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Kolkheti Poti vs Telavi Result & Analysis

Date: 29/04/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 1-0
Kolkheti Poti
Kolkheti Poti
Vs
56%
25%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Telavi
Telavi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Kolkheti Poti win✓ Hit
56.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Telavi win✗ Miss
18.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D01L02L10W04L22D02L02L21WA·TEL05/03H·DIN10/03H·GAR16/03H·GAG28/03A·SAM01/04A·SAB05/04H·TOR09/04A·DIL13/04H·DIN19/04H·SAM25/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.571.191.380.791.79
vs Stronger (17)1.181.761.561.780.751.75
vs Similar (11)0.641.450.831.000.402.00
vs Weaker (2)1.500.500.000.003.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Telavi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TelaviTelavi

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-702L10W21W11D16L10W02L01L07L00DA·SAB28/02H·KOL05/03A·TOR09/03H·DIN15/03A·DIL28/03H·GAR06/04A·DIN10/04H·GAG14/04A·SAM19/04H·SAB24/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.531.200.800.602.27
vs Stronger (19)0.791.531.000.890.602.10
vs Similar (11)1.091.551.500.670.602.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolkheti Poti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%016%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
76.8%
Under 1.5
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.4%
Under 2.5
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.3%
Under 3.5
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.8%
No
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
1-0 ✓
10.6%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.6%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
Kolkheti Poti goals ↓
Telavi goals →
01234
07.6%5.0%2.9%0.9%0.2%
111%12%5.1%1.6%0.4%
210%9.8%4.6%1.4%0.3%
36.3%5.9%2.8%0.9%0.2%
42.8%2.6%1.2%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kolkheti Poti goals (down), columns = Telavi goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Saburtalo
2.22
Dila
2.17
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.75
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.58
Spaeri
1.50
Gagra
1.19
Dinamo Batumi
1.19
Samgurali
1.17
Telavi
1.00
Meshakhte
1.00
Gareji
0.97
Kolkheti Poti
0.61
Kolkheti Poti is 0.39 points worse than Telavi in terms of average points per game (0.61 vs 1.00).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.75
Dila
1.75
Saburtalo
1.67
Spaeri
1.50
Samgurali
1.50
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.42
Gagra
1.22
Gareji
1.13
Dinamo Batumi
1.11
Telavi
1.00
Meshakhte
1.00
Kolkheti Poti
0.92
Kolkheti Poti is 0.08 goals worse than Telavi in terms of goals scored per game (0.92 vs 1.00).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Saburtalo
0.67
Dinamo Tbilisi
0.94
Dila
0.97
Spaeri
1.00
Meshakhte
1.00
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.14
Samgurali
1.47
Gareji
1.50
Gagra
1.53
Telavi
1.61
Dinamo Batumi
1.64
Kolkheti Poti
1.97
Kolkheti Poti is 0.37 goals worse than Telavi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.97 vs 1.61).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

TelaviTelavi

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (25)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (21)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (4)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Telavi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TelaviTelavi

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (29)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (21)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Kolkheti Poti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
10.2
Saburtalo
10.2
Dila
8.9
Dinamo Tbilisi
7.8
Dinamo Batumi
7.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
6.3
Dila
5.2
Saburtalo
5.0
Dinamo Batumi
4.5
Dinamo Tbilisi
3.2

