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Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen Result & Analysis

Date: 24/02/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Vs
55%
26%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
Scotland: Premiership
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Kilmarnock are the clear favorites, with a 55% chance of victory, a 26% chance of a draw and a 19% chance of Aberdeen winning. The model picks a home win and expects 2.7 goals, with the most likely total being two goals at 25%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.2% probability, even though the final result will be 2-0.

At home, Kilmarnock average 1.55 goals scored and 0.73 conceded against similar opposition, while Aberdeen away average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded. The suggested picks include Over 8.5 corners at 78.5%, Over 2.5 cards at 78.3%, Over 1.5 at 76.8%, Under 5.5 cards at 76.2%, Over 19.5 fouls at 73.8%, Under 25.5 fouls at 73.4% and Under 3.5 at 70.7%. Each selection is listed with its probability and noted as hit or miss.

Results analysis

Kilmarnock’s 2-0 win over Aberdeen extended their recent run, ending a defeat to Dundee Utd. The model’s pre-match favourite was a home win at 55%, and this call proved correct. The expected total of 2.7 goals and the most likely score of 1-1 (25%) were not realised, but the 2-0 outcome still fell within the model’s range of likely scores. Among the suggested selections, Over 1.5 (76.8%) and Under 3.5 (70.7%) hit, as did Under 5.5 cards (76.2%) and Over 19.5 fouls (73.8%). The Over 8.5 corners (78.5%) and Over 2.5 cards (78.3%) missed, while Under 25.5 fouls (73.4%) also missed. The model’s overall predictions were largely accurate, with only a few missed selections.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kilmarnock win✓ Hit
55.3%
Avg Implied 43.7% · @ 2.15
Edge
+11.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied 27.7% · @ 3.39
Edge
-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen win✗ Miss
19.1%
Avg Implied 28.6% · @ 3.29
Edge
-9.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W00D21W10W22D13L22D11D10W11DH·CEL10/12A·LIV16/12H·ST 23/12A·ST 27/12H·DUN30/12A·RAN02/01H·HIB27/01A·MOT03/02H·LIV07/02A·CEL17/02
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.971.500.880.931.07
vs Stronger (10)1.001.401.401.200.601.60
vs Similar (20)1.350.751.550.731.110.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AberdeenAberdeen

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W03L30W11D02L11D11D12L33D22DH·LIV20/12H·ST 30/12A·ROS02/01A·ST 24/01A·HEA27/01H·DUN30/01H·CEL03/02A·RAN06/02H·MOT14/02H·HIB17/02
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.701.381.441.362.00
vs Stronger (9)1.442.001.501.251.402.60
vs Similar (13)1.151.921.291.861.002.00
vs Weaker (8)1.621.001.401.002.001.00
Clean sheet %13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%016%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.8%
Under 1.5
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.4%
@ 1.95+3.0%
Under 2.5
48.6%
@ 1.83-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.3%
Under 3.5
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.3%
No
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-0 ✓
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.6%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
Kilmarnock goals ↓
Aberdeen goals →
01234
07.6%5.2%3.0%1.0%0.2%
110%12%5.3%1.7%0.4%
210%9.8%4.7%1.5%0.4%
36.0%5.8%2.8%0.9%0.2%
42.7%2.6%1.2%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kilmarnock goals (down), columns = Aberdeen goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celtic
2.45
Rangers
2.24
Heart Of Midlothian
1.79
Partick
1.75
Kilmarnock
1.47
Aberdeen
1.26
ST Mirren
1.24
Hibernian
1.21
Motherwell
1.13
Dundee
1.11
Ross County
1.02
ST Johnstone
0.92
Raith Rovers
0.75
Livingston
0.66
Airdrie United
0.50
Kilmarnock is 0.21 points better than Aberdeen in terms of average points per game (1.47 vs 1.26).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celtic
2.50
Rangers
2.29
Partick
1.75
Airdrie United
1.50
Motherwell
1.47
Heart Of Midlothian
1.42
Hibernian
1.37
Dundee
1.29
Aberdeen
1.26
ST Mirren
1.21
Kilmarnock
1.21
Ross County
1.10
Raith Rovers
1.00
Livingston
0.76
ST Johnstone
0.76
Kilmarnock is 0.05 goals worse than Aberdeen in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 1.26).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Celtic
0.79
Rangers
0.84
Heart Of Midlothian
1.11
Kilmarnock
1.16
ST Mirren
1.37
Aberdeen
1.37
ST Johnstone
1.42
Partick
1.50
Motherwell
1.55
Hibernian
1.55
Ross County
1.70
Dundee
1.79
Livingston
1.84
Airdrie United
2.00
Raith Rovers
2.25
Kilmarnock is 0.21 goals better than Aberdeen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.16 vs 1.37).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
69%
Rangers
63%
Heart Of Midlothian
55%
Hibernian
53%
Aberdeen
49%
Motherwell
46%
ST Mirren
45%
Kilmarnock
45%
Ross County
44%
Dundee
44%
ST Johnstone
44%
Livingston
43%
Kilmarnock is 3.8 percentage points worse than Aberdeen in terms of average possession (45% vs 49%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

