Komárno faces a tough challenge at home against Dunajska Streda, with the visitors expected to emerge victorious. Dunajska Streda's recent form, coming off a 0-6 defeat to Twente, suggests they're due for an improvement, while Komárno is coming off a draw against Zemplín Michalovce.
The model predicts a 51% chance of an away win, with Komárno at 21% and a draw at 28%. The expected total goals are 2.4, with a most likely total of 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, occurring 13.4% of the time.
Komárno has struggled at home, scoring an average of 1.2 goals and conceding 1.4, particularly against stronger opponents. Dunajska Streda, on the other hand, has fared better away, scoring 1.54 goals and conceding 1.08 against weaker opponents.
The model's selection is an away win, and they also suggest Over 21.5 fouls (84.3%), Under 3.5 goals (77.6%), and Over 1.5 goals (70.7%). Komárno has a 21% chance of winning, a 28% chance of drawing, and a 51% chance of losing.
The win extends Komárno's run of alternating results, but ultimately, it was Dunajska Streda who secured the three points. The final score was 0-3, with the away team's win being the actual result. The model's selection, Dunajska Streda's win, was correct, given its pre-match probability of 51%. The model's call was spot on, as the away team's win was the most likely outcome.
The model's selection of Under 3.5 goals hit, with a probability of 77.5%, while Over 1.5 goals also came in, with a probability of 70.7%. The most likely total goals was 2, with a probability of 27%. The most likely scores were 1-1, 0-1, and 0-2, each with a probability of 13.4%, 12.3%, and 10.3% respectively.
Komárno| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.10 | 1.23 | 1.31 | 1.23 | 0.94 | 1.24 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 1.50 | 2.25 | 2.00 | 2.50 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (23) | 1.04 | 1.13 | 1.00 | 1.10 | 1.08 | 1.15 |
| vs Weaker (3) | 1.00 | 0.67 | 3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 23% (-4pp vs league) | |||||
Dunajska Streda| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.63 | 1.40 | 2.07 | 1.21 | 1.25 | 1.56 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (12) | 1.25 | 2.08 | 1.86 | 1.86 | 0.40 | 2.40 |
| vs Weaker (18) | 1.89 | 0.94 | 2.29 | 0.57 | 1.64 | 1.18 |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+6pp vs league) | |||||
| Dunajska Streda goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 10% | 12% | 10% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 13% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| 2 | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Komárno
Dunajska Streda
Komárno| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.8 | 10.7 | 8.8 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 27.0 | 25.4 | 28.8 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 9.3 | 9.0 | 9.5 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 29.3 | 31.0 | 28.5 |
| vs Similar (41) | 9.9 | 10.8 | 8.6 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 26.7 | 24.9 | 28.9 |
| vs Weaker (3) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | 42% | 57% | 25% | 28% | 30% | 26% | 88% | 86% | 92% |
| % under line | 58% | 43% | 75% | 72% | 70% | 74% | 12% | 14% | 8% |
Dunajska Streda| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.6 | 9.6 | 9.5 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 25.2 | 25.8 | 24.6 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (18) | 8.6 | 9.3 | 7.8 | 3.6 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 26.4 | 27.7 | 24.8 |
| vs Weaker (32) | 10.4 | 10.0 | 10.8 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 24.2 | 23.9 | 24.5 |
| % over line | 43% | 50% | 36% | 32% | 29% | 35% | 68% | 64% | 71% |
| % under line | 57% | 50% | 64% | 68% | 71% | 65% | 32% | 36% | 29% |
Komárno| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.33 | 0.60 | 0.31 | 0.54 | 0.35 | 0.65 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 0.25 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (23) | 0.35 | 0.43 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| vs Weaker (3) | 0.33 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+30pp vs league) | |||||
Dunajska Streda| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.77 | 0.57 | 0.93 | 0.64 | 0.62 | 0.50 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (12) | 0.58 | 0.92 | 0.86 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| vs Weaker (18) | 0.89 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.29 | 0.82 | 0.36 |
| Clean sheet % | 60% (+33pp vs league) | |||||
Komárno| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.77 | 0.63 | 1.00 | 0.69 | 0.59 | 0.59 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 1.25 | 0.75 | 2.00 | 1.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (23) | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.60 | 0.69 | 0.77 |
| vs Weaker (3) | 0.67 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+26pp vs league) | |||||
Dunajska Streda| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.87 | 0.83 | 1.14 | 0.57 | 0.62 | 1.06 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (12) | 0.67 | 1.17 | 1.00 | 0.86 | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| vs Weaker (18) | 1.00 | 0.61 | 1.29 | 0.29 | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+23pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 fouls | 91.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 2.5 cards | 86.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 83.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Draw or Away | 79.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 3.5 | 77.5% | 1.31 | 1.36 | 1.35 | 1.34 | 1.33 | 1.33 | +6.7% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 11.5 corners | 72.2% | 1.36 | 1.38 | 1.35 | 1.34 | - | - | +4.6% | - |
| Home or Away | 71.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 23.5 fouls | 71.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 3.5 cards | 71.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 1.5 | 70.7% | 1.27 | 1.33 | 1.30 | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.28 | -2.3% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 27/09/25 | A | 1-1 | |
| 02/11/24 | H | 0-1 | |
| 04/08/24 | A | 2-0 |
Komárno| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 02/08/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 25/07/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 23/05/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 19/05/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 16/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 10/05/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 03/05/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 0-2 | |
| 18/04/26 | A | 2-1 |
Dunajska Streda| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/26 | H | 3-3 | |
| 06/08/26 | A | 6-0 | |
| 02/08/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 26/07/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 16/05/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 09/05/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 02/05/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 22/04/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 18/04/26 | A | 1-2 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Dunajska Streda | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 17 | 2 | +15 | 3.8 | 100% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 15 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 3.4 | 0.4 | - |
| 2 | Spartak Trnava | 6 | 13 | 67% | 2.2 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 3.0 | 100% | 67% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2.2 | 0.8 | - |
| 3 | Žilina | 6 | 13 | 67% | 2.2 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 4.5 | 83% | 83% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 12 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 2.5 | 2.0 | - |
| 4 | Slovan Bratislava | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 15 | 3 | +12 | 3.6 | 100% | 100% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 3.0 | 0.6 | - |
| 5 | Podbrezová | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 3.7 | 100% | 83% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.7 | 2.0 | - |
| 6 | Zemplín Michalovce | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 2.0 | 83% | 17% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 7 | Skalica | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 4.0 | 100% | 67% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 2.5 | - |
| 8 | FK Košice | 5 | 6 | 20% | 1.2 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 5.4 | 100% | 100% | 80% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2.8 | 2.6 | - |
| 9 | AS Trencin | 5 | 5 | 20% | 1.0 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 3.6 | 100% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1.4 | 2.2 | - |
| 10 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | 6 | 4 | 17% | 0.7 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 3.5 | 83% | 67% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 2.5 | - |
| 11 | Komárno | 6 | 3 | 0% | 0.5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 2.8 | 100% | 67% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.8 | - |
| 12 | Ružomberok | 6 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 3.2 | 83% | 67% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.7 | 2.5 | - |