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Keflavik vs Valur Reykjavik Prediction & Stats

Date: 05/09/2026
Time: 16:30
Keflavik
Keflavik
Vs
46%
24%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Valur Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Keflavik, fresh from a 1-2 loss to FH hafnarfjordur, are poised to rebound as the home side, while Valur Reykjavik, having drawn 2-2 with IA Akranes, look to maintain their defensive solidity. The model’s most confident outcome is a home win, with a 46% chance, compared with a 24% draw and a 30% away victory. The average goal tally is 3.4, centring on a 3-goal total that carries a 22% probability, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 10.5% event. Keflavik’s home form shows they average 2.83 goals scored and 1.42 conceded against similar opposition, whereas Valur Reykjavik’s away record yields 1.25 goals scored and 2.38 conceded. Suggested selections include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.8% with a 9% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals 98.0% (12% edge), Under 7.5 97.7% (8% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals 95.5% (7% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals 94.5% (11% edge), Under 6.5 94.2% (9% edge), Away under 3.5 goals 93.3% (8% edge), and Away under 1.5 HT goals 92.5% (14% edge).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik win
45.7%
Avg Implied 44.0% · @ 2.06
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.12
Dafabet
2.12
Pinnacle
2.11
1xBet
2.11
10Bet
2.10
Draw
24.2%
Avg Implied 23.6% · @ 3.84
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Pinnacle
3.96
Betano
3.95
10Bet
3.95
Valur Reykjavik win
30.1%
Avg Implied 32.3% · @ 2.81
Edge
-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.93
1xBet
2.91
Marathonbet
2.90
Unibet
2.88
Dafabet
2.85

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KeflavikKeflavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D11D12L52W15L30W01L20W10W12LA·GRI06/04H·FRA06/07A·BRE13/07H·IA 20/07A·VIK24/07H·KA 05/08A·STJ09/08A·THO15/08H·IBV23/08A·FH 30/08
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.331.673.141.431.621.88
vs Stronger (2)1.003.50--1.003.50
vs Similar (25)2.241.602.831.421.691.77
vs Weaker (3)4.001.005.001.502.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Valur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L23L22D23L02L31W05L44D02L22DA·FH 12/07H·FRA18/07A·ZRI30/07H·STJ03/08H·FC 06/08A·BRE09/08A·FC 13/08H·KA 17/08A·VIK23/08H·IA 30/08
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.632.232.191.941.002.57
vs Stronger (3)0.673.000.002.001.003.50
vs Similar (18)1.892.172.402.001.252.38
vs Weaker (9)1.442.112.201.800.502.50
Clean sheet %7% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
86.3%
@ 1.06+0.3%
Under 1.5
13.7%
@ 6.48-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.08
Betano
1.08
Betfair
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
Under
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.65
1xBet
6.65
Betano
6.40
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66.0%
@ 1.28-5.3%
Under 2.5
34.0%
@ 3.19+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Under
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.40
Betano
3.35
10Bet
3.30
Pinnacle
3.26
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
44.2%
@ 1.74-8.8%
Under 3.5
55.8%
@ 1.96+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.80
Unibet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
Marathonbet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
Under
Betano
2.07
Betfair
2.05
Pinnacle
2.01
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
2.00
Both teams to score
Yes
67.1%
@ 1.28-4.4%
No
32.9%
@ 3.21+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
No
Bet365
3.40
Betano
3.35
1xBet
3.32
Betfair
3.25
William Hil
3.25

