Kelty Hearts host Dumbarton in a Scotland: League Two fixture on August 22, with the home side coming off a 1-4 defeat to Elgin. The model predicts a home win, with a 48% probability, while the away win and draw probabilities are 25% and 27%, respectively. The expected total goals is 2.7, with the most likely total goals being 2.
The most likely score is 1-1, with a 13.1% probability. Kelty Hearts have a strong home form, scoring 1 goal on average and conceding 1.33. Conversely, Dumbarton have a weaker away form, scoring 0.71 goals on average and conceding 2.57. The model's suggested picks include Over 1.5 (75.7% probability) and Under 3.5 (72.1% probability, with an 8% edge), which suggests that the model expects a higher-scoring game.
Results analysis
Kelty Hearts, riding a win that extends their recent run, beat Dumbarton 3-1, confirming the model’s favourite of a home win. The prediction, given a 48% chance, proved correct. The match also matched the model’s high-confidence selections: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.4%, Under 6.5 at 98.1%, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.5%, Under 5.5 at 94.6%, Home under 3.5 goals at 92.4%, Away under 2.5 goals at 90.3%, Home +2 handicap at 90.1%, and Under 4.5 at 86.8%. Each probability was expressed as a percentage, and every pick’s outcome was noted. The final score and actual result aligned with the model’s expectations, showcasing a strong performance from the prediction system.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Kelty Hearts win✓ Hit
47.6%
Avg Implied 53.8% · @ 1.69
Edge
-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.75
Pinnacle
1.73
Betano
1.72
Dafabet
1.72
Superbet
1.72
Draw✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied 24.6% · @ 3.70
Edge
+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.00
Betano
3.85
Dafabet
3.80
Pinnacle
3.78
10Bet
3.75
Dumbarton win✗ Miss
24.9%
Avg Implied 21.7% · @ 4.20
Edge
+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
4.33
William Hil
4.33
Betfair
4.33
1xBet
4.32
Dafabet
4.30
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Kelty Hearts
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.57
1.00
1.47
0.87
1.67
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (22)
1.09
1.59
1.00
1.50
1.20
1.70
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
1.29
1.00
1.33
0.25
1.25
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dumbarton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.87
1.25
1.38
0.86
2.43
vs Stronger (12)
1.25
2.17
1.29
1.57
1.20
3.00
vs Similar (18)
0.94
1.67
1.22
1.22
0.67
2.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.7%
@ 1.18-2.4%
Under 1.5
24.3%
@ 4.23+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
10Bet
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
Under
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.9%
@ 1.63-7.1%
Under 2.5
50.1%
@ 2.15+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.66
Betano
1.65
BetVictor
1.64
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Under
Betfair
2.25
Bet365
2.25
10Bet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.17
Superbet
2.15
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.9%
@ 2.57-8.3%
Under 3.5
72.1%
@ 1.46+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.66
BetVictor
2.63
Betfair
2.63
Marathonbet
2.58
1xBet
2.58
Under
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Betfair
1.47
Marathonbet
1.44
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.8%
@ 1.61-3.6%
No
46.2%
@ 2.17+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
BetVictor
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Superbet
1.62
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
No
Betfair
2.25
Bet365
2.20
William Hil
2.20
Superbet
2.17
1xBet
2.16
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%@ 7.05+6.7%
1-0
9.8%@ 8.10+4.2%
2-1
9.4%@ 7.56+3.5%
2-0
8.7%@ 8.79+3.5%
0-0
8.1%@ 12.75+4.6%
1-2
6.5%@ 12.84+3.0%
0-1
6.3%@ 14.19+3.2%
2-2
5.1%@ 12.56+1.5%
Kelty Hearts goals ↓
Dumbarton goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.1%
6.3%
4.1%
1.5%
0.4%
1
9.8%
13%
6.5%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.7%
9.4%
5.1%
1.9%
0.5%
3
4.6%
5.0%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.8%
2.0%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kelty Hearts goals (down), columns = Dumbarton goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Elgin
2.20
Clyde
2.00
Forfar
1.60
Edinburgh City
1.60
Stranraer
1.40
Spartans
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.20
Kelty Hearts
1.20
Stirling
0.80
Dumbarton
0.60
Kelty Hearts is 0.60 points better than Dumbarton in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 0.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Elgin
3.40
Spartans
2.40
Clyde
2.20
Edinburgh City
1.40
Kelty Hearts
1.40
Forfar
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.20
Stirling
1.20
Stranraer
1.20
Dumbarton
0.40
Kelty Hearts is 1.00 goals better than Dumbarton in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 0.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Forfar
1.00
Elgin
1.00
Clyde
1.20
Stranraer
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.40
Edinburgh City
1.60
Dumbarton
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Spartans
2.20
Stirling
2.40
Kelty Hearts and Dumbarton are level in goals conceded per game (both 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Kelty Hearts
For 5.1 · Against 6.6 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 14.5 · Total 25.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dumbarton
For 4.4 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 8.5 · Total 18.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kelty Hearts
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.0
9.8
3.6
3.4
3.8
23.8
23.2
24.4
vs Stronger (1)
13.0
-
13.0
2.0
-
2.0
24.0
-
24.0
vs Similar (38)
9.3
9.4
9.3
3.7
3.4
4.2
23.6
22.9
24.2
vs Weaker (11)
9.1
7.5
10.8
3.3
3.6
3.0
24.8
24.2
25.2
% over line
44%
47%
40%
56%
56%
56%
62%
47%
75%
% under line
56%
53%
60%
44%
44%
44%
38%
53%
25%
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dumbarton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
11.5
9.6
2.6
3.0
2.2
20.7
21.6
19.8
vs Stronger (21)
11.3
13.0
9.3
2.1
2.6
1.5
21.1
21.4
20.7
vs Similar (29)
10.2
10.6
9.8
3.0
3.3
2.6
20.5
21.7
19.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
57%
63%
50%
34%
46%
21%
43%
53%
33%
% under line
43%
37%
50%
66%
54%
79%
57%
47%
67%
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.9
Dumbarton
10.4
Stranraer
10.3
Elgin
10.3
Annan Athletic
9.9
Clyde
9.8
Kelty Hearts
9.5
Edinburgh City
9.2
Spartans
9.2
Forfar
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Edinburgh City
5.1
Forfar
4.3
Elgin
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.2
Clyde
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
Spartans
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dumbarton
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Forfar
24.0
Edinburgh City
23.9
Elgin
22.7
Kelty Hearts
22.5
Stranraer
22.3
Annan Athletic
22.2
Clyde
21.7
Stirling
21.1
Dumbarton
20.5
Spartans
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.68
Betano
1.65
Under
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.05
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Kelty Hearts or Draw✓ Hit
75.1%
Avg Implied 78.5% · @ 1.17
Edge
-3.4%
48%
27%
25%
covers Kelty Hearts + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.23
Betfair
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Kelty Hearts or Dumbarton✓ Hit
72.5%
Avg Implied 76.0% · @ 1.21
Edge
-3.5%
48%
27%
25%
covers Kelty Hearts + Dumbarton
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Draw or Dumbarton✗ Miss
52.4%
Avg Implied 45.5% · @ 2.01
Edge
+6.8%
48%
27%
25%
covers Draw + Dumbarton
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.12
10Bet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
William Hil
2.05
Bet365
2.00
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Kelty Hearts over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.4%
@ 1.11-3.3%
Under
20.6%
@ 5.33+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Under
1xBet
5.60
BetVictor
5.50
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Betano
5.20
Kelty Hearts over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
46.9%
@ 1.66-9.0%
Under
53.1%
@ 2.10+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.70
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
BetVictor
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Under
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.12
Superbet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.10
BetVictor
2.10
Kelty Hearts over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
21.2%
@ 3.02-9.4%
Under
78.8%
@ 1.33+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.20
Marathonbet
3.04
Betano
3.00
Bet365
3.00
1xBet
2.95
Under
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
Kelty Hearts over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.6%
@ 5.80-8.4%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.10+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
Betano
5.80
1xBet
5.60
Under
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Dumbarton over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
66.3%
@ 1.42+0.9%
Under
33.7%
@ 2.67-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.49
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
2.81
Bet365
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Betano
2.67
Superbet
2.67
Dumbarton over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
29.6%
@ 2.92-2.0%
Under
70.4%
@ 1.35+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
Marathonbet
2.98
1xBet
2.90
Betano
2.90
Under
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Dumbarton over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.7%
@ 6.90-3.6%
Under
90.3%
@ 1.06+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.10
Bet365
7.00
Betano
6.60
1xBet
6.50
Superbet
6.30
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
Dumbarton over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 12.25-5.2%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.01+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Kelty Hearts, so a minus line means Kelty Hearts give that many goals of a start and Dumbarton receive them. At -1, Kelty Hearts must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kelty Hearts win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Kelty Hearts)Actual: Draw
Kelty Hearts -2
10.4%
@ 5.28-6.5%
Draw -2
14.8%
@ 5.10-2.7%
Dumbarton +2
74.7%
@ 1.36+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.55
Bet365
5.00
Draw
Marathonbet
5.20
Bet365
5.00
Away
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.33
Handicap -1 (Kelty Hearts)Actual: Kelty Hearts
Kelty Hearts -1
25.3%
@ 2.78-6.5%
Draw -1
22.3%
@ 3.64-2.0%
Dumbarton +1
52.4%
@ 2.02+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.83
Betfair
2.80
10Bet
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.65
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Away
10Bet
2.10
Bet365
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
Handicap +1 (Kelty Hearts)Actual: Kelty Hearts
Kelty Hearts +1
75.1%
@ 1.16+1.8%
Draw +1
15.0%
@ 5.42-0.6%
Dumbarton -1
9.9%
@ 7.60-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
4.35
Away
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
6.20
Handicap +2 (Kelty Hearts)Actual: Kelty Hearts
Kelty Hearts +2
90.1%
@ 1.05+1.3%
Draw +2
7.0%
@ 13.00-0.2%
Dumbarton -2
2.9%
@ 23.00-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.05
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Away
Bet365
23.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kelty Hearts
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.63
0.33
0.67
0.40
0.60
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (22)
0.36
0.55
0.25
0.67
0.50
0.40
vs Weaker (7)
0.43
0.71
0.67
0.67
0.25
0.75
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dumbarton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
1.00
0.44
0.62
0.14
1.43
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
1.17
0.43
0.57
0.20
2.00
vs Similar (18)
0.28
0.89
0.44
0.67
0.11
1.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Marathonbet
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Under
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.40
William Hil
3.40
BetVictor
3.30
Superbet
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.45
Pinnacle
2.45
Marathonbet
2.41
1xBet
2.41
Betfair
2.40
Under
10Bet
1.57
BetVictor
1.53
William Hil
1.53
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.52
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.75
William Hil
5.50
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.40
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kelty Hearts over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Pinnacle
1.66
Marathonbet
1.65
Superbet
1.61
Under
Superbet
2.15
Pinnacle
2.13
1xBet
2.10
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.05
Kelty Hearts over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.45
1xBet
4.20
Betano
4.05
Under
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
Kelty Hearts over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.70
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.42
Marathonbet
2.38
Betano
2.37
Superbet
2.32
1xBet
2.30
Under
1xBet
1.55
Superbet
1.52
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.52
Marathonbet
1.49
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.50
1xBet
8.10
Betano
6.90
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kelty Hearts
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.93
0.67
0.80
0.47
1.07
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.73
1.05
0.75
0.83
0.70
1.30
vs Weaker (7)
0.14
0.57
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dumbarton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.87
0.81
0.75
0.71
1.00
vs Stronger (12)
0.92
1.00
0.86
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.78
0.78
0.56
0.56
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kelty Hearts over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.6%
1.05
Bet365
1.07
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
BetVictor
1.03
-
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
92.4%
1.10
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.09
-
-
+8.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
90.3%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
90.1%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
86.8%
1.15
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.15
BetVictor
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
+7.2%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
79.4%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-3.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
78.8%
1.33
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
+9.4%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
75.7%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
10Bet
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
-2.4%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
75.1%
1.17
Betano
1.23
Betfair
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.18
-3.4%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
75.1%
1.16
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
-
-
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
74.7%
1.36
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.33
-
-
-
+9.2%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
72.5%
1.21
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-3.5%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.1%
1.46
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Betfair
1.47
Marathonbet
1.44
+8.3%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals
70.4%
1.35
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
10Bet
1.33
+2.0%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (4)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Kelty Hearts and Dumbarton have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Kelty Hearts and Dumbarton have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Kelty Hearts and Dumbarton have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Scotland: League Two 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Elgin
Clyde
Forfar
Edinburgh City
Stranraer
Spartans
Annan Athletic
Stirling