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Kika vs Vjosa Result & Analysis

Date: 23/05/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 0-1
Kika
Kika
Vs
48%
29%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Vjosa
Vjosa
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Kika is expected to win this match in the Kosovo: Liga E Pare, having recently suffered five consecutive defeats, including a 0-1 loss to Vjosa in their last encounter. The model predicts a home win, with a 48% chance of Kika emerging victorious. The draw is a 29% possibility, while Vjosa's away win is the least likely outcome at 23%. The expected total number of goals is 2.4, with the most likely total being 2 goals.

The most likely score is 1-1, occurring with a 13.8% probability. When playing at home, Kika has scored an average of 1.25 goals and conceded 1.0, while Vjosa has averaged 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded away from home against similar opponents. The model's selections include Under 3.5 at 78.8%, with no other selections provided. Kika's home win percentage is 48%, the draw percentage is 29%, and Vjosa's away win percentage is 23%.

Results analysis

Kika's five-game losing streak came to a crashing halt, but not in the way anyone expected. The home team's recent form, marked by five consecutive defeats, was not a harbinger of things to come, as Vjosa secured a 0-1 away win. The pre-match favourite, a Home win, was the model's selection with a 48% probability, but unfortunately, the model's call was wrong. The model's selection was not the only one to miss the mark, as the suggested pick of Under 3.5 goals hit with 78.8% probability, but the other suggested picks did not come to fruition. The final score was a 0-1 win for Vjosa, a result that extends their run of mixed form.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kika win✗ Miss
48.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vjosa win✓ Hit
22.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KikaKika

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W02L01L01L13L01L02L01L01LA·TRE15/03H·RAM22/03A·VËL29/03H·FC 05/04A·TRE12/04A·SUH19/04H·DIN25/04A·RIL03/05H·LIR09/05A·TEF16/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.271.071.140.501.38
vs Stronger (10)0.501.700.801.600.201.80
vs Similar (17)0.881.061.251.000.561.11
vs Weaker (3)1.001.001.000.001.001.50
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Vjosa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VjosaVjosa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W11D13L22D14L11D30W02L13L23LA·KEK14/03H·VUS22/03A·FER29/03H·2 K05/04A·IST11/04H·PRI19/04A·TRE26/04H·RAM03/05A·VËL09/05H·FC 16/05
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.731.501.440.862.07
vs Stronger (7)1.002.711.672.000.503.25
vs Similar (19)1.211.681.361.451.002.00
vs Weaker (4)1.500.252.000.501.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Kika) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.4%
Under 1.5
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.8%
Under 2.5
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.2%
Under 3.5
78.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.0%
No
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
10.8%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.0%
0-1 ✓
7.4%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.7%
Kika goals ↓
Vjosa goals →
01234
011%7.4%4.0%1.2%0.3%
112%14%5.7%1.7%0.4%
29.8%9.0%4.1%1.3%0.3%
34.7%4.3%2.0%0.6%0.1%
41.7%1.6%0.7%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kika goals (down), columns = Vjosa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vushtrria
2.21
Feronikeli
2.18
Liria Prizren
2.09
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Trepça'89
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Istogu
0.94
KEK-u
0.64
Prizreni
0.59
Kika is 0.06 points worse than Vjosa in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 1.03).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Vushtrria
1.82
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Liria Prizren
1.76
Suhareka
1.76
Feronikeli
1.74
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Prizreni
0.82
KEK-u
0.76
Kika
0.74
Kika is 0.41 goals worse than Vjosa in terms of goals scored per game (0.74 vs 1.15).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Feronikeli
0.65
Vushtrria
0.76
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Liria Prizren
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
KEK-u
1.91
Prizreni
1.94
Kika is 0.53 goals better than Vjosa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.79).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔥 6. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 7. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (27)
€2m
VUS (19)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUS (0)
€0m
FER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUS (0)
€0m
FER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUS (0)
€0m
FER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 8. Games History

Head-to-head

Kika vs Vjosa · H/A from KIK
DateH/AGameScore
16/11/25AVjosa Vs KIK0-0

KikaKika

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26ATefik Canga Vs KIK1-0
09/05/26HKIK Vs Liria Prizren0-1
03/05/26ARilindja 1974 Vs KIK2-0
25/04/26HKIK Vs Dinamo Ferizaj0-1
19/04/26ASuhareka Vs KIK3-1
12/04/26ATrepça'89 Vs KIK1-0
05/04/26HKIK Vs FC Besa Peja0-1
29/03/26AVëllaznimi Vs KIK2-0
22/03/26HKIK Vs Ramiz Sadiku1-0
15/03/26ATrepça Mitrovicë Vs KIK0-2

VjosaVjosa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26HVJO Vs FC Besa Peja2-3
09/05/26AVëllaznimi Vs VJO3-1
03/05/26HVJO Vs Ramiz Sadiku0-2
26/04/26ATrepça Mitrovicë Vs VJO0-3
19/04/26HVJO Vs Prizreni1-1
11/04/26AIstogu Vs VJO4-1
05/04/26HVJO Vs 2 Korriku2-2
29/03/26AFeronikeli Vs VJO3-1
22/03/26HVJO Vs Vushtrria1-1
14/03/26AKEK-u Vs VJO0-1

📊 9. Overall Statistics

Kika
Kika
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.00
HomeWWLLL1.44
AwayLLLLL0.59
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%44%12%
AVG goals2.032.121.94
Over 1.5 %61%50%71%
Over 2.5 %30%31%29%
Over 3.5 %15%25%6%
Scored0.761.060.47
Conceded1.271.061.47
BTTS27%31%24%
Clean Sheet30%38%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Vjosa
Vjosa
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLL0.97
HomeDDDLL1.24
AwayWLLWL0.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%29%19%
AVG goals3.002.823.19
Over 1.5 %79%88%69%
Over 2.5 %61%53%69%
Over 3.5 %39%29%50%
Scored1.151.410.88
Conceded1.851.412.31
BTTS58%65%50%
Clean Sheet24%18%31%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 10. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VushtrriaVushtrria3475
65%
2.2
6226+36
2.6
74%
50%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.8
-
2FeronikeliFeronikeli3474
65%
2.2
5922+37
2.4
71%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.70.6
-
3Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren3471
62%
2.1
6029+31
2.6
65%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.9
-
4Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj3471
65%
2.1
6139+22
2.9
74%
53%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.1
-
5TrepçaTrepça'893470
59%
2.1
7233+39
3.1
82%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.0
-
6VëllaznimiVëllaznimi3470
62%
2.1
5832+26
2.6
71%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.9
-
7Ramiz SadikuRamiz Sadiku3450
41%
1.5
3929+10
2.0
59%
32%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.9
-
8SuharekaSuhareka3444
38%
1.3
6061-1
3.6
82%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
9Tefik CangaTefik Canga3440
35%
1.2
4854-6
3.0
79%
56%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
102 Korriku2 Korriku3439
32%
1.1
5264-12
3.4
91%
68%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.9
-
11FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja3335
27%
1.1
3952-13
2.8
70%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
12VjosaVjosa3435
26%
1.0
3961-22
2.9
76%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
13Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë3434
26%
1.0
4962-13
3.3
85%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
14KikaKika3433
26%
1.0
2543-18
2.0
59%
29%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
15IstoguIstogu3432
21%
0.9
4760-13
3.1
74%
50%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
16Rilindja 1974Rilindja 19743432
24%
0.9
3461-27
2.8
82%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
17KEK-uKEK-u3321
12%
0.6
2563-38
2.7
79%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
18PrizreniPrizreni3420
9%
0.6
2866-38
2.8
79%
53%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →

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