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Kerry vs Treaty United Result & Analysis

Date: 07/07/2023
Time: 18:45
Final 2-3
Kerry
Kerry
Vs
16%
23%
61%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Treaty United
Treaty United
Ireland: First Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Kerry win✗ Miss
15.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Treaty United win✓ Hit
61.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

KerryKerry

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-614L23L32W02L06L00D06L01L23L01LA·COB01/05H·LON05/05A·ATH12/05H·BRA19/05H·WEX26/05A·FIN02/06H·WAT05/06H·ATH09/06A·BRA23/06A·GAL30/06
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.672.760.502.700.822.82
vs Stronger (16)0.623.310.573.430.673.22
vs Similar (5)0.801.000.331.001.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %5% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Treaty United) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Treaty UnitedTreaty United

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-730W21W30W03L03L07L11D01L20W11DA·BRA01/05H·ATH05/05A·LON13/05H·GAL19/05H·FIN26/05A·WAT02/06H·WEX05/06H·COB09/06A·ATH23/06H·BRA30/06
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.731.061.751.211.71
vs Stronger (14)1.072.361.002.431.142.29
vs Similar (14)1.001.290.751.381.331.17
vs Weaker (2)2.500.504.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Kerry) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.7%
Under 1.5
20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.6%
Under 2.5
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.2%
Under 3.5
66.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.0%
No
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
0-2
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-3
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
2-1
4.6%
Kerry goals ↓
Treaty United goals →
01234
06.5%9.8%11%7.1%3.5%
14.0%11%9.9%6.6%3.3%
22.3%4.6%4.6%3.0%1.5%
30.7%1.4%1.4%0.9%0.5%
40.2%0.3%0.3%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kerry goals (down), columns = Treaty United goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Galway United
2.61
Waterford
1.90
Cobh Ramblers
1.64
Wexford
1.42
Athlone Town
1.26
Treaty United
1.22
Bray Wanderers
1.22
Longford Town
1.11
Finn Harps
1.03
Kerry
0.28
Kerry is 0.94 points worse than Treaty United in terms of average points per game (0.28 vs 1.22).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Galway United
2.72
Waterford
2.28
Cobh Ramblers
1.64
Athlone Town
1.50
Treaty United
1.36
Bray Wanderers
1.33
Wexford
1.29
Longford Town
1.08
Finn Harps
1.08
Kerry
0.81
Kerry is 0.56 goals worse than Treaty United in terms of goals scored per game (0.81 vs 1.36).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Galway United
0.50
Waterford
0.90
Wexford
1.34
Cobh Ramblers
1.36
Longford Town
1.42
Treaty United
1.69
Athlone Town
1.71
Bray Wanderers
1.72
Finn Harps
2.06
Kerry
2.53
Kerry is 0.83 goals worse than Treaty United in terms of goals conceded per game (2.53 vs 1.69).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KerryKerry

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L02L21W00D02L00D02L01L12L01LA·COB01/05H·LON05/05A·ATH12/05H·BRA19/05H·WEX26/05A·FIN02/06H·WAT05/06H·ATH09/06A·BRA23/06A·GAL30/06
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.291.290.301.000.271.55
vs Stronger (16)0.191.560.291.290.111.78
vs Similar (5)0.600.400.330.331.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %24% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Treaty United) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Treaty UnitedTreaty United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D01L10W02L02L05L01L00D10W11DA·BRA01/05H·ATH05/05A·LON13/05H·GAL19/05H·FIN26/05A·WAT02/06H·WEX05/06H·COB09/06A·ATH23/06H·BRA30/06
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.900.500.810.641.00
vs Stronger (14)0.571.360.291.290.861.43
vs Similar (14)0.360.500.380.500.330.50
vs Weaker (2)2.000.503.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Kerry) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kerry over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kerry over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kerry over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KerryKerry

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L21W11D02L04L00D04L00D11D00DA·COB01/05H·LON05/05A·ATH12/05H·BRA19/05H·WEX26/05A·FIN02/06H·WAT05/06H·ATH09/06A·BRA23/06A·GAL30/06
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.381.480.201.700.551.27
vs Stronger (16)0.441.750.292.140.561.44
vs Similar (5)0.200.600.000.670.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %19% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Treaty United) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Treaty UnitedTreaty United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W20W20W01L01L02L10W01L10W00DA·BRA01/05H·ATH05/05A·LON13/05H·GAL19/05H·FIN26/05A·WAT02/06H·WEX05/06H·COB09/06A·ATH23/06H·BRA30/06
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.830.560.940.570.71
vs Stronger (14)0.501.000.711.140.290.86
vs Similar (14)0.640.790.380.881.000.67
vs Weaker (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Kerry) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kerry over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kerry over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kerry over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
FH (2)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
TU (1)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
Kerry and Treaty United have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WAT (6)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
TU (1)
€0m
FH (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
Kerry and Treaty United have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
FH (1)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
Kerry and Treaty United have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
CR (2)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
FH (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
KER wins
1
Draws
1
TU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kerry vs Treaty United · H/A from KER
DateH/AGameScore
28/04/23ATreaty United Vs KER4-0
03/03/23HKER Vs Treaty United1-1

KerryKerry

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/06/23AGalway United Vs KER1-0
23/06/23ABray Wanderers Vs KER3-2
09/06/23HKER Vs Athlone Town0-1
05/06/23HKER Vs Waterford0-6
02/06/23AFinn Harps Vs KER0-0
26/05/23HKER Vs Wexford0-6
19/05/23HKER Vs Bray Wanderers0-2
12/05/23AAthlone Town Vs KER2-3
05/05/23HKER Vs Longford Town2-3
01/05/23ACobh Ramblers Vs KER4-1

Treaty UnitedTreaty United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/06/23HTU Vs Bray Wanderers1-1
23/06/23AAthlone Town Vs TU0-2
09/06/23HTU Vs Cobh Ramblers0-1
05/06/23HTU Vs Wexford1-1
02/06/23AWaterford Vs TU7-0
26/05/23HTU Vs Finn Harps0-3
19/05/23HTU Vs Galway United0-3
13/05/23ALongford Town Vs TU0-3
05/05/23HTU Vs Athlone Town2-1
01/05/23ABray Wanderers Vs TU0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kerry
Kerry
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLL0.29
HomeLLLLL0.20
AwayLWDLL0.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %5%0%9%
AVG goals3.433.203.64
Over 1.5 %76%80%73%
Over 2.5 %52%40%64%
Over 3.5 %48%40%55%
Scored0.670.500.82
Conceded2.762.702.82
BTTS48%40%55%
Clean Sheet5%0%9%
Corners---
Cards---
Treaty United
Treaty United
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWD1.24
HomeLLDLD1.27
AwayDWWLW1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%35%25%
AVG goals2.702.962.42
Over 1.5 %84%85%83%
Over 2.5 %50%65%33%
Over 3.5 %24%31%17%
Scored1.161.271.04
Conceded1.541.691.38
BTTS44%54%33%
Clean Sheet28%19%38%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Galway UnitedGalway United3694
83%
2.6
9818+80
3.2
75%
58%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.70.5
-
2WaterfordWaterford3974
54%
1.9
8935+54
3.2
77%
59%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.30.9
-
3Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers3964
44%
1.6
6453+11
3.0
77%
51%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.4
-
4WexfordWexford3854
39%
1.4
4951-2
2.6
79%
53%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
5Athlone TownAthlone Town3848
37%
1.3
5765-8
3.2
76%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.7
-
6Treaty UnitedTreaty United3644
33%
1.2
4961-12
3.1
83%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
7Bray WanderersBray Wanderers3644
28%
1.2
4862-14
3.1
83%
61%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
8Longford TownLongford Town3640
28%
1.1
3951-12
2.5
64%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
9Finn HarpsFinn Harps3637
25%
1.0
3974-35
3.1
75%
53%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.1
-
10KerryKerry3610
3%
0.3
2991-62
3.3
83%
64%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.5
-
Ireland: First Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: First Division stats & trends →

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