PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Kissamikos vs Ilioupoli Result & Analysis

Date: 19/04/2026
Time: 12:00
Final 1-0
Kissamikos
Kissamikos
Vs
43%
30%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ilioupoli
Ilioupoli
Greece: Super League 2
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Squad value14 Games History15 Overall Statistics16 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Kissamikos a 43% win probability against Ilioupoli in the Greece: Super League 2 on 2026-04-19, with 30% for the draw and 27% for Ilioupoli. The model estimates around 2.3 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (28%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (14.3%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 3.5 (80%).

Results analysis

Kissamikos finished 1-0 against Ilioupoli (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 43% home win, 30% draw and 27% away win. Picks that landed: Under 3.5 (80%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kissamikos win✓ Hit
42.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ilioupoli win✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KissamikosKissamikos

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L03L12L10W00D10W12L01L20W01LH·EGA18/01A·PAN25/01H·ELL15/02A·PAN21/02H·EGA01/03A·ILI07/03H·KAL15/03A·ELL21/03H·PAN29/03A·EGA04/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.330.931.400.471.27
vs Stronger (2)0.501.501.002.000.001.00
vs Similar (15)0.731.871.001.620.432.14
vs Weaker (13)0.690.690.831.000.570.43
Clean sheet %27% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Ilioupoli) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IlioupoliIlioupoli

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D10W01L11D01L02L11D02L02LH·OLY18/01A·KAL25/01H·PAN15/02A·KAL21/02A·ELL01/03H·KIS07/03A·EGA15/03A·PAN21/03H·KAL29/03H·ELL04/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.530.531.470.731.60
vs Stronger (22)0.551.680.361.730.731.64
vs Similar (4)0.501.751.001.000.002.50
vs Weaker (4)1.250.501.000.501.500.50
Clean sheet %17% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Kissamikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.2%
Under 1.5
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.4%
Under 2.5
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.1%
Under 3.5
79.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.2%
No
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
1-0 ✓
11.9%
0-0
11.3%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
4.9%
Kissamikos goals ↓
Ilioupoli goals →
01234
011%8.6%4.9%1.6%0.4%
112%14%6.4%2.1%0.5%
28.6%8.5%4.2%1.4%0.3%
33.8%3.7%1.8%0.6%0.1%
41.2%1.2%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kissamikos goals (down), columns = Ilioupoli goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kalamata
2.64
Iraklis 1908
2.40
Panionios
2.08
Niki Volos
2.00
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.71
Marko
1.67
PAOK II
1.64
Kallithea
1.61
Ellas Syros
1.61
Asteras Tripolis II
1.54
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.43
Egaleo
1.32
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.29
Kavala
1.25
Kissamikos
0.89
Kampaniakos Chalastra
0.82
PAS Giannina
0.75
Ilioupoli
0.71
Makedonikos Neapolis
0.50
Panargiakos
0.36
Kissamikos is 0.18 points better than Ilioupoli in terms of average points per game (0.89 vs 0.71).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kalamata
2.08
Niki Volos
1.92
Iraklis 1908
1.72
PAOK II
1.57
Panionios
1.46
Ellas Syros
1.43
Asteras Tripolis II
1.21
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.17
Kallithea
1.14
Marko
1.12
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.08
Kavala
1.07
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.07
Egaleo
0.96
Kampaniakos Chalastra
0.89
PAS Giannina
0.86
Makedonikos Neapolis
0.68
Kissamikos
0.64
Ilioupoli
0.64
Panargiakos
0.50
Kissamikos and Ilioupoli are level in goals scored per game (both 0.64).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kalamata
0.48
Niki Volos
0.50
Panionios
0.54
Iraklis 1908
0.60
Marko
0.71
Anagennisi Karditsas
0.75
Kallithea
0.79
Ellas Syros
0.86
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0.93
PAOK II
1.11
Egaleo
1.11
Asteras Tripolis II
1.12
Kissamikos
1.29
Kavala
1.32
PAS Giannina
1.46
Ilioupoli
1.54
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.58
Panargiakos
1.86
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.86
Makedonikos Neapolis
2.14
Kissamikos is 0.25 goals better than Ilioupoli in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.54).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KissamikosKissamikos

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L01L01L10W00D00D11D00D10W00DH·EGA18/01A·PAN25/01H·ELL15/02A·PAN21/02H·EGA01/03A·ILI07/03H·KAL15/03A·ELL21/03H·PAN29/03A·EGA04/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.570.530.730.270.40
vs Stronger (2)0.501.501.002.000.001.00
vs Similar (15)0.400.670.620.620.140.71
vs Weaker (13)0.380.310.330.670.430.00
Clean sheet %57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ilioupoli) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IlioupoliIlioupoli

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W00D00D01L00D01L10W00D02LH·OLY18/01A·KAL25/01H·PAN15/02A·KAL21/02A·ELL01/03H·KIS07/03A·EGA15/03A·PAN21/03H·KAL29/03H·ELL04/04
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.900.200.930.400.87
vs Stronger (22)0.231.000.091.090.360.91
vs Similar (4)0.251.000.500.500.001.50
vs Weaker (4)0.750.250.500.501.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Kissamikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kissamikos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kissamikos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kissamikos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilioupoli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilioupoli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilioupoli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KissamikosKissamikos

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L11D00D00D10W01L01L10W01LH·EGA18/01A·PAN25/01H·ELL15/02A·PAN21/02H·EGA01/03A·ILI07/03H·KAL15/03A·ELL21/03H·PAN29/03A·EGA04/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.770.400.670.200.87
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (15)0.331.200.381.000.291.43
vs Weaker (13)0.310.380.500.330.140.43
Clean sheet %43% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Ilioupoli) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IlioupoliIlioupoli

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L10W01L10W01L01L01L02L00DH·OLY18/01A·KAL25/01H·PAN15/02A·KAL21/02A·ELL01/03H·KIS07/03A·EGA15/03A·PAN21/03H·KAL29/03H·ELL04/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.630.330.530.330.73
vs Stronger (22)0.320.680.270.640.360.73
vs Similar (4)0.250.750.500.500.001.00
vs Weaker (4)0.500.250.500.000.500.50
Clean sheet %47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Kissamikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kissamikos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kissamikos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kissamikos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilioupoli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilioupoli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilioupoli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (30)
€7m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (14)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (3)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (13)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
KIS wins
0
Draws
3
ILI wins

Head-to-head

Kissamikos vs Ilioupoli · H/A from KIS
DateH/AGameScore
07/03/26AIlioupoli Vs KIS0-1
11/01/26HKIS Vs Ilioupoli0-2
25/10/25AIlioupoli Vs KIS0-2
26/01/25HKIS Vs Ilioupoli3-2
10/11/24AIlioupoli Vs KIS1-0
15/05/24HKIS Vs Ilioupoli6-2
08/04/24AIlioupoli Vs KIS4-2
10/03/24HKIS Vs Ilioupoli3-1

KissamikosKissamikos

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/04/26AEgaleo Vs KIS1-0
29/03/26HKIS Vs Panargiakos2-0
21/03/26AEllas Syros Vs KIS1-0
15/03/26HKIS Vs Kallithea1-2
07/03/26AIlioupoli Vs KIS0-1
01/03/26HKIS Vs Egaleo0-0
21/02/26APanargiakos Vs KIS0-1
15/02/26HKIS Vs Ellas Syros1-2
25/01/26APanionios Vs KIS3-0
18/01/26HKIS Vs Egaleo1-3

IlioupoliIlioupoli

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/04/26HILI Vs Ellas Syros0-2
29/03/26HILI Vs Kallithea0-2
21/03/26APanargiakos Vs ILI1-1
15/03/26AEgaleo Vs ILI2-0
07/03/26HILI Vs Kissamikos0-1
01/03/26AEllas Syros Vs ILI1-1
21/02/26AKallithea Vs ILI1-0
15/02/26HILI Vs Panargiakos1-0
25/01/26AKallithea Vs ILI1-1
18/01/26HILI Vs Olympiakos Piraeus II1-0

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Kissamikos
Kissamikos
Greece: Super League 2
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWL1.06
HomeLLDLW1.20
AwayLWWLL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%32%24%
AVG goals2.082.281.88
Over 1.5 %62%76%48%
Over 2.5 %36%40%32%
Over 3.5 %14%16%12%
Scored0.901.080.72
Conceded1.181.201.16
BTTS36%44%28%
Clean Sheet32%36%28%
Corners---
Cards---
Ilioupoli
Ilioupoli
Greece: Super League 2
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL0.84
HomeWWLLL0.88
AwayDLDLD0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%24%20%
AVG goals2.242.202.28
Over 1.5 %72%68%76%
Over 2.5 %28%36%20%
Over 3.5 %12%8%16%
Scored0.660.680.64
Conceded1.581.521.64
BTTS32%36%28%
Clean Sheet18%20%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KalamataKalamata2566
84%
2.6
5212+40
2.6
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3132.10.5
-
2Iraklis 1908Iraklis 19082560
72%
2.4
4315+28
2.3
64%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.6
-
3PanioniosPanionios2450
62%
2.1
3513+22
2.0
62%
33%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.5
-
4Niki VolosNiki Volos2448
54%
2.0
4612+34
2.4
58%
42%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.5
-
5PAOK IIPAOK II2846
50%
1.6
4431+13
2.7
75%
54%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.1
-
6Ellas SyrosEllas Syros2845
43%
1.6
4024+16
2.3
75%
39%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.40.9
-
7KallitheaKallithea2845
43%
1.6
3222+10
1.9
64%
21%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.8
-
8Anagennisi KarditsasAnagennisi Karditsas2441
50%
1.7
2818+10
1.9
50%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.8
-
9MarkoMarko2440
46%
1.7
2717+10
1.8
62%
21%
4%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.7
-
10Nestos ChrisoupolisNestos Chrisoupolis2840
39%
1.4
3026+4
2.0
57%
32%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.9
-
11Asteras Tripolis IIAsteras Tripolis II2437
42%
1.5
2927+2
2.3
71%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.1
-
12EgaleoEgaleo2837
36%
1.3
2731-4
2.1
64%
39%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.1
-
13KavalaKavala2835
32%
1.2
3037-7
2.4
64%
43%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
14Olympiakos Piraeus IIOlympiakos Piraeus II2431
38%
1.3
2638-12
2.7
71%
58%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
15KissamikosKissamikos2825
25%
0.9
1836-18
1.9
61%
25%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.3
-
16Kampaniakos ChalastraKampaniakos Chalastra2823
21%
0.8
2552-27
2.8
71%
54%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.9
-
17PAS GianninaPAS Giannina2821
18%
0.8
2441-17
2.3
57%
43%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
18IlioupoliIlioupoli2820
18%
0.7
1843-25
2.2
71%
29%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.5
-
19Makedonikos NeapolisMakedonikos Neapolis2814
11%
0.5
1960-41
2.8
64%
54%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.1
-
20PanargiakosPanargiakos2810
4%
0.4
1452-38
2.4
68%
36%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.9
-
Greece: Super League 2 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 2 stats & trends →

← all matches