The model points to an AEK Athens FC win as the most likely outcome, with a 49% chance of victory, 28% for a draw and 23% for a Kifisia win. The expected total of 2.5 goals suggests a modestly open game, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.3% probability. Kifisia, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 1.0 goal scored and 4.0 conceded, while AEK Athens, on the road against a weaker opponent, averages 2.38 scored and 1.0 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.5%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.2%), Home under 3.5 goals (99.0%), Under 6.5 (98.3% with a 3% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (98.2%), Over 19.5 fouls (98.1%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (95.6% with a 6% edge), and Over 21.5 fouls (95.3%). Both sides have been on a two-game winning streak, with Kifisia’s last win 6-1 over Zakynthos and AEK Athens’ last 4-0 over Levski Sofia.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, AEK Athens FC, did not deliver; the match finished 1-1, a draw that left the model’s prediction wrong. Kifisia’s recent form, a draw that kept them level, and AEK’s unbeaten run of five games set the stage for a tight encounter. The model had given AEK a 48% chance to win, yet the result was a stalemate. Every model selection was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.5%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.2%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 99.0%, Under 6.5 hit at 98.3%, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 98.3%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.1%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 95.5%, and Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 95.4%. All probabilities were expressed as percentages.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Kifisia win✗ Miss
23.8%
Avg Implied 10.2% · @ 9.14
Edge
+13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
10.00
10Bet
10.00
Pinnacle
9.65
Bet365
9.50
BetVictor
9.50
Draw✓ Hit
28.3%
Avg Implied 18.3% · @ 5.09
Edge
+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
5.50
Dafabet
5.40
Pinnacle
5.40
Superbet
5.30
Betano
5.20
AEK Athens FC win✗ Miss
47.8%
Avg Implied 71.5% · @ 1.31
Edge
-23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.33
Dafabet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.32
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Kifisia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.20
1.14
1.21
1.00
1.19
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
2.40
1.00
4.00
0.25
2.00
vs Similar (14)
1.07
1.00
0.88
1.12
1.33
0.83
vs Weaker (11)
1.36
0.91
1.60
0.80
1.17
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEK Athens FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
0.70
2.31
0.69
1.64
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.69
0.54
2.57
0.71
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (17)
2.24
0.82
2.11
0.67
2.38
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Kifisia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.7%
@ 1.20-5.5%
Under 1.5
27.3%
@ 4.29+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Pinnacle
4.48
BetVictor
4.40
Superbet
4.40
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.9%
@ 1.66-10.9%
Under 2.5
54.1%
@ 2.18+10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
Superbet
1.68
Betfair
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Under
Pinnacle
2.26
Betano
2.22
Superbet
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Marathonbet
2.19
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.5%
@ 2.64-11.0%
Under 3.5
75.5%
@ 1.45+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.73
Superbet
2.70
Betano
2.70
Betfair
2.70
BetVictor
2.63
Under
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.5%
@ 2.03+4.7%
No
49.5%
@ 1.71-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
2.25
Superbet
2.07
Betano
2.05
BetVictor
2.00
Bet365
2.00
No
William Hil
1.80
Bet365
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.72
Betano
1.72
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.5%@ 9.48+8.7%
0-1
11.0%@ 6.64+4.2%
0-0
9.4%@ 12.91+5.8%
0-2
9.3%@ 5.96+1.7%
1-2
9.3%@ 8.26+3.8%
1-0
6.9%@ 20.97+4.7%
2-1
6.1%@ 25.33+4.3%
0-3
4.7%@ 7.77-1.2%
Kifisia goals ↓
AEK Athens FC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.4%
11%
9.3%
4.7%
1.8%
1
6.9%
13%
9.3%
4.7%
1.8%
2
4.1%
6.1%
4.6%
2.3%
0.9%
3
1.4%
2.0%
1.5%
0.8%
0.3%
4
0.3%
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kifisia goals (down), columns = AEK Athens FC goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AEK Athens FC
2.29
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.12
PAOK
2.06
Panathinaikos
1.71
Levadiakos
1.61
Aris Thessalonikis
1.44
Atromitos
1.29
Iraklis 1908
1.22
OFI
1.22
Kifisia
1.18
Kalamata
1.03
Volos NFC
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
Kifisia is 1.11 points worse than AEK Athens FC in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 2.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Levadiakos
2.00
PAOK
1.88
AEK Athens FC
1.76
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.68
Panathinaikos
1.56
Atromitos
1.39
OFI
1.34
Kifisia
1.18
Iraklis 1908
1.17
Aris Thessalonikis
1.08
Volos NFC
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
Kalamata
0.99
Kifisia is 0.58 goals worse than AEK Athens FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 1.76).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.50
AEK Athens FC
0.62
PAOK
0.76
Panathinaikos
1.00
Aris Thessalonikis
1.06
Atromitos
1.18
Asteras Tripolis
1.39
Kifisia
1.42
Panetolikos
1.42
Iraklis 1908
1.48
Levadiakos
1.50
Volos NFC
1.67
OFI
1.72
Kalamata
1.75
Kifisia is 0.80 goals worse than AEK Athens FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 0.62).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Olympiakos Piraeus
60%
PAOK
60%
AEK Athens FC
57%
Levadiakos
56%
Atromitos
53%
Panathinaikos
53%
Aris Thessalonikis
51%
Kifisia
48%
Volos NFC
46%
Panetolikos
46%
OFI
45%
Asteras Tripolis
45%
Kifisia is 9.3 percentage points worse than AEK Athens FC in terms of average possession (48% vs 57%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Kifisia
For 3.8 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.8 · Against 13.1 · Total 29.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AEK Athens FC
For 5.9 · Against 2.6 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.4 · Against 13.3 · Total 29.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kifisia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
7.9
10.2
5.1
4.7
5.4
32.4
32.3
32.5
vs Stronger (9)
10.0
8.0
12.0
6.6
7.2
6.0
34.1
37.0
31.2
vs Similar (22)
9.0
8.1
9.9
4.7
4.0
5.3
30.8
29.1
32.4
vs Weaker (19)
8.5
7.5
9.4
4.8
4.3
5.3
33.5
33.8
33.3
% over line
36%
21%
50%
68%
65%
70%
95%
89%
100%
% under line
64%
79%
50%
32%
35%
30%
5%
11%
0%
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEK Athens FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
8.0
9.5
4.7
4.4
5.1
29.5
30.0
29.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
8.4
7.8
9.0
5.4
5.1
5.6
28.7
30.6
27.0
vs Weaker (33)
9.0
8.2
9.8
4.4
4.0
4.8
29.9
29.6
30.2
% over line
38%
32%
43%
76%
68%
84%
96%
95%
96%
% under line
62%
68%
57%
24%
32%
16%
4%
5%
4%
This opponent (Kifisia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kifisia
9.5
Asteras Tripolis
9.3
Aris Thessalonikis
9.3
OFI
8.9
Atromitos
8.9
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.9
PAOK
8.8
AEK Athens FC
8.8
Panetolikos
8.6
Panathinaikos
8.5
Volos NFC
8.5
Levadiakos
8.5
Kalamata
8.3
Iraklis 1908
4.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Kifisia
6.6
Kalamata
6.3
Volos NFC
5.5
Panetolikos
5.5
Levadiakos
5.5
Asteras Tripolis
5.4
OFI
5.4
AEK Athens FC
5.3
Aris Thessalonikis
5.2
Panathinaikos
5.1
Atromitos
4.9
Iraklis 1908
4.7
PAOK
4.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Iraklis 1908
38.0
Kalamata
37.5
Kifisia
32.2
Volos NFC
30.5
Levadiakos
30.5
Atromitos
30.4
AEK Athens FC
29.3
OFI
28.6
Aris Thessalonikis
28.4
Panathinaikos
28.3
Asteras Tripolis
27.6
Panetolikos
27.1
Olympiakos Piraeus
25.4
PAOK
24.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
33.5%
@ 2.28-7.1%
Under 9.5
66.5%
@ 1.56+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.37
Marathonbet
2.29
Superbet
2.27
Pinnacle
2.24
1xBet
2.23
Under
Pinnacle
1.61
Superbet
1.56
1xBet
1.55
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.51
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
80.8%
@ 1.29+9.0%
Under 3.5
19.2%
@ 3.27-9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.33
Betano
1.25
Under
Betano
3.70
Superbet
2.85
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
95.5%
Under 21.5
4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Kifisia or Draw✓ Hit
41.9%
Avg Implied 28.8% · @ 3.26
Edge
+13.1%
24%
28%
48%
covers Kifisia + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.75
Betano
3.45
BetVictor
3.30
Superbet
3.30
William Hil
3.25
Kifisia or AEK Athens FC✗ Miss
74.5%
Avg Implied 82.3% · @ 1.14
Edge
-7.8%
24%
28%
48%
covers Kifisia + AEK Athens FC
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Draw or AEK Athens FC✓ Hit
83.6%
Avg Implied 88.9% · @ 1.05
Edge
-5.4%
24%
28%
48%
covers Draw + AEK Athens FC
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
William Hil
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Kifisia over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
56.4%
@ 1.87+6.6%
Under
43.6%
@ 1.86-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
1.91
Superbet
1.88
Betano
1.88
10Bet
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
Bet365
1.91
BetVictor
1.87
Betano
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
Kifisia over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
20.2%
@ 5.31+2.7%
Under
79.8%
@ 1.13-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Superbet
5.40
Marathonbet
5.35
Under
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Kifisia over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.2%
@ 15.92-0.8%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.02+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Kifisia over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.0%
@ 55.50-99.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
60.00
Bet365
51.00
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
82.6%
@ 1.07-4.7%
Under
17.4%
@ 7.35+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Under
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
7.60
Betfair
7.50
Superbet
7.40
BetVictor
7.00
AEK Athens FC over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
52.2%
@ 1.41-13.7%
Under
47.8%
@ 2.73+13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Superbet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Under
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.85
BetVictor
2.75
Superbet
2.72
Marathonbet
2.71
AEK Athens FC over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
25.6%
@ 2.31-14.8%
Under
74.4%
@ 1.56+14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.43
Bet365
2.38
1xBet
2.34
Marathonbet
2.32
BetVictor
2.30
Under
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.58
Superbet
1.58
10Bet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
AEK Athens FC over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.1%
@ 4.38-11.2%
Under
89.9%
@ 1.18+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.50
Betfair
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Under
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Kifisia, so a minus line means Kifisia give that many goals of a start and AEK Athens FC receive them. At -1, Kifisia must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kifisia win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Kifisia)Actual: AEK Athens FC
Kifisia -2
1.3%
@ 87.33+0.2%
Draw -2
4.1%
@ 30.33+1.0%
AEK Athens FC +2
94.6%
@ 1.01-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
101.00
Bet365
101.00
Superbet
60.00
Draw
Bet365
34.00
Betfair
34.00
Superbet
23.00
Away
Betfair
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Handicap -1 (Kifisia)Actual: AEK Athens FC
Kifisia -1
5.4%
@ 23.67+1.5%
Draw -1
11.0%
@ 10.97+2.6%
AEK Athens FC +1
83.6%
@ 1.05-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
26.00
Betfair
26.00
Superbet
19.00
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Betfair
12.00
Superbet
8.90
Away
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
Handicap +1 (Kifisia)Actual: Kifisia
Kifisia +1
41.9%
@ 3.39+15.5%
Draw +1
24.4%
@ 3.63-0.3%
AEK Athens FC -1
33.7%
@ 1.83-15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Superbet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.25
Draw
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.65
10Bet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
Away
Marathonbet
1.91
10Bet
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.73
Handicap +2 (Kifisia)Actual: Kifisia
Kifisia +2
66.3%
@ 1.86+18.0%
Draw +2
18.3%
@ 3.86-4.9%
AEK Athens FC -2
15.3%
@ 3.16-13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.91
Superbet
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.95
Superbet
3.85
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Away
Bet365
3.40
10Bet
3.20
Superbet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.08
Betfair
3.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kifisia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.50
0.64
0.56
0.69
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.20
0.00
1.00
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (14)
0.64
0.43
0.50
0.50
0.83
0.33
vs Weaker (11)
0.55
0.73
0.60
0.80
0.50
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEK Athens FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.40
0.88
0.38
0.64
0.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.46
0.23
0.71
0.29
0.17
0.17
vs Weaker (17)
1.00
0.53
1.00
0.44
1.00
0.62
Clean sheet %
67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Kifisia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
69.3%
@ 1.30-2.4%
Under 0.5
30.7%
@ 3.29+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.32
10Bet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Under
Superbet
3.45
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.30
William Hil
3.30
Marathonbet
3.28
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
33.1%
@ 2.41-5.7%
Under 1.5
66.9%
@ 1.52+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.52
Betano
2.52
Bet365
2.50
Betfair
2.40
1xBet
2.39
Under
Superbet
1.55
William Hil
1.55
10Bet
1.55
Betano
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.8%
@ 5.47-5.1%
Under 2.5
88.2%
@ 1.12+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
Betano
5.50
Betfair
5.50
William Hil
5.50
1xBet
5.30
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Betfair
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kifisia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
34.5%
@ 3.29+6.2%
Under
65.5%
@ 1.30-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.58
Betano
3.35
Superbet
3.25
Marathonbet
3.24
10Bet
3.20
Under
1xBet
1.32
Betano
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
Kifisia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.4%
@ 12.83-0.9%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.02+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Kifisia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.8%
@ 70.00-99.2%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
70.00
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
58.8%
@ 1.48-4.3%
Under
41.2%
@ 2.53+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.48
1xBet
1.48
Superbet
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Under
Pinnacle
2.64
10Bet
2.55
Superbet
2.55
1xBet
2.48
Betano
2.42
AEK Athens FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
18.7%
@ 3.21-10.1%
Under
81.3%
@ 1.30+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.30
Marathonbet
3.26
1xBet
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Superbet
3.10
Under
Superbet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
AEK Athens FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.6%
@ 8.00-7.0%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.05+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.80
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.60
Superbet
7.60
Under
Superbet
1.06
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kifisia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.53
0.64
0.57
0.44
0.50
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.20
1.00
3.00
0.00
0.75
vs Similar (14)
0.43
0.57
0.38
0.62
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (11)
0.82
0.18
1.00
0.00
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEK Athens FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.30
1.44
0.31
1.00
0.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.23
0.31
1.86
0.43
0.50
0.17
vs Weaker (17)
1.24
0.29
1.11
0.22
1.38
0.38
Clean sheet %
70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Kifisia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.7%
@ 1.18-1.2%
Under 0.5
22.3%
@ 4.40+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Under
Betano
4.55
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.45
Marathonbet
4.40
1xBet
4.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
46.7%
@ 1.88-2.9%
Under 1.5
53.3%
@ 1.85+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.91
10Bet
1.90
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Under
Betano
1.93
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Superbet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.8%
@ 3.69-7.5%
Under 2.5
82.2%
@ 1.24+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.90
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.75
1xBet
3.58
Marathonbet
3.58
Under
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kifisia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
38.6%
@ 2.72+4.5%
Under
61.4%
@ 1.40-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.85
Superbet
2.75
Betano
2.72
Marathonbet
2.68
1xBet
2.60
Under
1xBet
1.44
Betano
1.42
Marathonbet
1.40
Superbet
1.40
10Bet
1.36
Kifisia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.0%
@ 10.10-0.2%
Under
91.0%
@ 1.02+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
11.00
Marathonbet
10.50
1xBet
10.50
Superbet
10.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
Kifisia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 45.00-98.1%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
45.00
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
66.6%
@ 1.32-3.8%
Under
33.4%
@ 3.14+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.33
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Under
Betano
3.20
10Bet
3.20
1xBet
3.10
Superbet
3.05
AEK Athens FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
27.2%
@ 2.44-10.7%
Under
72.8%
@ 1.49+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.47
1xBet
2.47
10Bet
2.45
Marathonbet
2.43
Betano
2.40
Under
Betano
1.53
10Bet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
Superbet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.48
AEK Athens FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.1%
@ 5.58-8.5%
Under
91.9%
@ 1.11+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.80
10Bet
5.75
Superbet
5.65
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
95.4%
1.05
Superbet
1.06
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
-
+7.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.2%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
BetVictor
1.03
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
94.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
94.6%
1.01
Betfair
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-1.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
93.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
91.9%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
-
+8.5%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
91.7%
1.10
Betano
1.10
-
-
-
-
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
91.0%
1.02
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
89.9%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
+11.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.2%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Betfair
1.11
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
88.0%
1.17
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Pinnacle
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
+7.7%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
85.7%
1.17
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.16
-
-
-
+8.0%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
83.6%
1.05
Betano
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
William Hil
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
-5.4%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
83.6%
1.05
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
-
-
-4.1%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
82.6%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
-4.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.2%
1.24
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
81.3%
1.30
Superbet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
+10.1%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
80.8%
1.29
Superbet
1.33
Betano
1.25
-
-
-
+9.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
79.8%
1.13
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Superbet
1.13
-2.7%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.7%
1.18
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
-1.2%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
77.4%
1.31
Superbet
1.36
1xBet
1.31
Betano
1.31
Marathonbet
1.28
-
+7.6%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.5%
1.45
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
+11.0%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
74.5%
1.14
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
-7.8%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
74.4%
1.56
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.58
Superbet
1.58
10Bet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
+14.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
72.8%
1.49
Betano
1.53
10Bet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
Superbet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.48
+10.7%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.7%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Betfair
1.20
-5.5%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Kifisia · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pavlos Pantelidis54%
Jorge Pombo29%
Andreas Tetteh29%
Apostolos Christopoulos15%
Sebastian Musiolik12%
Dimitris Theodoridis12%
Yasser Larouci8%
Lazare Amani7%
Jakub Pokorný7%
Bernardo Martins6%
Konstantinos Roukounakis6%
Hugo Sousa4%
Jeremy Antonisse4%
Vasilios Xenopoulos0%
Jorge Díaz0%
Panagiotis Tzimas0%
Ché Nunnely0%
Alberto Botía0%
Simon David0%
Rubén Pérez0%
Lucas Villafáñez0%
Alex Petkov0%
Moisés Ramírez0%
Diamantis Chouchoumis0%
Matías Esquivel0%
Patrik Mijić0%
Gerson Sousa0%
Timipere Johnson Eboh0%
Miguel Tavares0%
Cheick Konaté0%
Michalis Patiras0%
Luciano Maidana0%
Alexandros Pothas0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Andreas Tetteh36%
Apostolos Christopoulos35%
Lucas Villafáñez33%
Alexandros Pothas33%
Yasser Larouci31%
Pavlos Pantelidis31%
Luciano Maidana30%
Konstantinos Roukounakis29%
Rubén Pérez29%
Simon David28%
Timipere Johnson Eboh27%
Moisés Ramírez25%
Matías Esquivel25%
Jeremy Antonisse25%
Hugo Sousa23%
Miguel Tavares22%
Alberto Botía21%
Lazare Amani21%
Jakub Pokorný21%
Dimitris Theodoridis18%
Jorge Pombo17%
Diamantis Chouchoumis15%
Vasilios Xenopoulos14%
Jorge Díaz14%
Alex Petkov14%
Cheick Konaté12%
Bernardo Martins12%
Gerson Sousa11%
Ché Nunnely8%
Panagiotis Tzimas0%
Sebastian Musiolik0%
Patrik Mijić0%
Michalis Patiras0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michalis Patiras67%
Andreas Tetteh21%
Jorge Pombo9%
Lucas Villafáñez8%
Simon David8%
Yasser Larouci8%
Pavlos Pantelidis8%
Gerson Sousa7%
Cheick Konaté6%
Dimitris Theodoridis6%
Timipere Johnson Eboh4%
Jeremy Antonisse4%
Lazare Amani0%
Vasilios Xenopoulos0%
Jorge Díaz0%
Panagiotis Tzimas0%
Ché Nunnely0%
Sebastian Musiolik0%
Bernardo Martins0%
Alberto Botía0%
Rubén Pérez0%
Jakub Pokorný0%
Hugo Sousa0%
Alex Petkov0%
Moisés Ramírez0%
Diamantis Chouchoumis0%
Matías Esquivel0%
Patrik Mijić0%
Konstantinos Roukounakis0%
Miguel Tavares0%
Apostolos Christopoulos0%
Luciano Maidana0%
Alexandros Pothas0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andreas Tetteh64%
Jorge Pombo40%
Jeremy Antonisse25%
Dimitris Theodoridis18%
Bernardo Martins12%
Miguel Tavares11%
Gerson Sousa11%
Ché Nunnely8%
Pavlos Pantelidis8%
Konstantinos Roukounakis6%
Simon David4%
Lazare Amani3%
Vasilios Xenopoulos0%
Jorge Díaz0%
Panagiotis Tzimas0%
Sebastian Musiolik0%
Alberto Botía0%
Rubén Pérez0%
Lucas Villafáñez0%
Jakub Pokorný0%
Hugo Sousa0%
Alex Petkov0%
Moisés Ramírez0%
Diamantis Chouchoumis0%
Matías Esquivel0%
Yasser Larouci0%
Patrik Mijić0%
Timipere Johnson Eboh0%
Apostolos Christopoulos0%
Cheick Konaté0%
Michalis Patiras0%
Luciano Maidana0%
Alexandros Pothas0%
AEK Athens FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Barnabás Varga67%
Luka Jović33%
Răzvan Marin33%
Petros Mantalos0%
Lovro Majer0%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Aboubakary Koita0%
Harold Moukoudi0%
Stavros Pilios0%
Kaan Kairinen0%
Lazaros Rota0%
Oleksandr Zubkov0%
Filipe Relvas0%
Zini0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Răzvan Marin33%
Aboubakary Koita33%
Stavros Pilios33%
Lazaros Rota33%
Zini33%
Petros Mantalos0%
Lovro Majer0%
Luka Jović0%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Barnabás Varga0%
Harold Moukoudi0%
Kaan Kairinen0%
Oleksandr Zubkov0%
Filipe Relvas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lovro Majer33%
Răzvan Marin33%
Lazaros Rota33%
Filipe Relvas33%
Petros Mantalos0%
Luka Jović0%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Barnabás Varga0%
Aboubakary Koita0%
Harold Moukoudi0%
Stavros Pilios0%
Kaan Kairinen0%
Oleksandr Zubkov0%
Zini0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Răzvan Marin67%
Luka Jović33%
Petros Mantalos0%
Lovro Majer0%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Barnabás Varga0%
Aboubakary Koita0%
Harold Moukoudi0%
Stavros Pilios0%
Kaan Kairinen0%
Lazaros Rota0%
Oleksandr Zubkov0%
Filipe Relvas0%
Zini0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
OFI (24)
€18m
LEV (24)
€16m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
KAL (28)
€11m
VN (25)
€10m
KIF (27)
€10m
I1 (25)
€9m
Kifisia's squad is €75m less valuable than AEK Athens FC's (€10m vs €85m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
OFI (6)
€6m
LEV (11)
€5m
AT (11)
€5m
KIF (10)
€4m
KAL (8)
€4m
VN (8)
€4m
ATR (7)
€3m
I1 (6)
€2m
Kifisia's attack is €39m less valuable than AEK Athens FC's (€4m vs €44m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
LEV (4)
€5m
OFI (5)
€3m
I1 (7)
€3m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
KAL (6)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
KIF (6)
€2m
VN (5)
€2m
Kifisia's midfield is €14m less valuable than AEK Athens FC's (€2m vs €16m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
OFI (13)
€8m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
VN (12)
€5m
LEV (9)
€5m
KAL (14)
€5m
KIF (11)
€4m
I1 (12)
€4m
PAN (11)
€3m
Kifisia's defence is €21m less valuable than AEK Athens FC's (€4m vs €26m).
Greece: Super League 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
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PAOK
Panetolikos
Aris Thessalonikis
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panathinaikos
OFI
Volos NFC
Iraklis 1908
Atromitos
Kalamata
Asteras Tripolis
Levadiakos