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KR Reykjavik vs Valur Reykjavik Result & Analysis

Date: 03/06/2024
Time: 19:15
Final 3-5
KR Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
Vs
29%
26%
45%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Valur Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KR Reykjavik win✗ Miss
29.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Valur Reykjavik win✓ Hit
45.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
90-943W31W01L92W23L11D12L35L21W22DA·FYL07/04A·STJ12/04H·FRA20/04A·KÁ 24/04H·BRE28/04A·KA 05/05H·HK 12/05A·STJ16/05A·FH 20/05H·VES25/05
Avg total
4.8
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.201.971.711.642.622.25
vs Stronger (2)1.502.001.002.002.002.00
vs Similar (28)2.251.961.771.622.672.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Valur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D01L30W11D32W31W31W21W22D51WA·FYL14/04A·STJ19/04H·FH 24/04H·FRA29/04A·BRE06/05H·KA 11/05A·AFT17/05A·HK 21/05H·FH 25/05H·STJ30/05
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.431.372.881.061.851.77
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)2.191.562.621.381.751.75
vs Weaker (14)2.711.143.110.782.001.80
Clean sheet %23% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (KR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.7%
Under 1.5
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.0%
Under 2.5
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
37.6%
Under 3.5
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.5%
No
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
6.8%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
5.5%
1-3
5.4%
KR Reykjavik goals ↓
Valur Reykjavik goals →
01234
05.5%6.7%6.8%3.9%1.7%
15.1%12%9.3%5.4%2.3%
24.2%7.3%6.3%3.7%1.6%
31.9%3.3%2.9%1.7%0.7%
40.7%1.1%1.0%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = KR Reykjavik goals (down), columns = Valur Reykjavik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Breidablik
2.30
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.19
Valur Reykjavik
1.63
Stjarnan
1.56
KA Akureyri
1.37
IA Akranes
1.37
FH hafnarfjordur
1.26
KR Reykjavik
1.26
Fram Reykjavik
1.11
HK Kopavogur
0.93
Vestri
0.93
Fylkir
0.78
KR Reykjavik is 0.37 points worse than Valur Reykjavik in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.63).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.52
Valur Reykjavik
2.44
Breidablik
2.33
KR Reykjavik
2.07
Stjarnan
1.89
IA Akranes
1.81
KA Akureyri
1.63
FH hafnarfjordur
1.59
Fram Reykjavik
1.41
HK Kopavogur
1.26
Fylkir
1.19
Vestri
1.19
KR Reykjavik is 0.37 goals worse than Valur Reykjavik in terms of goals scored per game (2.07 vs 2.44).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Breidablik
1.15
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.22
Valur Reykjavik
1.56
Stjarnan
1.59
IA Akranes
1.74
KA Akureyri
1.78
Fram Reykjavik
1.81
KR Reykjavik
1.81
FH hafnarfjordur
1.85
Vestri
1.96
Fylkir
2.22
HK Kopavogur
2.63
KR Reykjavik is 0.26 goals worse than Valur Reykjavik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.81 vs 1.56).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D01L31W00D10W01L11D20W20WA·FYL07/04A·STJ12/04H·FRA20/04A·KÁ 24/04H·BRE28/04A·KA 05/05H·HK 12/05A·STJ16/05A·FH 20/05H·VES25/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.800.730.671.070.93
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (28)0.960.750.790.641.140.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Valur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L20W00D21W11D21W00D11D20WA·FYL14/04A·STJ19/04H·FH 24/04H·FRA29/04A·BRE06/05H·KA 11/05A·AFT17/05A·HK 21/05H·FH 25/05H·STJ30/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.531.240.410.920.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.120.561.250.501.000.62
vs Weaker (14)1.070.501.220.330.800.80
Clean sheet %53% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (KR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
KR Reykjavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KR Reykjavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KR Reykjavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valur Reykjavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valur Reykjavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valur Reykjavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-632W20W00D61W23L01L11D24L01L02LA·FYL07/04A·STJ12/04H·FRA20/04A·KÁ 24/04H·BRE28/04A·KA 05/05H·HK 12/05A·STJ16/05A·FH 20/05H·VES25/05
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.031.000.871.731.20
vs Stronger (2)1.500.501.001.002.000.00
vs Similar (28)1.361.071.000.861.711.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Valur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W11D11D20W10W21W11D31WA·FYL14/04A·STJ19/04H·FH 24/04H·FRA29/04A·BRE06/05H·KA 11/05A·AFT17/05A·HK 21/05H·FH 25/05H·STJ30/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.831.650.650.921.08
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.061.001.380.880.751.12
vs Weaker (14)1.640.641.890.441.201.00
Clean sheet %40% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (KR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
KR Reykjavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KR Reykjavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KR Reykjavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valur Reykjavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valur Reykjavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valur Reykjavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
VES (19)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
KR Reykjavik and Valur Reykjavik have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
VES (7)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
KR Reykjavik and Valur Reykjavik have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
KR Reykjavik and Valur Reykjavik have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
FYL (6)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
KR Reykjavik and Valur Reykjavik have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
1
KR wins
2
Draws
3
VR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

KR Reykjavik vs Valur Reykjavik · H/A from KR
DateH/AGameScore
24/09/23HKR Vs Valur Reykjavik2-2
31/07/23HKR Vs Valur Reykjavik0-4
07/05/23AValur Reykjavik Vs KR5-0
08/10/22HKR Vs Valur Reykjavik2-1
25/07/22HKR Vs Valur Reykjavik3-3
30/04/22AValur Reykjavik Vs KR2-1

KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/05/24HKR Vs Vestri2-2
20/05/24AFH hafnarfjordur Vs KR1-2
16/05/24AStjarnan Vs KR5-3
12/05/24HKR Vs HK Kopavogur1-2
05/05/24AKA Akureyri Vs KR1-1
28/04/24HKR Vs Breidablik2-3
24/04/24AKÁ Hafnarfjördur Vs KR2-9
20/04/24HKR Vs Fram Reykjavik0-1
12/04/24AStjarnan Vs KR1-3
07/04/24AFylkir Vs KR3-4

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/05/24HVR Vs Stjarnan5-1
25/05/24HVR Vs FH hafnarfjordur2-2
21/05/24AHK Kopavogur Vs VR1-2
17/05/24AAfturelding Vs VR1-3
11/05/24HVR Vs KA Akureyri3-1
06/05/24ABreidablik Vs VR2-3
29/04/24HVR Vs Fram Reykjavik1-1
24/04/24HVR Vs FH hafnarfjordur3-0
19/04/24AStjarnan Vs VR1-0
14/04/24AFylkir Vs VR0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

KR Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWD1.46
HomeDLLLD1.55
AwayWWDLW1.39
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%45%36%
AVG goals3.662.864.29
Over 1.5 %86%77%93%
Over 2.5 %64%50%75%
Over 3.5 %50%36%61%
Scored1.841.502.11
Conceded1.821.362.18
BTTS64%55%71%
Clean Sheet14%23%7%
Corners---
Cards---
Valur Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW1.90
HomeWDWDW2.19
AwayDLWWW1.57
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%67%48%
AVG goals3.683.633.74
Over 1.5 %88%89%87%
Over 2.5 %68%67%70%
Over 3.5 %52%48%57%
Scored2.362.482.22
Conceded1.321.151.52
BTTS58%59%57%
Clean Sheet26%30%22%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BreidablikBreidablik2762
70%
2.3
6331+32
3.5
93%
70%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.31.1
-
2Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik2759
67%
2.2
6833+35
3.7
89%
70%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.51.2
-
3Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik2744
44%
1.6
6642+24
4.0
89%
74%
70%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.41.6
-
4StjarnanStjarnan2742
44%
1.6
5143+8
3.5
89%
67%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.6
-
5IA AkranesIA Akranes2737
41%
1.4
4947+2
3.6
85%
67%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.7
-
6KA AkureyriKA Akureyri2737
37%
1.4
4448-4
3.4
85%
63%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.8
-
7KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik2734
33%
1.3
5649+7
3.9
85%
70%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.11.8
-
8FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur2734
33%
1.3
4350-7
3.4
89%
63%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.61.9
-
9Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik2730
30%
1.1
3849-11
3.2
78%
59%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.41.8
-
10VestriVestri2725
22%
0.9
3253-21
3.1
81%
59%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.0
-
11HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur2725
26%
0.9
3471-37
3.9
93%
70%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.32.6
-
12FylkirFylkir2721
19%
0.8
3260-28
3.4
81%
67%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.2
-
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

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