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Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen Result & Analysis

Date: 26/12/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 4-0
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Vs
35%
29%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
Scotland: Premiership
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The contest between Kilmarnock and Aberdeen is a razor-thin affair, with the model favouring an away win at 36%. The expected total of 2.5 goals points to a modestly low-scoring game, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14% probability. Kilmarnock, at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.25 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while Aberdeen, on the road, boasts 3.0 goals scored and only 1.0 conceded versus comparable teams. The probabilities for the match outcome are 35% for a home win, 29% for a draw, and 36% for an away win. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 82%, Over 8.5 corners at 78.4%, Under 3.5 at 74.7% (miss), Over 19.5 fouls at 73.9%, Over 1.5 at 73.5%, Under 25.5 fouls at 73.4%, and Under 5.5 cards at 71.2%. Each pick is presented with its exact probability.

Results analysis

The upset came early: the pre-match favourite, Aberdeen, was tipped to win with a 36% chance, but the match finished 4-0 in favour of Kilmarnock, so the model’s call was wrong. Kilmarnock, coming off a 0-4 loss to Dundee Utd, had a shaky run, yet they secured a decisive home win. The model’s selections largely hit: Over 2.5 cards (82%) and Over 8.5 corners (78.4%) were correct, as were Over 19.5 fouls (73.9%), Over 1.5 (73.5%), Under 25.5 fouls (73.4%) and Under 5.5 cards (71.2%). Only Under 3.5 (74.7%) missed. The final score of 4-0 confirmed a strong home performance that defied expectations.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kilmarnock win✓ Hit
35.0%
Avg Implied 37.2% · @ 2.52
Edge
-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.2%
Avg Implied 28.1% · @ 3.34
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen win✗ Miss
35.7%
Avg Implied 34.7% · @ 2.70
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-612L21W23L02L01L11D06L11D10W11DA·ROS26/10A·HEA30/10A·DUN03/11H·CEL10/11A·ST 23/11H·DUN30/11A·RAN04/12A·DUN07/12H·HEA15/12A·MOT20/12
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.730.921.580.891.83
vs Stronger (14)0.712.000.751.380.672.83
vs Similar (16)1.061.501.252.001.001.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AberdeenAberdeen

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-610W21W06L41W12L33D11D01L11D13LH·DUN26/10H·RAN30/10A·CEL02/11H·DUN09/11A·ST 23/11A·HIB26/11A·HEA01/12H·CEL04/12H·ST 07/12H·HIB21/12
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.131.032.170.722.081.50
vs Stronger (4)1.002.501.001.001.004.00
vs Similar (11)2.360.912.000.863.001.00
vs Weaker (15)2.270.732.560.561.831.00
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.5%
Under 1.5
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.8%
@ 1.94-1.7%
Under 2.5
53.2%
@ 1.83+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.3%
Under 3.5
74.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.1%
No
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
0-0
9.1%
0-1
8.8%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
8.0%
0-2
6.4%
2-0
6.3%
Kilmarnock goals ↓
Aberdeen goals →
01234
09.1%8.8%6.4%2.7%0.9%
18.6%14%8.1%3.5%1.1%
26.3%8.0%5.2%2.2%0.7%
32.6%3.4%2.2%0.9%0.3%
40.8%1.1%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kilmarnock goals (down), columns = Aberdeen goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Livingston
2.50
Celtic
2.42
Rangers
1.97
Hibernian
1.53
Ayr Utd
1.50
Aberdeen
1.39
Dundee Utd
1.39
Heart Of Midlothian
1.37
ST Mirren
1.32
Motherwell
1.29
Kilmarnock
1.16
Dundee
1.08
Ross County
0.95
ST Johnstone
0.84
Partick
0.75
Kilmarnock is 0.24 points worse than Aberdeen in terms of average points per game (1.16 vs 1.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celtic
2.95
Livingston
2.25
Rangers
2.11
Hibernian
1.63
Dundee
1.50
ST Mirren
1.39
Heart Of Midlothian
1.37
Aberdeen
1.26
Motherwell
1.21
Kilmarnock
1.18
Dundee Utd
1.18
Ross County
1.00
ST Johnstone
1.00
Partick
0.50
Ayr Utd
0.50
Kilmarnock is 0.08 goals worse than Aberdeen in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 1.26).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Celtic
0.68
Livingston
0.75
Ayr Utd
1.00
Rangers
1.08
Heart Of Midlothian
1.24
Partick
1.25
Hibernian
1.32
Dundee Utd
1.42
ST Mirren
1.55
Aberdeen
1.61
Motherwell
1.66
Kilmarnock
1.68
Ross County
1.75
ST Johnstone
1.79
Dundee
2.03
Kilmarnock is 0.08 goals worse than Aberdeen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.68 vs 1.61).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
74%
Rangers
63%
Heart Of Midlothian
54%
Aberdeen
53%
ST Johnstone
53%
Hibernian
45%
Dundee
44%
Dundee Utd
44%
Kilmarnock
44%
ST Mirren
42%
Motherwell
42%
Ross County
40%
Kilmarnock is 9.7 percentage points worse than Aberdeen in terms of average possession (44% vs 53%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

KilmarnockKilmarnock

For 4.9 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.6

🚩 Corners

180823619476314464171105510910119181081110A·MOTH·HEAA·DUNA·RANH·DUNA·ST H·CELA·DUNA·HEAA·ROS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.5

🟨 Cards

6042221322242331231516442466346A·MOTH·HEAA·DUNA·RANH·DUNA·ST H·CELA·DUNA·HEAA·ROS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 11.7 · Total 21.5

⚠️ Fouls

31017146117148691110111410816914101031172114202124242320A·MOTH·HEAA·DUNA·RANH·DUNA·ST H·CELA·DUNA·HEAA·ROS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AberdeenAberdeen

For 4.9 · Against 7.2 · Total 12.1

🚩 Corners

20056612106969377446822181171215151011101020H·HIBH·ST H·CELA·HEAA·HIBA·ST H·DUNH·RANH·DUNA·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.7

🟨 Cards

90225431511353315313514946484846H·HIBH·ST H·CELA·HEAA·HIBA·ST H·DUNH·RANH·DUNA·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 14.2 · Total 25.1

⚠️ Fouls

29061210191211179101412111216620918151218292326242328262727H·HIBH·ST H·CELA·HEAA·HIBA·ST H·DUNH·RANH·DUNA·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

KilmarnockKilmarnock

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.89.911.53.93.74.022.423.121.8
vs Stronger (21)11.810.912.93.73.63.921.423.219.2
vs Similar (29)10.08.710.84.03.84.123.223.123.2
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line70%60%77%60%55%64%52%60%46%
% under line30%40%23%40%45%36%48%40%54%
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AberdeenAberdeen

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.810.211.74.04.23.724.625.223.8
vs Stronger (7)13.311.217.53.74.23.020.019.022.0
vs Similar (18)11.310.612.54.25.12.925.526.124.5
vs Weaker (25)9.79.410.13.93.64.425.226.523.8
% over line67%64%72%58%69%43%77%76%78%
% under line33%36%28%42%31%57%23%24%22%
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
12.9
Ross County
11.3
Heart Of Midlothian
11.1
Rangers
11.1
Dundee Utd
11.1
Hibernian
11.0
Kilmarnock
10.9
Dundee
10.9
Aberdeen
10.7
Motherwell
10.6
ST Mirren
10.3
ST Johnstone
10.1
Partick
9.9
Livingston
9.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aberdeen
4.6
Dundee
4.3
Motherwell
4.3
Heart Of Midlothian
4.3
Dundee Utd
4.3
Rangers
4.2
ST Johnstone
4.2
Kilmarnock
4.2
Hibernian
4.1
Livingston
3.9
ST Mirren
3.9
Ross County
3.8
Partick
3.6
Celtic
3.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aberdeen
24.5
Livingston
23.8
ST Johnstone
22.3
Kilmarnock
22.3
Motherwell
22.3
Rangers
21.7
Heart Of Midlothian
21.7
Ross County
21.7
ST Mirren
21.5
Dundee Utd
21.2
Hibernian
20.9
Dundee
20.1
Celtic
19.6
Partick
19.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
67.9%
Under 9.5
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.8%
Under 3.5
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
58.1%
Under 21.5
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L21W01L00D00D01L00D10W01LA·ROS26/10A·HEA30/10A·DUN03/11H·CEL10/11A·ST 23/11H·DUN30/11A·RAN04/12A·DUN07/12H·HEA15/12A·MOT20/12
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.670.250.580.440.72
vs Stronger (14)0.360.640.380.500.330.83
vs Similar (16)0.380.690.000.750.500.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AberdeenAberdeen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W03L00D01L01L10W00D01L12LH·DUN26/10H·RAN30/10A·CEL02/11H·DUN09/11A·ST 23/11A·HIB26/11A·HEA01/12H·CEL04/12H·ST 07/12H·HIB21/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.500.440.331.000.75
vs Stronger (4)0.251.250.500.000.002.50
vs Similar (11)1.000.360.860.431.250.25
vs Weaker (15)0.530.400.110.331.170.50
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L20W02L01L01L11D05L11D00D10WA·ROS26/10A·HEA30/10A·DUN03/11H·CEL10/11A·ST 23/11H·DUN30/11A·RAN04/12A·DUN07/12H·HEA15/12A·MOT20/12
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.070.671.000.441.11
vs Stronger (14)0.361.360.380.880.332.00
vs Similar (16)0.690.811.251.250.500.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AberdeenAberdeen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W11D03L41W11D32W01L01L10W01LH·DUN26/10H·RAN30/10A·CEL02/11H·DUN09/11A·ST 23/11A·HIB26/11A·HEA01/12H·CEL04/12H·ST 07/12H·HIB21/12
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.470.531.720.391.080.75
vs Stronger (4)0.751.250.501.001.001.50
vs Similar (11)1.360.551.140.431.750.75
vs Weaker (15)1.730.332.440.220.670.50
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards82.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners78.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.574.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls73.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls73.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards71.2%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Kilmarnock
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bruce Anderson33%
Marley Watkins15%
Matthew Kennedy14%
Fraser Murray12%
Bobby Wales10%
Danny Armstrong9%
David Watson8%
Kyle Vassell8%
Liam Polworth7%
Joe Wright7%
Innes Cameron5%
Liam Donnelly4%
Bradley Lyons3%
Robbie Deas3%
Corrie Ndaba3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Jack Burroughs0%
Stuart Findlay0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Robby McCrorie0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Calvin Ramsay0%
Oliver Bainbridge0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oliver Bainbridge29%
Danny Armstrong26%
Kyle Magennis25%
Joe Wright23%
Liam Donnelly22%
Matthew Kennedy19%
Bradley Lyons15%
Robbie Deas15%
Corrie Ndaba14%
Fraser Murray12%
Liam Polworth11%
David Watson11%
Marley Watkins9%
Bobby Wales7%
Lewis Mayo5%
Kieran O'Hara5%
Kyle Vassell4%
Bruce Anderson3%
Jack Burroughs0%
Stuart Findlay0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Robby McCrorie0%
Innes Cameron0%
Calvin Ramsay0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Danny Armstrong23%
Joe Wright10%
Gary Mackay-Steven9%
Liam Donnelly7%
Bobby Wales7%
Fraser Murray6%
Matthew Kennedy5%
Innes Cameron5%
Kyle Vassell4%
Bruce Anderson3%
Marley Watkins3%
Bradley Lyons3%
Corrie Ndaba3%
David Watson3%
Lewis Mayo3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Jack Burroughs0%
Stuart Findlay0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Liam Polworth0%
Robby McCrorie0%
Robbie Deas0%
Calvin Ramsay0%
Oliver Bainbridge0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bruce Anderson13%
Kyle Vassell12%
Bobby Wales10%
Matthew Kennedy10%
Fraser Murray9%
Bradley Lyons9%
Danny Armstrong6%
Stuart Findlay5%
Joe Wright3%
Marley Watkins3%
Corrie Ndaba3%
David Watson3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Jack Burroughs0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Liam Donnelly0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Liam Polworth0%
Robby McCrorie0%
Innes Cameron0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Robbie Deas0%
Calvin Ramsay0%
Oliver Bainbridge0%
Aberdeen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kevin Nisbet28%
Pape Habib Gueye20%
Vicente Besuijen18%
Jamie McGrath16%
Topi Keskinen14%
Nicky Devlin13%
Leighton Clarkson12%
Ester Sokler10%
Alfie Dorrington8%
Shayden Morris8%
Oday Dabbagh8%
Ante Palaversa7%
Peter Ambrose7%
Jeppe Okkels6%
Graeme Shinnie3%
Sivert Heltne Nilsen0%
Dimitar Mitov0%
Angus MacDonald0%
James McGarry0%
Mats Knoester0%
Jack Mackenzie0%
Ross Doohan0%
Slobodan Rubežić0%
Kristers Tobers0%
Gavin Molloy0%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes0%
Alexander Jensen0%
Jack Milne0%
Dante Polvara0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ante Palaversa37%
Slobodan Rubežić35%
Sivert Heltne Nilsen35%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes32%
Kristers Tobers30%
Gavin Molloy21%
Jack Mackenzie20%
Pape Habib Gueye20%
Graeme Shinnie19%
Dante Polvara18%
Jamie McGrath16%
James McGarry14%
Topi Keskinen14%
Nicky Devlin13%
Kevin Nisbet12%
Jack Milne11%
Ester Sokler10%
Vicente Besuijen9%
Leighton Clarkson9%
Dimitar Mitov8%
Alfie Dorrington8%
Ross Doohan7%
Peter Ambrose7%
Shayden Morris3%
Jeppe Okkels0%
Angus MacDonald0%
Mats Knoester0%
Oday Dabbagh0%
Alexander Jensen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jamie McGrath20%
Alexander Jensen20%
Shayden Morris16%
Kevin Nisbet16%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes11%
Pape Habib Gueye10%
Graeme Shinnie8%
Mats Knoester8%
Oday Dabbagh8%
Jeppe Okkels6%
Topi Keskinen6%
Ester Sokler5%
Jack Mackenzie4%
Sivert Heltne Nilsen4%
Ante Palaversa3%
Leighton Clarkson3%
Dimitar Mitov0%
Angus MacDonald0%
Nicky Devlin0%
James McGarry0%
Ross Doohan0%
Slobodan Rubežić0%
Kristers Tobers0%
Gavin Molloy0%
Vicente Besuijen0%
Alfie Dorrington0%
Jack Milne0%
Dante Polvara0%
Peter Ambrose0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kevin Nisbet22%
Mats Knoester15%
Pape Habib Gueye15%
Jamie McGrath12%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes11%
Kristers Tobers10%
Peter Ambrose7%
Nicky Devlin6%
Leighton Clarkson3%
Topi Keskinen3%
Shayden Morris3%
Ante Palaversa0%
Sivert Heltne Nilsen0%
Jeppe Okkels0%
Dimitar Mitov0%
Angus MacDonald0%
James McGarry0%
Jack Mackenzie0%
Graeme Shinnie0%
Ross Doohan0%
Slobodan Rubežić0%
Oday Dabbagh0%
Ester Sokler0%
Gavin Molloy0%
Vicente Besuijen0%
Alexander Jensen0%
Alfie Dorrington0%
Jack Milne0%
Dante Polvara0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
Kilmarnock's squad is €8m less valuable than Aberdeen's (€7m vs €15m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RC (1)
€0m
Kilmarnock's attack is €1m less valuable than Aberdeen's (€3m vs €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
RC (3)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
Kilmarnock's midfield is €2m less valuable than Aberdeen's (€2m vs €4m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
Kilmarnock's defence is €4m less valuable than Aberdeen's (€3m vs €7m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
KIL wins
0
Draws
4
ABE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen · H/A from KIL
DateH/AGameScore
25/08/24AAberdeen Vs KIL2-0
24/02/24HKIL Vs Aberdeen2-0
06/12/23AAberdeen Vs KIL0-1
29/10/23HKIL Vs Aberdeen2-0
08/04/23AAberdeen Vs KIL2-0
28/12/22HKIL Vs Aberdeen2-1
01/10/22AAberdeen Vs KIL4-1
20/02/21AAberdeen Vs KIL1-0

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/12/24AMotherwell Vs KIL1-1
15/12/24HKIL Vs Heart Of Midlothian1-0
07/12/24ADundee Utd Vs KIL1-1
04/12/24ARangers Vs KIL6-0
30/11/24HKIL Vs Dundee1-1
23/11/24AST Johnstone Vs KIL1-0
10/11/24HKIL Vs Celtic0-2
03/11/24ADundee Vs KIL3-2
30/10/24AHeart Of Midlothian Vs KIL1-2
26/10/24ARoss County Vs KIL2-1

AberdeenAberdeen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/12/24HABE Vs Hibernian1-3
07/12/24HABE Vs ST Johnstone1-1
04/12/24HABE Vs Celtic0-1
01/12/24AHeart Of Midlothian Vs ABE1-1
26/11/24AHibernian Vs ABE3-3
23/11/24AST Mirren Vs ABE2-1
09/11/24HABE Vs Dundee4-1
02/11/24ACeltic Vs ABE6-0
30/10/24HABE Vs Rangers2-1
26/10/24HABE Vs Dundee Utd1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWD1.30
HomeDWLDW1.50
AwayLLLDD1.14
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%36%25%
AVG goals2.522.682.39
Over 1.5 %70%73%68%
Over 2.5 %40%45%36%
Over 3.5 %28%27%29%
Scored1.101.320.93
Conceded1.421.361.46
BTTS52%55%50%
Clean Sheet28%27%29%
Corners10.809.9011.50
Cards4.133.864.35
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLDL1.80
HomeWWLDL2.07
AwayDLLDD1.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%62%38%
AVG goals2.862.862.86
Over 1.5 %78%76%81%
Over 2.5 %58%55%62%
Over 3.5 %30%31%29%
Scored1.721.861.52
Conceded1.141.001.33
BTTS52%55%48%
Clean Sheet32%31%33%
Corners10.8110.1611.72
Cards4.654.924.28

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic3892
76%
2.4
11226+86
3.6
92%
74%
47%
11.8
71%
3.5
41%
18.7
29%
116
5620412.90.7
74%
2RangersRangers3875
58%
2.0
8041+39
3.2
82%
66%
42%
11.1
71%
4.0
65%
20.9
53%
136
3844542.11.1
63%
3HibernianHibernian3858
39%
1.5
6250+12
2.9
87%
61%
37%
11.5
71%
4.4
70%
20.6
45%
20
7851.61.3
45%
4Dundee UtdDundee Utd3853
39%
1.4
4554-9
2.6
66%
45%
29%
10.9
71%
4.2
50%
20.9
39%
11
4341.21.4
44%
5AberdeenAberdeen3853
39%
1.4
4861-13
2.9
74%
61%
34%
11.9
74%
4.9
78%
22.8
61%
15
4471.31.6
53%
6Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian3852
39%
1.4
5247+5
2.6
71%
55%
29%
10.8
58%
4.2
59%
21.2
50%
22
12461.41.2
54%
7ST MirrenST Mirren3850
37%
1.3
5359-6
2.9
82%
66%
34%
10.1
61%
4.6
61%
21.7
55%
8
1331.41.6
42%
8MotherwellMotherwell3849
37%
1.3
4663-17
2.9
82%
71%
26%
11.2
61%
4.5
65%
23.4
66%
16
10151.21.7
42%
9KilmarnockKilmarnock3844
32%
1.2
4564-19
2.9
74%
45%
34%
10.4
63%
4.0
54%
22.2
53%
7
3231.21.7
44%
10DundeeDundee3841
29%
1.1
5777-20
3.5
92%
68%
47%
10.4
63%
3.7
50%
20.3
34%
5
1221.52.0
44%
11Ross CountyRoss County4038
22%
0.9
4070-30
2.8
78%
55%
28%
11.8
74%
3.2
41%
20.9
50%
1
0011.01.8
40%
12ST JohnstoneST Johnstone3832
24%
0.8
3868-30
2.8
82%
61%
24%
10.6
53%
4.2
58%
22.8
61%
5
2121.01.8
53%
13LivingstonLivingston410
75%
2.5
93+6
3.0
100%
25%
25%
-
0%
0.0
0%
-
0%
4
1112.20.8
-
14Ayr UtdAyr Utd23
50%
1.5
12-1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
9.0
100%
-
0%
2
1010.51.0
-
15PartickPartick43
25%
0.8
25-3
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
4.5
50%
-
0%
3
1110.51.2
-
Scotland: Premiership 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches