Keflavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar Result & Analysis

Date: 23/08/2026

Time: 17:00

Final 1-0

Keflavik

53%

22%

26%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Iceland: Úrvalsdeild

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

In the upcoming match between Keflavik and IBV Vestmannaeyjar, recent form suggests Keflavik is coming off a win, while IBV Vestmannaeyjar is coming off a draw. The model predicts a high-scoring match, with an expected total of 3.8 goals and a most likely total of 3 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favour of Keflavik, with a probability of 8.8%. Keflavik has been scoring an average of 2.17 goals at home, while conceding 1.17 goals. IBV Vestmannaeyjar, on the other hand, has been scoring 1.62 goals away from home and conceding 2.0 goals.

The model's favoured match result is a home win for Keflavik, with a probability of 52%. The probabilities for a draw and away win are 22% and 26%, respectively. The model's selections include Over 1.5, with a probability of 89.9%, and BTTS Yes, with a probability of 71.1%. Keflavik has a 52% chance of winning, a 22% chance of drawing, and a 26% chance of losing. The suggested picks also include Over 2.5, with a probability of 72.8%.

Results analysis

The win extends Keflavik’s two-game winning run, cementing the model’s prediction that a home victory would materialise. The final score of 1-0 confirmed the actual result as a home win. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was chosen with a 53 % probability and proved correct. Every suggested pick hit: Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.3 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.3 %, Under 7.5 at 96.1 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 92.9 %, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 91.8 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 91.8 %, Under 6.5 at 91.2 %, and Home under 2.5 2H goals at 91.1 %. The model’s selections performed strongly, with the most likely score of 2-1 narrowly missing the 1-0 outcome.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik win✓ Hit

52.7%

Avg Implied 43.5% · @ 2.09

Edge

+9.2%

Best 5 market prices

Superbet

2.17

William Hil

2.15

Betano

2.15

Dafabet

2.14

1xBet

2.14

Draw✗ Miss

21.8%

Avg Implied 24.0% · @ 3.78

Edge

-2.3%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

4.23

Marathonbet

4.15

1xBet

4.15

Dafabet

3.80

888Sport

3.80

IBV Vestmannaeyjar win✗ Miss

25.5%

Avg Implied 32.5% · @ 2.80

Edge

-7.0%

Best 5 market prices

Unibet

3.10

Dafabet

2.95

Pinnacle

2.90

Betano

2.90

Superbet

2.85

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Keflavik

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.5

Avg scored

2.0

Avg conceded

1.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	2.40	1.77	3.29	1.57	1.62	1.94
vs Stronger (2)	1.00	3.50	-	-	1.00	3.50
vs Similar (25)	2.32	1.72	3.00	1.58	1.69	1.85
vs Weaker (3)	4.00	1.00	5.00	1.50	2.00	0.00
Clean sheet %	23% (+3pp vs league)

This opponent (IBV Vestmannaeyjar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.7

Avg scored

1.5

Avg conceded

2.2

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.40	1.53	1.47	1.47	1.31	1.62
vs Stronger (11)	1.18	1.36	1.43	1.43	0.75	1.25
vs Similar (19)	1.53	1.63	1.50	1.50	1.56	1.78
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	20% (-0pp vs league)

This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

89.8%

@ 1.12+7.8%

Under 1.5

10.2%

@ 5.10-7.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.16

Betano

1.16

Betfair

1.13

888Sport

1.13

Superbet

1.13

Under

Betfair

6.00

Bet365

5.50

1xBet

5.40

Marathonbet

5.40

Pinnacle

5.24

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

72.7%

@ 1.43+8.7%

Under 2.5

27.3%

@ 2.54-8.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.52

Betano

1.50

Superbet

1.48

Betfair

1.44

Bet365

1.44

Under

Unibet

2.70

1xBet

2.62

Bet365

2.62

Marathonbet

2.62

Betfair

2.60

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

52.1%

@ 2.09+8.0%

Under 3.5

47.9%

@ 1.65-8.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.26

Betano

2.20

Betfair

2.20

Superbet

2.15

888Sport

2.15

Under

Bet365

1.73

1xBet

1.71

Unibet

1.71

Marathonbet

1.69

Pinnacle

1.65

Both teams to scoreActual: No

Yes

70.9%

@ 1.41+5.9%

29.1%

@ 2.62-5.9%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Superbet

1.45

Bet365

1.44

Betano

1.44

888Sport

1.44

William Hil

1.44

Betfair

2.80

1xBet

2.77

Marathonbet

2.72

Bet365

2.62

Betano

2.60

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

2-1

8.8%@ 8.41+3.4%

1-1

8.7%@ 7.59+2.7%

2-2

6.8%@ 10.51+2.4%

3-1

6.6%@ 13.71+3.3%

1-2

6.1%@ 10.01+1.5%

2-0

5.7%@ 12.56+2.1%

3-2

5.1%@ 16.61+2.3%

1-0 ✓

4.3%@ 11.45+0.4%

Keflavik goals ↓

	IBV Vestmannaeyjar goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.1%	2.7%	2.7%	1.4%	0.5%
1	4.3%	8.7%	6.1%	3.1%	1.2%
2	5.7%	8.8%	6.8%	3.5%	1.3%
3	4.3%	6.6%	5.1%	2.6%	1.0%
4	2.4%	3.7%	2.8%	1.5%	0.6%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Keflavik goals (down), columns = IBV Vestmannaeyjar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

KR Reykjavik

2.14

Fram Reykjavik

2.00

Vikingur Reykjavik

1.71

Stjarnan

1.71

FH hafnarfjordur

1.62

IA Akranes

1.50

Keflavik

1.44

Thor Akureyri

1.25

Breidablik

1.00

KA Akureyri

0.88

Valur Reykjavik

0.71

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

0.25

Keflavik is 1.19 points better than IBV Vestmannaeyjar in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 0.25).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

KR Reykjavik

3.57

Fram Reykjavik

2.56

Vikingur Reykjavik

2.43

IA Akranes

2.38

Valur Reykjavik

1.86

KA Akureyri

1.75

Stjarnan

1.71

Keflavik

1.67

Breidablik

1.25

FH hafnarfjordur

1.12

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

1.00

Thor Akureyri

0.88

Keflavik is 0.67 goals better than IBV Vestmannaeyjar in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

FH hafnarfjordur

0.88

Vikingur Reykjavik

1.43

Keflavik

1.44

KR Reykjavik

1.71

Breidablik

1.75

Fram Reykjavik

1.78

Thor Akureyri

1.88

IA Akranes

1.88

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

2.12

KA Akureyri

2.38

Valur Reykjavik

2.43

Stjarnan

2.43

Keflavik is 0.68 goals better than IBV Vestmannaeyjar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 2.12).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Keflavik or Draw✓ Hit

74.5%

Avg Implied 67.7% · @ 1.36

Edge

+6.8%

53%

22%

26%

covers Keflavik + Draw

Best 5 market prices

Marathonbet

1.41

1xBet

1.41

Betano

1.40

888Sport

1.40

William Hil

1.40

Keflavik or IBV Vestmannaeyjar✓ Hit

78.2%

Avg Implied 76.9% · @ 1.20

Edge

+1.3%

53%

22%

26%

covers Keflavik + IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.25

Superbet

1.23

William Hil

1.22

888Sport

1.22

Bet365

1.22

Draw or IBV Vestmannaeyjar✗ Miss

47.3%

Avg Implied 55.4% · @ 1.66

Edge

-8.1%

53%

22%

26%

covers Draw + IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Best 5 market prices

SBO

1.71

Unibet

1.70

Betano

1.70

Bet365

1.70

William Hil

1.67

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Keflavik over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

89.3%

@ 1.13+8.2%

Under

10.7%

@ 4.86-8.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.17

888Sport

1.15

Superbet

1.14

Betfair

1.13

Bet365

1.12

Under

Bet365

5.50

Betfair

5.50

1xBet

5.00

Superbet

4.90

888Sport

4.80

Keflavik over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

65.4%

@ 1.69+10.7%

Under

34.6%

@ 2.03-10.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.81

888Sport

1.75

Betano

1.75

Superbet

1.74

Marathonbet

1.72

Under

Bet365

2.20

Unibet

2.18

Betfair

2.10

1xBet

2.08

Marathonbet

2.05

Keflavik over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

38.7%

@ 3.15+9.5%

Under

61.3%

@ 1.30-9.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

3.40

888Sport

3.30

Superbet

3.25

Betano

3.25

Betfair

3.20

Under

Bet365

1.36

Betano

1.31

Marathonbet

1.30

Pinnacle

1.30

Betfair

1.30

Keflavik over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

18.8%

@ 6.60+4.7%

Under

81.2%

@ 1.08-4.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

888Sport

7.50

Marathonbet

6.70

Betfair

6.50

1xBet

6.50

Betano

6.40

Under

Bet365

1.11

Betano

1.09

888Sport

1.08

Betfair

1.08

1xBet

1.05

IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 0.5Actual: Under

Over

78.5%

@ 1.20+2.5%

Under

21.5%

@ 3.82-2.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.24

Marathonbet

1.22

Superbet

1.22

Bet365

1.22

Pinnacle

1.22

Under

Pinnacle

4.05

Betfair

4.00

Bet365

4.00

888Sport

4.00

Superbet

3.90

IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

45.5%

@ 2.02-0.0%

Under

54.5%

@ 1.69+0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.20

Betfair

2.10

Bet365

2.10

Betano

2.07

Superbet

2.05

Under

Marathonbet

1.80

1xBet

1.80

888Sport

1.73

Betano

1.70

Superbet

1.69

IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

20.1%

@ 4.08-2.5%

Under

79.9%

@ 1.19+2.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

4.50

Pinnacle

4.35

Bet365

4.33

Betano

4.25

Superbet

4.15

Under

Betano

1.20

1xBet

1.20

Marathonbet

1.20

Bet365

1.20

Pinnacle

1.20

IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

7.1%

@ 8.92-3.3%

Under

92.9%

@ 1.03+3.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

888Sport

10.00

Betfair

9.50

Bet365

8.50

1xBet

8.50

Marathonbet

8.50

Under

888Sport

1.05

Betano

1.05

Bet365

1.05

Betfair

1.04

1xBet

1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Keflavik, so a minus line means Keflavik give that many goals of a start and IBV Vestmannaeyjar receive them. At -1, Keflavik must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Keflavik win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Keflavik)Actual: IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Keflavik -2

16.8%

@ 6.98+4.0%

Draw -2

15.9%

@ 5.98+1.0%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar +2

67.3%

@ 1.24-5.0%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Betfair

7.50

Marathonbet

6.95

Bet365

6.50

Draw

Bet365

6.00

Betfair

6.00

Marathonbet

5.95

Away

Bet365

1.28

Betfair

1.22

Marathonbet

1.21

Handicap -1 (Keflavik)Actual: Draw

Keflavik -1

32.7%

@ 3.33+6.6%

Draw -1

20.0%

@ 3.98-1.9%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar +1

47.3%

@ 1.67-4.7%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Betfair

3.60

Marathonbet

3.58

Bet365

3.40

Unibet

2.75

Draw

Bet365

4.33

Betfair

4.20

Marathonbet

4.05

Unibet

3.35

Away

Unibet

1.70

Betfair

1.67

Bet365

1.67

Marathonbet

1.65

Handicap +1 (Keflavik)Actual: Keflavik

Keflavik +1

74.5%

@ 1.35+9.7%

Draw +1

13.5%

@ 4.78-4.9%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar -1

12.0%

@ 5.22-4.8%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

1.41

Bet365

1.30

Draw

Bet365

5.00

Marathonbet

4.55

Away

Bet365

5.50

Marathonbet

4.95

Handicap +2 (Keflavik)Actual: Keflavik

Keflavik +2

88.0%

@ 1.10+10.2%

Draw +2

7.5%

@ 6.70-5.3%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar -2

4.5%

@ 9.10-4.9%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

1.11

Bet365

1.10

Draw

Bet365

8.50

Marathonbet

4.90

Away

Bet365

12.00

Marathonbet

6.20

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Keflavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.1

Avg scored

0.8

Avg conceded

0.3

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.97	0.83	1.36	0.79	0.62	0.88
vs Stronger (2)	0.50	1.00	-	-	0.50	1.00
vs Similar (25)	0.96	0.88	1.33	0.83	0.62	0.92
vs Weaker (3)	1.33	0.33	1.50	0.50	1.00	0.00
Clean sheet %	47% (+26pp vs league)

This opponent (IBV Vestmannaeyjar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.5

Avg scored

0.5

Avg conceded

1.0

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.57	0.70	0.41	0.76	0.77	0.62
vs Stronger (11)	0.55	0.55	0.57	0.71	0.50	0.25
vs Similar (19)	0.58	0.79	0.30	0.80	0.89	0.78
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	47% (+26pp vs league)

This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

76.9%

@ 1.22+1.1%

Under 0.5

23.1%

@ 3.83-1.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.28

Bet365

1.25

Superbet

1.24

BetVictor

1.22

William Hil

1.22

Under

Marathonbet

4.15

1xBet

4.15

William Hil

3.90

BetVictor

3.90

Betfair

3.75

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

38.2%

@ 2.08-6.3%

Under 1.5

61.8%

@ 1.67+6.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.22

Pinnacle

2.21

Superbet

2.15

Bet365

2.10

Betfair

2.10

Under

1xBet

1.72

Marathonbet

1.71

Unibet

1.70

Betfair

1.67

Pinnacle

1.67

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

17.4%

@ 4.40-3.6%

Under 2.5

82.6%

@ 1.17+3.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

4.60

Superbet

4.55

Betfair

4.50

Bet365

4.50

Betano

4.45

Under

William Hil

1.18

BetVictor

1.17

Betano

1.17

Betfair

1.17

1xBet

1.17

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Keflavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

60.9%

@ 1.70+6.1%

Under

39.1%

@ 2.06-6.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.75

Pinnacle

1.71

Superbet

1.70

Marathonbet

1.70

1xBet

1.62

Under

1xBet

2.13

Pinnacle

2.12

Superbet

2.05

Marathonbet

2.01

Betano

1.98

Keflavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

17.7%

@ 4.29-3.8%

Under

82.3%

@ 1.18+3.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

4.33

Betano

4.30

1xBet

4.25

Under

Marathonbet

1.18

Betano

1.18

1xBet

1.18

Keflavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

8.2%

@ 9.25-1.8%

Under

91.8%

@ 1.03+1.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

9.25

Under

Betano

1.03

IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

34.9%

@ 1.87-14.8%

Under

65.1%

@ 1.85+14.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.95

Betano

1.93

Superbet

1.90

1xBet

1.78

Marathonbet

1.77

Under

Marathonbet

1.92

1xBet

1.90

Pinnacle

1.83

Superbet

1.80

Betano

1.78

IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

8.2%

@ 5.17-9.7%

Under

91.8%

@ 1.13+9.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

5.30

Marathonbet

5.10

1xBet

5.10

Under

Marathonbet

1.13

1xBet

1.13

Betano

1.12

IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.7%

@ 10.25-8.4%

Under

99.3%

@ 1.02+8.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

10.25

Under

Betano

1.02

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Keflavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.4

Avg scored

1.2

Avg conceded

1.2

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.43	0.93	1.93	0.79	1.00	1.06
vs Stronger (2)	0.50	2.50	-	-	0.50	2.50
vs Similar (25)	1.36	0.84	1.67	0.75	1.08	0.92
vs Weaker (3)	2.67	0.67	3.50	1.00	1.00	0.00
Clean sheet %	40% (+20pp vs league)

This opponent (IBV Vestmannaeyjar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.2

Avg scored

1.0

Avg conceded

1.2

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.83	0.83	1.06	0.71	0.54	1.00
vs Stronger (11)	0.64	0.82	0.86	0.71	0.25	1.00
vs Similar (19)	0.95	0.84	1.20	0.70	0.67	1.00
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	43% (+23pp vs league)

This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under

Over 0.5

83.7%

@ 1.13+1.7%

Under 0.5

16.3%

@ 5.12-1.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.14

Betano

1.14

William Hil

1.14

Bet365

1.14

Marathonbet

1.11

Under

Bet365

5.50

Marathonbet

5.20

1xBet

5.20

William Hil

5.00

Superbet

5.00

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

60.0%

@ 1.68+4.6%

Under 1.5

40.0%

@ 2.09-4.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.70

Marathonbet

1.68

Betano

1.67

1xBet

1.67

Bet365

1.67

Under

1xBet

2.11

Bet365

2.10

William Hil

2.10

Marathonbet

2.09

Betano

2.07

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

25.8%

@ 3.05-4.6%

Under 2.5

74.2%

@ 1.33+4.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

3.25

Superbet

3.15

William Hil

3.10

1xBet

2.94

Marathonbet

2.94

Under

Betano

1.36

William Hil

1.33

Bet365

1.33

1xBet

1.32

Superbet

1.32

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Keflavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

68.6%

@ 1.48+6.0%

Under

31.4%

@ 2.48-6.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.49

1xBet

1.48

Betano

1.47

Under

Betano

2.50

1xBet

2.48

Superbet

2.45

Keflavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

36.0%

@ 3.21+7.2%

Under

64.0%

@ 1.30-7.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

3.34

1xBet

3.20

Betano

3.10

Under

Betano

1.32

1xBet

1.29

Marathonbet

1.28

Keflavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

8.9%

@ 7.75-2.9%

Under

91.1%

@ 1.04+2.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

8.70

Betano

6.80

Under

Betano

1.07

1xBet

1.02

IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

41.8%

@ 1.62-15.3%

Under

58.2%

@ 2.16+15.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.63

1xBet

1.62

Betano

1.62

Under

Betano

2.18

1xBet

2.15

Superbet

2.15

IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

12.6%

@ 3.89-11.2%

Under

87.4%

@ 1.21+11.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

4.00

Marathonbet

3.92

Betano

3.75

Under

Betano

1.23

Marathonbet

1.21

1xBet

1.19

IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

1.7%

@ 8.25-9.5%

Under

98.3%

@ 1.04+9.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

8.25

Under

Betano

1.04

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals	99.3%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+8.4%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	98.3%	1.04	Betano 1.04	-	-	-	-	+9.5%	✓ Hit
Under 7.5	96.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	+3.3%	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	92.9%	1.03	888Sport 1.05	Betano 1.05	Bet365 1.05	Betfair 1.04	1xBet 1.01	+3.3%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals	91.8%	1.13	Marathonbet 1.13	1xBet 1.13	Betano 1.12	-	-	+9.7%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	91.8%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+1.8%	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	91.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	Betano 1.04	1xBet 1.04	-	-	+1.7%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	91.1%	1.04	Betano 1.07	1xBet 1.02	-	-	-	+2.9%	✓ Hit
Over 1.5	89.8%	1.12	Pinnacle 1.16	Betano 1.16	Betfair 1.13	888Sport 1.13	Superbet 1.13	+7.8%	✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals	89.3%	1.13	Betano 1.17	888Sport 1.15	Superbet 1.14	Betfair 1.13	Bet365 1.12	+8.2%	✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap	88.0%	1.10	Marathonbet 1.11	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	+10.2%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals	87.4%	1.21	Betano 1.23	Marathonbet 1.21	1xBet 1.19	-	-	+11.2%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals	83.7%	1.13	Superbet 1.14	Betano 1.14	William Hil 1.14	Bet365 1.14	Marathonbet 1.11	+1.7%	✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals	82.6%	1.17	William Hil 1.18	BetVictor 1.17	Betano 1.17	Betfair 1.17	1xBet 1.17	+3.6%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals	82.3%	1.18	Marathonbet 1.18	Betano 1.18	1xBet 1.18	-	-	+3.8%	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	81.9%	1.09	Bet365 1.12	Betano 1.11	Pinnacle 1.10	888Sport 1.10	Betfair 1.10	-2.5%	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	81.2%	1.08	Bet365 1.11	Betano 1.09	888Sport 1.08	Betfair 1.08	1xBet 1.05	-4.7%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	79.9%	1.19	Betano 1.20	1xBet 1.20	Marathonbet 1.20	Bet365 1.20	Pinnacle 1.20	+2.5%	✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals	78.5%	1.20	Betano 1.24	Marathonbet 1.22	Superbet 1.22	Bet365 1.22	Pinnacle 1.22	+2.5%	✗ Miss
Home or Away	78.2%	1.20	Betano 1.25	Superbet 1.23	William Hil 1.22	888Sport 1.22	Bet365 1.22	+1.3%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals	76.9%	1.22	Betano 1.28	Bet365 1.25	Superbet 1.24	BetVictor 1.22	William Hil 1.22	+1.1%	✓ Hit
Home or Draw	74.5%	1.36	Marathonbet 1.41	1xBet 1.41	Betano 1.40	888Sport 1.40	William Hil 1.40	+6.8%	✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap	74.5%	1.35	Marathonbet 1.41	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	+9.7%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals	74.2%	1.33	Betano 1.36	William Hil 1.33	Bet365 1.33	1xBet 1.32	Superbet 1.32	+4.6%	✓ Hit
Over 2.5	72.7%	1.43	Pinnacle 1.52	Betano 1.50	Superbet 1.48	Betfair 1.44	Bet365 1.44	+8.7%	✗ Miss
BTTS Yes	70.9%	1.41	Superbet 1.45	Bet365 1.44	Betano 1.44	888Sport 1.44	William Hil 1.44	+5.9%	✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

VR (26)

€5m

BRE (19)

€3m

VR (22)

€3m

STJ (22)

€3m

KR (18)

€3m

FR (19)

€2m

KA (22)

€2m

IA (19)

€2m

FH (21)

€2m

IV (18)

€2m

TA (21)

€2m

KEF (18)

€1m

Keflavik and IBV Vestmannaeyjar have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

VR (12)

€3m

VR (7)

€1m

KR (9)

€1m

BRE (6)

€1m

STJ (4)

€1m

KA (9)

€1m

TA (7)

€1m

FR (6)

€1m

KEF (6)

€1m

IA (6)

€1m

FH (8)

€0m

IV (6)

€0m

Keflavik and IBV Vestmannaeyjar have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BRE (4)

€1m

VR (4)

€1m

STJ (6)

€1m

IV (6)

€1m

VR (5)

€1m

KR (2)

€1m

FR (4)

€1m

KA (5)

€0m

TA (4)

€0m

IA (3)

€0m

FH (2)

€0m

KEF (5)

€0m

Keflavik and IBV Vestmannaeyjar have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

VR (10)

€2m

BRE (9)

€1m

STJ (12)

€1m

FR (9)

€1m

IA (10)

€1m

VR (10)

€1m

FH (11)

€1m

KR (7)

€1m

IV (6)

€1m

KA (8)

€1m

KEF (7)

€1m

TA (10)

€1m

Keflavik and IBV Vestmannaeyjar have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings

KEF wins

Draws

IV wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Keflavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar · H/A from KEF

Date	H/A	Game	Score
15/02/25	H	KEF Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1-0
30/08/24	H	KEF Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar	3-2
30/06/24	A	IBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs KEF	5-0
07/10/23	A	IBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs KEF	1-1
16/07/23	A	IBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs KEF	1-1
29/04/23	H	KEF Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1-3
10/10/22	A	IBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs KEF	2-1
30/07/22	A	IBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs KEF	2-2

Keflavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
15/08/26	A	Thor Akureyri Vs KEF	0-2
09/08/26	A	Stjarnan Vs KEF	1-0
05/08/26	H	KEF Vs KA Akureyri	3-0
24/07/26	A	Vikingur Reykjavik Vs KEF	5-1
20/07/26	H	KEF Vs IA Akranes	5-2
13/07/26	A	Breidablik Vs KEF	2-1
06/07/26	H	KEF Vs Fram Reykjavik	1-1
06/04/26	A	Grindavik Vs KEF	0-0
06/03/26	H	KEF Vs Fram Reykjavik	4-3
27/02/26	H	KEF Vs Ægir	3-1

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
16/08/26	H	IV Vs IA Akranes	1-3
09/08/26	A	Vikingur Reykjavik Vs IV	2-2
01/08/26	H	IV Vs Fram Reykjavik	1-2
27/07/26	A	Breidablik Vs IV	1-0
19/07/26	H	IV Vs KA Akureyri	2-2
12/07/26	A	KR Reykjavik Vs IV	5-2
04/04/26	H	IV Vs Throttur Reykjavik	2-2
11/03/26	A	Fylkir Vs IV	4-2
12/02/26	A	FH hafnarfjordur Vs IV	0-0
08/02/26	H	IV Vs Leiknir R.	3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Keflavik

Iceland: Úrvalsdeild

Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WLWLW	1.76
Home	WWDWW	2.07
Away	DLLLW	1.39

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	54%	63%	43%
AVG goals	4.00	4.19	3.78
Over 1.5 %	86%	81%	91%
Over 2.5 %	74%	74%	74%
Over 3.5 %	56%	56%	57%
Scored	2.40	2.81	1.91
Conceded	1.60	1.37	1.87
BTTS	60%	56%	65%
Clean Sheet	26%	33%	17%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Iceland: Úrvalsdeild

Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DLLDL	1.14
Home	WDDLL	1.46
Away	DLLLD	0.85

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	42%	19%
AVG goals	3.22	3.04	3.38
Over 1.5 %	82%	83%	81%
Over 2.5 %	58%	62%	54%
Over 3.5 %	40%	38%	42%
Scored	1.56	1.71	1.42
Conceded	1.66	1.33	1.96
BTTS	58%	58%	58%
Clean Sheet	20%	25%	15%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Fram Reykjavik	9	18	56%	2.0	23	16	+7	4.3	89%	78%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	1	1	2.6	1.8	-
2	KR Reykjavik	7	15	57%	2.1	25	12	+13	5.3	100%	71%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	3.6	1.7	-
3	Keflavik	9	13	44%	1.4	15	13	+2	3.1	78%	56%	22%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	1	0	1	1.7	1.4	-
4	FH hafnarfjordur	8	13	38%	1.6	9	7	+2	2.0	62%	25%	12%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	0	0	1	1.1	0.9	-
5	Vikingur Reykjavik	7	12	43%	1.7	17	10	+7	3.9	100%	71%	57%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	3	1	2	2.4	1.4	-
6	IA Akranes	8	12	38%	1.5	19	15	+4	4.2	100%	75%	75%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	2.4	1.9	-
7	Stjarnan	7	12	57%	1.7	12	17	-5	4.1	86%	71%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.7	2.4	-
8	Thor Akureyri	8	10	38%	1.2	7	15	-8	2.8	62%	38%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	0.9	1.9	-
9	Breidablik	8	8	25%	1.0	10	14	-4	3.0	62%	50%	38%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.2	1.8	-
10	KA Akureyri	8	7	12%	0.9	14	19	-5	4.1	75%	75%	62%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	1.8	2.4	-
11	Valur Reykjavik	7	5	14%	0.7	13	17	-4	4.3	100%	71%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.9	2.4	-
12	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	8	2	0%	0.2	8	17	-9	3.1	62%	62%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	0	1	1	1.0	2.1	-

Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

← all matches

Keflavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Keflavik

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Keflavik

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Keflavik

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Keflavik

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature