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Koper vs Maribor Result & Analysis

Date: 12/02/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 0-1
Koper
Koper
Vs
35%
27%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Maribor
Maribor
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Koper win✗ Miss
34.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Maribor win✓ Hit
38.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KoperKoper

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W10W11D22D12L11D11D00D51W10WH·BRA01/10A·MAR08/10H·GOR15/10A·RAD24/10A·OLI30/10H·NK 04/11A·CEL13/11H·MUR30/11H·TAB07/12A·BRA10/12
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.450.861.640.911.270.82
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.920.920.831.171.000.71
vs Weaker (9)2.220.782.600.601.751.00
Clean sheet %36% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Maribor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MariborMaribor

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-741W01L01L03L33D51W40W30W70W21WA·GOR02/10H·KOP08/10A·OLI15/10H·NK 22/10A·CEL29/10H·MUR06/11A·TAB13/11H·BRA29/11H·RAD06/12H·GOR11/12
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.681.141.601.271.771.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.751.000.620.880.881.12
vs Weaker (12)2.921.332.711.713.200.80
Clean sheet %36% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.5%
Under 1.5
19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.7%
Under 2.5
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.3%
Under 3.5
65.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.7%
No
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
0-1 ✓
6.8%
1-0
6.4%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
6.0%
Koper goals ↓
Maribor goals →
01234
06.3%6.8%6.0%3.0%1.1%
16.4%12%8.6%4.4%1.7%
25.4%8.2%6.2%3.1%1.2%
32.6%3.9%3.0%1.5%0.6%
40.9%1.4%1.1%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Koper goals (down), columns = Maribor goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Olimpija Ljubljana
2.03
Aluminij
2.00
Celje
1.86
Maribor
1.72
Mura
1.44
NK Domzale
1.44
Koper
1.39
Radomlje
1.22
Bravo
1.00
Gorica
0.74
Tabor Sežana
0.67
Koper is 0.33 points worse than Maribor in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.72).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Aluminij
2.00
Maribor
1.94
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.67
Celje
1.47
Mura
1.39
NK Domzale
1.39
Koper
1.28
Radomlje
0.97
Bravo
0.92
Gorica
0.87
Tabor Sežana
0.81
Koper is 0.67 goals worse than Maribor in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.94).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Celje
0.94
Aluminij
1.00
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.08
Koper
1.11
Bravo
1.14
NK Domzale
1.17
Maribor
1.19
Mura
1.25
Radomlje
1.47
Gorica
1.61
Tabor Sežana
1.75
Koper is 0.08 goals better than Maribor in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.19).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Olimpija Ljubljana
59%
Koper
52%
Maribor
51%
Bravo
50%
Mura
50%
Celje
49%
Tabor Sežana
47%
NK Domzale
47%
Gorica
47%
Koper is 0.6 percentage points better than Maribor in terms of average possession (52% vs 51%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

KoperKoper

For 4.6 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

1905581641831112131189511109109413419142A·BRAH·TABH·MURA·CELH·NK A·GORH·MARA·FC A·BRAH·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

1001121232325246221422155271045A·BRAH·TABH·MURA·CELH·NK A·GORH·MARA·FC A·BRAH·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 10.1 · Total 22.9

⚠️ Fouls

3101296414141391912121012121714107211028223122243117A·BRAH·TABH·MURA·CELH·NK A·GORH·MARA·BRAH·TAB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MariborMaribor

For 4.0 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.0

🚩 Corners

1107117418326246562311108851186118411H·GORH·BRAA·TABH·MURA·NK A·HJKH·OLIH·HJKA·KOPA·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

70321224514232325213236663573H·GORH·BRAA·TABH·MURA·NK A·HJKH·OLIH·HJKA·KOPA·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 12.6 · Total 25.0

⚠️ Fouls

34013981481991525916151212882222272434312416H·GORH·BRAA·TABH·MURA·NK H·OLIA·KOPH·GOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

KoperKoper

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (22)8.95.513.02.02.02.122.922.024.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (13)10.13.013.02.72.03.324.024.024.0
vs Weaker (9)6.86.8-1.12.00.021.521.5-
% over line45%17%80%27%27%27%67%60%75%
% under line55%83%20%73%73%73%33%40%25%
This opponent (Maribor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MariborMaribor

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (28)8.59.86.82.01.72.225.023.028.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (16)8.39.47.02.22.02.525.726.524.0
vs Weaker (12)8.810.36.51.61.41.824.620.730.5
% over line36%50%17%21%13%31%88%80%100%
% under line64%50%83%79%87%69%12%20%0%
This opponent (Koper) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.9
Mura
9.7
Gorica
9.2
Celje
9.0
Koper
8.9
Bravo
8.8
Maribor
8.5
NK Domzale
8.0
Tabor Sežana
7.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
NK Domzale
5.6
Celje
4.8
Mura
4.8
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.7
Koper
4.1
Maribor
3.9
Gorica
3.7
Bravo
3.4
Tabor Sežana
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
NK Domzale
27.2
Celje
26.6
Olimpija Ljubljana
26.3
Bravo
26.2
Mura
25.4
Maribor
25.0
Gorica
23.7
Koper
22.9
Tabor Sežana
19.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
21.4%
Under 9.5
78.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
57.8%
Under 3.5
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
75.6%
Under 21.5
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KoperKoper

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D01L11D12L11D10W00D20W10WH·BRA01/10A·MAR08/10H·GOR15/10A·RAD24/10A·OLI30/10H·NK 04/11A·CEL13/11H·MUR30/11H·TAB07/12A·BRA10/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.590.500.640.550.550.45
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.460.620.330.830.570.43
vs Weaker (9)0.780.331.000.200.500.50
Clean sheet %59% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Maribor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MariborMaribor

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W00D00D01L11D31W30W30W40W11DA·GOR02/10H·KOP08/10A·OLI15/10H·NK 22/10A·CEL29/10H·MUR06/11A·TAB13/11H·BRA29/11H·RAD06/12H·GOR11/12
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.960.461.000.670.920.23
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.500.310.620.380.380.25
vs Weaker (12)1.580.671.431.001.800.20
Clean sheet %61% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Koper over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KoperKoper

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W10W11D00D00D01L00D31W00DH·BRA01/10A·MAR08/10H·GOR15/10A·RAD24/10A·OLI30/10H·NK 04/11A·CEL13/11H·MUR30/11H·TAB07/12A·BRA10/12
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.860.361.000.360.730.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.460.310.500.330.430.29
vs Weaker (9)1.440.441.600.401.250.50
Clean sheet %64% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Maribor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MariborMaribor

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L01L02L22D20W10W00D30W10WA·GOR02/10H·KOP08/10A·OLI15/10H·NK 22/10A·CEL29/10H·MUR06/11A·TAB13/11H·BRA29/11H·RAD06/12H·GOR11/12
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.710.680.600.600.850.77
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.250.690.000.500.500.88
vs Weaker (12)1.330.671.290.711.400.60
Clean sheet %46% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Koper over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 11.5 corners92.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners86.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls86.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.580.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 9.5 corners78.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards77.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards77.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls75.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
TS (17)
€2m
Koper's squad is €2m less valuable than Maribor's (€8m vs €10m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
Koper's attack is €2m less valuable than Maribor's (€3m vs €5m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
Koper and Maribor have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
TS (8)
€1m
Koper and Maribor have a similar defence value (both €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
KOP wins
0
Draws
0
MAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Koper vs Maribor · H/A from KOP
DateH/AGameScore
08/10/22AMaribor Vs KOP0-1
31/07/22HKOP Vs Maribor2-1

KoperKoper

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/12/22ABravo Vs KOP0-1
07/12/22HKOP Vs Tabor Sežana5-1
30/11/22HKOP Vs Mura0-0
13/11/22ACelje Vs KOP1-1
04/11/22HKOP Vs NK Domzale1-1
30/10/22AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs KOP2-1
24/10/22ARadomlje Vs KOP2-2
15/10/22HKOP Vs Gorica1-1
08/10/22AMaribor Vs KOP0-1
01/10/22HKOP Vs Bravo2-0

MariborMaribor

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/12/22HMAR Vs Gorica2-1
06/12/22HMAR Vs Radomlje7-0
29/11/22HMAR Vs Bravo3-0
13/11/22ATabor Sežana Vs MAR0-4
06/11/22HMAR Vs Mura5-1
29/10/22ACelje Vs MAR3-3
22/10/22HMAR Vs NK Domzale0-3
15/10/22AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs MAR1-0
08/10/22HMAR Vs Koper0-1
02/10/22AGorica Vs MAR1-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Koper
Koper
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDWW1.73
HomeWDDDW1.64
AwayWDLDW1.82
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%45%55%
AVG goals2.322.552.09
Over 1.5 %73%82%64%
Over 2.5 %36%36%36%
Over 3.5 %14%18%9%
Scored1.451.641.27
Conceded0.860.910.82
BTTS45%45%45%
Clean Sheet36%27%45%
Corners8.915.5013.00
Cards4.093.674.60
Maribor
Maribor
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.39
HomeLWWWW1.33
AwayWWLDW1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %39%33%46%
AVG goals2.822.872.77
Over 1.5 %64%73%54%
Over 2.5 %54%60%46%
Over 3.5 %36%33%38%
Scored1.681.601.77
Conceded1.141.271.00
BTTS32%33%31%
Clean Sheet36%33%38%
Corners8.509.756.83
Cards3.933.254.83

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana3673
64%
2.0
6039+21
2.8
67%
44%
25%
9.1
43%
4.4
57%
27.5
87%
12
6151.71.1
59%
2CeljeCelje3667
53%
1.9
5334+19
2.4
69%
42%
19%
9.7
43%
4.2
61%
24.6
78%
14
7161.50.9
49%
3MariborMaribor3662
50%
1.7
7043+27
3.1
83%
58%
39%
8.9
35%
4.3
52%
25.0
73%
10
5231.91.2
51%
4NK DomzaleNK Domzale3652
36%
1.4
5042+8
2.6
72%
44%
28%
7.7
17%
5.1
78%
28.1
91%
0
0001.41.2
47%
5MuraMura3652
36%
1.4
5045+5
2.6
69%
53%
31%
10.6
57%
4.5
61%
26.3
91%
5
2121.41.2
50%
6KoperKoper3650
39%
1.4
4640+6
2.4
69%
42%
19%
9.1
52%
3.8
52%
24.0
78%
8
3231.31.1
52%
7RadomljeRadomlje3644
28%
1.2
3553-18
2.4
78%
44%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.5
-
8BravoBravo3636
25%
1.0
3341-8
2.1
58%
31%
14%
8.7
35%
3.9
57%
27.5
83%
4
1120.91.1
50%
9GoricaGorica3828
13%
0.7
3361-28
2.5
74%
37%
24%
9.4
52%
4.1
56%
26.2
79%
0
0000.91.6
47%
10Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3624
8%
0.7
2963-34
2.6
72%
44%
31%
9.3
38%
3.2
33%
22.2
67%
2
1110.81.8
47%
11AluminijAluminij24
50%
2.0
42+2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
10.5
50%
6.0
100%
33.5
100%
4
2122.01.0
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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