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%@ 8.93+5.4%
2-1
9.0%@ 9.38+4.1%
1-2
7.2%@ 11.16+3.1%
2-2
6.8%@ 9.39+1.9%
2-0
5.9%@ 15.66+3.0%
3-1
5.7%@ 13.22+2.2%
1-0
5.3%@ 16.00+2.5%
0-0
4.3%@ 25.50+2.5%
Keflavik goals ↓
Valur Reykjavik goals →
01234
04.3%4.1%3.8%1.9%0.7%
15.3%10%7.2%3.6%1.4%
25.9%9.0%6.8%3.4%1.3%
33.7%5.7%4.3%2.2%0.8%
41.8%2.7%2.0%1.0%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Keflavik goals (down), columns = Valur Reykjavik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
KR Reykjavik
2.14
Fram Reykjavik
2.00
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.71
Stjarnan
1.71
FH hafnarfjordur
1.62
IA Akranes
1.50
Keflavik
1.44
Thor Akureyri
1.25
Breidablik
1.00
KA Akureyri
0.88
Valur Reykjavik
0.71
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0.25
Keflavik is 0.73 points better than Valur Reykjavik in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 0.71).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
KR Reykjavik
3.57
Fram Reykjavik
2.56
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.43
IA Akranes
2.38
Valur Reykjavik
1.86
KA Akureyri
1.75
Stjarnan
1.71
Keflavik
1.67
Breidablik
1.25
FH hafnarfjordur
1.12
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.00
Thor Akureyri
0.88
Keflavik is 0.19 goals worse than Valur Reykjavik in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.86).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FH hafnarfjordur
0.88
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.43
Keflavik
1.44
KR Reykjavik
1.71
Breidablik
1.75
Fram Reykjavik
1.78
Thor Akureyri
1.88
IA Akranes
1.88
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2.12
KA Akureyri
2.38
Valur Reykjavik
2.43
Stjarnan
2.43
Keflavik is 0.98 goals better than Valur Reykjavik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 2.43).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Keflavik or Draw
69.9%
Avg Implied 67.7% · @ 1.36
Edge
+2.2%
46%
24%
30%
covers Keflavik + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.36
William Hil
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Keflavik or Valur Reykjavik
75.8%
Avg Implied 77.1% · @ 1.19
Edge
-1.2%
46%
24%
30%
covers Keflavik + Valur Reykjavik
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Draw or Valur Reykjavik
54.3%
Avg Implied 55.2% · @ 1.66
Edge
-0.9%
46%
24%
30%
covers Draw + Valur Reykjavik
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.72
William Hil
1.70
1xBet
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Betfair
1.67

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Keflavik over/under 0.5
Over
84.9%
@ 1.09+1.1%
Under
15.1%
@ 5.62-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
BetVictor
1.08
Under
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.25
Betano
6.00
10Bet
5.75
BetVictor
3.60
Keflavik over/under 1.5
Over
56.3%
@ 1.51-4.2%
Under
43.7%
@ 2.31+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.57
1xBet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Under
Betano
2.45
1xBet
2.38
Marathonbet
2.38
Bet365
2.38
Pinnacle
2.33
Keflavik over/under 2.5
Over
29.3%
@ 2.56-6.4%
Under
70.7%
@ 1.42+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.74
Bet365
2.62
Marathonbet
2.62
1xBet
2.62
Betano
2.55
Under
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.40
Keflavik over/under 3.5
Over
12.3%
@ 5.00-6.1%
Under
87.7%
@ 1.13+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.10
1xBet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.80
Under
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
Valur Reykjavik over/under 0.5
Over
78.0%
@ 1.14-1.7%
Under
22.0%
@ 4.44+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
BetVictor
1.09
Under
Betano
4.90
1xBet
4.80
10Bet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
BetVictor
3.50
Valur Reykjavik over/under 1.5
Over
44.6%
@ 1.76-7.2%
Under
55.4%
@ 1.90+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.86
Unibet
1.81
1xBet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Under
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
1.95
1xBet
1.95
10Bet
1.93
Bet365
1.91
Valur Reykjavik over/under 2.5
Over
19.4%
@ 3.31-8.2%
Under
80.6%
@ 1.26+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.58
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.40
1xBet
3.40
Betano
3.20
Under
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
Valur Reykjavik over/under 3.5
Over
6.7%
@ 6.88-6.7%
Under
93.3%
@ 1.06+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.10
1xBet
7.10
Bet365
7.00
Betano
6.30
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Keflavik, so a minus line means Keflavik give that many goals of a start and Valur Reykjavik receive them. At -1, Keflavik must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Keflavik win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Keflavik)
Keflavik -2
11.8%
@ 6.25-2.4%
Draw -2
14.1%
@ 5.97-0.8%
Valur Reykjavik +2
74.1%
@ 1.25+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.00
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
Away
Marathonbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Handicap -1 (Keflavik)
Keflavik -1
25.9%
@ 3.30-0.6%
Draw -1
19.8%
@ 4.18-1.1%
Valur Reykjavik +1
54.3%
@ 1.66+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.28
Unibet
2.80
Draw
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.30
10Bet
4.20
Unibet
3.40
Away
10Bet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Unibet
1.65
Bet365
1.62
Handicap +1 (Keflavik)
Keflavik +1
69.9%
@ 1.33+5.5%
Draw +1
15.7%
@ 4.83-2.0%
Valur Reykjavik -1
14.5%
@ 4.73-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.36
Bet365
1.33
Unibet
1.29
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.00
Unibet
4.00
Away
Marathonbet
4.95
Bet365
4.75
Unibet
4.50
Handicap +2 (Keflavik)
Keflavik +2
85.5%
@ 1.11+6.1%
Draw +2
9.0%
@ 7.90-2.2%
Valur Reykjavik -2
5.5%
@ 9.40-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.80
Away
Bet365
9.50
Marathonbet
9.30

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KeflavikKeflavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W20W02L30W00D10W10W11DA·GRI06/04H·FRA06/07A·BRE13/07H·IA 20/07A·VIK24/07H·KA 05/08A·STJ09/08A·THO15/08H·IBV23/08A·FH 30/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.801.290.640.690.94
vs Stronger (2)0.501.00--0.501.00
vs Similar (25)0.960.841.250.670.691.00
vs Weaker (3)1.330.331.500.501.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Valur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D13L21W11D01L10W02L13L00D01LA·FH 12/07H·FRA18/07A·ZRI30/07H·STJ03/08H·FC 06/08A·BRE09/08A·FC 13/08H·KA 17/08A·VIK23/08H·IA 30/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.100.751.190.571.00
vs Stronger (3)0.671.330.001.001.001.50
vs Similar (18)0.611.110.601.200.621.00
vs Weaker (9)0.781.001.201.200.250.75
Clean sheet %33% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
67.3%
@ 1.17-12.1%
Under 0.5
32.7%
@ 4.49+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Under
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
4.75
William Hil
4.60
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
33.9%
@ 1.84-16.5%
Under 1.5
66.1%
@ 1.87+16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Pinnacle
1.87
Marathonbet
1.85
William Hil
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Under
Betfair
1.91
10Bet
1.91
Pinnacle
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
12.9%
@ 3.58-12.9%
Under 2.5
87.1%
@ 1.25+12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.70
William Hil
3.60
Marathonbet
3.52
1xBet
3.52
Under
Betano
1.26
Betfair
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Keflavik over/under 0.5 HT
Over
54.7%
@ 1.56-4.9%
Under
45.3%
@ 2.29+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.55
Under
Pinnacle
2.36
1xBet
2.26
Betano
2.25
Keflavik over/under 1.5 HT
Over
17.5%
@ 3.66-7.7%
Under
82.5%
@ 1.24+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.72
Marathonbet
3.72
Betano
3.55
Under
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
Keflavik over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.1%
@ 8.75-6.4%
Under
95.9%
@ 1.03+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.60
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
Valur Reykjavik over/under 0.5 HT
Over
35.1%
@ 1.73-18.6%
Under
64.9%
@ 2.00+18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.74
1xBet
1.72
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Under
Pinnacle
2.02
Betano
2.00
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.98
Valur Reykjavik over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.1%
@ 4.55-13.3%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.16+13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.70
Betano
4.25
Under
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Valur Reykjavik over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.1%
@ 9.25-8.9%
Under
98.9%
@ 1.03+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.03

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KeflavikKeflavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D02L32W13L00D01L10W00D01LA·GRI06/04H·FRA06/07A·BRE13/07H·IA 20/07A·VIK24/07H·KA 05/08A·STJ09/08A·THO15/08H·IBV23/08A·FH 30/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.871.860.790.940.94
vs Stronger (2)0.502.50--0.502.50
vs Similar (25)1.280.761.580.751.000.77
vs Weaker (3)2.670.673.501.001.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Valur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W01L12L01L21W03L31W02L21WA·FH 12/07H·FRA18/07A·ZRI30/07H·STJ03/08H·FC 06/08A·BRE09/08A·FC 13/08H·KA 17/08A·VIK23/08H·IA 30/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.131.440.750.431.57
vs Stronger (3)0.001.670.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (18)1.281.061.800.800.621.38
vs Weaker (9)0.671.111.000.600.251.75
Clean sheet %27% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.9%
@ 1.09-8.1%
Under 0.5
22.1%
@ 6.72+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Under
1xBet
7.30
Bet365
7.00
William Hil
6.50
Betano
6.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
46.9%
@ 1.49-15.5%
Under 1.5
53.1%
@ 2.46+15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49
1xBet
1.49
Under
Betano
2.60
Bet365
2.50
William Hil
2.45
Marathonbet
2.41
1xBet
2.41
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.8%
@ 2.44-18.1%
Under 2.5
80.2%
@ 1.49+18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
William Hil
2.50
1xBet
2.47
Marathonbet
2.47
Betano
2.27
Under
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.47
1xBet
1.47
William Hil
1.44

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Keflavik over/under 0.5 2H
Over
59.8%
@ 1.36-8.3%
Under
40.2%
@ 2.90+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.37
Betano
1.35
Under
Betano
2.95
1xBet
2.85
Keflavik over/under 1.5 2H
Over
21.0%
@ 2.67-13.6%
Under
79.0%
@ 1.41+13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.76
1xBet
2.70
Betano
2.55
Under
Betano
1.45
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.39
Keflavik over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.9%
@ 6.10-9.2%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.08+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.70
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.06
Valur Reykjavik over/under 0.5 2H
Over
43.9%
@ 1.47-19.0%
Under
56.1%
@ 2.50+19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.49
Betano
1.45
Under
Betano
2.55
1xBet
2.44
Valur Reykjavik over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.1%
@ 3.23-17.4%
Under
88.9%
@ 1.29+17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.40
1xBet
3.30
Betano
3.00
Under
Betano
1.34
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Valur Reykjavik over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.3%
@ 7.75-9.6%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.04+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.80
Betano
6.70
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.02

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.9%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+8.9%
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.7%1.04
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.02
---+9.6%
Under 7.597.7%1.03
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
--+7.1%
Home under 2.5 HT goals95.9%1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
---+6.4%
Under 6.594.2%1.08
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
--+7.5%
Home under 2.5 2H goals94.1%1.08
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.06
---+9.2%
Away under 3.5 goals93.3%1.06
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-+6.7%
Away under 1.5 HT goals92.9%1.16
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
--+13.3%
Away under 1.5 2H goals88.9%1.29
Betano
1.34
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
--+17.4%
Home under 3.5 goals87.7%1.13
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
-+6.1%
Under 2.5 HT goals87.1%1.25
Betano
1.26
Betfair
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+12.9%
Under 5.587.1%1.17
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
+9.1%
Over 1.586.3%1.06
Bet365
1.08
Betano
1.08
Betfair
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
+0.3%
Home +2 handicap85.5%1.11
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
---+6.1%
Home over 0.5 goals84.9%1.09
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
BetVictor
1.08
+1.1%
Home under 1.5 HT goals82.5%1.24
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
--+7.7%
Away under 2.5 goals80.6%1.26
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
+8.2%
Under 2.5 2H goals80.2%1.49
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.47
1xBet
1.47
William Hil
1.44
+18.1%
Home under 1.5 2H goals79.0%1.41
Betano
1.45
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.39
--+13.6%
Away over 0.5 goals78.0%1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
BetVictor
1.09
-1.7%
Over 0.5 2H goals77.9%1.09
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.06
--8.1%
Home or Away75.8%1.19
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-1.2%
Under 4.574.4%1.41
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.44
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.42
1xBet
1.40
+9.4%
Away +2 handicap74.1%1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
---+3.1%
Home under 2.5 goals70.7%1.42
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.40
+6.4%

