16
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.23
Fjolnir
1.29
Njardvik
1.32
Throttur Reykjavik
1.41
IR Reykjavik
1.42
Afturelding
1.48
Leiknir R.
1.55
Thor Akureyri
1.73
Grindavik
2.09
Dalvík / Reynir
2.23
Grotta
2.27
Keflavik is 0.07 goals better than IBV Vestmannaeyjar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.16 vs 1.23).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KeflavikKeflavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L10W20W21W10W00D10W01LA·IBV30/06A·FJO04/07H·GRO11/07A·IR 18/07A·AFT25/07H·THO31/07H·GRI08/08A·LEI14/08H·DAL18/08A·THR24/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.471.310.560.640.36
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (23)1.000.391.170.580.820.18
vs Weaker (5)1.200.602.000.670.000.50
Clean sheet %63% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (IBV Vestmannaeyjar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D10W01L10W10W01L40W10W20W11DH·KEF30/06H·LEI06/07A·THR11/07H·DAL20/07A·THO27/07H·NJA03/08A·FJO09/08H·IR 14/08H·GRO18/08H·AFT24/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.731.000.361.121.06
vs Stronger (4)2.001.252.001.002.001.33
vs Similar (26)0.920.650.920.310.921.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Keflavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KeflavikKeflavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-505L00D20W00D11D11D11D00D21W22DA·IBV30/06A·FJO04/07H·GRO11/07A·IR 18/07A·AFT25/07H·THO31/07H·GRI08/08A·LEI14/08H·DAL18/08A·THR24/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.971.000.810.571.14
vs Stronger (2)0.501.501.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (23)0.831.130.921.000.731.27
vs Weaker (5)0.800.001.330.000.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (IBV Vestmannaeyjar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W00D11D00D20W20W11D12L01L12LH·KEF30/06H·LEI06/07A·THR11/07H·DAL20/07A·THO27/07H·NJA03/08A·FJO09/08H·IR 14/08H·GRO18/08H·AFT24/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.871.210.930.750.81
vs Stronger (4)0.251.750.001.000.332.00
vs Similar (26)1.080.731.310.920.850.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Keflavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IV (18)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
IR (17)
€1m
Keflavik and IBV Vestmannaeyjar have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (7)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
IR (6)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
Keflavik and IBV Vestmannaeyjar have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IV (6)
€1m
TR (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
IR (4)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
Keflavik and IBV Vestmannaeyjar have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IV (6)
€1m
KEF (7)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
AFT (7)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
IR (7)
€0m
Keflavik and IBV Vestmannaeyjar have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
0
KEF wins
4
Draws
3
IV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Keflavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar · H/A from KEF
DateH/AGameScore
30/06/24AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs KEF5-0
07/10/23AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs KEF1-1
16/07/23AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs KEF1-1
29/04/23HKEF Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar1-3
10/10/22AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs KEF2-1
30/07/22AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs KEF2-2
07/05/22HKEF Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar3-3

KeflavikKeflavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/08/24AThrottur Reykjavik Vs KEF3-2
18/08/24HKEF Vs Dalvík / Reynir3-1
14/08/24ALeiknir R. Vs KEF0-0
08/08/24HKEF Vs Grindavik2-1
31/07/24HKEF Vs Thor Akureyri3-2
25/07/24AAfturelding Vs KEF1-3
18/07/24AIR Reykjavik Vs KEF0-1
11/07/24HKEF Vs Grotta2-1
04/07/24AFjolnir Vs KEF0-0
30/06/24AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs KEF5-0

IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/08/24HIV Vs Afturelding2-3
18/08/24HIV Vs Grotta2-1
14/08/24HIV Vs IR Reykjavik2-2
09/08/24AFjolnir Vs IV1-5
03/08/24HIV Vs Njardvik2-1
27/07/24AThor Akureyri Vs IV0-3
20/07/24HIV Vs Dalvík / Reynir1-0
11/07/24AThrottur Reykjavik Vs IV2-1
06/07/24HIV Vs Leiknir R.1-0
30/06/24HIV Vs Keflavik5-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Keflavik
Keflavik
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWL1.22
HomeDWWWW1.58
AwayDWWDL0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%38%17%
AVG goals3.163.382.92
Over 1.5 %84%92%75%
Over 2.5 %64%69%58%
Over 3.5 %46%46%46%
Scored1.501.921.04
Conceded1.661.461.88
BTTS70%81%58%
Clean Sheet18%15%21%
Corners---
Cards---
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWL1.28
HomeWWDWL1.54
AwayWLLWW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%42%27%
AVG goals3.423.043.77
Over 1.5 %86%79%92%
Over 2.5 %74%58%88%
Over 3.5 %48%38%58%
Scored1.681.751.62
Conceded1.741.292.15
BTTS64%58%69%
Clean Sheet22%25%19%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AftureldingAfturelding2543
52%
1.7
4337+6
3.2
80%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.71.5
-
2KeflavikKeflavik2541
44%
1.6
4329+14
2.9
72%
60%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.71.2
-
3IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar2239
50%
1.8
5027+23
3.5
86%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.31.2
-
4FjolnirFjolnir2438
42%
1.6
3531+4
2.8
62%
50%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
5IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik2438
42%
1.6
3434+0
2.8
83%
58%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.4
-
6NjardvikNjardvik2233
36%
1.5
3429+5
2.9
68%
55%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.3
-
7Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik2230
36%
1.4
3731+6
3.1
73%
55%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.4
-
8Leiknir R.Leiknir R.2228
36%
1.3
3334-1
3.0
64%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.5
-
9GrindavikGrindavik2226
27%
1.2
4046-6
3.9
91%
82%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.1
-
10Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2226
27%
1.2
3238-6
3.2
91%
59%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.7
-
11GrottaGrotta2216
18%
0.7
3150-19
3.7
91%
82%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.3
-
12Dalvík / ReynirDalvík / Reynir2213
9%
0.6
2349-26
3.3
77%
59%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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