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KF Lepenci vs Rilindja 1974 Prediction & Stats

Date: 26/09/2026
Time: 14:30
KF Lepenci
KF Lepenci
Vs
50%
29%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rilindja 1974
Rilindja 1974
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The model favours a home win for KF Lepenci, with a 50% chance of victory, a 29% chance of a draw and a 21% chance of an away win. The average goal output is 2.4, so a modest 2-goal total is expected, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 13.5% probability. KF Lepenci, playing at home against a similar-strength side, has not scored or conceded in recent matches, while Rilindja 1974, on the road, averages 0.82 goals scored and 1.45 conceded against comparable opponents. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (98.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.7%), Under 5.5 (96.5%), Away under 2.5 goals (93.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (93.6%), Home +2 handicap (92.4%) and Under 4.5 (90.6%). These picks reflect a low-scoring affair with a slight edge for the home side.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KF Lepenci win
49.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
28.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rilindja 1974 win
21.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

KF LepenciKF Lepenci

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L22D00DH·2 K16/08A·RAM22/08H·MIT30/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.330.001.002.002.00
vs Stronger (2)1.002.000.002.002.002.00
vs Similar (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Rilindja 1974) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rilindja 1974Rilindja 1974

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-710W11D11D20W13L34L17L02L11D21WA·RAM11/04H·VĂ‹L19/04A·FC 26/04H·KIK03/05A·SUH09/05H·DIN16/05A·TRE23/05A·DIN16/08H·FER22/08A·TRE30/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.671.141.210.692.06
vs Stronger (7)0.863.001.332.000.503.75
vs Similar (22)0.951.231.091.000.821.45
vs Weaker (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (KF Lepenci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%10%020%127%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
70.1%
Under 1.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
42.6%
Under 2.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
21.8%
Under 3.5
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
47.1%
No
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
1-0
12.5%
0-0
10.4%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.1%
KF Lepenci goals ↓
Rilindja 1974 goals →
01234
010%7.0%3.7%1.1%0.2%
112%14%5.5%1.6%0.4%
210%9.1%4.1%1.2%0.3%
35.1%4.5%2.0%0.6%0.1%
41.9%1.7%0.8%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = KF Lepenci goals (down), columns = Rilindja 1974 goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
VĂ«llaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Mitrovica
1.39
Prishtina e Re
1.39
Ferizaj
1.39
KF Lepenci
1.39
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Istogu
0.94
Rilindja 1974
0.94
KF Lepenci is 0.44 points better than Rilindja 1974 in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 0.94).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Suhareka
1.76
Liria Prizren
1.76
VĂ«llaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Mitrovica
1.40
Prishtina e Re
1.40
Ferizaj
1.40
KF Lepenci
1.40
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Kika
0.74
KF Lepenci is 0.40 goals better than Rilindja 1974 in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Liria Prizren
0.85
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
VĂ«llaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
Mitrovica
1.41
Prishtina e Re
1.41
Ferizaj
1.41
KF Lepenci
1.41
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
KF Lepenci is 0.39 goals better than Rilindja 1974 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.79).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
KF Lepenci or Draw
78.5%
Avg Implied -
50%
29%
21%
covers KF Lepenci + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
KF Lepenci or Rilindja 1974
71.3%
Avg Implied -
50%
29%
21%
covers KF Lepenci + Rilindja 1974
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Rilindja 1974
50.2%
Avg Implied -
50%
29%
21%
covers Draw + Rilindja 1974
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
KF Lepenci over/under 0.5
Over
77.4%
Under
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KF Lepenci over/under 1.5
Over
43.8%
Under
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KF Lepenci over/under 2.5
Over
18.8%
Under
81.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KF Lepenci over/under 3.5
Over
6.4%
Under
93.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilindja 1974 over/under 0.5
Over
59.2%
Under
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilindja 1974 over/under 1.5
Over
22.6%
Under
77.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilindja 1974 over/under 2.5
Over
6.2%
Under
93.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilindja 1974 over/under 3.5
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to KF Lepenci, so a minus line means KF Lepenci give that many goals of a start and Rilindja 1974 receive them. At -1, KF Lepenci must win by two or more to land; a one-goal KF Lepenci win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (KF Lepenci)
KF Lepenci -2
10.3%
Draw -2
15.6%
Rilindja 1974 +2
74.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (KF Lepenci)
KF Lepenci -1
25.9%
Draw -1
23.9%
Rilindja 1974 +1
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (KF Lepenci)
KF Lepenci +1
78.5%
Draw +1
13.9%
Rilindja 1974 -1
7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (KF Lepenci)
KF Lepenci +2
92.4%
Draw +2
5.7%
Rilindja 1974 -2
1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KF LepenciKF Lepenci

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L01L00DH·2 K16/08A·RAM22/08H·MIT30/08
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.000.670.000.500.001.00
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Rilindja 1974) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rilindja 1974Rilindja 1974

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D10W00D11D00D00D00D14L01L01LA·PRI29/03H·TRE06/04A·RAM11/04H·VĂ‹L19/04H·KIK03/05A·SUH09/05H·DIN16/05A·TRE23/05A·DIN16/08H·FER22/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.340.830.470.670.211.00
vs Stronger (7)0.431.430.330.330.502.25
vs Similar (20)0.350.500.550.640.110.33
vs Weaker (2)0.002.000.002.000.002.00
Clean sheet %48% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (KF Lepenci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
KF Lepenci over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KF Lepenci over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KF Lepenci over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilindja 1974 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilindja 1974 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilindja 1974 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KF LepenciKF Lepenci

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L21W00DH·2 K16/08A·RAM22/08H·MIT30/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.670.000.502.001.00
vs Stronger (2)1.001.000.001.002.001.00
vs Similar (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Rilindja 1974) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rilindja 1974Rilindja 1974

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D11D10W00D20W13L34L03L01L10WA·PRI29/03H·TRE06/04A·RAM11/04H·VĂ‹L19/04H·KIK03/05A·SUH09/05H·DIN16/05A·TRE23/05A·DIN16/08H·FER22/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.520.970.670.800.361.14
vs Stronger (7)0.431.571.001.670.001.50
vs Similar (20)0.550.800.550.550.561.11
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %41% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (KF Lepenci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
KF Lepenci over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KF Lepenci over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KF Lepenci over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilindja 1974 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilindja 1974 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilindja 1974 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.7%-------
Under 6.598.9%-------
Away under 3.5 goals98.7%-------
Under 5.596.5%-------
Away under 2.5 goals93.8%-------
Home under 3.5 goals93.6%-------
Home +2 handicap92.4%-------
Under 4.590.6%-------
Home under 2.5 goals81.2%-------
Home or Draw78.5%-------
Home +1 handicap78.5%-------
Under 3.578.2%-------
Home over 0.5 goals77.4%-------
Away under 1.5 goals77.4%-------
Away +2 handicap74.1%-------
Home or Away71.3%-------
Over 1.570.1%-------

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
KL wins
0
Draws
0
R1 wins

Head-to-head

KF Lepenci vs Rilindja 1974 · H/A from KL
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

KF LepenciKF Lepenci

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HKL Vs Mitrovica0-0
22/08/26ARamiz Sadiku Vs KL2-2
16/08/26HKL Vs 2 Korriku0-2

Rilindja 1974Rilindja 1974

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26ATrepça Mitrovicë Vs R11-2
22/08/26HR1 Vs Ferizaj1-1
16/08/26ADinamo Ferizaj Vs R12-0
23/05/26ATrepça'89 Vs R17-1
16/05/26HR1 Vs Dinamo Ferizaj3-4
09/05/26ASuhareka Vs R13-1
03/05/26HR1 Vs Kika2-0
26/04/26AFC Besa Peja Vs R11-1
19/04/26HR1 Vs VĂ«llaznimi1-1
11/04/26ARamiz Sadiku Vs R10-1

đź“Š 16. Overall Statistics

KF Lepenci
KF Lepenci
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDD0.67
HomeLD0.50
AwayD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %0%0%0%
AVG goals2.001.004.00
Over 1.5 %67%50%100%
Over 2.5 %33%0%100%
Over 3.5 %33%0%100%
Scored0.670.002.00
Conceded1.331.002.00
BTTS33%0%100%
Clean Sheet33%50%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Rilindja 1974
Rilindja 1974
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDW0.97
HomeWDWLD1.33
AwayDLLLW0.63
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%33%16%
AVG goals2.762.672.84
Over 1.5 %84%83%84%
Over 2.5 %49%44%53%
Over 3.5 %30%28%32%
Scored1.001.280.74
Conceded1.761.392.11
BTTS59%67%53%
Clean Sheet19%17%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VĂ«llaznimiVĂ«llaznimi39
100%
3.0
61+5
2.3
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.3
-
2Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj37
67%
2.3
81+7
3.0
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.70.3
-
3TrepçaTrepça'8937
67%
2.3
30+3
1.0
33%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.0
-
4Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren37
67%
2.3
42+2
2.0
67%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.7
-
5SuharekaSuhareka36
67%
2.0
73+4
3.3
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.0
-
62 Korriku2 Korriku36
67%
2.0
42+2
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.7
-
7Rilindja 1974Rilindja 197434
33%
1.3
34-1
2.3
100%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
8VjosaVjosa33
33%
1.0
54+1
3.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.3
-
9Ramiz SadikuRamiz Sadiku33
0%
1.0
44+0
2.7
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
10KikaKika33
0%
1.0
11+0
0.7
33%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.30.3
-
11FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja33
33%
1.0
23-1
1.7
33%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.0
-
12Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë33
33%
1.0
48-4
4.0
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.7
-
13Prishtina e RePrishtina e Re33
33%
1.0
26-4
2.7
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.0
-
14IstoguIstogu33
33%
1.0
27-5
3.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.3
-
15KF LepenciKF Lepenci32
0%
0.7
24-2
2.0
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
16MitrovicaMitrovica32
0%
0.7
13-2
1.3
33%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.31.0
-
17FerizajFerizaj31
0%
0.3
24-2
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
18Tefik CangaTefik Canga31
0%
0.3
36-3
3.0
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →

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