KilmarnockKilmarnock

For 5.9 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.7

🚩 Corners

150489256735778445185912111110121586814A·CELH·LIVA·MOTH·HIBA·RANH·DUNA·ST H·ST A·LIVH·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

70325231312123112313274435134A·CELH·LIVA·MOTH·HIBA·RANH·DUNA·ST H·ST A·LIVH·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 10.7 · Total 22.5

⚠️ Fouls

2808128915111511131012101071281117141220172626232217202826A·CELH·LIVA·MOTH·HIBA·RANH·DUNA·ST H·ST A·LIVH·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AberdeenAberdeen

For 4.4 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

1504273213112377415413213610151331459154H·HIBH·MOTA·RANH·CELH·DUNA·HEAA·ST A·ROSH·ST H·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

901324213123211436134634535913H·HIBH·MOTA·RANH·CELH·DUNA·HEAA·ST A·ROSH·ST H·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 13.1 · Total 22.7

⚠️ Fouls

3001314614107691317141082091491181527201715302428232023H·HIBH·MOTA·RANH·CELH·DUNA·HEAA·ST A·ROSH·ST H·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

KilmarnockKilmarnock

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.311.211.32.21.82.623.223.223.3
vs Stronger (18)11.410.412.42.52.22.822.523.821.2
vs Similar (32)11.211.810.62.01.62.423.722.824.6
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line73%77%69%32%24%40%58%62%54%
% under line27%23%31%68%76%60%42%38%46%
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AberdeenAberdeen

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.49.911.02.92.63.123.323.023.6
vs Stronger (14)11.510.612.42.42.52.218.719.018.4
vs Similar (22)11.010.711.33.23.33.125.626.025.3
vs Weaker (14)8.38.08.82.91.94.224.822.827.2
% over line67%59%75%44%40%48%64%59%69%
% under line33%41%25%56%60%52%36%41%31%
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.8
Ross County
11.2
ST Mirren
11.1
Dundee
11.0
Kilmarnock
10.7
Heart Of Midlothian
10.6
Motherwell
10.4
Rangers
10.2
Hibernian
10.2
Aberdeen
10.2
ST Johnstone
10.1
Partick
10.0
Airdrie United
9.9
Livingston
9.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Hibernian
4.5
Heart Of Midlothian
4.5
Aberdeen
4.4
Rangers
4.4
Motherwell
4.1
Ross County
4.1
Livingston
4.1
ST Johnstone
3.9
Dundee
3.9
Kilmarnock
3.8
Celtic
3.6
ST Mirren
3.4
Partick
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aberdeen
25.1
Motherwell
24.7
Livingston
24.2
Ross County
23.5
Kilmarnock
23.4
Heart Of Midlothian
23.4
Hibernian
23.3
ST Johnstone
22.8
ST Mirren
21.8
Dundee
21.4
Rangers
21.3
Partick
20.3
Celtic
19.5
Airdrie United
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
68.1%
Under 9.5
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
59.5%
Under 3.5
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
58.1%
Under 21.5
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D20W10W01L02L10W11D00D01LH·CEL10/12A·LIV16/12H·ST 23/12A·ST 27/12H·DUN30/12A·RAN02/01H·HIB27/01A·MOT03/02H·LIV07/02A·CEL17/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.570.500.440.430.71
vs Stronger (10)0.100.900.200.600.001.20
vs Similar (20)0.650.400.640.360.670.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AberdeenAberdeen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L20W00D00D10W00D11D23L11DH·LIV20/12H·ST 30/12A·ROS02/01A·ST 24/01A·HEA27/01H·DUN30/01H·CEL03/02A·RAN06/02H·MOT14/02H·HIB17/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.630.560.560.710.71
vs Stronger (9)0.670.560.500.000.801.00
vs Similar (13)0.460.920.431.000.500.83
vs Weaker (8)0.880.250.800.401.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D01L00D21W11D12L00D10W10WH·CEL10/12A·LIV16/12H·ST 23/12A·ST 27/12H·DUN30/12A·RAN02/01H·HIB27/01A·MOT03/02H·LIV07/02A·CEL17/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.401.000.440.500.36
vs Stronger (10)0.900.501.200.600.600.40
vs Similar (20)0.700.350.910.360.440.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AberdeenAberdeen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L10W11D02L01L11D01L10W11DH·LIV20/12H·ST 30/12A·ROS02/01A·ST 24/01A·HEA27/01H·DUN30/01H·CEL03/02A·RAN06/02H·MOT14/02H·HIB17/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.070.810.880.641.29
vs Stronger (9)0.781.441.001.250.601.60
vs Similar (13)0.691.000.860.860.501.17
vs Weaker (8)0.750.750.600.601.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 8.5 corners78.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards78.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.576.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards76.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls73.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls73.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.570.7%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Kilmarnock
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marley Watkins25%
Kyle Vassell20%
David Watson14%
Danny Armstrong13%
Gary Mackay-Steven11%
Joe Wright10%
Innes Cameron10%
Bradley Lyons9%
Matthew Kennedy9%
Corrie Ndaba4%
Rory McKenzie4%
Robbie Deas3%
Lewis Mayo3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Kevin van Veen0%
Stuart Findlay0%
Greg Stewart0%
Fraser Murray0%
Liam Donnelly0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Liam Polworth0%
Andrew Dallas0%
Will Dennis0%
James Balagizi0%
Thomas Davies0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Robbie Deas33%
Bradley Lyons30%
Liam Donnelly30%
Joe Wright28%
David Watson25%
Danny Armstrong24%
Kevin van Veen17%
Rory McKenzie14%
Lewis Mayo14%
Stuart Findlay14%
Greg Stewart12%
Kyle Magennis12%
Kyle Vassell11%
Innes Cameron10%
Matthew Kennedy9%
Corrie Ndaba7%
Liam Polworth7%
Marley Watkins6%
Will Dennis6%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Fraser Murray0%
Andrew Dallas0%
James Balagizi0%
Thomas Davies0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Danny Armstrong24%
Liam Polworth11%
Kyle Vassell9%
Matthew Kennedy9%
Marley Watkins8%
Kevin van Veen8%
Andrew Dallas7%
Fraser Murray7%
David Watson6%
Joe Wright3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Corrie Ndaba0%
Stuart Findlay0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Greg Stewart0%
Liam Donnelly0%
Bradley Lyons0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Innes Cameron0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Robbie Deas0%
Will Dennis0%
James Balagizi0%
Thomas Davies0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kyle Vassell26%
Marley Watkins17%
Danny Armstrong16%
Matthew Kennedy14%
Liam Donnelly11%
Innes Cameron10%
Bradley Lyons4%
Corrie Ndaba4%
David Watson3%
Stuart Findlay3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Joe Wright0%
Kevin van Veen0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Greg Stewart0%
Fraser Murray0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Liam Polworth0%
Andrew Dallas0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Robbie Deas0%
Will Dennis0%
James Balagizi0%
Thomas Davies0%
Aberdeen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bojan Miovski37%
Jamie McGrath20%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes15%
Dante Polvara12%
Stefan Gartenmann8%
Junior Hoilett8%
Leighton Clarkson8%
Ester Sokler6%
Jonny Hayes5%
Nicky Devlin5%
Angus MacDonald4%
Jack Mackenzie3%
Connor Barron3%
Graeme Shinnie2%
Kelle Roos0%
James McGarry0%
Richard Jensen0%
Slobodan Rubežić0%
Pape Habib Gueye0%
Shayden Morris0%
Killian Phillips0%
Ryan Duncan0%
Jack Milne0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Slobodan Rubežić33%
Graeme Shinnie24%
Junior Hoilett23%
Jonny Hayes20%
Stefan Gartenmann18%
Nicky Devlin16%
Jamie McGrath12%
Richard Jensen12%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes10%
Connor Barron9%
James McGarry7%
Kelle Roos7%
Bojan Miovski7%
Dante Polvara6%
Leighton Clarkson5%
Angus MacDonald4%
Ester Sokler3%
Jack Mackenzie0%
Pape Habib Gueye0%
Shayden Morris0%
Killian Phillips0%
Ryan Duncan0%
Jack Milne0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Junior Hoilett38%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes12%
Connor Barron9%
Leighton Clarkson8%
Shayden Morris8%
Ryan Duncan8%
Graeme Shinnie7%
Nicky Devlin7%
Bojan Miovski7%
Jack Mackenzie6%
Ester Sokler6%
Dante Polvara6%
Richard Jensen6%
Jamie McGrath2%
Jonny Hayes0%
Stefan Gartenmann0%
Kelle Roos0%
Angus MacDonald0%
James McGarry0%
Slobodan Rubežić0%
Pape Habib Gueye0%
Killian Phillips0%
Jack Milne0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bojan Miovski37%
Junior Hoilett23%
James McGarry14%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes8%
Jack Mackenzie6%
Leighton Clarkson5%
Jamie McGrath2%
Graeme Shinnie2%
Jonny Hayes0%
Stefan Gartenmann0%
Kelle Roos0%
Angus MacDonald0%
Nicky Devlin0%
Richard Jensen0%
Slobodan Rubežić0%
Pape Habib Gueye0%
Ester Sokler0%
Connor Barron0%
Shayden Morris0%
Killian Phillips0%
Ryan Duncan0%
Jack Milne0%
Dante Polvara0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
Kilmarnock's squad is €8m less valuable than Aberdeen's (€7m vs €15m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
RC (1)
€0m
Kilmarnock's attack is €1m less valuable than Aberdeen's (€3m vs €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
RC (3)
€0m
Kilmarnock's midfield is €2m less valuable than Aberdeen's (€2m vs €4m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
Kilmarnock's defence is €4m less valuable than Aberdeen's (€3m vs €7m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
KIL wins
0
Draws
5
ABE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen · H/A from KIL
DateH/AGameScore
06/12/23AAberdeen Vs KIL0-1
29/10/23HKIL Vs Aberdeen2-0
08/04/23AAberdeen Vs KIL2-0
28/12/22HKIL Vs Aberdeen2-1
01/10/22AAberdeen Vs KIL4-1
20/02/21AAberdeen Vs KIL1-0
20/12/20HKIL Vs Aberdeen0-2
12/09/20AAberdeen Vs KIL1-0

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/02/24ACeltic Vs KIL1-1
07/02/24HKIL Vs Livingston1-0
03/02/24AMotherwell Vs KIL1-1
27/01/24HKIL Vs Hibernian2-2
02/01/24ARangers Vs KIL3-1
30/12/23HKIL Vs Dundee2-2
27/12/23AST Mirren Vs KIL0-1
23/12/23HKIL Vs ST Johnstone2-1
16/12/23ALivingston Vs KIL0-0
10/12/23HKIL Vs Celtic2-1

AberdeenAberdeen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/02/24HABE Vs Hibernian2-2
14/02/24HABE Vs Motherwell3-3
06/02/24ARangers Vs ABE2-1
03/02/24HABE Vs Celtic1-1
30/01/24HABE Vs Dundee1-1
27/01/24AHeart Of Midlothian Vs ABE2-0
24/01/24AST Johnstone Vs ABE1-1
02/01/24ARoss County Vs ABE0-3
30/12/23HABE Vs ST Mirren0-3
20/12/23HABE Vs Livingston2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWD1.30
HomeWWDDW1.84
AwayDWLDD0.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%52%16%
AVG goals2.422.402.44
Over 1.5 %70%64%76%
Over 2.5 %46%44%48%
Over 3.5 %30%28%32%
Scored1.101.400.80
Conceded1.321.001.64
BTTS50%56%44%
Clean Sheet30%32%28%
Corners11.2711.2311.31
Cards4.403.834.92
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLDD1.24
HomeLDDDD1.52
AwayLWDLL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%40%24%
AVG goals2.982.723.24
Over 1.5 %84%84%84%
Over 2.5 %58%52%64%
Over 3.5 %40%32%48%
Scored1.301.521.08
Conceded1.681.202.16
BTTS48%52%44%
Clean Sheet26%36%16%
Corners10.429.8811.00
Cards4.333.884.81

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic3893
76%
2.4
9530+65
3.3
89%
74%
34%
12.8
76%
3.4
44%
19.9
29%
116
5620412.50.8
69%
2RangersRangers3885
71%
2.2
8732+55
3.1
84%
66%
37%
11.3
66%
4.0
66%
22.0
50%
136
3844542.30.8
63%
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian3868
53%
1.8
5442+12
2.5
68%
45%
24%
12.2
79%
4.2
62%
22.2
55%
22
12461.41.1
55%
4KilmarnockKilmarnock3856
37%
1.5
4644+2
2.4
63%
42%
29%
11.0
68%
4.4
67%
22.7
53%
7
3231.21.2
45%
5AberdeenAberdeen3848
32%
1.3
4852-4
2.6
76%
47%
29%
10.2
61%
4.4
63%
24.5
74%
15
4471.31.4
49%
6ST MirrenST Mirren3847
34%
1.2
4652-6
2.6
74%
50%
24%
10.5
66%
3.2
44%
21.5
45%
8
1331.21.4
45%
7HibernianHibernian3846
29%
1.2
5259-7
2.9
84%
66%
39%
10.4
63%
4.1
61%
20.7
37%
20
7851.41.6
53%
8MotherwellMotherwell3843
26%
1.1
5659-3
3.0
82%
55%
34%
10.6
61%
4.2
59%
21.9
53%
16
10151.51.6
46%
9DundeeDundee3842
26%
1.1
4968-19
3.1
79%
63%
39%
11.4
74%
4.1
56%
19.5
32%
5
1221.31.8
44%
10Ross CountyRoss County4041
25%
1.0
4468-24
2.8
75%
52%
35%
11.2
66%
3.9
61%
22.0
53%
1
0011.11.7
44%
11ST JohnstoneST Johnstone3835
21%
0.9
2954-25
2.2
74%
37%
16%
10.4
55%
3.9
58%
21.7
50%
5
2120.81.4
44%
12LivingstonLivingston3825
13%
0.7
2970-41
2.6
74%
47%
29%
9.2
39%
3.5
46%
23.6
66%
4
1110.81.8
43%
13PartickPartick47
50%
1.8
76+1
3.2
100%
100%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.81.5
-
14Raith RoversRaith Rovers43
25%
0.8
49-5
3.2
100%
100%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.02.2
-
15Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United21
0%
0.5
34-1
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.0
-
Scotland: Premiership 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches