PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren Result & Analysis

Date: 30/09/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Vs
44%
28%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
ST Mirren
ST Mirren
Scotland: Premiership
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Kilmarnock are tipped to win, with a 44% chance of a home victory, a 28% chance of a draw and a 28% chance of an away win. The match is expected to see 2.7 goals on average, with the most likely total of 2 goals occurring 26% of the time. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, which the model assigns a 13.2% probability. Kilmarnock, playing at home against a similarly-strengthened opponent, average 1.0 goal scored and 0.62 conceded. ST Mirren, on the road, average 0.86 scored and 0.86 conceded versus similar teams. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 84.9%, Over 19.5 fouls at 80.6%, Over 1.5 goals at 76.8%, Over 8.5 corners at 73.7% and Under 3.5 goals at 70.8%. Kilmarnock have recently returned from a 0-4 loss to Dundee Utd, while ST Mirren come off a 1-5 defeat to Rangers.

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, Kilmarnock, failed to deliver, as the match finished 1-1, a draw that surprised the model’s home-win call. The model had given the home side a 44% chance of victory, but the result was a stalemate. The model’s selection of Over 2.5 cards, with an 84.9% probability, was correct, as were its picks for Over 19.5 fouls (80.6%), Over 1.5 (76.8%), Over 8.5 corners (73.7%) and Under 3.5 (70.8%). Each of these probabilities was expressed as a percentage, and all selections hit. The game’s final score of 1-1 matched the most likely scoreline of 1-1, which had a 13.2% probability. The outcome reflected both teams’ recent form, each coming off defeats, and underlined the unpredictability of the Premiership.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kilmarnock win✗ Miss
44.4%
Avg Implied 40.0% · @ 2.36
Edge
+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.6%
Avg Implied 29.0% · @ 3.26
Edge
-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren win✗ Miss
28.0%
Avg Implied 31.0% · @ 3.04
Edge
-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L30W31W10W00D12L01L22D22DH·LIV13/05H·ST 20/05A·DUN24/05H·ROS28/05H·RAN05/08A·HEA13/08A·MOT26/08H·ROS02/09H·HIB16/09A·DUN23/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.531.271.070.872.00
vs Stronger (13)1.001.771.571.570.332.00
vs Similar (17)1.121.351.000.621.222.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ST MirrenST Mirren

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D22D03L03L32W21W22D11D10W10WH·HEA13/05A·CEL20/05A·ABE24/05H·RAN27/05A·HIB06/08H·DUN12/08H·ABE27/08A·LIV02/09A·MOT16/09H·HEA23/09
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.501.291.361.191.62
vs Stronger (18)1.332.001.221.781.442.22
vs Similar (12)1.080.751.400.600.860.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%015%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.8%
Under 1.5
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.3%
@ 2.19+8.1%
Under 2.5
48.7%
@ 1.66-8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.2%
Under 3.5
70.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.7%
No
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
7.8%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
5.5%
Kilmarnock goals ↓
ST Mirren goals →
01234
07.7%6.6%4.6%1.8%0.5%
18.9%13%7.1%2.8%0.8%
27.8%9.2%5.5%2.2%0.6%
34.0%4.7%2.8%1.1%0.3%
41.5%1.8%1.1%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kilmarnock goals (down), columns = ST Mirren goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celtic
2.45
Rangers
2.24
Heart Of Midlothian
1.79
Partick
1.75
Kilmarnock
1.47
Aberdeen
1.26
ST Mirren
1.24
Hibernian
1.21
Motherwell
1.13
Dundee
1.11
Ross County
1.02
ST Johnstone
0.92
Raith Rovers
0.75
Livingston
0.66
Airdrie United
0.50
Kilmarnock is 0.24 points better than ST Mirren in terms of average points per game (1.47 vs 1.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celtic
2.50
Rangers
2.29
Partick
1.75
Airdrie United
1.50
Motherwell
1.47
Heart Of Midlothian
1.42
Hibernian
1.37
Dundee
1.29
Aberdeen
1.26
ST Mirren
1.21
Kilmarnock
1.21
Ross County
1.10
Raith Rovers
1.00
Livingston
0.76
ST Johnstone
0.76
Kilmarnock and ST Mirren are level in goals scored per game (both 1.21).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Celtic
0.79
Rangers
0.84
Heart Of Midlothian
1.11
Kilmarnock
1.16
ST Mirren
1.37
Aberdeen
1.37
ST Johnstone
1.42
Partick
1.50
Motherwell
1.55
Hibernian
1.55
Ross County
1.70
Dundee
1.79
Livingston
1.84
Airdrie United
2.00
Raith Rovers
2.25
Kilmarnock is 0.21 goals better than ST Mirren in terms of goals conceded per game (1.16 vs 1.37).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
69%
Rangers
63%
Heart Of Midlothian
55%
Hibernian
53%
Aberdeen
49%
Motherwell
46%
ST Mirren
45%
Kilmarnock
45%
Ross County
44%
Dundee
44%
ST Johnstone
44%
Livingston
43%
Kilmarnock is 0.1 percentage points worse than ST Mirren in terms of average possession (45% vs 45%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

KilmarnockKilmarnock

For 6.3 · Against 4.2 · Total 10.5

🚩 Corners

16074441426156281181671110A·DUNH·HIBH·ROSA·MOTA·HEAH·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 4.0 · Total 7.0

🟨 Cards

9032545364359597A·DUNH·HIBH·ROSA·MOTA·HEA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 11.7 · Total 24.5

⚠️ Fouls

34011816891719151512710192426342717A·DUNH·HIBH·ROSA·MOTA·HEAH·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ST MirrenST Mirren

For 4.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.0

🚩 Corners

12048382643437212118779H·HEAA·MOTA·LIVH·ABEH·DUNA·HIB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

5021513222322354454H·HEAA·MOTA·LIVH·ABEH·DUNA·HIB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 11.8 · Total 23.2

⚠️ Fouls

3001312186131791488714252430231621H·HEAA·MOTA·LIVH·ABEH·DUNA·HIB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

KilmarnockKilmarnock

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.212.210.31.01.01.023.723.523.8
vs Stronger (18)9.79.011.00.91.00.822.720.527.0
vs Similar (30)11.313.39.81.00.71.224.425.723.5
vs Weaker (2)13.515.012.03.05.01.022.523.022.0
% over line75%67%83%12%12%12%75%83%67%
% under line25%33%17%88%88%88%25%17%33%
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ST MirrenST Mirren

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.010.20.91.00.823.021.325.4
vs Stronger (26)9.59.010.50.70.80.522.221.224.0
vs Similar (24)10.711.310.01.11.11.123.821.326.3
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line50%43%60%14%15%12%75%71%80%
% under line50%57%40%86%85%88%25%29%20%
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.7
Dundee
10.9
ST Mirren
10.8
Motherwell
10.8
Ross County
10.6
Aberdeen
10.5
Rangers
10.4
Heart Of Midlothian
10.4
ST Johnstone
10.3
Hibernian
10.3
Partick
10.0
Airdrie United
9.9
Kilmarnock
9.9
Livingston
9.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aberdeen
4.7
Hibernian
4.6
Heart Of Midlothian
4.6
Rangers
4.1
Motherwell
4.1
Livingston
4.1
ST Johnstone
4.1
Ross County
4.1
Kilmarnock
3.8
Dundee
3.6
ST Mirren
3.5
Partick
3.4
Celtic
3.2
Airdrie United
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Motherwell
27.0
Aberdeen
26.8
Livingston
24.9
Hibernian
24.7
Heart Of Midlothian
24.5
Ross County
24.1
Kilmarnock
23.9
ST Johnstone
23.5
Dundee
23.3
ST Mirren
23.1
Rangers
21.9
Celtic
21.0
Partick
20.2
Airdrie United
18.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
62.2%
Under 9.5
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
69.2%
Under 3.5
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
66.8%
Under 21.5
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L20W10W00D00D10W00D01L11DH·LIV13/05H·ST 20/05A·DUN24/05H·ROS28/05H·RAN05/08A·HEA13/08A·MOT26/08H·ROS02/09H·HIB16/09A·DUN23/09
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.870.670.530.401.20
vs Stronger (13)0.461.150.861.000.001.33
vs Similar (17)0.590.650.500.120.671.11
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ST MirrenST Mirren

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W21W02L01L20W20W01L00D00D10WH·HEA13/05A·CEL20/05A·ABE24/05H·RAN27/05A·HIB06/08H·DUN12/08H·ABE27/08A·LIV02/09A·MOT16/09H·HEA23/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.570.930.360.380.75
vs Stronger (18)0.610.670.670.330.561.00
vs Similar (12)0.670.421.400.400.140.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D10W21W10W00D02L01L21W11DH·LIV13/05H·ST 20/05A·DUN24/05H·ROS28/05H·RAN05/08A·HEA13/08A·MOT26/08H·ROS02/09H·HIB16/09A·DUN23/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.670.600.530.470.80
vs Stronger (13)0.540.620.710.570.330.67
vs Similar (17)0.530.710.500.500.560.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ST MirrenST Mirren

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L01L02L12L01L21W11D10W00DH·HEA13/05A·CEL20/05A·ABE24/05H·RAN27/05A·HIB06/08H·DUN12/08H·ABE27/08A·LIV02/09A·MOT16/09H·HEA23/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.930.361.000.810.88
vs Stronger (18)0.721.330.561.440.891.22
vs Similar (12)0.420.330.000.200.710.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards84.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls80.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.576.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners73.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.570.8%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Kilmarnock
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marley Watkins25%
Kyle Vassell20%
David Watson14%
Danny Armstrong13%
Gary Mackay-Steven11%
Joe Wright10%
Innes Cameron10%
Bradley Lyons9%
Matthew Kennedy9%
Corrie Ndaba4%
Rory McKenzie4%
Robbie Deas3%
Lewis Mayo3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Kevin van Veen0%
Stuart Findlay0%
Greg Stewart0%
Fraser Murray0%
Liam Donnelly0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Liam Polworth0%
Andrew Dallas0%
Will Dennis0%
James Balagizi0%
Thomas Davies0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Robbie Deas33%
Bradley Lyons30%
Liam Donnelly30%
Joe Wright28%
David Watson25%
Danny Armstrong24%
Kevin van Veen17%
Rory McKenzie14%
Lewis Mayo14%
Stuart Findlay14%
Greg Stewart12%
Kyle Magennis12%
Kyle Vassell11%
Innes Cameron10%
Matthew Kennedy9%
Corrie Ndaba7%
Liam Polworth7%
Marley Watkins6%
Will Dennis6%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Fraser Murray0%
Andrew Dallas0%
James Balagizi0%
Thomas Davies0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Danny Armstrong24%
Liam Polworth11%
Kyle Vassell9%
Matthew Kennedy9%
Marley Watkins8%
Kevin van Veen8%
Andrew Dallas7%
Fraser Murray7%
David Watson6%
Joe Wright3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Corrie Ndaba0%
Stuart Findlay0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Greg Stewart0%
Liam Donnelly0%
Bradley Lyons0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Innes Cameron0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Robbie Deas0%
Will Dennis0%
James Balagizi0%
Thomas Davies0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kyle Vassell26%
Marley Watkins17%
Danny Armstrong16%
Matthew Kennedy14%
Liam Donnelly11%
Innes Cameron10%
Bradley Lyons4%
Corrie Ndaba4%
David Watson3%
Stuart Findlay3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Joe Wright0%
Kevin van Veen0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Greg Stewart0%
Fraser Murray0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Liam Polworth0%
Andrew Dallas0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Robbie Deas0%
Will Dennis0%
James Balagizi0%
Thomas Davies0%
ST Mirren
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mikael Mandron20%
Mark O'Hara18%
Toyosi Olusanya17%
Jonah Ayunga12%
Greg Kiltie12%
Stav Nachmani11%
Alex Greive11%
James Scott9%
Ryan Strain6%
Scott Tanser5%
Alexander Gogić5%
Lewis Jamieson5%
Charles Dunne5%
James Bolton4%
Conor McMenamin4%
Keanu Baccus3%
Marcus Fraser3%
Jaden Brown0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Ryan Flynn0%
Caolan Boyd-Munce0%
Zachary Hemming0%
Richard Taylor0%
Hyeok-kyu Kwon0%
Thierry Small0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Keanu Baccus29%
Ryan Strain24%
Richard Taylor19%
Alexander Gogić18%
Scott Tanser16%
Conor McMenamin15%
Mark O'Hara14%
Toyosi Olusanya14%
Ryan Flynn9%
Caolan Boyd-Munce9%
Zachary Hemming8%
Jonah Ayunga6%
Mikael Mandron6%
Marcus Fraser5%
James Bolton4%
Greg Kiltie3%
Jaden Brown0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Charles Dunne0%
James Scott0%
Hyeok-kyu Kwon0%
Lewis Jamieson0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Thierry Small0%
Alex Greive0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Greg Kiltie15%
Mark O'Hara11%
Scott Tanser11%
Mikael Mandron9%
Caolan Boyd-Munce9%
Ryan Strain6%
Conor McMenamin4%
Keanu Baccus3%
Toyosi Olusanya3%
Alexander Gogić3%
Jaden Brown0%
Jonah Ayunga0%
James Bolton0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Charles Dunne0%
James Scott0%
Ryan Flynn0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Zachary Hemming0%
Richard Taylor0%
Hyeok-kyu Kwon0%
Lewis Jamieson0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Thierry Small0%
Alex Greive0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mikael Mandron14%
Stav Nachmani11%
Jonah Ayunga6%
Greg Kiltie6%
Toyosi Olusanya6%
Scott Tanser5%
Richard Taylor4%
Caolan Boyd-Munce3%
Ryan Strain0%
Keanu Baccus0%
Mark O'Hara0%
Jaden Brown0%
James Bolton0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Charles Dunne0%
James Scott0%
Alexander Gogić0%
Ryan Flynn0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Conor McMenamin0%
Zachary Hemming0%
Hyeok-kyu Kwon0%
Lewis Jamieson0%
Thierry Small0%
Alex Greive0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
Kilmarnock and ST Mirren have a similar squad value (both €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
RC (1)
€0m
Kilmarnock's attack is €1m more valuable than ST Mirren's (€3m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
RC (3)
€0m
Kilmarnock's midfield is €1m less valuable than ST Mirren's (€2m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
Kilmarnock and ST Mirren have a similar defence value (both €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
KIL wins
4
Draws
2
SM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren · H/A from KIL
DateH/AGameScore
22/04/23AST Mirren Vs KIL0-2
02/01/23HKIL Vs ST Mirren0-0
15/10/22AST Mirren Vs KIL0-0
12/05/21HKIL Vs ST Mirren3-3
06/02/21AST Mirren Vs KIL2-0
02/01/21HKIL Vs ST Mirren1-1
26/09/20AST Mirren Vs KIL0-1
29/12/19AST Mirren Vs KIL1-0

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/09/23ADundee Vs KIL2-2
16/09/23HKIL Vs Hibernian2-2
02/09/23HKIL Vs Ross County0-1
26/08/23AMotherwell Vs KIL2-1
13/08/23AHeart Of Midlothian Vs KIL0-0
05/08/23HKIL Vs Rangers1-0
28/05/23HKIL Vs Ross County3-1
24/05/23ADundee Utd Vs KIL0-3
20/05/23HKIL Vs ST Johnstone0-1
13/05/23HKIL Vs Livingston2-0

ST MirrenST Mirren

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/09/23HSM Vs Heart Of Midlothian1-0
16/09/23AMotherwell Vs SM0-1
02/09/23ALivingston Vs SM1-1
27/08/23HSM Vs Aberdeen2-2
12/08/23HSM Vs Dundee2-1
06/08/23AHibernian Vs SM2-3
27/05/23HSM Vs Rangers0-3
24/05/23AAberdeen Vs SM3-0
20/05/23ACeltic Vs SM2-2
13/05/23HSM Vs Heart Of Midlothian2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDD1.14
HomeLWWLD1.80
AwayLWDLD0.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%52%8%
AVG goals2.542.642.44
Over 1.5 %74%72%76%
Over 2.5 %48%52%44%
Over 3.5 %28%28%28%
Scored1.041.400.68
Conceded1.501.241.76
BTTS50%60%40%
Clean Sheet22%28%16%
Corners11.2512.1710.33
Cards4.645.004.33
ST Mirren
ST Mirren
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWW1.36
HomeDLWDW1.65
AwayDLWDW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%46%25%
AVG goals2.562.272.88
Over 1.5 %70%62%79%
Over 2.5 %50%42%58%
Over 3.5 %28%23%33%
Scored1.121.151.08
Conceded1.441.121.79
BTTS44%38%50%
Clean Sheet32%38%25%
Corners10.0810.0010.20
Cards3.673.573.80

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic3893
76%
2.4
9530+65
3.3
89%
74%
34%
12.8
76%
3.4
44%
19.9
29%
116
5620412.50.8
69%
2RangersRangers3885
71%
2.2
8732+55
3.1
84%
66%
37%
11.3
66%
4.0
66%
22.0
50%
136
3844542.30.8
63%
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian3868
53%
1.8
5442+12
2.5
68%
45%
24%
12.2
79%
4.2
62%
22.2
55%
22
12461.41.1
55%
4KilmarnockKilmarnock3856
37%
1.5
4644+2
2.4
63%
42%
29%
11.0
68%
4.4
67%
22.7
53%
7
3231.21.2
45%
5AberdeenAberdeen3848
32%
1.3
4852-4
2.6
76%
47%
29%
10.2
61%
4.4
63%
24.5
74%
15
4471.31.4
49%
6ST MirrenST Mirren3847
34%
1.2
4652-6
2.6
74%
50%
24%
10.5
66%
3.2
44%
21.5
45%
8
1331.21.4
45%
7HibernianHibernian3846
29%
1.2
5259-7
2.9
84%
66%
39%
10.4
63%
4.1
61%
20.7
37%
20
7851.41.6
53%
8MotherwellMotherwell3843
26%
1.1
5659-3
3.0
82%
55%
34%
10.6
61%
4.2
59%
21.9
53%
16
10151.51.6
46%
9DundeeDundee3842
26%
1.1
4968-19
3.1
79%
63%
39%
11.4
74%
4.1
56%
19.5
32%
5
1221.31.8
44%
10Ross CountyRoss County4041
25%
1.0
4468-24
2.8
75%
52%
35%
11.2
66%
3.9
61%
22.0
53%
1
0011.11.7
44%
11ST JohnstoneST Johnstone3835
21%
0.9
2954-25
2.2
74%
37%
16%
10.4
55%
3.9
58%
21.7
50%
5
2120.81.4
44%
12LivingstonLivingston3825
13%
0.7
2970-41
2.6
74%
47%
29%
9.2
39%
3.5
46%
23.6
66%
4
1110.81.8
43%
13PartickPartick47
50%
1.8
76+1
3.2
100%
100%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.81.5
-
14Raith RoversRaith Rovers43
25%
0.8
49-5
3.2
100%
100%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.02.2
-
15Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United21
0%
0.5
34-1
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.0
-
Scotland: Premiership 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches