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Kozlovice vs Karviná Result & Analysis

Date: 26/08/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
Kozlovice
Kozlovice
Vs
8%
14%
78%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Karviná
Karviná
Czech-Republic: Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Kozlovice face Karviná in a Czech-Republic Cup tie that the model deems a clear away win, with an 78 % chance of a Karviná victory versus 8 % for Kozlovice and 14 % for a draw. The expected total goals hover at 4.1, and the most likely scoreline is 0-3 for Karviná, a 8.3 % probability. Kozlovice, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, have struggled to find the net, averaging zero goals scored and conceding two, while Karviná, on the road, have been more productive, scoring 1.25 and conceding 2.25 on average. The model’s suggested picks include Home under 3.5 goals at 98.1 %, Away +2 handicap at 97.2 %, Away over 0.5 goals at 95.4 %, Under 7.5 at 94.5 %, Home under 2.5 goals at 92.0 %, Over 1.5 at 91.9 %, Draw or Away at 91.7 %, and Away +1 handicap at 91.7 %. Kozlovice’s recent win and Karviná’s five-game winning streak set the stage for a dominant away performance.

Results analysis

The draw stunned the Cup crowd, as the pre-match favourite, Away win, failed to materialise. Kozlovice and Karviná finished 1-1, a result that broke the away side’s five-match unbeaten run. The model had called an Away win with a 78% probability, but the verdict was wrong. Every suggested selection was settled: Home under 3.5 goals hit at 98.1%, Away +2 handicap at 97.2%, Away over 0.5 goals at 95.4%, Under 7.5 at 94.5%, Home under 2.5 goals at 92.1%, Over 1.5 at 91.8%, Draw or Away at 91.6%, and Away +1 handicap also at 91.6%. The final score of 1-1 matched the model’s most likely 0-3 or 1-3 outcomes, but the overall prediction missed the decisive outcome.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kozlovice win✗ Miss
8.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
13.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Karviná win✗ Miss
78.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KozloviceKozlovice

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-610W00D31W06L00D43WH·HOL28/07H·UHE21/08A·BÍL29/07H·FRÝ06/08H·FRÝ26/07H·SLA19/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.671.001.803.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.002.251.002.25--
vs Weaker (2)2.000.501.000.003.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Karviná) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KarvináKarviná

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W13L31W04L02L10W21W40W52W30WA·PAR10/05H·SIG16/05A·FK 20/05A·SIG23/05A·OPA27/07H·VLA31/07A·PRO07/08A·BRU12/08A·ARS15/08H·VIK21/08
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.631.471.531.731.73
vs Stronger (5)1.201.601.501.500.002.00
vs Similar (19)1.421.891.331.891.501.90
vs Weaker (6)2.500.832.000.002.751.25
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Kozlovice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%2%06%115%219%320%416%522%6+
The model estimates around 4.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
91.8%
Under 1.5
8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
77.1%
Under 2.5
22.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
57.9%
Under 3.5
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.6%
No
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-3
8.3%
1-3
8.3%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
0-4
6.4%
1-4
6.3%
1-1 ✓
5.8%
0-1
4.8%
Kozlovice goals ↓
Karviná goals →
01234
02.3%4.8%8.1%8.3%6.4%
11.2%5.8%8.1%8.3%6.3%
20.9%2.6%4.0%4.1%3.2%
30.3%0.9%1.3%1.4%1.0%
40.1%0.2%0.3%0.3%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kozlovice goals (down), columns = Karviná goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Karviná
3.00
Frýdek-Místek
2.50
Uničov
2.33
Sparta Praha
2.33
Slavia Praha
2.33
Bohemians 1905
2.33
Hlinsko
2.25
Zbrojovka Brno
2.25
FK Jablonec
2.17
Slaný
2.00
Vítkovice
2.00
Nové Sady
2.00
Vysoké Mýto
2.00
Petřín Plzeň
2.00
Tatran Bohunice
2.00
Jiskra Domažlice
2.00
Hlučín
2.00
Brandýs nad Labem
2.00
Králův Dvůr
2.00
Trutnov
2.00
Vrchovina
2.00
Hodonín
2.00
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
2.00
Ústí nad Labem
2.00
Dukla Praha
2.00
Slovan Liberec
2.00
Plzen
2.00
Zlin
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Prostějov
2.00
Třinec
2.00
Vysočina Jihlava
2.00
Táborsko
2.00
Sokol Lanžhot
1.75
Karlovy Vary
1.75
Horní Ředice
1.75
Hradec Králové
1.67
Pardubice
1.67
Mlada Boleslav
1.60
Písek
1.50
Slavičín
1.50
Havlíčkův Brod
1.50
Sparta Brno
1.50
Rapid Psáry
1.50
Aritma Praha
1.50
Meteor Praha
1.50
Motorlet Praha
1.50
Povltava FA
1.50
Strání
1.50
Komárov
1.50
Kozlovice
1.50
Zabreh
1.50
Admira Praha
1.50
Chotebor
1.50
Kosmonosy
1.50
Štětí
1.50
Spartak Soběslav
1.50
Baník Souš
1.50
Vsetín
1.50
Velké Hamry
1.50
Unie Hlubina
1.50
Doubravka
1.50
Slovan Velvary
1.50
Pěnčín
1.50
Chomutov
1.50
Kladno
1.50
České Budějovice
1.50
Nový Jičín
1.50
Teplice
1.50
Hanácká
1.50
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Rokycany
1.33
Hranice
1.33
Sokol Brozany
1.33
FS Třebíč
1.33
Bospor Bohumín
1.33
Baník Ostrava
1.25
Artis
1.25
Klasterec n. Oh.
1.06
Vestec
1.06
Šternberk
1.06
Bystrc Kníničky
1.06
Horni Becva
1.06
Spartak Pribram
1.06
Hermanuv Mestec
1.06
Slavoj Vyšehrad
1.06
Velká Bíteš
1.06
Belotin
1.06
SK Krumvir
1.06
Hvězda Cheb
1.06
Strakonice
1.06
Slavia Vejprnice
1.06
Slavia Hradec Králové
1.06
Kravare
1.06
Stará Říše
1.06
TJ Bystrice
1.06
Branik
1.06
Dvůr Králové
1.06
Letohrad
1.06
Rychnov n. Kneznou
1.06
Vykan
1.06
Blansko
1.06
Bedrichov
1.06
Sl. Ceske Budejovice
1.06
Nyrsko
1.06
Loko Vltavín
1.00
Břeclav
1.00
Uherský Brod
1.00
Polanka nad Odrou
1.00
Kolín
1.00
Turnov
1.00
Spartak Police n/Metují
1.00
Ráječko
1.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
1.00
Opava
1.00
Čáslav
1.00
Sokol Tasovice
1.00
Ostrov
1.00
Havířov
1.00
Viktoria Žižkov
1.00
Vratimov
0.67
Hluboka nad Vltavou
0.67
Brumov
0.50
Kuřim
0.50
Baník Sokolov
0.50
Přepeře
0.50
Sokol Hostouň
0.50
Neratovice-Byškovice
0.00
Bzenec
0.00
Hořovicko
0.00
Ždírec nad Doubravou
0.00
Bílovec
0.00
Velké Meziříčí
0.00
Benátky nad Jizerou
0.00
Sokol Zápy
0.00
Žďár nad Sázavou
0.00
Stonava
0.00
Jiskra Rýmařov
0.00
Valašské Meziříčí
0.00
Ústí nad Orlicí
0.00
Hluk
0.00
Břidličná
0.00
Svitavy
0.00
Šumperk
0.00
Tempo Praha
0.00
Holešov
0.00
Frýdlant
0.00
Benešov
0.00
Tatran Všechovice
0.00
Křimice
0.00
Humpolec
0.00
Varnsdorf
0.00
Milevsko
0.00
Příbram
0.00
Chrudim
0.00
Znojmo
0.00
Sigma Olomouc
0.00
Vlašim
0.00
Kozlovice is 1.50 points worse than Karviná in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 3.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Táborsko
4.33
Uničov
4.00
Prostějov
4.00
Třinec
4.00
Frýdek-Místek
3.75
Králův Dvůr
3.67
Slaný
3.50
Vítkovice
3.50
Slovan Liberec
3.50
Karviná
3.50
Vysoké Mýto
3.00
Aritma Praha
3.00
Jiskra Rýmařov
3.00
Velké Hamry
3.00
Čáslav
3.00
Hodonín
2.67
Slavia Praha
2.67
Plzen
2.67
Sparta Brno
2.50
Rapid Psáry
2.50
Komárov
2.50
Vrchovina
2.50
České Budějovice
2.50
Trutnov
2.33
Sparta Praha
2.33
Ústí nad Labem
2.33
Zlin
2.33
Karlovy Vary
2.25
Nové Sady
2.20
Neratovice-Byškovice
2.00
Písek
2.00
Slavičín
2.00
Hořovicko
2.00
Ždírec nad Doubravou
2.00
Velké Meziříčí
2.00
Břidličná
2.00
Ráječko
2.00
Štětí
2.00
Spartak Soběslav
2.00
Benešov
2.00
Unie Hlubina
2.00
Hlinsko
2.00
Chomutov
2.00
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
2.00
Bospor Bohumín
2.00
Kladno
2.00
Milevsko
2.00
Havířov
2.00
Hradec Králové
2.00
Pardubice
2.00
Bohemians 1905
2.00
Mlada Boleslav
2.00
Sigma Olomouc
2.00
Vysočina Jihlava
2.00
Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.00
FK Jablonec
1.83
Horní Ředice
1.75
Zbrojovka Brno
1.75
Baník Ostrava
1.75
Petřín Plzeň
1.67
Tatran Bohunice
1.67
Hranice
1.67
Brandýs nad Labem
1.67
Klasterec n. Oh.
1.57
Vestec
1.57
Šternberk
1.57
Bystrc Kníničky
1.57
Horni Becva
1.57
Spartak Pribram
1.57
Hermanuv Mestec
1.57
Slavoj Vyšehrad
1.57
Velká Bíteš
1.57
Belotin
1.57
SK Krumvir
1.57
Hvězda Cheb
1.57
Strakonice
1.57
Slavia Vejprnice
1.57
Slavia Hradec Králové
1.57
Kravare
1.57
Stará Říše
1.57
TJ Bystrice
1.57
Branik
1.57
Dvůr Králové
1.57
Letohrad
1.57
Rychnov n. Kneznou
1.57
Vykan
1.57
Blansko
1.57
Bedrichov
1.57
Sl. Ceske Budejovice
1.57
Nyrsko
1.57
Havlíčkův Brod
1.50
Meteor Praha
1.50
Povltava FA
1.50
Strání
1.50
Kolín
1.50
Kozlovice
1.50
Sokol Lanžhot
1.50
Admira Praha
1.50
Chotebor
1.50
Kosmonosy
1.50
Baník Souš
1.50
Vsetín
1.50
Doubravka
1.50
Sokol Hostouň
1.50
Slovan Velvary
1.50
Nový Jičín
1.50
Teplice
1.50
Artis
1.50
Jiskra Domažlice
1.33
Rokycany
1.33
Vratimov
1.33
Sokol Brozany
1.33
FS Třebíč
1.33
Dukla Praha
1.33
Slovácko
1.33
Loko Vltavín
1.00
Bílovec
1.00
Polanka nad Odrou
1.00
Stonava
1.00
Kuřim
1.00
Turnov
1.00
Hlučín
1.00
Valašské Meziříčí
1.00
Hluk
1.00
Zabreh
1.00
Šumperk
1.00
Tempo Praha
1.00
Tatran Všechovice
1.00
Křimice
1.00
Pěnčín
1.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
1.00
Sokol Tasovice
1.00
Ostrov
1.00
Chrudim
1.00
Znojmo
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Viktoria Žižkov
1.00
Hanácká
1.00
Hluboka nad Vltavou
0.67
Brumov
0.50
Motorlet Praha
0.50
Baník Sokolov
0.50
Přepeře
0.50
Bzenec
0.00
Břeclav
0.00
Benátky nad Jizerou
0.00
Uherský Brod
0.00
Sokol Zápy
0.00
Žďár nad Sázavou
0.00
Spartak Police n/Metují
0.00
Ústí nad Orlicí
0.00
Svitavy
0.00
Holešov
0.00
Frýdlant
0.00
Opava
0.00
Humpolec
0.00
Varnsdorf
0.00
Příbram
0.00
Kozlovice is 2.00 goals worse than Karviná in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 3.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Břeclav
0.00
Uherský Brod
0.00
Spartak Police n/Metují
0.00
Opava
0.00
Sparta Praha
0.33
Vysočina Jihlava
0.33
Mlada Boleslav
0.40
Písek
0.50
Havlíčkův Brod
0.50
Motorlet Praha
0.50
Hlučín
0.50
Štětí
0.50
Frýdek-Místek
0.50
Slovan Liberec
0.50
Vysoké Mýto
0.67
Hodonín
0.67
Dukla Praha
0.67
Slavia Praha
0.67
Bohemians 1905
0.67
Slovácko
0.67
Karviná
0.67
Loko Vltavín
1.00
Vítkovice
1.00
Aritma Praha
1.00
Polanka nad Odrou
1.00
Meteor Praha
1.00
Strání
1.00
Turnov
1.00
Vrchovina
1.00
Frýdlant
1.00
Velké Hamry
1.00
Slovan Velvary
1.00
Pěnčín
1.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
1.00
Humpolec
1.00
Sokol Tasovice
1.00
Ostrov
1.00
FK Jablonec
1.00
Hradec Králové
1.00
Teplice
1.00
Zbrojovka Brno
1.00
Viktoria Žižkov
1.00
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.00
Hlinsko
1.25
Artis
1.25
Třinec
1.25
Sokol Brozany
1.33
Uničov
1.33
Trutnov
1.33
FS Třebíč
1.33
Plzen
1.33
Zlin
1.33
Slaný
1.50
Kolín
1.50
Baník Sokolov
1.50
Admira Praha
1.50
Horní Ředice
1.50
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
1.50
Kladno
1.50
Nový Jičín
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Hanácká
1.50
Jiskra Domažlice
1.67
Pardubice
1.67
Baník Ostrava
1.75
Nové Sady
1.80
Slavičín
2.00
Petřín Plzeň
2.00
Tatran Bohunice
2.00
Benátky nad Jizerou
2.00
Kuřim
2.00
Ústí nad Orlicí
2.00
Hluboka nad Vltavou
2.00
Ráječko
2.00
Sokol Lanžhot
2.00
Kosmonosy
2.00
Šumperk
2.00
Holešov
2.00
Přepeře
2.00
Křimice
2.00
Sokol Hostouň
2.00
Chomutov
2.00
Varnsdorf
2.00
Ústí nad Labem
2.00
Havířov
2.00
Chrudim
2.00
Znojmo
2.00
Vlašim
2.00
Táborsko
2.00
Klasterec n. Oh.
2.13
Vestec
2.13
Šternberk
2.13
Bystrc Kníničky
2.13
Horni Becva
2.13
Spartak Pribram
2.13
Hermanuv Mestec
2.13
Slavoj Vyšehrad
2.13
Velká Bíteš
2.13
Belotin
2.13
SK Krumvir
2.13
Hvězda Cheb
2.13
Strakonice
2.13
Slavia Vejprnice
2.13
Slavia Hradec Králové
2.13
Kravare
2.13
Stará Říše
2.13
TJ Bystrice
2.13
Branik
2.13
Dvůr Králové
2.13
Letohrad
2.13
Rychnov n. Kneznou
2.13
Vykan
2.13
Blansko
2.13
Bedrichov
2.13
Sl. Ceske Budejovice
2.13
Nyrsko
2.13
Karlovy Vary
2.25
Rokycany
2.33
Vratimov
2.33
Králův Dvůr
2.33
Rapid Psáry
2.50
Komárov
2.50
Zabreh
2.50
Baník Souš
2.50
Vsetín
2.50
Unie Hlubina
2.50
České Budějovice
2.50
Hranice
2.67
Bospor Bohumín
2.67
Neratovice-Byškovice
3.00
Sparta Brno
3.00
Hořovicko
3.00
Ždírec nad Doubravou
3.00
Brumov
3.00
Bílovec
3.00
Sokol Zápy
3.00
Žďár nad Sázavou
3.00
Valašské Meziříčí
3.00
Hluk
3.00
Brandýs nad Labem
3.00
Spartak Soběslav
3.00
Benešov
3.00
Tatran Všechovice
3.00
Čáslav
3.00
Příbram
3.00
Sigma Olomouc
3.00
Kozlovice
3.50
Chotebor
3.50
Doubravka
3.50
Velké Meziříčí
4.00
Milevsko
4.00
Bzenec
5.00
Povltava FA
5.00
Jiskra Rýmařov
5.00
Tempo Praha
5.00
Stonava
6.00
Břidličná
6.00
Svitavy
7.00
Kozlovice is 2.83 goals worse than Karviná in terms of goals conceded per game (3.50 vs 0.67).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Kozlovice or Draw✓ Hit
22.0%
Avg Implied -
8%
14%
78%
covers Kozlovice + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kozlovice or Karviná✗ Miss
86.3%
Avg Implied -
8%
14%
78%
covers Kozlovice + Karviná
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Karviná✓ Hit
91.6%
Avg Implied -
8%
14%
78%
covers Draw + Karviná
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Kozlovice over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
63.0%
Under
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozlovice over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
26.2%
Under
73.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozlovice over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.9%
Under
92.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozlovice over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karviná over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
95.4%
Under
4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karviná over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
81.1%
Under
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karviná over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
59.2%
Under
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karviná over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
36.8%
Under
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Kozlovice, so a minus line means Kozlovice give that many goals of a start and Karviná receive them. At -1, Kozlovice must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kozlovice win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Kozlovice)Actual: Karviná
Kozlovice -2
0.7%
Draw -2
2.1%
Karviná +2
97.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Kozlovice)Actual: Karviná
Kozlovice -1
2.8%
Draw -1
5.5%
Karviná +1
91.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Kozlovice)Actual: Kozlovice
Kozlovice +1
22.0%
Draw +1
18.1%
Karviná -1
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Kozlovice)Actual: Kozlovice
Kozlovice +2
40.1%
Draw +2
20.2%
Karviná -2
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KozloviceKozlovice

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D21W02L00D42WH·HOL28/07H·UHE21/08A·BÍL29/07H·FRÝ06/08H·FRÝ26/07H·SLA19/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.831.000.802.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Weaker (2)1.500.501.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Karviná) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KarvináKarviná

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D11D02L01L00D20W10W32W00DA·PAR10/05H·SIG16/05A·FK 20/05A·SIG23/05A·OPA27/07H·VLA31/07A·PRO07/08A·BRU12/08A·ARS15/08H·VIK21/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.770.530.670.800.87
vs Stronger (5)0.600.600.750.500.001.00
vs Similar (19)0.580.890.560.890.600.90
vs Weaker (6)1.000.500.000.001.500.75
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Kozlovice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kozlovice over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozlovice over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozlovice over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karviná over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karviná over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karviná over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KozloviceKozlovice

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D10W04L00D01LH·HOL28/07H·UHE21/08A·BÍL29/07H·FRÝ06/08H·FRÝ26/07H·SLA19/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.170.830.001.001.000.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.001.250.001.25--
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Karviná) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KarvináKarviná

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W02L20W02L01L10W01L30W20W30WA·PAR10/05H·SIG16/05A·FK 20/05A·SIG23/05A·OPA27/07H·VLA31/07A·PRO07/08A·BRU12/08A·ARS15/08H·VIK21/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.870.930.870.930.87
vs Stronger (5)0.601.000.751.000.001.00
vs Similar (19)0.841.000.781.000.901.00
vs Weaker (6)1.500.332.000.001.250.50
Clean sheet %37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Kozlovice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kozlovice over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozlovice over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozlovice over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karviná over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karviná over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karviná over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Home under 3.5 goals98.1%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap97.2%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals95.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 7.594.5%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals92.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.591.8%-------✓ Hit
Draw or Away91.6%-------✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap91.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.588.3%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away86.3%-------✗ Miss
Away over 1.5 goals81.1%-------✗ Miss
Away win78.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.577.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.577.1%-------✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 goals73.8%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Karviná · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dávid Krčík33%
Abdallah Gning26%
Rok Štorman19%
Kahuan18%
Ebrima Singhateh14%
Denny Samko12%
Emmanuel Ayaosi12%
Pavel Kačor12%
Aboubacar Traore12%
Samuel Šigut11%
Lucky Ezeh11%
Albert Labík8%
Alexandr Bužek8%
Jan Fiala7%
Sebastian Boháč5%
Ousmane Conde4%
Kristián Vallo0%
Jiři Fleišman0%
Filip Vecheta0%
Vladimir Neuman0%
Jakub Křišťan0%
Filip Prebsl0%
Sahmkou Camara0%
Nino Milić0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Jakub Lapes0%
Yahaya Danjuma Lawali0%
Jan Chytrý0%
Faycal Konate0%
Vít Valosek0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yevgeniy Skyba33%
Filip Prebsl27%
Vladimir Neuman25%
Pavel Kačor25%
Yahaya Danjuma Lawali17%
Aboubacar Traore16%
Emmanuel Ayaosi16%
Ebrima Singhateh14%
Jan Fiala13%
Denny Samko12%
Rok Štorman11%
Sebastian Boháč11%
Jiři Fleišman10%
Nino Milić10%
Albert Labík8%
Jakub Lapes8%
Dávid Krčík6%
Abdallah Gning5%
Jakub Křišťan5%
Ousmane Conde4%
Lucky Ezeh4%
Kristián Vallo0%
Filip Vecheta0%
Samuel Šigut0%
Sahmkou Camara0%
David Planka0%
Alexandr Bužek0%
Jan Chytrý0%
Kahuan0%
Faycal Konate0%
Vít Valosek0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Albert Labík17%
Emmanuel Ayaosi16%
Ebrima Singhateh14%
Dávid Krčík11%
Samuel Šigut11%
Abdallah Gning11%
Alexandr Bužek8%
Lucky Ezeh7%
Jan Fiala7%
Denny Samko6%
Pavel Kačor6%
Jan Chytrý5%
Rok Štorman4%
Sahmkou Camara3%
Kristián Vallo0%
Jiři Fleišman0%
Filip Vecheta0%
Vladimir Neuman0%
Jakub Křišťan0%
Filip Prebsl0%
Nino Milić0%
Sebastian Boháč0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Jakub Lapes0%
Yahaya Danjuma Lawali0%
Aboubacar Traore0%
Ousmane Conde0%
Kahuan0%
Faycal Konate0%
Vít Valosek0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ebrima Singhateh50%
Abdallah Gning21%
Denny Samko16%
Emmanuel Ayaosi9%
Jan Fiala7%
Pavel Kačor6%
Ousmane Conde4%
Rok Štorman4%
Lucky Ezeh4%
Jiři Fleišman3%
Kristián Vallo0%
Filip Vecheta0%
Vladimir Neuman0%
Jakub Křišťan0%
Filip Prebsl0%
Dávid Krčík0%
Samuel Šigut0%
Sahmkou Camara0%
Nino Milić0%
Sebastian Boháč0%
Albert Labík0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Jakub Lapes0%
Yahaya Danjuma Lawali0%
Alexandr Bužek0%
Aboubacar Traore0%
Jan Chytrý0%
Kahuan0%
Faycal Konate0%
Vít Valosek0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
KAR (24)
€7m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
ÚNL (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
KLA (11)
€2m
AČL (9)
€1m
TŘI (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
KAR (11)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
DP (13)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
VLA (8)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
AČL (3)
€0m
KLA (4)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
KAR (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (6)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
KLA (2)
€1m
AČL (2)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
KAR (9)
€2m
DP (10)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
KLA (5)
€1m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
AČL (4)
€0m
TŘI (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
KOZ wins
0
Draws
0
KAR wins

Head-to-head

Kozlovice vs Karviná · H/A from KOZ
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

KozloviceKozlovice

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/08/26HKOZ Vs Slavičín4-3
26/07/26HKOZ Vs Frýdek-Místek0-0
06/08/25HKOZ Vs Frýdek-Místek0-6
29/07/25ABílovec Vs KOZ1-3
21/08/24HKOZ Vs Uherský Brod0-0
28/07/24HKOZ Vs Holešov1-0

KarvináKarviná

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/26HKAR Vs Viktoria Žižkov3-0
15/08/26AArsenal Česká Lípa Vs KAR2-5
12/08/26ABrumov Vs KAR0-4
07/08/26AProstějov Vs KAR1-2
31/07/26HKAR Vs Vlašim1-0
27/07/26AOpava Vs KAR2-0
23/05/26ASigma Olomouc Vs KAR4-0
20/05/26AFK Jablonec Vs KAR1-3
16/05/26HKAR Vs Sigma Olomouc1-3
10/05/26APardubice Vs KAR1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kozlovice
Kozlovice
Czech-Republic: Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLDW1.83
HomeWDLDW1.60
AwayW3.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%40%100%
AVG goals3.002.804.00
Over 1.5 %50%40%100%
Over 2.5 %50%40%100%
Over 3.5 %50%40%100%
Scored1.331.003.00
Conceded1.671.801.00
BTTS33%20%100%
Clean Sheet50%60%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Karviná
Karviná
Czech-Republic: Cup
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.56
HomeLLLWW1.33
AwayLLWWW1.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%42%58%
AVG goals3.342.923.73
Over 1.5 %88%83%92%
Over 2.5 %74%67%81%
Over 3.5 %38%29%46%
Scored1.721.332.08
Conceded1.621.581.65
BTTS58%50%65%
Clean Sheet16%25%8%
Corners10.299.7410.84
Cards3.863.674.06

🏆 17. League Table

Karviná plays in Czech-Republic - FNL
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Ústí nad LabemÚstí nad Labem614
67%
2.3
115+6
2.7
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.80.8
-
2Slavia Praha IISlavia Praha II612
50%
2.0
1610+6
4.3
100%
83%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
3262.71.7
-
3KarvináKarviná612
67%
2.0
127+5
3.2
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
4122.01.2
-
4PříbramPříbram612
50%
2.0
118+3
3.2
83%
83%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.81.3
-
5TáborskoTáborsko611
50%
1.8
84+4
2.0
50%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.30.7
-
6Dukla PrahaDukla Praha610
50%
1.7
119+2
3.3
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3121.81.5
-
7KladnoKladno68
33%
1.3
87+1
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.31.2
-
8Arsenal Česká LípaArsenal Česká Lípa68
33%
1.3
912-3
3.5
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.52.0
-
9Baník Ostrava IIBaník Ostrava II67
33%
1.2
118+3
3.2
67%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.81.3
-
10Vysočina JihlavaVysočina Jihlava67
33%
1.2
76+1
2.2
50%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.0
-
11VlašimVlašim66
17%
1.0
109+1
3.2
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.71.5
-
12OpavaOpava66
17%
1.0
810-2
3.0
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.7
-
13ProstějovProstějov65
17%
0.8
89-1
2.8
83%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.5
-
14TřinecTřinec64
0%
0.7
610-4
2.7
67%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
15HanáckáHanácká64
17%
0.7
313-10
2.7
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.52.2
-
16Viktoria ŽižkovViktoria Žižkov63
17%
0.5
315-12
3.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.52.5
-
Czech-Republic: FNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →

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