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Kelty Hearts vs Hamilton Result & Analysis

Date: 12/08/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 0-2
Kelty Hearts
Kelty Hearts
vs
H
Hamilton
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kelty Hearts win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hamilton win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-616L12L00D00D00D01L22D21W14L20WA·AIR11/03H·MON18/03A·FAL24/03A·DUN01/04H·CLY08/04H·ALL15/04A·FC 22/04H·PET29/04A·QUE06/05A·MON05/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.371.271.071.201.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.221.441.311.151.141.71
vs Weaker (3)1.330.671.000.502.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

H
Hamilton

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-702L07L21W11D02L01L12L22D00D10WH·AYR18/03A·DUN01/04A·RAI04/04H·COV08/04A·MOR11/04A·QUE14/04H·INV18/04H·PAR22/04A·ARB05/05H·COV05/08← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.771.131.670.531.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.691.921.081.690.312.15
vs Weaker (4)1.750.751.501.502.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Falkirk
2.50
Hamilton
2.06
Alloa
1.56
Montrose
1.47
Cove Rangers
1.36
Kelty Hearts
1.22
Queen of Sth
1.14
Annan Athletic
1.08
Stirling
1.08
Edinburgh City
0.39
Kelty Hearts is 0.83 points worse than Hamilton in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 2.06).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Falkirk
2.67
Hamilton
2.03
Alloa
1.67
Cove Rangers
1.61
Montrose
1.61
Annan Athletic
1.53
Kelty Hearts
1.33
Queen of Sth
1.28
Stirling
1.08
Edinburgh City
1.06
Kelty Hearts is 0.69 goals worse than Hamilton in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 2.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Falkirk
0.78
Hamilton
0.78
Queen of Sth
1.47
Alloa
1.53
Montrose
1.58
Stirling
1.61
Kelty Hearts
1.75
Cove Rangers
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.89
Edinburgh City
2.72
Kelty Hearts is 0.97 goals worse than Hamilton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.75 vs 0.78).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

For 4.6 · Against 7.6 · Total 12.2

🚩 Corners

17051256662102572463961169171112127910121715A·MONA·QUEH·PETA·FC H·ALLH·CLYA·DUNA·FALH·MONA·AIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.0

🟨 Cards

603311111351212326201236352A·MONA·QUEH·PETA·FC H·ALLH·CLYA·DUNA·FALH·MONA·AIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 10.6 · Total 22.6

⚠️ Fouls

300131711617111156131211139151514128730172816192322302615A·MONA·QUEH·PETA·FC H·ALLH·CLYA·DUNA·FALH·MONA·AIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

H
Hamilton

For 3.9 · Against 7.3 · Total 11.2

🚩 Corners

19075486102787415331515381212169151966611H·COVA·ARBH·PARH·INVA·QUEA·MORH·COVA·RAIA·DUNH·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

10022225521321215331244103536612H·COVA·ARBH·PARH·INVA·QUEA·MORH·COVA·RAIA·DUNH·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 10.6 · Total 20.6

⚠️ Fouls

310821571510512131471210218111099810222517271931191917H·COVA·ARBH·PARH·INVA·QUEA·MORH·COVA·RAIA·DUNH·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.010.83.73.73.621.721.122.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (38)10.710.610.83.83.64.022.321.423.1
vs Weaker (12)9.28.010.53.24.02.519.720.019.3
% over line58%50%65%44%46%42%46%38%54%
% under line42%50%35%56%54%58%54%62%46%
This opponent (Hamilton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

H
Hamilton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.811.010.74.34.63.922.122.122.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (44)10.811.010.54.44.84.022.522.322.6
vs Weaker (6)11.210.711.73.23.33.019.320.718.0
% over line60%56%64%60%68%52%54%52%56%
% under line40%44%36%40%32%48%46%48%44%
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Hamilton
10.8
Kelty Hearts
10.4
Montrose
10.3
Cove Rangers
10.1
Falkirk
9.9
Alloa
9.9
Queen of Sth
9.8
Annan Athletic
9.7
Stirling
9.3
Edinburgh City
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Hamilton
4.3
Montrose
4.2
Annan Athletic
3.9
Stirling
3.9
Falkirk
3.9
Cove Rangers
3.8
Kelty Hearts
3.7
Queen of Sth
3.5
Edinburgh City
3.0
Alloa
2.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Montrose
23.1
Hamilton
22.1
Kelty Hearts
21.7
Falkirk
21.6
Stirling
20.9
Cove Rangers
20.6
Annan Athletic
20.5
Queen of Sth
19.9
Edinburgh City
19.6
Alloa
18.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.3%
Under 9.5
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
50.2%
Under 3.5
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
46.3%
Under 21.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L10W00D00D00D00D10W00D12L00DA·AIR11/03H·MON18/03A·FAL24/03A·DUN01/04H·CLY08/04H·ALL15/04A·FC 22/04H·PET29/04A·QUE06/05A·MON05/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.500.200.270.530.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.370.560.230.310.500.79
vs Weaker (3)0.330.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

H
Hamilton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L04L00D00D00D00D00D11D00D10WH·AYR18/03A·DUN01/04A·RAI04/04H·COV08/04A·MOR11/04A·QUE14/04H·INV18/04H·PAR22/04A·ARB05/05H·COV05/08← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.870.400.800.130.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.230.960.380.850.081.08
vs Weaker (4)0.500.250.500.500.500.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kelty Hearts over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L02L00D00D00D01L12L21W02L20WA·AIR11/03H·MON18/03A·FAL24/03A·DUN01/04H·CLY08/04H·ALL15/04A·FC 22/04H·PET29/04A·QUE06/05A·MON05/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.871.070.800.670.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.850.891.080.850.640.93
vs Weaker (3)1.000.671.000.501.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

H
Hamilton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L21W11D02L01L12L11D00D00DH·AYR18/03A·DUN01/04A·RAI04/04H·COV08/04A·MOR11/04A·QUE14/04H·INV18/04H·PAR22/04A·ARB05/05H·COV05/08← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.900.730.870.400.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.460.960.690.850.231.08
vs Weaker (4)1.250.501.001.001.500.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kelty Hearts over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards83.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls82.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners72.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards71.2%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
KH (4)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (5)
€1m
MON (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
KH (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
KH wins
0
Draws
0
HAM wins

Head-to-head

Kelty Hearts vs Hamilton · H/A from KH
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/08/23AMontrose Vs KH0-2
06/05/23AQueen of Sth Vs KH4-1
29/04/23HKH Vs Peterhead2-1
22/04/23AFC Edinburgh Vs KH2-2
15/04/23HKH Vs Alloa0-1
08/04/23HKH Vs Clyde0-0
01/04/23ADunfermline Vs KH0-0
24/03/23AFalkirk Vs KH0-0
18/03/23HKH Vs Montrose1-2
11/03/23AAirdrie United Vs KH6-1

H
Hamilton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/08/23HHAM Vs Cove Rangers1-0
05/05/23AArbroath Vs HAM0-0
22/04/23HHAM Vs Partick2-2
18/04/23HHAM Vs Inverness CT1-2
14/04/23AQueens Park Vs HAM1-0
11/04/23AMorton Vs HAM2-0
08/04/23HHAM Vs Cove Rangers1-1
04/04/23ARaith Rvs Vs HAM1-2
01/04/23ADundee Vs HAM7-0
18/03/23HHAM Vs Ayr0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kelty Hearts
Kelty Hearts
Scotland: League One
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLW1.44
HomeLLDLW1.62
AwayDDDLW1.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%46%31%
AVG goals2.382.212.54
Over 1.5 %70%71%69%
Over 2.5 %50%46%54%
Over 3.5 %18%12%23%
Scored1.181.291.08
Conceded1.200.921.46
BTTS52%54%50%
Clean Sheet36%38%35%
Corners10.389.9610.77
Cards3.663.713.62
H
Hamilton
Scotland: League One
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDW1.02
HomeLDLDW1.04
AwayLWLLD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%24%24%
AVG goals2.462.402.52
Over 1.5 %66%68%64%
Over 2.5 %38%32%44%
Over 3.5 %28%20%36%
Scored0.900.960.84
Conceded1.561.441.68
BTTS38%48%28%
Clean Sheet26%24%28%
Corners10.8411.0010.68
Cards4.264.603.92

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FalkirkFalkirk3690
75%
2.5
9628+68
3.4
83%
72%
47%
11.4
78%
4.2
64%
21.9
42%
6
2132.70.8
-
2
H
Hamilton
3674
61%
2.1
7328+45
2.8
75%
56%
33%
10.1
64%
3.2
44%
19.9
33%
0
0002.00.8
-
3
A
Alloa
3656
44%
1.6
6055+5
3.2
81%
64%
36%
10.0
58%
3.7
56%
19.8
36%
0
0001.71.5
-
4MontroseMontrose3653
42%
1.5
5857+1
3.2
75%
56%
39%
10.0
53%
3.8
53%
20.6
36%
0
0001.61.6
-
5Cove RangersCove Rangers3649
39%
1.4
5863-5
3.4
78%
64%
53%
10.1
56%
2.9
33%
18.3
28%
0
0001.61.8
-
6Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts3644
33%
1.2
4863-15
3.1
78%
61%
44%
10.8
56%
3.7
42%
21.7
53%
1
1001.31.8
-
7
QO
Queen of Sth
3641
31%
1.1
4653-7
2.8
75%
50%
33%
10.1
58%
3.7
50%
21.9
53%
0
0001.31.5
-
8Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3639
25%
1.1
5568-13
3.4
97%
72%
42%
9.8
50%
4.4
69%
21.3
44%
0
0001.51.9
-
9StirlingStirling3639
28%
1.1
3958-19
2.7
67%
53%
36%
10.7
72%
3.9
53%
20.9
44%
0
0001.11.6
-
10Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3614
8%
0.4
3898-60
3.8
92%
75%
53%
10.2
61%
3.9
47%
21.6
53%
0
0001.12.7
-
Scotland: League One 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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