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Kolding IF vs Hillerød Result & Analysis

Date: 18/10/2024
Time: 17:00
Final 3-1
Kolding IF
Kolding IF
Vs
30%
29%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hillerød
Hillerød
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kolding IF win✓ Hit
29.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hillerød win✗ Miss
40.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Kolding IFKolding IF

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W12L00D30W41W11D01L12L11D00DA·AC 16/08H·ESB21/08H·ROS24/08A·HIL30/08A·SGI03/09H·HB 14/09A·HOB20/09H·ODE27/09A·HVI02/10A·HVI07/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.031.291.211.810.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)1.401.041.381.311.420.75
vs Weaker (5)2.401.000.000.003.001.25
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Hillerød) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HillerødHillerød

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-442W00D00D03L31W30W14L03L11D22DH·HB 16/08A·HVI20/08A·B 923/08H·KOL30/08A·OKS03/09A·VEN14/09H·FC 17/09H·FC 23/09A·ESB29/09H·VEN04/10
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.301.861.641.881.00
vs Stronger (1)1.004.001.004.00--
vs Similar (23)1.611.001.601.301.620.77
vs Weaker (6)3.002.003.002.003.002.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolding IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.7%
Under 1.5
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.8%
Under 2.5
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.4%
Under 3.5
75.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.9%
No
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
0-1
9.9%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.0%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.3%
Kolding IF goals ↓
Hillerød goals →
01234
09.4%9.9%7.6%3.5%1.2%
18.0%14%8.7%4.0%1.4%
25.3%7.2%4.9%2.3%0.8%
32.0%2.7%1.9%0.9%0.3%
40.6%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kolding IF goals (down), columns = Hillerød goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Odense
2.03
FC Fredericia
2.00
Hillerød
1.62
AC Horsens
1.59
Kolding IF
1.56
Hvidovre
1.41
Esbjerg
1.28
Hobro
1.22
B 93
1.09
HB Koge
1.06
Vendsyssel FF
0.94
Roskilde
0.81
Kolding IF is 0.06 points worse than Hillerød in terms of average points per game (1.56 vs 1.62).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Odense
2.16
FC Fredericia
2.03
Hillerød
1.75
Esbjerg
1.62
AC Horsens
1.53
B 93
1.31
Hobro
1.22
Roskilde
1.16
Kolding IF
1.12
HB Koge
1.12
Vendsyssel FF
1.09
Hvidovre
1.03
Kolding IF is 0.62 goals worse than Hillerød in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 1.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kolding IF
0.88
FC Fredericia
0.94
Hvidovre
1.09
Odense
1.09
Hillerød
1.19
AC Horsens
1.50
Vendsyssel FF
1.53
Hobro
1.59
Esbjerg
1.75
HB Koge
1.78
B 93
1.91
Roskilde
1.91
Kolding IF is 0.31 goals better than Hillerød in terms of goals conceded per game (0.88 vs 1.19).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Kolding IFKolding IF

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D10W11D10W01L12L00D00DA·AC 16/08H·ESB21/08H·ROS24/08A·HIL30/08A·SGI03/09H·HB 14/09A·HOB20/09H·ODE27/09A·HVI02/10A·HVI07/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.470.500.500.620.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.520.400.540.540.500.25
vs Weaker (5)0.800.800.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Hillerød) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HillerødHillerød

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W00D00D01L31W20W02L01L11D21WH·HB 16/08A·HVI20/08A·B 923/08H·KOL30/08A·OKS03/09A·VEN14/09H·FC 17/09H·FC 23/09A·ESB29/09H·VEN04/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.570.790.710.940.44
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (23)0.740.390.600.500.850.31
vs Weaker (6)1.501.001.671.001.331.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolding IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kolding IF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hillerød over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hillerød over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hillerød over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Kolding IFKolding IF

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D00D20W30W01L00D00D11D00DA·AC 16/08H·ESB21/08H·ROS24/08A·HIL30/08A·SGI03/09H·HB 14/09A·HOB20/09H·ODE27/09A·HVI02/10A·HVI07/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.570.790.711.190.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.880.640.850.770.920.50
vs Weaker (5)1.600.200.000.002.000.25
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Hillerød) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HillerødHillerød

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D00D02L00D10W12L02L00D01LH·HB 16/08A·HVI20/08A·B 923/08H·KOL30/08A·OKS03/09A·VEN14/09H·FC 17/09H·FC 23/09A·ESB29/09H·VEN04/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.731.070.930.940.56
vs Stronger (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Similar (23)0.870.611.000.800.770.46
vs Weaker (6)1.501.001.331.001.671.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolding IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kolding IF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hillerød over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hillerød over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hillerød over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.6%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.572.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ODE (24)
€17m
AH (27)
€10m
FF (17)
€8m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
VF (3)
€1m
Kolding IF's squad is €2m more valuable than Hillerød's (€6m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ODE (9)
€8m
AH (9)
€4m
ESB (8)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
Kolding IF and Hillerød have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
AH (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
Kolding IF and Hillerød have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ODE (9)
€7m
AH (12)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
VF (0)
€0m
Kolding IF and Hillerød have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
3
KI wins
0
Draws
0
HIL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kolding IF vs Hillerød · H/A from KI
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/24AHillerød Vs KI0-3
25/11/23AHillerød Vs KI1-3
29/07/23HKI Vs Hillerød2-1

Kolding IFKolding IF

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/10/24AHvidovre Vs KI0-0
02/10/24AHvidovre Vs KI1-1
27/09/24HKI Vs Odense1-2
20/09/24AHobro Vs KI1-0
14/09/24HKI Vs HB Koge1-1
03/09/24ASGI Vs KI1-4
30/08/24AHillerød Vs KI0-3
24/08/24HKI Vs Roskilde0-0
21/08/24HKI Vs Esbjerg1-2
16/08/24AAC Horsens Vs KI0-1

HillerødHillerød

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/10/24HHIL Vs Vendsyssel FF2-2
29/09/24AEsbjerg Vs HIL1-1
23/09/24HHIL Vs FC Fredericia0-3
17/09/24HHIL Vs FC Midtjylland1-4
14/09/24AVendsyssel FF Vs HIL0-3
03/09/24AOKS Vs HIL1-3
30/08/24HHIL Vs Kolding IF0-3
23/08/24AB 93 Vs HIL0-0
20/08/24AHvidovre Vs HIL0-0
16/08/24HHIL Vs HB Koge4-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kolding IF
Kolding IF
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDD1.49
HomeWLDDL1.32
AwayWWLDD1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%36%44%
AVG goals2.722.642.80
Over 1.5 %70%68%72%
Over 2.5 %57%64%52%
Over 3.5 %32%32%32%
Scored1.531.411.64
Conceded1.191.231.16
BTTS57%55%60%
Clean Sheet28%27%28%
Corners---
Cards---
Hillerød
Hillerød
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDD1.46
HomeWLLLD1.40
AwayDDWWD1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%36%40%
AVG goals2.962.763.16
Over 1.5 %76%72%80%
Over 2.5 %58%52%64%
Over 3.5 %44%40%48%
Scored1.621.361.88
Conceded1.341.401.28
BTTS48%44%52%
Clean Sheet34%36%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OdenseOdense3265
56%
2.0
6935+34
3.2
88%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
17
8372.21.1
-
2FC FredericiaFC Fredericia3264
62%
2.0
6530+35
3.0
75%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
2332.00.9
-
3HillerødHillerød3252
44%
1.6
5638+18
2.9
78%
53%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.2
-
4AC HorsensAC Horsens3251
47%
1.6
4948+1
3.0
78%
59%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.51.5
-
5Kolding IFKolding IF3250
44%
1.6
3628+8
2.0
53%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.10.9
-
6HvidovreHvidovre3245
38%
1.4
3335-2
2.1
53%
31%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.1
-
7EsbjergEsbjerg3241
41%
1.3
5256-4
3.4
88%
66%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.61.8
-
8HobroHobro3239
31%
1.2
3951-12
2.8
78%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.21.6
-
9B 93B 933235
28%
1.1
4261-19
3.2
78%
69%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.9
-
10HB KogeHB Koge3234
28%
1.1
3657-21
2.9
81%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.11.8
-
11Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF3230
22%
0.9
3549-14
2.6
75%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.5
-
12RoskildeRoskilde3226
22%
0.8
3761-24
3.1
88%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.9
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

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