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KEK-u vs Vëllaznimi Result & Analysis

Date: 16/05/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 2-3
KEK-u
KEK-u
Vs
19%
26%
54%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Vëllaznimi
Vëllaznimi
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives KEK-u a 19% win probability against Vëllaznimi in the Kosovo: Liga E Pare on 2026-05-16, with 26% for the draw and 54% for Vëllaznimi. The model estimates around 2.6 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (26%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (12.5%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (75%), Under 3.5 (73%).

Results analysis

KEK-u finished 2-3 against Vëllaznimi (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 19% home win, 26% draw and 54% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (75%). Missed: Under 3.5 (73%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KEK-u win✗ Miss
19.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi win✓ Hit
54.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KEK-uKEK-u

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D01L11D03L02L12L11D15L13L24LA·TEF07/03H·VJO14/03H·TRE22/03A·VUS29/03H·FER04/04A·2 K11/04H·IST18/04A·PRI26/04H·TRE02/05A·RAM09/05
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.930.931.600.472.27
vs Stronger (24)0.621.790.831.750.421.83
vs Similar (6)1.002.501.331.000.674.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Vëllaznimi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VëllaznimiVëllaznimi

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D01L20W31W21W11D10W21W31WH·RAM08/03A·TRE15/03A·FC 22/03H·KIK29/03A·SUH05/04H·DIN11/04A·RIL19/04H·LIR25/04A·TEF02/05H·VJO09/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.600.831.730.531.471.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)1.501.502.001.001.002.00
vs Weaker (28)1.610.791.710.501.501.07
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (KEK-u) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%017%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.1%
Under 1.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.1%
Under 2.5
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.2%
Under 3.5
72.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.8%
No
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
0-1
11.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-0
5.5%
1-3
5.5%
KEK-u goals ↓
Vëllaznimi goals →
01234
08.3%11%10%5.9%2.5%
15.5%13%9.7%5.5%2.3%
23.1%5.3%4.5%2.6%1.1%
31.0%1.7%1.4%0.8%0.3%
40.2%0.4%0.3%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = KEK-u goals (down), columns = Vëllaznimi goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vushtrria
2.21
Feronikeli
2.18
Liria Prizren
2.09
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Trepça'89
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Istogu
0.94
KEK-u
0.64
Prizreni
0.59
KEK-u is 1.42 points worse than Vëllaznimi in terms of average points per game (0.64 vs 2.06).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Vushtrria
1.82
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Liria Prizren
1.76
Suhareka
1.76
Feronikeli
1.74
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Prizreni
0.82
KEK-u
0.76
Kika
0.74
KEK-u is 0.95 goals worse than Vëllaznimi in terms of goals scored per game (0.76 vs 1.71).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Feronikeli
0.65
Vushtrria
0.76
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Liria Prizren
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
KEK-u
1.91
Prizreni
1.94
KEK-u is 0.97 goals worse than Vëllaznimi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.91 vs 0.94).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.8%-------✗ Miss

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (27)
€2m
VUS (19)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUS (0)
€0m
FER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUS (0)
€0m
FER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUS (0)
€0m
FER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

KEK-u vs Vëllaznimi · H/A from KEK
DateH/AGameScore
08/11/25AVëllaznimi Vs KEK1-0

KEK-uKEK-u

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26ARamiz Sadiku Vs KEK4-2
02/05/26HKEK Vs Trepça Mitrovicë1-3
26/04/26APrizreni Vs KEK5-1
18/04/26HKEK Vs Istogu1-1
11/04/26A2 Korriku Vs KEK2-1
04/04/26HKEK Vs Feronikeli0-2
29/03/26AVushtrria Vs KEK3-0
22/03/26HKEK Vs Trepça'891-1
14/03/26HKEK Vs Vjosa0-1
07/03/26ATefik Canga Vs KEK1-1

VëllaznimiVëllaznimi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26HVËL Vs Vjosa3-1
02/05/26ATefik Canga Vs VËL1-2
25/04/26HVËL Vs Liria Prizren1-0
19/04/26ARilindja 1974 Vs VËL1-1
11/04/26HVËL Vs Dinamo Ferizaj2-1
05/04/26ASuhareka Vs VËL1-3
29/03/26HVËL Vs Kika2-0
22/03/26AFC Besa Peja Vs VËL1-0
15/03/26ATrepça'89 Vs VËL0-0
08/03/26HVËL Vs Ramiz Sadiku1-0

📊 12. Overall Statistics

KEK-u
KEK-u
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 0 Wins / 3 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL0.66
HomeLDLDL1.06
AwayDLLLL0.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %12%25%0%
AVG goals2.592.502.69
Over 1.5 %78%81%75%
Over 2.5 %50%50%50%
Over 3.5 %19%19%19%
Scored0.721.000.44
Conceded1.881.502.25
BTTS50%62%38%
Clean Sheet12%12%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Vëllaznimi
Vëllaznimi
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWW2.09
HomeWWWWW2.50
AwayDLWDW1.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%75%50%
AVG goals2.532.502.56
Over 1.5 %69%69%69%
Over 2.5 %50%50%50%
Over 3.5 %28%25%31%
Scored1.691.881.50
Conceded0.840.621.06
BTTS53%50%56%
Clean Sheet38%50%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VushtrriaVushtrria3475
65%
2.2
6226+36
2.6
74%
50%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.8
-
2FeronikeliFeronikeli3474
65%
2.2
5922+37
2.4
71%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.70.6
-
3Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren3471
62%
2.1
6029+31
2.6
65%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.9
-
4Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj3471
65%
2.1
6139+22
2.9
74%
53%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.1
-
5TrepçaTrepça'893470
59%
2.1
7233+39
3.1
82%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.0
-
6VëllaznimiVëllaznimi3470
62%
2.1
5832+26
2.6
71%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.9
-
7Ramiz SadikuRamiz Sadiku3450
41%
1.5
3929+10
2.0
59%
32%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.9
-
8SuharekaSuhareka3444
38%
1.3
6061-1
3.6
82%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
9Tefik CangaTefik Canga3440
35%
1.2
4854-6
3.0
79%
56%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
102 Korriku2 Korriku3439
32%
1.1
5264-12
3.4
91%
68%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.9
-
11FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja3335
27%
1.1
3952-13
2.8
70%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
12VjosaVjosa3435
26%
1.0
3961-22
2.9
76%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
13Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë3434
26%
1.0
4962-13
3.3
85%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
14KikaKika3433
26%
1.0
2543-18
2.0
59%
29%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
15IstoguIstogu3432
21%
0.9
4760-13
3.1
74%
50%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
16Rilindja 1974Rilindja 19743432
24%
0.9
3461-27
2.8
82%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
17KEK-uKEK-u3321
12%
0.6
2563-38
2.7
79%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
18PrizreniPrizreni3420
9%
0.6
2866-38
2.8
79%
53%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →

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