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Kremin' vs Nyva Ternopil Result & Analysis

Date: 22/05/2023
Time: 09:00
Final 2-2
Kremin
Kremin'
Vs
33%
28%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Nyva Ternopil
Nyva Ternopil
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kremin' win✗ Miss
32.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Nyva Ternopil win✗ Miss
38.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KreminKremin'

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-543W04L01L30W02L02L20W12L11D05LH·SK 11/11H·MET16/11A·OBO20/11H·CHE27/11A·KAR08/04H·POL16/04A·NYV22/04H·EPI29/04H·KAR07/05A·POL14/05
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.802.001.701.201.90
vs Stronger (7)0.432.140.751.500.003.00
vs Similar (13)2.231.622.831.831.711.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyva Ternopil) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nyva TernopilNyva Ternopil

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L11D00D30W12L11D02L11D11D12LA·POL06/11H·YAR12/11H·EPI19/11A·BUK27/11H·LNZ08/04A·OBO15/04H·KRE22/04A·MET30/04A·LNZ06/05H·OBO14/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.850.900.801.100.90
vs Stronger (10)0.800.800.400.601.201.00
vs Similar (10)1.200.901.401.001.000.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %35% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Kremin') is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.7%
Under 1.5
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.7%
Under 2.5
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.8%
Under 3.5
72.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.3%
No
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-2
8.6%
0-1
8.5%
0-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
1-0
7.6%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
5.6%
Kremin' goals ↓
Nyva Ternopil goals →
01234
08.2%8.5%6.8%3.2%1.1%
17.6%14%8.6%4.0%1.4%
25.6%7.8%5.4%2.5%0.9%
32.4%3.3%2.3%1.1%0.4%
40.7%1.0%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kremin' goals (down), columns = Nyva Ternopil goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Polessya
2.55
LNZ Cherkasy
2.00
Khust City
2.00
Obolon'-Brovar
1.91
Karpaty
1.82
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.55
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.55
Prykarpattia
1.36
Skoruk Tomakivka
1.27
Kremin'
1.18
Nyva Ternopil
1.14
Chernihiv
1.09
SK Poltava
1.05
Bukovyna
1.00
Dinaz Vyshhorod
1.00
Hirnyk-Sport
0.73
Yarud Mariupol'
0.62
Kremin' is 0.05 points better than Nyva Ternopil in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 1.14).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Polessya
2.18
LNZ Cherkasy
1.64
Kremin'
1.59
Karpaty
1.41
Obolon'-Brovar
1.32
SK Poltava
1.18
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.14
Skoruk Tomakivka
1.14
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.09
Prykarpattia
1.09
Nyva Ternopil
1.05
Dinaz Vyshhorod
1.05
Khust City
1.00
Yarud Mariupol'
0.96
Bukovyna
0.95
Chernihiv
0.91
Hirnyk-Sport
0.73
Kremin' is 0.55 goals better than Nyva Ternopil in terms of goals scored per game (1.59 vs 1.05).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Khust City
0.50
Polessya
0.55
LNZ Cherkasy
0.64
Obolon'-Brovar
0.73
Nyva Ternopil
0.91
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.00
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.00
Karpaty
1.00
Skoruk Tomakivka
1.14
Prykarpattia
1.18
Chernihiv
1.32
Bukovyna
1.36
SK Poltava
1.55
Yarud Mariupol'
1.67
Dinaz Vyshhorod
1.73
Hirnyk-Sport
1.77
Kremin'
1.86
Kremin' is 0.95 goals worse than Nyva Ternopil in terms of goals conceded per game (1.86 vs 0.91).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KreminKremin'

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W02L01L00D02L02L10W01L10W03LH·SK 11/11H·MET16/11A·OBO20/11H·CHE27/11A·KAR08/04H·POL16/04A·NYV22/04H·EPI29/04H·KAR07/05A·POL14/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.200.700.900.701.50
vs Stronger (7)0.141.570.251.000.002.33
vs Similar (13)1.001.001.000.831.001.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %35% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyva Ternopil) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nyva TernopilNyva Ternopil

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W00D10W01L00D01L00D01L01LA·POL06/11H·YAR12/11H·EPI19/11A·BUK27/11H·LNZ08/04A·OBO15/04H·KRE22/04A·MET30/04A·LNZ06/05H·OBO14/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.300.500.300.300.30
vs Stronger (10)0.200.400.200.200.200.60
vs Similar (10)0.600.200.800.400.400.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %75% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Kremin') is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kremin' over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kremin' over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kremin' over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyva Ternopil over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyva Ternopil over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyva Ternopil over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KreminKremin'

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L02L00D30W00D00D10W11D01L02LH·SK 11/11H·MET16/11A·OBO20/11H·CHE27/11A·KAR08/04H·POL16/04A·NYV22/04H·EPI29/04H·KAR07/05A·POL14/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.601.300.800.500.40
vs Stronger (7)0.290.570.500.500.000.67
vs Similar (13)1.230.621.831.000.710.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyva Ternopil) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nyva TernopilNyva Ternopil

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D20W11D11D01L11D10W11DA·POL06/11H·YAR12/11H·EPI19/11A·BUK27/11H·LNZ08/04A·OBO15/04H·KRE22/04A·MET30/04A·LNZ06/05H·OBO14/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.550.400.500.800.60
vs Stronger (10)0.600.400.200.401.000.40
vs Similar (10)0.600.700.600.600.600.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %45% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Kremin') is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kremin' over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kremin' over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kremin' over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyva Ternopil over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyva Ternopil over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyva Ternopil over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.2%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
POL (32)
€34m
LC (25)
€20m
KAR (28)
€13m
BUK (25)
€9m
OBO (28)
€7m
ED (23)
€6m
SP (22)
€4m
YM (21)
€3m
NT (23)
€3m
CHE (22)
€2m
PRY (18)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
POL (9)
€12m
LC (9)
€8m
KAR (8)
€4m
BUK (10)
€4m
OBO (9)
€2m
ED (6)
€1m
YM (6)
€1m
SP (5)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
CHE (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
POL (9)
€8m
LC (5)
€5m
KAR (5)
€2m
BUK (5)
€2m
ED (6)
€2m
YM (7)
€1m
OBO (5)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SP (7)
€1m
NT (5)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
POL (14)
€14m
LC (11)
€7m
KAR (15)
€7m
BUK (10)
€3m
ED (11)
€3m
OBO (14)
€3m
SP (10)
€2m
NT (9)
€1m
CHE (10)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
YM (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
KRE wins
0
Draws
0
NT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kremin' vs Nyva Ternopil · H/A from KRE
DateH/AGameScore
22/04/23ANyva Ternopil Vs KRE0-2

KreminKremin'

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/05/23APolessya Vs KRE5-0
07/05/23HKRE Vs Karpaty1-1
29/04/23HKRE Vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi1-2
22/04/23ANyva Ternopil Vs KRE0-2
16/04/23HKRE Vs Polessya0-2
08/04/23AKarpaty Vs KRE2-0
27/11/22HKRE Vs Chernihiv3-0
20/11/22AObolon'-Brovar Vs KRE1-0
16/11/22HKRE Vs Metalurh Zaporizhya0-4
11/11/22HKRE Vs SK Poltava4-3

Nyva TernopilNyva Ternopil

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/05/23HNT Vs Obolon'-Brovar1-2
06/05/23ALNZ Cherkasy Vs NT1-1
30/04/23AMetalurh Zaporizhya Vs NT1-1
22/04/23HNT Vs Kremin'0-2
15/04/23AObolon'-Brovar Vs NT1-1
08/04/23HNT Vs LNZ Cherkasy1-2
27/11/22ABukovyna Vs NT0-3
19/11/22HNT Vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi0-0
12/11/22HNT Vs Yarud Mariupol'1-1
06/11/22APolessya Vs NT2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kremin
Kremin'
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDL1.25
HomeLWLLD1.40
AwayWLLWL1.10
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %35%40%30%
AVG goals3.403.703.10
Over 1.5 %95%100%90%
Over 2.5 %55%70%40%
Over 3.5 %35%40%30%
Scored1.602.001.20
Conceded1.801.701.90
BTTS40%50%30%
Clean Sheet20%20%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Nyva Ternopil
Nyva Ternopil
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDDL1.15
HomeDDLLL1.20
AwayLWDDD1.10
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%30%20%
AVG goals1.851.702.00
Over 1.5 %65%50%80%
Over 2.5 %25%30%20%
Over 3.5 %5%10%0%
Scored1.000.901.10
Conceded0.850.800.90
BTTS45%30%60%
Clean Sheet35%50%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PolessyaPolessya2256
82%
2.5
4812+36
2.7
86%
59%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
34
128142.20.5
-
2LNZ CherkasyLNZ Cherkasy2244
59%
2.0
3614+22
2.3
73%
36%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
20
8571.60.6
-
3ObolonObolon'-Brovar2242
55%
1.9
2916+13
2.0
64%
45%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2131.30.7
-
4KarpatyKarpaty2240
55%
1.8
3122+9
2.4
77%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
4271.41.0
-
5Metalurh ZaporizhyaMetalurh Zaporizhya2234
41%
1.5
2522+3
2.1
64%
36%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.0
-
6Epitsentr DunayivtsiEpitsentr Dunayivtsi2234
45%
1.5
2422+2
2.1
64%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
1231.11.0
-
7PrykarpattiaPrykarpattia2230
36%
1.4
2426-2
2.3
68%
32%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.11.2
-
8Skoruk TomakivkaSkoruk Tomakivka2228
27%
1.3
2525+0
2.3
77%
32%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
9KreminKremin'2226
32%
1.2
3541-6
3.5
95%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.9
-
10Nyva TernopilNyva Ternopil2225
23%
1.1
2320+3
2.0
68%
27%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.00.9
-
11ChernihivChernihiv2224
27%
1.1
2029-9
2.2
82%
32%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.91.3
-
12SK PoltavaSK Poltava2223
27%
1.0
2634-8
2.7
73%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.5
-
13BukovynaBukovyna2222
23%
1.0
2130-9
2.3
68%
50%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
4231.01.4
-
14Dinaz VyshhorodDinaz Vyshhorod2222
23%
1.0
2338-15
2.8
77%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
15Hirnyk-SportHirnyk-Sport2216
14%
0.7
1639-23
2.5
68%
32%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.8
-
16Yarud MariupolYarud Mariupol'2415
12%
0.6
2340-17
2.6
75%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.7
-
17Khust CityKhust City24
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.5
-
Ukraine: Persha Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Persha Liga stats & trends →

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