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
IV (18)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
Keflavik's squad is €2m less valuable than Valur Reykjavik's (€1m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
TA (7)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
Keflavik and Valur Reykjavik have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
Keflavik and Valur Reykjavik have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
KEF (7)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
Keflavik and Valur Reykjavik have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
KEF wins
3
Draws
1
VR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Keflavik vs Valur Reykjavik · H/A from KEF
DateH/AGameScore
09/06/24HKEF Vs Valur Reykjavik2-2
13/08/23HKEF Vs Valur Reykjavik1-1
21/05/23AValur Reykjavik Vs KEF0-0
11/07/22AValur Reykjavik Vs KEF0-3
24/04/22HKEF Vs Valur Reykjavik0-1

KeflavikKeflavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26AFH hafnarfjordur Vs KEF2-1
23/08/26HKEF Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar1-0
15/08/26AThor Akureyri Vs KEF0-2
09/08/26AStjarnan Vs KEF1-0
05/08/26HKEF Vs KA Akureyri3-0
24/07/26AVikingur Reykjavik Vs KEF5-1
20/07/26HKEF Vs IA Akranes5-2
13/07/26ABreidablik Vs KEF2-1
06/07/26HKEF Vs Fram Reykjavik1-1
06/04/26AGrindavik Vs KEF0-0

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HVR Vs IA Akranes2-2
23/08/26AVikingur Reykjavik Vs VR2-0
17/08/26HVR Vs KA Akureyri4-4
13/08/26AFC Nordsjaelland Vs VR5-0
09/08/26ABreidablik Vs VR1-3
06/08/26HVR Vs FC Nordsjaelland0-2
03/08/26HVR Vs Stjarnan2-3
30/07/26AZrinjski Vs VR2-2
18/07/26HVR Vs Fram Reykjavik2-3
12/07/26AFH hafnarfjordur Vs VR2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Keflavik
Keflavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWL1.76
HomeWDWWW2.19
AwayLLLWL1.26
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%67%39%
AVG goals3.884.043.70
Over 1.5 %84%78%91%
Over 2.5 %72%70%74%
Over 3.5 %52%52%52%
Scored2.322.781.78
Conceded1.561.261.91
BTTS58%52%65%
Clean Sheet28%37%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Valur Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLD1.50
HomeLLLDD1.88
AwayLDWLL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%56%32%
AVG goals3.824.083.56
Over 1.5 %96%96%96%
Over 2.5 %74%80%68%
Over 3.5 %48%52%44%
Scored2.022.561.48
Conceded1.801.522.08
BTTS70%76%64%
Clean Sheet14%16%12%
Corners12.0012.0012.00
Cards2.502.003.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik918
56%
2.0
2316+7
4.3
89%
78%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.61.8
-
2KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik715
57%
2.1
2512+13
5.3
100%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1113.61.7
-
3KeflavikKeflavik913
44%
1.4
1513+2
3.1
78%
56%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.71.4
-
4FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur813
38%
1.6
97+2
2.0
62%
25%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.10.9
-
5Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik712
43%
1.7
1710+7
3.9
100%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.41.4
-
6IA AkranesIA Akranes812
38%
1.5
1915+4
4.2
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.41.9
-
7StjarnanStjarnan712
57%
1.7
1217-5
4.1
86%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.72.4
-
8Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri810
38%
1.2
715-8
2.8
62%
38%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.9
-
9BreidablikBreidablik88
25%
1.0
1014-4
3.0
62%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.8
-
10KA AkureyriKA Akureyri87
12%
0.9
1419-5
4.1
75%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.82.4
-
11Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik75
14%
0.7
1317-4
4.3
100%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.92.4
-
12IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar82
0%
0.2
817-9
3.1
62%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.02.1
-
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

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