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Koper vs Radomlje Result & Analysis

Date: 21/02/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 1-2
Koper
Koper
Vs
64%
22%
14%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Radomlje
Radomlje
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Koper win✗ Miss
63.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Radomlje win✓ Hit
14.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KoperKoper

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D22D12L11D11D00D51W10W01L22DH·GOR15/10A·RAD24/10A·OLI30/10H·NK 04/11A·CEL13/11H·MUR30/11H·TAB07/12A·BRA10/12H·MAR12/02A·GOR18/02
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.420.921.500.921.330.92
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.931.000.711.141.120.88
vs Weaker (9)2.220.782.600.601.751.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomlje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RadomljeRadomlje

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-703L22D12L01L11D02L07L03L11D00DA·MUR16/10H·KOP24/10A·TAB29/10H·OLI05/11A·BRA12/11H·NK 30/11A·MAR06/12H·CEL11/12A·GOR12/02H·MUR18/02
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.950.551.550.912.36
vs Stronger (10)0.802.800.602.401.003.20
vs Similar (12)0.671.250.500.830.831.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %18% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%014%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.3%
Under 1.5
19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.6%
Under 2.5
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.2%
Under 3.5
65.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.2%
No
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.9%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
4.4%
Koper goals ↓
Radomlje goals →
01234
06.2%3.7%2.0%0.6%0.1%
19.9%11%4.2%1.2%0.3%
211%9.9%4.4%1.3%0.3%
37.7%6.8%3.0%0.9%0.2%
44.0%3.5%1.6%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Koper goals (down), columns = Radomlje goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Olimpija Ljubljana
2.03
Aluminij
2.00
Celje
1.86
Maribor
1.72
Mura
1.44
NK Domzale
1.44
Koper
1.39
Radomlje
1.22
Bravo
1.00
Gorica
0.74
Tabor Sežana
0.67
Koper is 0.17 points better than Radomlje in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.22).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Aluminij
2.00
Maribor
1.94
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.67
Celje
1.47
Mura
1.39
NK Domzale
1.39
Koper
1.28
Radomlje
0.97
Bravo
0.92
Gorica
0.87
Tabor Sežana
0.81
Koper is 0.31 goals better than Radomlje in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 0.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Celje
0.94
Aluminij
1.00
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.08
Koper
1.11
Bravo
1.14
NK Domzale
1.17
Maribor
1.19
Mura
1.25
Radomlje
1.47
Gorica
1.61
Tabor Sežana
1.75
Koper is 0.36 goals better than Radomlje in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.47).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Olimpija Ljubljana
59%
Koper
52%
Maribor
51%
Bravo
50%
Mura
50%
Celje
49%
Tabor Sežana
47%
NK Domzale
47%
Gorica
47%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

KoperKoper

For 4.1 · Against 6.1 · Total 10.2

🚩 Corners

190310295581641831112131181311109109413419A·GORH·MARA·BRAH·TABH·MURA·CELH·NK A·GORH·MARA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

1004212112123232524663221552710A·GORH·MARA·BRAH·TABH·MURA·CELH·NK A·GORH·MARA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 9.9 · Total 23.5

⚠️ Fouls

310158167129641414139191212101212171423232110282231222431A·GORH·MARA·BRAH·TABH·MURA·CELH·NK A·GORH·MARA·BRA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RadomljeRadomlje

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

KoperKoper

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (24)9.46.313.02.22.12.422.922.223.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (15)10.65.713.02.92.13.623.723.523.8
vs Weaker (9)6.86.8-1.12.00.021.521.5-
% over line54%29%83%29%25%33%73%67%80%
% under line46%71%17%71%75%67%27%33%20%
This opponent (Radomlje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RadomljeRadomlje

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (22)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (10)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (12)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Koper) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.7
Mura
9.7
Gorica
9.6
Celje
9.4
Koper
9.4
Tabor Sežana
8.9
Bravo
8.6
Maribor
8.6
NK Domzale
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
NK Domzale
5.2
Olimpija Ljubljana
5.0
Celje
5.0
Mura
4.8
Maribor
4.2
Koper
4.2
Gorica
3.9
Tabor Sežana
3.7
Bravo
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
NK Domzale
27.9
Bravo
27.5
Olimpija Ljubljana
26.9
Celje
26.4
Maribor
25.6
Mura
25.4
Gorica
23.6
Koper
22.9
Tabor Sežana
20.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
36.8%
Under 9.5
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
59.3%
Under 3.5
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
74.2%
Under 21.5
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KoperKoper

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D12L11D10W00D20W10W01L21WH·GOR15/10A·RAD24/10A·OLI30/10H·NK 04/11A·CEL13/11H·MUR30/11H·TAB07/12A·BRA10/12H·MAR12/02A·GOR18/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.540.580.580.670.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.530.670.290.860.750.50
vs Weaker (9)0.780.331.000.200.500.50
Clean sheet %54% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomlje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RadomljeRadomlje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L11D10W01L01L00D04L01L00D00DA·MUR16/10H·KOP24/10A·TAB29/10H·OLI05/11A·BRA12/11H·NK 30/11A·MAR06/12H·CEL11/12A·GOR12/02H·MUR18/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.410.770.270.550.551.00
vs Stronger (10)0.401.300.201.000.601.60
vs Similar (12)0.420.330.330.170.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Koper over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KoperKoper

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D00D00D01L00D31W00D00D01LH·GOR15/10A·RAD24/10A·OLI30/10H·NK 04/11A·CEL13/11H·MUR30/11H·TAB07/12A·BRA10/12H·MAR12/02A·GOR18/02
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.790.380.920.330.670.42
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.400.330.430.290.380.38
vs Weaker (9)1.440.441.600.401.250.50
Clean sheet %62% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomlje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RadomljeRadomlje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D02L00D10W02L03L02L11D00DA·MUR16/10H·KOP24/10A·TAB29/10H·OLI05/11A·BRA12/11H·NK 30/11A·MAR06/12H·CEL11/12A·GOR12/02H·MUR18/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.321.180.271.000.361.36
vs Stronger (10)0.401.500.401.400.401.60
vs Similar (12)0.250.920.170.670.331.17
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %32% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Koper over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls85.9%--------
Under 11.5 corners83.5%--------
Over 1.580.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards78.2%--------
Under 5.5 cards76.3%--------
Under 10.5 corners74.6%--------
Over 21.5 fouls74.2%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
TS (17)
€2m
Koper's squad is €3m more valuable than Radomlje's (€8m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
Koper and Radomlje have a similar attack value (both €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
Koper's midfield is €1m more valuable than Radomlje's (€2m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
TS (8)
€1m
Koper and Radomlje have a similar defence value (both €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
KOP wins
1
Draws
0
RAD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Koper vs Radomlje · H/A from KOP
DateH/AGameScore
24/10/22ARadomlje Vs KOP2-2
13/08/22HKOP Vs Radomlje5-0

KoperKoper

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/02/23AGorica Vs KOP2-2
12/02/23HKOP Vs Maribor0-1
10/12/22ABravo Vs KOP0-1
07/12/22HKOP Vs Tabor Sežana5-1
30/11/22HKOP Vs Mura0-0
13/11/22ACelje Vs KOP1-1
04/11/22HKOP Vs NK Domzale1-1
30/10/22AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs KOP2-1
24/10/22ARadomlje Vs KOP2-2
15/10/22HKOP Vs Gorica1-1

RadomljeRadomlje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/02/23HRAD Vs Mura0-0
12/02/23AGorica Vs RAD1-1
11/12/22HRAD Vs Celje0-3
06/12/22AMaribor Vs RAD7-0
30/11/22HRAD Vs NK Domzale0-2
12/11/22ABravo Vs RAD1-1
05/11/22HRAD Vs Olimpija Ljubljana0-1
29/10/22ATabor Sežana Vs RAD2-1
24/10/22HRAD Vs Koper2-2
16/10/22AMura Vs RAD3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Koper
Koper
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLD1.62
HomeDDDWL1.50
AwayDLDWD1.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%42%50%
AVG goals2.332.422.25
Over 1.5 %71%75%67%
Over 2.5 %38%33%42%
Over 3.5 %17%17%17%
Scored1.421.501.33
Conceded0.920.920.92
BTTS46%42%50%
Clean Sheet33%25%42%
Corners9.386.2913.00
Cards4.153.574.83
Radomlje
Radomlje
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 0 Wins / 4 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDD0.68
HomeDLLLD0.64
AwayLLDLD0.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %9%0%18%
AVG goals2.682.093.27
Over 1.5 %82%73%91%
Over 2.5 %50%27%73%
Over 3.5 %23%18%27%
Scored0.730.550.91
Conceded1.951.552.36
BTTS50%45%55%
Clean Sheet18%18%18%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana3673
64%
2.0
6039+21
2.8
67%
44%
25%
9.1
43%
4.4
57%
27.5
87%
12
6151.71.1
59%
2CeljeCelje3667
53%
1.9
5334+19
2.4
69%
42%
19%
9.7
43%
4.2
61%
24.6
78%
14
7161.50.9
49%
3MariborMaribor3662
50%
1.7
7043+27
3.1
83%
58%
39%
8.9
35%
4.3
52%
25.0
73%
10
5231.91.2
51%
4NK DomzaleNK Domzale3652
36%
1.4
5042+8
2.6
72%
44%
28%
7.7
17%
5.1
78%
28.1
91%
0
0001.41.2
47%
5MuraMura3652
36%
1.4
5045+5
2.6
69%
53%
31%
10.6
57%
4.5
61%
26.3
91%
5
2121.41.2
50%
6KoperKoper3650
39%
1.4
4640+6
2.4
69%
42%
19%
9.1
52%
3.8
52%
24.0
78%
8
3231.31.1
52%
7RadomljeRadomlje3644
28%
1.2
3553-18
2.4
78%
44%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.5
-
8BravoBravo3636
25%
1.0
3341-8
2.1
58%
31%
14%
8.7
35%
3.9
57%
27.5
83%
4
1120.91.1
50%
9GoricaGorica3828
13%
0.7
3361-28
2.5
74%
37%
24%
9.4
52%
4.1
56%
26.2
79%
0
0000.91.6
47%
10Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3624
8%
0.7
2963-34
2.6
72%
44%
31%
9.3
38%
3.2
33%
22.2
67%
2
1110.81.8
47%
11AluminijAluminij24
50%
2.0
42+2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
10.5
50%
6.0
100%
33.5
100%
4
2122.01.0
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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