KR Reykjavik vs Breidablik Result & Analysis

The model picks an away win for Breiðablik, with a 46% chance, while home and draw each sit at 27%. The expected total is 2.8 goals, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 12.8% probability. KR Reykjavík, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Breiðablik, on the road, averages 2.0 scored and 1.5 conceded against comparable teams. The model’s selection for Over 1.5 goals carries a 77.8% chance. KR’s recent form shows an unbeaten run of five games, ending in a 1-1 draw with Vikingur, whereas Breiðablik’s last five include two straight losses, most recently a 0-2 defeat to Stjarnan. The probabilities are: home win 27%, draw 27%, away win 46%. The suggested pick, Over 1.5, has a 77.8% chance.

The match saw KR Reykjavik’s unbeaten run in their last five continue, yet Breiðablik’s form was shaky after two straight defeats. The final score was 0-1, an away win that matched the model’s pick. The model had selected an away victory with a 46% probability, and it proved correct. The only suggested pick was Over 1.5 goals, with a 77.8% probability, which missed as the game produced just one goal. No other selections were made. The outcome confirms the model’s prediction while highlighting a missed opportunity on the total-goals market.