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Dila
30.7
Torpedo Kutaisi
28.0
Dinamo Tbilisi
25.0
Dinamo Batumi
24.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D00D00D00D01L11D01L01L10WA·TEL05/03H·DIN10/03H·GAR16/03H·GAG28/03A·SAM01/04A·SAB05/04H·TOR09/04A·DIL13/04H·DIN19/04H·SAM25/04
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.570.690.440.290.71
vs Stronger (17)0.590.650.890.670.250.62
vs Similar (11)0.270.550.500.170.001.00
vs Weaker (2)1.000.000.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Telavi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TelaviTelavi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D00D10W11D03L00D01L00D05L00DA·SAB28/02H·KOL05/03A·TOR09/03H·DIN15/03A·DIL28/03H·GAR06/04A·DIN10/04H·GAG14/04A·SAM19/04H·SAB24/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.730.470.400.201.07
vs Stronger (19)0.210.740.330.560.100.90
vs Similar (11)0.550.730.670.170.401.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolkheti Poti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kolkheti Poti over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Poti over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Poti over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telavi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telavi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telavi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D01L02L10W03L11D01L01L11DA·TEL05/03H·DIN10/03H·GAR16/03H·GAG28/03A·SAM01/04A·SAB05/04H·TOR09/04A·DIL13/04H·DIN19/04H·SAM25/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.000.500.940.501.07
vs Stronger (17)0.591.120.671.110.501.12
vs Similar (11)0.360.910.330.830.401.00
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Telavi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TelaviTelavi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W11D00D13L10W01L01L02L00DA·SAB28/02H·KOL05/03A·TOR09/03H·DIN15/03A·DIL28/03H·GAR06/04A·DIN10/04H·GAG14/04A·SAM19/04H·SAB24/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.800.730.400.401.20
vs Stronger (19)0.580.790.670.330.501.20
vs Similar (11)0.550.820.830.500.201.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolkheti Poti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kolkheti Poti over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Poti over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Poti over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telavi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telavi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telavi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.570.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (26)
€7m
TK (22)
€7m
DB (25)
€6m
SAB (22)
€6m
DIL (23)
€4m
SAM (24)
€3m
GAG (23)
€3m
MES (21)
€2m
SPA (20)
€2m
KP (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (9)
€3m
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
TK (7)
€2m
DIL (8)
€2m
SAM (9)
€1m
GAG (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
MES (7)
€1m
KP (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (5)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
DB (6)
€1m
MES (5)
€1m
SAM (5)
€1m
GAG (6)
€1m
DT (4)
€1m
DIL (6)
€1m
SPA (4)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
TK (10)
€2m
DIL (9)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
SAM (10)
€1m
GAG (9)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
MES (9)
€1m
KP (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
KP wins
2
Draws
2
TEL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kolkheti Poti vs Telavi · H/A from KP
DateH/AGameScore
05/03/25ATelavi Vs KP1-0
09/11/24ATelavi Vs KP3-0
31/08/24HKP Vs Telavi0-0
15/05/24ATelavi Vs KP1-1
29/03/24HKP Vs Telavi3-1

Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/25HKP Vs Samgurali2-1
19/04/25HKP Vs Dinamo Batumi0-2
13/04/25ADila Vs KP2-0
09/04/25HKP Vs Torpedo Kutaisi2-2
05/04/25ASaburtalo Vs KP4-0
01/04/25ASamgurali Vs KP0-1
28/03/25HKP Vs Gagra0-2
16/03/25HKP Vs Gareji0-1
10/03/25HKP Vs Dinamo Tbilisi0-0
05/03/25ATelavi Vs KP1-0

TelaviTelavi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/04/25HTEL Vs Saburtalo0-0
19/04/25ASamgurali Vs TEL7-0
14/04/25HTEL Vs Gagra0-1
10/04/25ADinamo Batumi Vs TEL2-0
06/04/25HTEL Vs Gareji1-0
28/03/25ADila Vs TEL6-1
15/03/25HTEL Vs Dinamo Tbilisi1-1
09/03/25ATorpedo Kutaisi Vs TEL1-2
05/03/25HTEL Vs Kolkheti Poti1-0
28/02/25ASaburtalo Vs TEL2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kolkheti Poti
Kolkheti Poti
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLW1.12
HomeLLDLW1.38
AwayWLWLL0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%35%17%
AVG goals2.663.002.29
Over 1.5 %78%81%75%
Over 2.5 %46%58%33%
Over 3.5 %30%38%21%
Scored1.161.500.79
Conceded1.501.501.50
BTTS52%58%46%
Clean Sheet22%27%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Telavi
Telavi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLD1.04
HomeWDWLD1.56
AwayLWLLL0.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%44%8%
AVG goals2.221.962.48
Over 1.5 %58%48%68%
Over 2.5 %38%40%36%
Over 3.5 %16%12%20%
Scored0.901.200.60
Conceded1.320.761.88
BTTS40%32%48%
Clean Sheet26%44%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SaburtaloSaburtalo3680
67%
2.2
6024+36
2.3
67%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3221.70.7
-
2DilaDila3678
69%
2.2
6335+28
2.7
69%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.81.0
-
3Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi3663
50%
1.8
6341+22
2.9
78%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2221.81.1
-
4Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi3657
42%
1.6
5134+17
2.4
72%
47%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3131.40.9
-
5GagraGagra3643
33%
1.2
4455-11
2.8
83%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.5
-
6Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi3643
31%
1.2
4059-19
2.8
83%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.11.6
-
7SamguraliSamgurali3642
33%
1.2
5453+1
3.0
81%
56%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.5
-
8TelaviTelavi3838
24%
1.0
3861-23
2.6
71%
47%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
9GarejiGareji3837
21%
1.0
4357-14
2.6
71%
50%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
10Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti3622
14%
0.6
3371-38
2.9
78%
56%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
11SpaeriSpaeri23
50%
1.5
32+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.0
-
12MeshakhteMeshakhte22
0%
1.0
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.0
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga stats & trends →

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