Kelty Hearts enter the match on a shaky patch, having lost their last game 0-2 to Stranraer, while Annan Athletic arrive after a 2-0 victory over Dumbarton. The model sees a 42% chance of a home win, 29% for a draw and 29% for an away win, making a Kelty Hearts win the favourite outcome. The expected total of 2.5 goals points to a modestly low-scoring affair, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1 at 14% probability. Kelty Hearts, playing at home against a weaker side, average 1.5 goals scored and 1.25 conceded, whereas Annan Athletic, facing a stronger opponent away, average 1.17 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Under 6.5 (98.6% with a 7% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.3% with a 6% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.2% with a 6% edge), Under 5.5 (95.9% with an 8% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (95.7% with a 6% edge) and Home under 3.5 goals (94.9% with an 8% edge).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Kelty Hearts win
41.5%
Avg Implied 44.7% · @ 2.05
Edge
-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.12
Dafabet
2.11
Bet365
2.10
William Hil
2.10
Pinnacle
2.07
Draw
29.3%
Avg Implied 24.8% · @ 3.69
Edge
+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.00
Marathonbet
3.78
Dafabet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
1xBet
3.74
Annan Athletic win
29.1%
Avg Implied 30.5% · @ 3.00
Edge
-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.30
Unibet
3.10
Bet365
3.00
Betano
3.00
1xBet
2.99
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Kelty Hearts
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.57
1.14
1.43
0.81
1.69
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (20)
1.10
1.60
1.00
1.50
1.20
1.70
vs Weaker (9)
0.78
1.33
1.50
1.25
0.20
1.40
Clean sheet %
13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Annan Athletic
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
2.00
1.47
1.93
0.93
2.07
vs Stronger (12)
1.17
2.92
1.17
3.33
1.17
2.50
vs Similar (10)
1.40
1.30
2.00
0.80
0.80
1.80
vs Weaker (8)
1.00
1.50
1.25
1.25
0.75
1.75
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
72.3%
@ 1.20-4.6%
Under 1.5
27.7%
@ 3.99+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Under
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.92
1xBet
3.82
Betano
3.70
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
45.3%
@ 1.67-10.3%
Under 2.5
54.7%
@ 2.09+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.72
Bet365
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Betfair
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
Under
Pinnacle
2.15
Betfair
2.15
Bet365
2.10
Marathonbet
2.09
Unibet
2.07
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
24.0%
@ 2.65-10.8%
Under 3.5
76.0%
@ 1.41+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.70
Betfair
2.70
Pinnacle
2.68
Betano
2.67
Bet365
2.62
Under
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
Betano
1.42
Unibet
1.41
Both teams to score
Yes
51.4%
@ 1.60-6.5%
No
48.6%
@ 2.20+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.60
Betfair
1.60
1xBet
1.59
No
Betfair
2.30
Bet365
2.20
William Hil
2.20
1xBet
2.19
Marathonbet
2.17
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%@ 6.96+7.4%
1-0
10.1%@ 8.72+4.9%
0-0
9.6%@ 12.67+6.0%
2-1
8.7%@ 8.43+3.3%
0-1
8.0%@ 10.83+3.8%
2-0
7.8%@ 10.48+3.5%
1-2
7.1%@ 10.68+2.8%
0-2
5.2%@ 16.04+2.3%
Kelty Hearts goals ↓
Annan Athletic goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.6%
8.0%
5.2%
1.9%
0.5%
1
10%
14%
7.1%
2.6%
0.7%
2
7.8%
8.7%
4.9%
1.8%
0.5%
3
3.6%
4.0%
2.2%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.2%
1.4%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kelty Hearts goals (down), columns = Annan Athletic goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Elgin
2.20
Clyde
2.00
Forfar
1.60
Edinburgh City
1.60
Stranraer
1.40
Spartans
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.20
Kelty Hearts
1.20
Stirling
0.80
Dumbarton
0.60
Kelty Hearts and Annan Athletic are level in average points per game (both 1.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Elgin
3.40
Spartans
2.40
Clyde
2.20
Edinburgh City
1.40
Kelty Hearts
1.40
Forfar
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.20
Stirling
1.20
Stranraer
1.20
Dumbarton
0.40
Kelty Hearts is 0.20 goals better than Annan Athletic in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Forfar
1.00
Elgin
1.00
Clyde
1.20
Stranraer
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.40
Edinburgh City
1.60
Dumbarton
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Spartans
2.20
Stirling
2.40
Kelty Hearts is 0.60 goals worse than Annan Athletic in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.40).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Kelty Hearts
For 5.1 · Against 6.6 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 14.5 · Total 25.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Annan Athletic
For 4.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 13.3 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kelty Hearts
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
8.9
9.9
3.4
3.1
3.7
23.8
23.3
24.2
vs Stronger (1)
13.0
-
13.0
2.0
-
2.0
24.0
-
24.0
vs Similar (36)
9.4
9.4
9.5
3.7
3.2
4.2
23.5
23.1
23.9
vs Weaker (13)
9.1
7.5
10.8
2.8
3.0
2.6
24.8
24.2
25.2
% over line
43%
44%
42%
54%
52%
56%
62%
50%
74%
% under line
57%
56%
58%
46%
48%
44%
38%
50%
26%
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Annan Athletic
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.8
10.1
3.2
3.2
3.2
23.8
23.8
23.8
vs Stronger (20)
9.6
9.8
9.3
3.2
3.0
3.4
24.5
24.8
24.2
vs Similar (18)
9.1
8.4
9.9
3.6
3.6
3.7
24.5
23.9
25.1
vs Weaker (12)
12.1
12.5
11.8
2.6
3.0
2.3
21.4
22.0
20.8
% over line
50%
50%
50%
46%
46%
46%
72%
67%
78%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
54%
54%
54%
28%
33%
22%
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.9
Dumbarton
10.4
Stranraer
10.3
Elgin
10.3
Annan Athletic
9.9
Clyde
9.8
Kelty Hearts
9.5
Edinburgh City
9.2
Spartans
9.2
Forfar
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Edinburgh City
5.1
Forfar
4.3
Elgin
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.2
Clyde
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
Spartans
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dumbarton
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Forfar
24.0
Edinburgh City
23.9
Elgin
22.7
Kelty Hearts
22.5
Stranraer
22.3
Annan Athletic
22.2
Clyde
21.7
Stirling
21.1
Dumbarton
20.5
Spartans
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.9%
@ 1.73-3.5%
Under 9.5
50.1%
@ 1.99+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
Under
Betano
2.00
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
63.4%
Under 3.5
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
59.1%
Under 21.5
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Kelty Hearts or Draw
70.9%
Avg Implied 69.9% · @ 1.31
Edge
+1.0%
42%
29%
29%
covers Kelty Hearts + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.39
William Hil
1.36
Betfair
1.30
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Kelty Hearts or Annan Athletic
70.7%
Avg Implied 75.2% · @ 1.22
Edge
-4.5%
42%
29%
29%
covers Kelty Hearts + Annan Athletic
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.20
Draw or Annan Athletic
58.5%
Avg Implied 55.0% · @ 1.67
Edge
+3.5%
42%
29%
29%
covers Draw + Annan Athletic
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.73
Betano
1.72
William Hil
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
Unibet
1.65
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Kelty Hearts over/under 0.5
Over
74.7%
@ 1.19-3.3%
Under
25.3%
@ 4.24+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Under
1xBet
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.05
Kelty Hearts over/under 1.5
Over
39.9%
@ 1.92-8.5%
Under
60.1%
@ 1.80+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.96
Betano
1.95
Bet365
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
Under
Marathonbet
1.82
1xBet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.78
Kelty Hearts over/under 2.5
Over
16.0%
@ 3.88-7.8%
Under
84.0%
@ 1.21+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.88
Betano
3.85
Marathonbet
3.78
Under
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Kelty Hearts over/under 3.5
Over
5.1%
@ 7.67-7.1%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.06+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betano
7.60
1xBet
7.40
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5
Over
67.2%
@ 1.32-3.6%
Under
32.8%
@ 3.18+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.29
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.15
1xBet
3.14
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5
Over
30.6%
@ 2.44-7.5%
Under
69.4%
@ 1.50+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
1xBet
2.46
Betano
2.45
Pinnacle
2.40
Marathonbet
2.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.54
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49
1xBet
1.47
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5
Over
10.2%
@ 5.51-6.5%
Under
89.8%
@ 1.10+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.70
Marathonbet
5.55
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Annan Athletic over/under 3.5
Over
2.7%
@ 10.25-6.4%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.02+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.50
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Kelty Hearts, so a minus line means Kelty Hearts give that many goals of a start and Annan Athletic receive them. At -1, Kelty Hearts must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kelty Hearts win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Kelty Hearts)
Kelty Hearts -2
7.4%
@ 7.40-4.6%
Draw -2
12.7%
@ 5.85-2.4%
Annan Athletic +2
79.9%
@ 1.22+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
7.50
Marathonbet
7.30
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.70
Away
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Handicap -1 (Kelty Hearts)
Kelty Hearts -1
20.1%
@ 3.39-5.9%
Draw -1
21.4%
@ 3.80-1.8%
Annan Athletic +1
58.5%
@ 1.74+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.58
Bet365
3.00
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.64
Away
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.73
Marathonbet
1.66
Handicap +1 (Kelty Hearts)
Kelty Hearts +1
70.9%
@ 1.30+3.8%
Draw +1
17.1%
@ 4.78-1.2%
Annan Athletic -1
12.0%
@ 5.97-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.55
Away
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
Handicap +2 (Kelty Hearts)
Kelty Hearts +2
88.0%
@ 1.08+5.4%
Draw +2
8.3%
@ 8.50-2.2%
Annan Athletic -2
3.7%
@ 13.00-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.08
Draw
Bet365
8.50
Away
Bet365
13.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kelty Hearts
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.67
0.43
0.64
0.38
0.69
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (20)
0.35
0.50
0.20
0.60
0.50
0.40
vs Weaker (9)
0.56
0.89
1.00
0.75
0.20
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Annan Athletic
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.73
1.00
0.60
0.27
0.87
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
0.83
0.50
0.83
0.50
0.83
vs Similar (10)
0.70
0.30
1.40
0.20
0.00
0.40
vs Weaker (8)
0.75
1.12
1.25
0.75
0.25
1.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
71.3%
@ 1.30+0.3%
Under 0.5
28.7%
@ 3.19-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Under
Marathonbet
3.32
Betfair
3.30
1xBet
3.25
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
37.3%
@ 2.46-0.2%
Under 1.5
62.7%
@ 1.48+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.55
Bet365
2.50
William Hil
2.50
Pinnacle
2.45
1xBet
2.44
Under
Pinnacle
1.51
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.7%
@ 5.94-0.9%
Under 2.5
85.3%
@ 1.10+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
William Hil
6.00
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.80
Betano
5.40
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kelty Hearts over/under 0.5 HT
Over
49.8%
@ 1.80-1.7%
Under
50.2%
@ 1.90+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Pinnacle
1.82
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.74
Under
Marathonbet
1.93
Pinnacle
1.92
1xBet
1.91
Betano
1.85
Kelty Hearts over/under 1.5 HT
Over
16.0%
@ 4.95-2.6%
Under
84.0%
@ 1.13+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.05
Marathonbet
4.95
Betano
4.85
Under
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Kelty Hearts over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.8%
@ 9.75-4.7%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.02+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 HT
Over
39.5%
@ 2.08-4.8%
Under
60.5%
@ 1.66+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.15
Pinnacle
2.09
1xBet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.04
Under
Pinnacle
1.69
Marathonbet
1.66
1xBet
1.65
Betano
1.62
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.7%
@ 6.50-4.5%
Under
90.3%
@ 1.07+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.80
Marathonbet
6.70
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.4%
@ 11.00-7.0%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kelty Hearts
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.90
0.71
0.79
0.44
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.75
1.10
0.80
0.90
0.70
1.30
vs Weaker (9)
0.22
0.44
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.40
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Annan Athletic
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
1.27
0.47
1.33
0.67
1.20
vs Stronger (12)
0.67
2.08
0.67
2.50
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (10)
0.70
1.00
0.60
0.60
0.80
1.40
vs Weaker (8)
0.25
0.38
0.00
0.50
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
80.9%
@ 1.19+2.9%
Under 0.5
19.1%
@ 4.22-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Under
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.30
Betano
4.10
William Hil
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
54.9%
@ 1.90+6.2%
Under 1.5
45.1%
@ 1.80-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.92
William Hil
1.91
Betano
1.88
Bet365
1.83
Under
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.83
William Hil
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.76
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
23.8%
@ 3.77-0.7%
Under 2.5
76.2%
@ 1.23+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.90
William Hil
3.90
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.55
Under
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.20
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kelty Hearts over/under 0.5 2H
Over
62.3%
@ 1.58+3.8%
Under
37.7%
@ 2.23-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.59
Betano
1.57
Under
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.20
Kelty Hearts over/under 1.5 2H
Over
28.3%
@ 3.65+3.1%
Under
71.7%
@ 1.23-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.65
Betano
3.50
Under
Betano
1.26
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Kelty Hearts over/under 2.5 2H
Over
8.9%
@ 8.30-2.2%
Under
91.1%
@ 1.03+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.90
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 2H
Over
47.5%
@ 1.79-3.9%
Under
52.5%
@ 1.90+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Betano
1.78
Under
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.86
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.1%
@ 4.82-6.0%
Under
86.9%
@ 1.14+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
Betano
4.45
Under
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.5%
@ 9.25-7.6%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.03+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.03
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+6.8%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+7.0%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.5%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+7.6%
Away under 3.5 goals
97.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+6.4%
Under 5.5
95.9%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
+6.9%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.2%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.7%
Home under 3.5 goals
94.9%
1.06
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.05
-
-
+7.1%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
91.1%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
+2.2%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.3%
1.07
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
-
-
+4.5%
Away under 2.5 goals
89.8%
1.10
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
-
+6.5%
Under 4.5
89.3%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
-
+9.0%
Home +2 handicap
88.0%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
+5.4%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.9%
1.14
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
-
-
+6.0%
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.3%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
+0.9%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
84.0%
1.13
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
-
-
+2.6%
Home under 2.5 goals
84.0%
1.21
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
-
+7.8%
Over 2.5 cards
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.9%
1.19
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-
+2.9%
Away +2 handicap
79.9%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
-
-
-
+7.0%
Under 2.5 2H goals
76.2%
1.23
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.20
-
+0.7%
Under 3.5
76.0%
1.41
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
Betano
1.42
Unibet
1.41
+10.8%
Home over 0.5 goals
74.7%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.16
-
-
-3.3%
Over 19.5 fouls
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
73.4%
1.34
1xBet
1.34
-
-
-
-
+5.3%
Under 5.5 cards
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
72.3%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
-4.6%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
71.7%
1.23
Betano
1.26
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
-
-
-3.1%
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.3%
1.30
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
+0.3%
Home or Draw
70.9%
1.31
Betano
1.39
William Hil
1.36
Betfair
1.30
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.30
+1.0%
Home +1 handicap
70.9%
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
+3.8%
Home or Away
70.7%
1.22
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.20
-4.5%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (4)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Kelty Hearts and Annan Athletic have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Kelty Hearts and Annan Athletic have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Kelty Hearts and Annan Athletic have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Scotland: League Two 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Elgin
Clyde
Forfar
Edinburgh City
Stranraer
Spartans
Stirling
Dumbarton