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Khust City vs Chernihiv Result & Analysis

Date: 11/05/2024
Time: 11:30
Final 2-4
Khust City
Khust City
Vs
60%
23%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Chernihiv
Chernihiv
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Khust City win✗ Miss
59.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Chernihiv win✓ Hit
17.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Khust CityKhust City

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L14L12L41W42W20W10W01L30W20WH·NYV12/11A·NYV18/11H·MET24/11A·MET23/03H·HIR30/03A·CHE05/04H·KRE14/04A·DIN20/04H·MET28/04A·HIR04/05
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.221.561.231.231.211.86
vs Stronger (6)0.331.670.332.000.331.33
vs Similar (21)1.481.521.501.001.452.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernihiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChernihivChernihiv

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L20W22D22D04L02L00D21W12L15LH·VIK12/11A·HIR19/11H·SK 25/11H·POD23/03A·BUK30/03H·KHU05/04A·NYV13/04H·MET21/04A·POD27/04H·BUK04/05
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.932.231.002.130.872.33
vs Stronger (7)0.573.710.502.750.675.00
vs Similar (23)1.041.781.181.910.921.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Khust City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.6%
Under 1.5
19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.0%
Under 2.5
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.6%
Under 3.5
65.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.1%
No
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
10.0%
1-0
9.2%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
6.1%
1-2
5.0%
Khust City goals ↓
Chernihiv goals →
01234
06.1%4.1%2.5%0.8%0.2%
19.2%11%5.0%1.6%0.4%
210%10.0%4.9%1.6%0.4%
36.7%6.6%3.2%1.1%0.3%
43.3%3.3%1.6%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Khust City goals (down), columns = Chernihiv goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
UCSA
3.00
Inhulets
2.39
Karpaty
2.32
Zvyahel
2.00
Livyi Bereh
1.93
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.57
Bukovyna
1.46
Nyva Buzova
1.43
Prykarpattia
1.43
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1.39
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.39
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.36
SK Poltava
1.32
Yarud Mariupol'
1.32
Nyva Ternopil
1.29
Metal Kharkiv
1.07
Dinaz Vyshhorod
1.07
Khust City
1.00
Metalurh Zaporizhya
0.93
Kremin'
0.89
Hirnyk-Sport
0.82
Chernihiv
0.82
Khust City is 0.18 points better than Chernihiv in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.82).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
UCSA
3.50
Inhulets
2.14
Livyi Bereh
2.11
SK Poltava
1.75
Karpaty
1.75
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.39
Bukovyna
1.36
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1.29
Prykarpattia
1.25
Chernihiv
1.21
Khust City
1.17
Nyva Buzova
1.14
Dinaz Vyshhorod
1.11
Yarud Mariupol'
1.04
Nyva Ternopil
1.04
Zvyahel
1.00
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0.96
Metal Kharkiv
0.96
Metalurh Zaporizhya
0.93
Hirnyk-Sport
0.86
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0.82
Kremin'
0.71
Khust City is 0.05 goals worse than Chernihiv in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.21).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zvyahel
0.50
UCSA
0.50
Inhulets
0.61
Karpaty
0.71
Livyi Bereh
0.75
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0.93
Yarud Mariupol'
0.93
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0.96
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.04
Bukovyna
1.04
Nyva Ternopil
1.04
Prykarpattia
1.07
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.18
Nyva Buzova
1.21
Metal Kharkiv
1.21
Dinaz Vyshhorod
1.36
SK Poltava
1.61
Kremin'
1.71
Hirnyk-Sport
1.75
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.83
Khust City
1.83
Chernihiv
2.36
Khust City is 0.52 goals better than Chernihiv in terms of goals conceded per game (1.83 vs 2.36).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Khust CityKhust City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D13L01L11D01L00D00D00D10WA·POD04/11H·NYV12/11A·NYV18/11H·MET24/11A·MET23/03H·HIR30/03A·CHE05/04H·KRE14/04A·DIN20/04A·HIR04/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.350.650.250.420.430.86
vs Stronger (6)0.170.670.000.670.330.67
vs Similar (20)0.400.650.330.330.450.91
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %54% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernihiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChernihivChernihiv

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D01L02L01L00D00D11D11D12LH·VIK12/11A·HIR19/11H·SK 25/11H·POD23/03A·BUK30/03H·KHU05/04A·NYV13/04H·MET21/04A·POD27/04H·BUK04/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.930.530.930.470.93
vs Stronger (7)0.141.290.251.000.001.67
vs Similar (23)0.610.830.640.910.580.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Khust City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Khust City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khust City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khust City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernihiv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernihiv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernihiv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Khust CityKhust City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L01L01L11D30W41W20W10W01L10WA·POD04/11H·NYV12/11A·NYV18/11H·MET24/11A·MET23/03H·HIR30/03A·CHE05/04H·KRE14/04A·DIN20/04A·HIR04/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.810.960.830.920.791.00
vs Stronger (6)0.171.000.331.330.000.67
vs Similar (20)1.000.951.000.781.001.09
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %38% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernihiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChernihivChernihiv

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L20W21W20W03L02L00D10W01L03LH·VIK12/11A·HIR19/11H·SK 25/11H·POD23/03A·BUK30/03H·KHU05/04A·NYV13/04H·MET21/04A·POD27/04H·BUK04/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.300.471.200.401.40
vs Stronger (7)0.432.430.251.750.673.33
vs Similar (23)0.430.960.551.000.330.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Khust City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Khust City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khust City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khust City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernihiv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernihiv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernihiv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (28)
€13m
BUK (25)
€9m
ED (23)
€6m
LB (25)
€5m
SP (22)
€4m
YM (21)
€3m
NT (23)
€3m
MK (17)
€3m
UCS (23)
€2m
AV (18)
€2m
CHE (22)
€2m
VM (19)
€2m
PRY (18)
€2m
INH (15)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (8)
€4m
BUK (10)
€4m
LB (7)
€2m
ED (6)
€1m
YM (6)
€1m
SP (5)
€1m
UCS (8)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
VM (5)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
MK (4)
€0m
AV (3)
€0m
CHE (4)
€0m
INH (6)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (5)
€2m
BUK (5)
€2m
ED (6)
€2m
YM (7)
€1m
LB (6)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SP (7)
€1m
NT (5)
€1m
VM (8)
€1m
AV (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
MK (5)
€1m
UCS (5)
€1m
INH (5)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (15)
€7m
BUK (10)
€3m
ED (11)
€3m
LB (12)
€2m
SP (10)
€2m
MK (8)
€2m
AV (11)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
UCS (10)
€1m
CHE (10)
€1m
INH (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
YM (8)
€1m
VM (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
KC wins
0
Draws
0
CHE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Khust City vs Chernihiv · H/A from KC
DateH/AGameScore
05/04/24AChernihiv Vs KC0-2

Khust CityKhust City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/24AHirnyk-Sport Vs KC0-2
28/04/24HKC Vs Metalurh Zaporizhya3-0
20/04/24ADinaz Vyshhorod Vs KC1-0
14/04/24HKC Vs Kremin'1-0
05/04/24AChernihiv Vs KC0-2
30/03/24HKC Vs Hirnyk-Sport4-2
23/03/24AMetalurh Zaporizhya Vs KC1-4
24/11/23HKC Vs Metal Kharkiv1-2
18/11/23ANyva Ternopil Vs KC4-1
12/11/23HKC Vs Nyva Buzova0-1

ChernihivChernihiv

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/24HCHE Vs Bukovyna1-5
27/04/24APodillya Khmelnytskyi Vs CHE2-1
21/04/24HCHE Vs Metal Kharkiv2-1
13/04/24ANyva Ternopil Vs CHE0-0
05/04/24HCHE Vs Khust City0-2
30/03/24ABukovyna Vs CHE4-0
23/03/24HCHE Vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi2-2
25/11/23HCHE Vs SK Poltava2-2
19/11/23AHirnyk-Sport Vs CHE0-2
12/11/23HCHE Vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Khust City
Khust City
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW1.22
HomeLLWWW1.23
AwayLWWLW1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %37%38%36%
AVG goals2.782.463.07
Over 1.5 %70%69%71%
Over 2.5 %56%54%57%
Over 3.5 %26%8%43%
Scored1.221.231.21
Conceded1.561.231.86
BTTS41%46%36%
Clean Sheet30%23%36%
Corners---
Cards---
Chernihiv
Chernihiv
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLL0.89
HomeDDLWL0.96
AwayLWLDL0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %23%25%22%
AVG goals2.872.673.09
Over 1.5 %85%79%91%
Over 2.5 %53%50%57%
Over 3.5 %30%25%35%
Scored0.980.921.04
Conceded1.891.752.04
BTTS53%50%57%
Clean Sheet15%8%22%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1InhuletsInhulets2867
75%
2.4
6017+43
2.8
75%
57%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.10.6
-
2KarpatyKarpaty2865
71%
2.3
4920+29
2.5
64%
54%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
4271.80.7
-
3Livyi BerehLivyi Bereh2854
57%
1.9
5921+38
2.9
75%
54%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.10.8
-
4Epitsentr DunayivtsiEpitsentr Dunayivtsi2844
39%
1.6
3933+6
2.6
79%
43%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
1231.41.2
-
5BukovynaBukovyna2841
43%
1.5
3829+9
2.4
61%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
4231.41.0
-
6PrykarpattiaPrykarpattia2840
36%
1.4
3530+5
2.3
61%
36%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.1
-
7Nyva BuzovaNyva Buzova2840
36%
1.4
3234-2
2.4
68%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
8Podillya KhmelnytskyiPodillya Khmelnytskyi2839
32%
1.4
3626+10
2.2
75%
36%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.9
-
9Viktoriya MykolaivkaViktoriya Mykolaivka2839
36%
1.4
2327-4
1.8
46%
32%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.81.0
-
10Ahrobiznes VolochyskAhrobiznes Volochysk2838
36%
1.4
2729-2
2.0
64%
39%
7%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.0
-
11SK PoltavaSK Poltava2837
36%
1.3
4945+4
3.4
89%
75%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.6
-
12Yarud MariupolYarud Mariupol'2837
29%
1.3
2926+3
2.0
64%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.00.9
-
13Nyva TernopilNyva Ternopil2836
32%
1.3
2929+0
2.1
61%
32%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.0
-
14Dinaz VyshhorodDinaz Vyshhorod2830
29%
1.1
3138-7
2.5
75%
46%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
15Metal KharkivMetal Kharkiv2830
25%
1.1
2734-7
2.2
64%
50%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.01.2
-
16Khust CityKhust City3030
30%
1.0
3555-20
3.0
70%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
17Metalurh ZaporizhyaMetalurh Zaporizhya3028
23%
0.9
2855-27
2.8
73%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.8
-
18KreminKremin'2825
21%
0.9
2048-28
2.4
57%
46%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.7
-
19Hirnyk-SportHirnyk-Sport2823
21%
0.8
2449-25
2.6
68%
39%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.8
-
20ChernihivChernihiv2823
21%
0.8
3466-32
3.6
89%
71%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.22.4
-
21UCSAUCSA26
100%
3.0
71+6
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1113.50.5
-
22ZvyahelZvyahel24
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.5
-
Ukraine: Persha Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Persha Liga stats & trends →

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