This opponent (Excelsior Virton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Excelsior Virton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.96
1.68
0.69
1.31
1.25
2.08
vs Stronger (22)
1.00
1.73
0.73
1.36
1.27
2.09
vs Similar (3)
0.67
1.33
0.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
16% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (KRC Genk II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.7%
Under 1.5
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.0%
Under 2.5
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.6%
Under 3.5
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.5%
No
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
6.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
5.6%
3-1
5.3%
KRC Genk II goals ↓
Excelsior Virton goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.6%
5.1%
4.2%
1.9%
0.7%
1
6.7%
12%
7.3%
3.4%
1.2%
2
6.7%
9.2%
6.3%
2.9%
1.0%
3
3.9%
5.3%
3.7%
1.7%
0.6%
4
1.7%
2.3%
1.6%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = KRC Genk II goals (down), columns = Excelsior Virton goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
RWDM
2.16
SK Beveren
2.12
Lommel United
1.59
Club Brugge II
1.53
Deinze
1.53
Beerschot VA
1.53
K. Lierse S.K.
1.44
Dender
1.22
RSC Anderlecht II
1.16
Standard Liège II
0.84
KRC Genk II
0.81
Excelsior Virton
0.78
KRC Genk II is 0.03 points better than Excelsior Virton in terms of average points per game (0.81 vs 0.78).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
SK Beveren
2.38
RWDM
2.03
Lommel United
1.66
K. Lierse S.K.
1.66
Club Brugge II
1.59
Deinze
1.53
RSC Anderlecht II
1.44
Beerschot VA
1.34
Dender
1.28
KRC Genk II
1.12
Excelsior Virton
1.00
Standard Liège II
0.97
KRC Genk II is 0.12 goals better than Excelsior Virton in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
RWDM
0.91
SK Beveren
1.06
Beerschot VA
1.28
Lommel United
1.44
Deinze
1.47
Dender
1.47
Club Brugge II
1.50
Excelsior Virton
1.59
RSC Anderlecht II
1.75
KRC Genk II
1.81
K. Lierse S.K.
1.84
Standard Liège II
1.88
KRC Genk II is 0.22 goals worse than Excelsior Virton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.81 vs 1.59).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
KRC Genk II
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Excelsior Virton
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
KRC Genk II
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (25)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Excelsior Virton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Excelsior Virton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (25)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (22)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (KRC Genk II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Beerschot VA
11.0
SK Beveren
9.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Beerschot VA
4.6
SK Beveren
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SK Beveren
25.9
Beerschot VA
24.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
KRC Genk II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.76
0.75
0.58
0.46
0.92
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.80
0.67
0.67
0.55
0.91
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.60
1.00
0.33
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
44% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior Virton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Excelsior Virton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.52
0.68
0.54
0.46
0.50
0.92
vs Stronger (22)
0.55
0.73
0.55
0.55
0.55
0.91
vs Similar (3)
0.33
0.33
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
56% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (KRC Genk II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
KRC Genk II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KRC Genk II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KRC Genk II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior Virton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior Virton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior Virton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
KRC Genk II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.68
1.00
0.58
0.92
0.77
1.08
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.70
1.10
0.78
0.89
0.64
1.27
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.60
0.00
1.00
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
32% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior Virton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Excelsior Virton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.44
1.00
0.15
0.85
0.75
1.17
vs Stronger (22)
0.45
1.00
0.18
0.82
0.73
1.18
vs Similar (3)
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
28% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (KRC Genk II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
KRC Genk II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KRC Genk II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KRC Genk II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior Virton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior Virton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior Virton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
KRC Genk II · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aaron Bibout56%
Luca Oyen33%
Victory Beniangba29%
Adrian Palacios25%
Jonathan Coenen21%
Ayumu Yokoyama20%
Jelle Driessen11%
Kenan Haroun7%
Ali Camara7%
Djoully Nzoko6%
August De Wannemacker6%
Emmanuel Sarfo6%
Kayden Pierre0%
Kenshin Yasuda0%
Brad Manguelle0%
Michiel Cauwel0%
Wilson Da Costa0%
Christian Akpan0%
Min-woo Kang0%
Kim Myeong-jun0%
Yumeki Yoshinaga0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
Eddien Lazar0%
Manu Mocsnik0%
Alpha Barry0%
Elie Mbavu0%
Myung-jun Kim0%
Zion Henry0%
Wout Kapers0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Christian Akpan43%
Kayden Pierre35%
Zion Henry33%
Wout Kapers29%
Alpha Barry20%
Kenshin Yasuda18%
Manu Mocsnik14%
Kenan Haroun13%
Michiel Cauwel12%
Emmanuel Sarfo11%
Jelle Driessen11%
Brad Manguelle8%
Jonathan Coenen7%
Ali Camara7%
Lucca Brughmans6%
August De Wannemacker6%
Victory Beniangba6%
Luca Oyen0%
Ayumu Yokoyama0%
Djoully Nzoko0%
Adrian Palacios0%
Wilson Da Costa0%
Aaron Bibout0%
Min-woo Kang0%
Kim Myeong-jun0%
Yumeki Yoshinaga0%
Eddien Lazar0%
Elie Mbavu0%
Myung-jun Kim0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ayumu Yokoyama40%
August De Wannemacker19%
Christian Akpan14%
Kenan Haroun13%
Kim Myeong-jun12%
Luca Oyen11%
Kenshin Yasuda9%
Elie Mbavu8%
Ali Camara7%
Djoully Nzoko6%
Victory Beniangba6%
Emmanuel Sarfo6%
Kayden Pierre5%
Adrian Palacios0%
Brad Manguelle0%
Michiel Cauwel0%
Wilson Da Costa0%
Aaron Bibout0%
Min-woo Kang0%
Yumeki Yoshinaga0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
Eddien Lazar0%
Manu Mocsnik0%
Alpha Barry0%
Myung-jun Kim0%
Jonathan Coenen0%
Jelle Driessen0%
Zion Henry0%
Wout Kapers0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ayumu Yokoyama60%
Aaron Bibout22%
Djoully Nzoko12%
Kim Myeong-jun12%
Kenshin Yasuda9%
Manu Mocsnik7%
Kenan Haroun7%
Ali Camara7%
Victory Beniangba6%
Luca Oyen0%
Kayden Pierre0%
Adrian Palacios0%
Brad Manguelle0%
Michiel Cauwel0%
Wilson Da Costa0%
Christian Akpan0%
Min-woo Kang0%
Yumeki Yoshinaga0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
Eddien Lazar0%
Alpha Barry0%
Elie Mbavu0%
August De Wannemacker0%
Emmanuel Sarfo0%
Myung-jun Kim0%
Jonathan Coenen0%
Jelle Driessen0%
Zion Henry0%
Wout Kapers0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (25)
€26m
SB (24)
€12m
BV (26)
€9m
DEN (19)
€8m
RAI (19)
€8m
KGI (18)
€7m
KLS (21)
€5m
RWD (7)
€2m
EV (11)
€2m
KRC Genk II's squad is €5m more valuable than Excelsior Virton's (€7m vs €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (10)
€8m
SB (9)
€4m
BV (13)
€4m
RAI (8)
€3m
KGI (9)
€2m
KLS (7)
€2m
DEN (4)
€1m
RWD (2)
€1m
EV (4)
€1m
KRC Genk II's attack is €2m more valuable than Excelsior Virton's (€2m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (5)
€15m
DEN (6)
€3m
SB (5)
€3m
KGI (1)
€2m
RAI (3)
€2m
KLS (3)
€1m
BV (2)
€0m
RWD (1)
€0m
EV (1)
€0m
KRC Genk II's midfield is €2m more valuable than Excelsior Virton's (€2m vs €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BV (11)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
LU (10)
€4m
DEN (9)
€4m
RAI (8)
€3m
KLS (11)
€3m
KGI (8)
€2m
EV (6)
€1m
RWD (4)
€1m
KRC Genk II's defence is €1m more valuable than Excelsior Virton's (€2m vs €1m).
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
RWDM
SK Beveren
Lommel United
Club Brugge II
Deinze
Beerschot VA
K. Lierse S.K.
Dender
RSC Anderlecht II
Standard Liège II