Krka vs Beltinci Result & Analysis

Krka are favoured to win at home, with a 47% chance of victory, a 27% chance of a draw and a 26% chance of a Beltinci win. The model expects 2.8 goals in total and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 12.7% probability. Krka have been scoring 1.67 goals per game and conceding 0.67 against teams of similar strength at home, while Beltinci, playing away, average 1.25 goals scored and 1.5 conceded against comparable opposition. The single selection the model offers is Over 1.5 goals, with a 78.3% chance. The recent form narrative is that Krka have suffered three straight defeats, most recently losing 2-3 to Primorje, whereas Beltinci are coming off a 1-3 loss to Jesenice but have won two of their last five. All figures are presented exactly as supplied.

The pre-match favourite, Krka, failed to deliver as the match finished 0-0, a draw that left the model’s call wrong. Krka’s recent form, marked by three straight defeats, had them looking shaky at home, while Beltinci, after a loss, had a more balanced five-game run. The model had given Krka a 47% chance of victory, but the game ended in a stalemate. The only suggested pick was Over 1.5 goals at 78.3% probability, which missed as no goals were scored. The final score of 0-0 confirms the unexpected outcome, underscoring the unpredictability of this fixture.