Kongsvinger vs Lyn Result & Analysis

Date: 30/08/2026

Time: 15:00

Final 4-4

Kongsvinger

38%

23%

40%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Lyn

Norway: 1. Division

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

Kongsvinger’s recent 3-game winning streak shows they can hold a lead, but their average of 2.18 goals scored and 2.0 conceded at home suggests they may struggle against a more efficient Lyn side that averages 2.07 goals scored and only 1.36 conceded on the road. The model’s most likely outcome is an away win, with a 40% chance, followed by a 38% home win and a 23% draw. The predicted total is 3.9 goals, centring on a 3-goal total with a 20% probability, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, occurring 8.6% of the time. The model offers a range of selections: Away under 2.5 HT goals 97.5%, Home under 2.5 HT goals 96.3%, Away under 2.5 2H goals 95.7%, Under 7.5 95.6%, Home under 2.5 2H goals 94.0%, Over 1.5 90.7%, Under 6.5 90.2%, and Home under 3.5 goals 87.2%. Each pick carries its own probability and, where noted, an edge over the market.

Results analysis

The 4-4 draw stunned everyone, as the pre-match favourite, the model’s pick for an away win with a 40% probability, failed to materialise. Kongsvinger and Lyn both finished the game level, each extending a recent streak that had seen them draw their last match. The model’s selection of an away victory was incorrect, while the suggested picks largely held up: the model’s choices for Away under 2.5 HT goals, Home under 2.5 HT goals, Away under 2.5 2H goals, Home under 2.5 2H goals, and Over 1.5 all hit, confirming the high probabilities of 98%, 96.7%, 96.2%, 93.9% and 90.7% respectively. However, the Under 7.5, Under 6.5 and Home under 3.5 goals picks missed, with probabilities of 95.6%, 90.2% and 87.2% respectively. The match ended in a high-scoring draw, leaving the model’s favourite on the wrong side of the outcome.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kongsvinger win✗ Miss

37.8%

Avg Implied 61.4% · @ 1.50

Edge

-23.6%

Best 5 market prices

Dafabet

1.53

Betano

1.53

Pinnacle

1.53

Superbet

1.53

1xBet

1.50

Draw✓ Hit

22.6%

Avg Implied 19.1% · @ 4.83

Edge

+3.6%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

5.26

BetVictor

5.00

Betfair

5.00

1xBet

4.90

Marathonbet

4.90

Lyn win✗ Miss

39.5%

Avg Implied 19.6% · @ 4.70

Edge

+20.0%

Best 5 market prices

1xBet

4.93

Marathonbet

4.90

Unibet

4.90

Pinnacle

4.82

BetVictor

4.80

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Kongsvinger

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.4

Avg scored

2.1

Avg conceded

1.3

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	2.30	1.50	2.20	1.80	2.40	1.20
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (21)	2.00	1.81	2.08	2.08	1.89	1.44
vs Weaker (9)	3.00	0.78	2.67	0.67	3.17	0.83
Clean sheet %	23% (+1pp vs league)

This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lyn

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

4.1

Avg scored

2.2

Avg conceded

1.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	2.10	1.33	1.92	1.38	2.24	1.29
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (26)	1.96	1.35	1.83	1.33	2.07	1.36
vs Weaker (4)	3.00	1.25	3.00	2.00	3.00	1.00
Clean sheet %	27% (+5pp vs league)

This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

90.7%

@ 1.04+0.7%

Under 1.5

9.3%

@ 9.32-0.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.06

Bet365

1.05

Betfair

1.04

1xBet

1.02

Under

Bet365

11.00

Betfair

10.00

Marathonbet

9.30

1xBet

9.10

Betano

7.20

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

74.3%

@ 1.18-3.9%

Under 2.5

25.7%

@ 4.24+3.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.22

Pinnacle

1.20

Superbet

1.20

Bet365

1.20

Unibet

1.19

Under

Pinnacle

4.54

Betfair

4.50

BetVictor

4.40

Bet365

4.33

Marathonbet

4.20

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over

Over 3.5

54.2%

@ 1.52-7.0%

Under 3.5

45.8%

@ 2.41+7.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.55

10Bet

1.53

Betfair

1.53

Pinnacle

1.53

Superbet

1.53

Under

Bet365

2.50

Pinnacle

2.50

Betfair

2.45

Marathonbet

2.45

1xBet

2.45

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

74.0%

@ 1.28+1.9%

26.0%

@ 3.32-1.9%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Betano

1.30

Bet365

1.30

Betfair

1.29

William Hil

1.29

Superbet

1.29

BetVictor

3.50

1xBet

3.42

Bet365

3.40

Betfair

3.40

Marathonbet

3.34

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

8.6%@ 11.55+4.7%

1-2

7.6%@ 15.46+4.7%

2-1

7.5%@ 8.76+2.3%

2-2

7.3%@ 10.93+3.2%

1-3

5.0%@ 29.46+3.5%

2-3

4.8%@ 21.80+2.7%

3-1

4.8%@ 9.59+0.1%

3-2

4.7%@ 11.98+0.9%

Kongsvinger goals ↓

	Lyn goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.9%	3.3%	4.0%	2.6%	1.3%
1	3.2%	8.6%	7.6%	5.0%	2.4%
2	3.8%	7.5%	7.3%	4.8%	2.3%
3	2.4%	4.8%	4.7%	3.0%	1.5%
4	1.2%	2.3%	2.2%	1.5%	0.7%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kongsvinger goals (down), columns = Lyn goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Stabaek

2.50

Kongsvinger

2.17

hodd

2.14

Haugesund

2.14

Stromsgodset

1.86

Bryne

1.86

Lyn

1.83

Strommen

1.67

Egersund

1.57

Sogndal

1.17

ODD Ballklubb

1.14

Asane

0.83

Sandnes ULF

0.57

Ranheim

0.50

Raufoss

0.50

Moss

0.29

Kongsvinger is 0.33 points better than Lyn in terms of average points per game (2.17 vs 1.83).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Stabaek

3.50

Haugesund

3.14

Lyn

3.00

Kongsvinger

2.83

Ranheim

2.50

hodd

2.43

Stromsgodset

2.14

ODD Ballklubb

2.00

Strommen

2.00

Sogndal

1.83

Egersund

1.71

Asane

1.67

Moss

1.29

Bryne

1.14

Sandnes ULF

1.14

Raufoss

1.00

Kongsvinger is 0.17 goals worse than Lyn in terms of goals scored per game (2.83 vs 3.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Bryne

1.00

Stabaek

1.17

Haugesund

1.57

Stromsgodset

1.57

Egersund

1.71

Kongsvinger

1.83

Strommen

1.83

Sogndal

2.00

Lyn

2.17

Moss

2.29

ODD Ballklubb

2.29

Sandnes ULF

2.29

Asane

2.33

hodd

2.86

Raufoss

3.00

Ranheim

3.33

Kongsvinger is 0.33 goals better than Lyn in terms of goals conceded per game (1.83 vs 2.17).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Kongsvinger or Draw✓ Hit

60.5%

Avg Implied 80.6% · @ 1.15

Edge

-20.1%

38%

23%

40%

covers Kongsvinger + Draw

Best 5 market prices

BetVictor

1.18

Betano

1.18

William Hil

1.17

Bet365

1.17

Superbet

1.16

Kongsvinger or Lyn✗ Miss

77.4%

Avg Implied 81.3% · @ 1.14

Edge

-4.0%

38%

23%

40%

covers Kongsvinger + Lyn

Best 5 market prices

William Hil

1.18

Bet365

1.17

Betano

1.17

Superbet

1.15

1xBet

1.14

Draw or Lyn✓ Hit

62.2%

Avg Implied 38.1% · @ 2.44

Edge

+24.1%

38%

23%

40%

covers Draw + Lyn

Best 5 market prices

Betfair

2.50

Betano

2.50

1xBet

2.46

Marathonbet

2.46

BetVictor

2.45

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Kongsvinger over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

85.3%

@ 1.03-5.8%

Under

14.7%

@ 10.56+5.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.05

Bet365

1.04

Betfair

1.03

1xBet

1.01

Under

Bet365

13.00

1xBet

11.00

Betfair

10.00

Betano

8.25

Kongsvinger over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

57.1%

@ 1.24-17.4%

Under

42.9%

@ 3.62+17.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.30

Betano

1.28

Superbet

1.26

Bet365

1.25

Pinnacle

1.24

Under

Pinnacle

3.90

BetVictor

3.80

Bet365

3.75

Betfair

3.75

Marathonbet

3.72

Kongsvinger over/under 2.5Actual: Over

Over

30.1%

@ 1.79-21.6%

Under

69.9%

@ 1.92+21.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.83

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.82

Superbet

1.82

1xBet

1.80

Under

Betfair

2.00

Pinnacle

1.98

Marathonbet

1.95

Unibet

1.94

BetVictor

1.93

Kongsvinger over/under 3.5Actual: Over

Over

12.8%

@ 2.99-18.3%

Under

87.2%

@ 1.35+18.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

3.25

Pinnacle

3.17

Superbet

3.05

BetVictor

3.00

Betano

3.00

Under

1xBet

1.42

Betano

1.36

Unibet

1.35

Marathonbet

1.34

Pinnacle

1.34

Lyn over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

85.9%

@ 1.22+9.9%

Under

14.1%

@ 3.87-9.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

1.24

Unibet

1.23

Betano

1.23

Betfair

1.22

1xBet

1.22

Under

Pinnacle

4.25

BetVictor

4.10

Bet365

4.00

Superbet

3.90

Betano

3.90

Lyn over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

58.3%

@ 2.06+13.4%

Under

41.7%

@ 1.68-13.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.10

Betfair

2.10

Unibet

2.10

Pinnacle

2.08

Betano

2.05

Under

Pinnacle

1.75

Betano

1.72

Marathonbet

1.72

BetVictor

1.70

Superbet

1.70

Lyn over/under 2.5Actual: Over

Over

31.2%

@ 4.47+10.5%

Under

68.8%

@ 1.17-10.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

5.10

Betfair

4.50

BetVictor

4.50

Bet365

4.50

Unibet

4.40

Under

Betano

1.20

Superbet

1.19

Bet365

1.18

Betfair

1.17

BetVictor

1.17

Lyn over/under 3.5Actual: Over

Over

13.6%

@ 10.42+4.5%

Under

86.4%

@ 1.04-4.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

13.00

Betfair

10.00

Betano

8.25

Under

Betano

1.05

Bet365

1.04

Betfair

1.03

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Kongsvinger, so a minus line means Kongsvinger give that many goals of a start and Lyn receive them. At -1, Kongsvinger must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kongsvinger win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Kongsvinger)Actual: Lyn

Kongsvinger -2

9.3%

@ 3.38-17.0%

Draw -2

11.5%

@ 4.69-7.5%

Lyn +2

79.3%

@ 1.63+24.6%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

3.50

Betfair

3.50

Marathonbet

3.34

Unibet

3.20

Draw

Bet365

5.00

Marathonbet

4.85

Betfair

4.50

Unibet

4.40

Away

Unibet

1.67

Bet365

1.62

Betfair

1.62

Marathonbet

1.61

Handicap -1 (Kongsvinger)Actual: Lyn

Kongsvinger -1

20.7%

@ 2.09-22.0%

Draw -1

17.1%

@ 4.18-4.2%

Lyn +1

62.2%

@ 2.48+26.2%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

2.20

10Bet

2.15

Marathonbet

2.08

Unibet

2.02

Betfair

2.00

Draw

Bet365

4.50

Marathonbet

4.20

Betfair

4.20

Unibet

4.00

10Bet

4.00

Away

Bet365

2.50

Unibet

2.50

Betfair

2.50

Marathonbet

2.46

10Bet

2.45

Handicap +1 (Kongsvinger)Actual: Kongsvinger

Kongsvinger +1

60.5%

@ 1.15-17.8%

Draw +1

17.5%

@ 7.43+5.4%

Lyn -1

22.0%

@ 9.30+12.4%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.17

Marathonbet

1.14

Unibet

1.14

Draw

Bet365

8.00

Marathonbet

7.30

Unibet

7.00

Away

Bet365

10.00

Unibet

9.00

Marathonbet

8.90

Handicap +2 (Kongsvinger)Actual: Kongsvinger

Kongsvinger +2

78.0%

@ 1.06-11.2%

Draw +2

12.0%

@ 15.00+5.7%

Lyn -2

10.0%

@ 21.00+5.5%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.06

Draw

Bet365

15.00

Away

Bet365

21.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Kongsvinger

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.4

Avg scored

0.9

Avg conceded

0.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.97	0.53	0.93	0.80	1.00	0.27
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (21)	0.86	0.57	0.92	0.83	0.78	0.22
vs Weaker (9)	1.22	0.44	1.00	0.67	1.33	0.33
Clean sheet %	63% (+41pp vs league)

This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lyn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.0

Avg scored

1.5

Avg conceded

0.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.03	0.67	1.08	0.85	1.00	0.53
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (26)	1.08	0.62	1.17	0.83	1.00	0.43
vs Weaker (4)	0.75	1.00	0.00	1.00	1.00	1.00
Clean sheet %	53% (+31pp vs league)

This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

75.7%

@ 1.12-7.0%

Under 0.5

24.3%

@ 5.34+7.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.16

Bet365

1.14

Betfair

1.13

William Hil

1.12

Superbet

1.12

Under

BetVictor

5.75

William Hil

5.50

Bet365

5.50

Betfair

5.50

1xBet

5.40

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

40.9%

@ 1.65-15.2%

Under 1.5

59.1%

@ 2.12+15.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.72

Pinnacle

1.68

Bet365

1.67

BetVictor

1.66

William Hil

1.65

Under

Betfair

2.20

Pinnacle

2.18

1xBet

2.14

Marathonbet

2.14

Superbet

2.12

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

17.3%

@ 3.02-13.3%

Under 2.5

82.7%

@ 1.33+13.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

3.25

BetVictor

3.10

Betano

3.10

Betfair

3.00

Superbet

2.95

Under

William Hil

1.36

Superbet

1.35

Betfair

1.33

Bet365

1.33

BetVictor

1.33

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Kongsvinger over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

51.6%

@ 1.36-16.4%

Under

48.4%

@ 2.90+16.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.38

1xBet

1.35

Under

1xBet

3.00

Betano

2.80

Kongsvinger over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over

Over

17.5%

@ 2.60-18.1%

Under

82.5%

@ 1.44+18.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.69

Betano

2.67

Marathonbet

2.62

1xBet

2.60

Superbet

2.57

Under

Pinnacle

1.47

Superbet

1.45

Unibet

1.45

1xBet

1.43

Marathonbet

1.43

Kongsvinger over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

3.3%

@ 6.05-11.9%

Under

96.7%

@ 1.08+11.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

6.30

Betano

5.80

Under

Betano

1.10

1xBet

1.07

Lyn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

47.8%

@ 1.91-0.7%

Under

52.2%

@ 1.80+0.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.97

Betano

1.93

Unibet

1.91

1xBet

1.90

Superbet

1.90

Under

Pinnacle

1.83

Marathonbet

1.82

Superbet

1.82

1xBet

1.80

Betano

1.78

Lyn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over

Over

14.5%

@ 5.50-2.3%

Under

85.5%

@ 1.11+2.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

5.70

1xBet

5.60

Betano

5.20

Under

Betano

1.13

1xBet

1.10

Marathonbet

1.10

Lyn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

2.0%

@ 10.25-7.0%

Under

98.0%

@ 1.02+7.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

10.25

Under

Betano

1.02

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Kongsvinger

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.0

Avg scored

1.2

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.33	0.97	1.27	1.00	1.40	0.93
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (21)	1.14	1.24	1.17	1.25	1.11	1.22
vs Weaker (9)	1.78	0.33	1.67	0.00	1.83	0.50
Clean sheet %	37% (+15pp vs league)

This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lyn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.1

Avg scored

0.7

Avg conceded

1.4

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.07	0.67	0.85	0.54	1.24	0.76
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (26)	0.88	0.73	0.67	0.50	1.07	0.93
vs Weaker (4)	2.25	0.25	3.00	1.00	2.00	0.00
Clean sheet %	53% (+31pp vs league)

This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

81.0%

@ 1.06-7.2%

Under 0.5

19.0%

@ 7.92+7.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.07

Betano

1.07

William Hil

1.07

1xBet

1.04

Under

Bet365

9.00

1xBet

8.40

William Hil

7.50

Betano

6.80

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

50.7%

@ 1.37-16.8%

Under 1.5

49.3%

@ 2.83+16.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.40

William Hil

1.40

Superbet

1.38

Betano

1.36

1xBet

1.34

Under

Unibet

2.88

Betano

2.87

1xBet

2.85

Marathonbet

2.85

Superbet

2.82

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

27.2%

@ 2.16-15.8%

Under 2.5

72.8%

@ 1.63+15.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

2.20

Bet365

2.20

Superbet

2.17

1xBet

2.16

Marathonbet

2.16

Under

Betano

1.67

1xBet

1.64

Marathonbet

1.64

Bet365

1.62

Superbet

1.62

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Kongsvinger over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

59.8%

@ 1.22-16.4%

Under

40.2%

@ 3.90+16.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.22

1xBet

1.21

Under

1xBet

4.00

Betano

3.80

Kongsvinger over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over

Over

27.5%

@ 2.02-18.2%

Under

72.5%

@ 1.71+18.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

2.07

1xBet

2.03

Marathonbet

2.02

Betano

1.98

Under

Betano

1.75

Marathonbet

1.71

1xBet

1.70

Superbet

1.68

Kongsvinger over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

6.1%

@ 4.03-16.8%

Under

93.9%

@ 1.20+16.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

4.20

Betano

3.85

Under

Betano

1.22

1xBet

1.17

Lyn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

56.9%

@ 1.64+0.5%

Under

43.1%

@ 2.12-0.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

1.71

1xBet

1.63

Superbet

1.62

Betano

1.60

Under

Betano

2.20

Superbet

2.17

1xBet

2.14

Marathonbet

1.99

Lyn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over

Over

16.3%

@ 3.93-7.2%

Under

83.7%

@ 1.21+7.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

4.15

1xBet

4.00

Betano

3.65

Under

Betano

1.24

Marathonbet

1.19

1xBet

1.19

Lyn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

3.8%

@ 8.00-7.8%

Under

96.2%

@ 1.05+7.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

8.00

Under

Betano

1.05

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals	98.0%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.0%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	96.7%	1.08	Betano 1.10	1xBet 1.07	-	-	-	+11.9%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	96.2%	1.05	Betano 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.8%	✓ Hit
Under 7.5	95.6%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	Betano 1.05	1xBet 1.05	-	-	+5.2%	✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 2H goals	93.9%	1.20	Betano 1.22	1xBet 1.17	-	-	-	+16.8%	✓ Hit
Over 1.5	90.7%	1.04	Betano 1.06	Bet365 1.05	Betfair 1.04	1xBet 1.02	-	+0.7%	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	90.2%	1.10	Betano 1.13	Pinnacle 1.12	Bet365 1.12	Superbet 1.11	Unibet 1.10	+6.3%	✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals	87.2%	1.35	1xBet 1.42	Betano 1.36	Unibet 1.35	Marathonbet 1.34	Pinnacle 1.34	+18.3%	✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals	86.4%	1.04	Betano 1.05	Bet365 1.04	Betfair 1.03	-	-	-4.5%	✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals	85.9%	1.22	Marathonbet 1.24	Unibet 1.23	Betano 1.23	Betfair 1.22	1xBet 1.22	+9.9%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals	85.5%	1.11	Betano 1.13	1xBet 1.10	Marathonbet 1.10	-	-	+2.3%	✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals	85.3%	1.03	Betano 1.05	Bet365 1.04	Betfair 1.03	1xBet 1.01	-	-5.8%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals	83.7%	1.21	Betano 1.24	Marathonbet 1.19	1xBet 1.19	-	-	+7.2%	✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals	82.7%	1.33	William Hil 1.36	Superbet 1.35	Betfair 1.33	Bet365 1.33	BetVictor 1.33	+13.3%	✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals	82.5%	1.44	Pinnacle 1.47	Superbet 1.45	Unibet 1.45	1xBet 1.43	Marathonbet 1.43	+18.1%	✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals	81.0%	1.06	Bet365 1.07	Betano 1.07	William Hil 1.07	1xBet 1.04	-	-7.2%	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	80.4%	1.27	Bet365 1.30	Betano 1.29	Pinnacle 1.29	Betfair 1.29	Superbet 1.27	+7.7%	✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap	78.0%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-11.2%	✓ Hit
Home or Away	77.4%	1.14	William Hil 1.18	Bet365 1.17	Betano 1.17	Superbet 1.15	1xBet 1.14	-4.0%	✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals	75.7%	1.12	Betano 1.16	Bet365 1.14	Betfair 1.13	William Hil 1.12	Superbet 1.12	-7.0%	✓ Hit
Over 2.5	74.3%	1.18	Betano 1.22	Pinnacle 1.20	Superbet 1.20	Bet365 1.20	Unibet 1.19	-3.9%	✓ Hit
BTTS Yes	74.0%	1.28	Betano 1.30	Bet365 1.30	Betfair 1.29	William Hil 1.29	Superbet 1.29	+1.9%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals	72.8%	1.63	Betano 1.67	1xBet 1.64	Marathonbet 1.64	Bet365 1.62	Superbet 1.62	+15.8%	✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals	72.5%	1.71	Betano 1.75	Marathonbet 1.71	1xBet 1.70	Superbet 1.68	-	+18.2%	✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

STA (24)

€9m

OB (25)

€9m

HAU (24)

€9m

STR (22)

€7m

BRY (21)

€6m

KON (24)

€6m

EGE (25)

€5m

SOG (19)

€4m

MOS (21)

€4m

LYN (23)

€4m

RAN (22)

€4m

HOD (20)

€3m

ASA (22)

€3m

SU (21)

€3m

RAU (17)

€2m

STR (19)

€2m

Kongsvinger's squad is €2m more valuable than Lyn's (€6m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

STA (9)

€5m

STR (9)

€3m

HAU (8)

€3m

KON (10)

€3m

OB (6)

€3m

BRY (6)

€2m

MOS (6)

€2m

HOD (7)

€1m

ASA (7)

€1m

RAN (6)

€1m

EGE (5)

€1m

LYN (5)

€1m

SOG (6)

€1m

SU (5)

€1m

STR (5)

€1m

RAU (4)

€0m

Kongsvinger's attack is €2m more valuable than Lyn's (€3m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

OB (7)

€3m

HAU (6)

€2m

STR (5)

€2m

STA (5)

€2m

LYN (9)

€2m

BRY (5)

€1m

EGE (8)

€1m

RAN (5)

€1m

SOG (5)

€1m

SU (7)

€1m

KON (3)

€1m

MOS (6)

€1m

HOD (4)

€1m

RAU (4)

€0m

ASA (4)

€0m

STR (4)

€0m

Kongsvinger and Lyn have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

HAU (10)

€4m

OB (12)

€3m

STA (10)

€3m

BRY (10)

€2m

SOG (8)

€2m

EGE (12)

€2m

STR (8)

€2m

KON (11)

€2m

MOS (9)

€2m

ASA (11)

€2m

RAN (11)

€2m

HOD (9)

€1m

LYN (9)

€1m

RAU (9)

€1m

SU (9)

€1m

STR (10)

€1m

Kongsvinger and Lyn have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings

KON wins

Draws

LYN wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kongsvinger vs Lyn · H/A from KON

Date	H/A	Game	Score
25/10/25	A	Lyn Vs KON	0-1
24/05/25	H	KON Vs Lyn	2-1
17/11/24	A	Lyn Vs KON	1-1
11/08/24	H	KON Vs Lyn	1-1
07/04/24	A	Lyn Vs KON	1-1

Kongsvinger

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
26/08/26	A	ODD Ballklubb Vs KON	0-1
16/08/26	H	KON Vs Haugesund	3-2
09/08/26	A	Asane Vs KON	1-2
02/08/26	H	KON Vs Strommen	1-3
26/07/26	A	Sandnes ULF Vs KON	1-6
30/11/25	H	KON Vs Aalesund	4-4
08/11/25	A	Asane Vs KON	0-0
01/11/25	H	KON Vs Lillestrom	0-2
25/10/25	A	Lyn Vs KON	0-1
22/10/25	H	KON Vs hodd	3-0

Lyn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
26/08/26	A	Asane Vs LYN	1-2
15/08/26	H	LYN Vs ODD Ballklubb	5-1
08/08/26	A	Stabaek Vs LYN	4-3
02/08/26	H	LYN Vs Sogndal	3-2
25/07/26	A	Stromsgodset Vs LYN	1-1
15/11/25	A	Egersund Vs LYN	3-2
08/11/25	H	LYN Vs Start	0-3
02/11/25	A	Stabaek Vs LYN	1-5
25/10/25	H	LYN Vs Kongsvinger	0-1
22/10/25	A	Aalesund Vs LYN	2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kongsvinger

Norway: 1. Division

Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WLWWW	1.78
Home	WLDLW	1.59
Away	WDWWW	1.93

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	45%	54%
AVG goals	3.96	3.82	4.07
Over 1.5 %	92%	95%	89%
Over 2.5 %	76%	82%	71%
Over 3.5 %	54%	50%	57%
Scored	2.46	2.09	2.75
Conceded	1.50	1.73	1.32
BTTS	72%	68%	75%
Clean Sheet	20%	18%	21%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Lyn

Norway: 1. Division

Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DWLWW	1.66
Home	WLLWW	1.39
Away	WLDLW	1.89

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	39%	59%
AVG goals	3.02	2.70	3.30
Over 1.5 %	82%	74%	89%
Over 2.5 %	62%	57%	67%
Over 3.5 %	30%	26%	33%
Scored	1.74	1.39	2.04
Conceded	1.28	1.30	1.26
BTTS	62%	61%	63%
Clean Sheet	24%	13%	33%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Stabaek	6	15	83%	2.5	21	7	+14	4.7	100%	83%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	9	5	2	3	3.5	1.2	-
2	Haugesund	7	15	71%	2.1	22	11	+11	4.7	100%	86%	57%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	9	3	2	4	3.1	1.6	-
3	hodd	7	15	71%	2.1	17	20	-3	5.3	100%	100%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	2.4	2.9	-
4	Kongsvinger	6	13	67%	2.2	17	11	+6	4.7	83%	83%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	3	1	2	2.8	1.8	-
5	Stromsgodset	7	13	57%	1.9	15	11	+4	3.7	100%	57%	57%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	7	3	2	2	2.1	1.6	-
6	Bryne	7	13	57%	1.9	8	7	+1	2.1	86%	29%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	2	1	2	1.1	1.0	-
7	Lyn	6	11	50%	1.8	18	13	+5	5.2	100%	83%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	2	1	3.0	2.2	-
8	Egersund	7	11	43%	1.6	12	12	+0	3.4	100%	71%	43%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	1	1	2	1.7	1.7	-
9	Strommen	6	10	50%	1.7	12	11	+1	3.8	83%	83%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	2.0	1.8	-
10	ODD Ballklubb	7	8	29%	1.1	14	16	-2	4.3	71%	71%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	9	3	3	3	2.0	2.3	-
11	Sogndal	6	7	33%	1.2	11	12	-1	3.8	100%	67%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	1	2	1.8	2.0	-
12	Asane	6	5	17%	0.8	10	14	-4	4.0	100%	100%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	0	2	1.7	2.3	-
13	Sandnes ULF	7	4	14%	0.6	8	16	-8	3.4	86%	43%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.1	2.3	-
14	Ranheim	6	3	17%	0.5	15	20	-5	5.8	100%	100%	100%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	1	2	2.5	3.3	-
15	Raufoss	6	3	17%	0.5	6	18	-12	4.0	100%	83%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	0	0	1	1.0	3.0	-
16	Moss	7	2	0%	0.3	9	16	-7	3.6	100%	100%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	2	1	2	1.3	2.3	-

Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

← all matches

Kongsvinger vs Lyn Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Kongsvinger

Lyn

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Kongsvinger

Lyn

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Kongsvinger

Lyn

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Kongsvinger

Lyn

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature