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KV vs Selfoss Result & Analysis

Date: 09/07/2022
Time: 14:00
Final 1-2
KV
KV
Vs
37%
24%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Selfoss
Selfoss
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KV win✗ Miss
37.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Selfoss win✓ Hit
39.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KVKV

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L13L02L15L13L21W12L11D42W13LA·FYL05/05H·HK 12/05A·KÓR20/05A·GRO28/05A·FJO03/06H·AFT09/06A·GRI16/06H·THR22/06A·VES01/07A·THO05/07
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.302.501.331.671.292.86
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (7)1.572.431.502.001.602.60
vs Weaker (2)1.003.001.001.001.005.00
Clean sheet %0% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Selfoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SelfossSelfoss

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W21W11D40W20W22D34L20W22D01LA·HK 05/05H·GRO13/05A·AFT20/05H·THR27/05A·THO03/06H·FYL09/06A·KÓR16/06H·FJO24/06A·GRI01/07H·VES05/07
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.101.302.000.802.201.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.881.501.331.002.201.80
vs Weaker (2)3.000.503.000.50--
Clean sheet %30% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (KV) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%08%119%221%319%414%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.9%
Under 1.5
12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
68.9%
Under 2.5
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
47.5%
Under 3.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
69.9%
No
30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.9%
1-2 ✓
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
2-2
7.1%
1-3
4.9%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
2-0
4.4%
KV goals ↓
Selfoss goals →
01234
03.8%4.3%4.6%2.8%1.3%
14.1%9.9%8.1%4.9%2.2%
24.4%7.9%7.1%4.3%1.9%
32.6%4.6%4.2%2.5%1.1%
41.1%2.0%1.8%1.1%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = KV goals (down), columns = Selfoss goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Fylkir
2.32
HK Kopavogur
2.09
Grotta
1.68
Fjolnir
1.64
Kórdrengir
1.50
Selfoss
1.45
Thor Akureyri
1.36
Afturelding
1.32
Vestri
1.27
Grindavik
1.23
KV
0.82
Thróttur Vogar
0.27
KV is 0.64 points worse than Selfoss in terms of average points per game (0.82 vs 1.45).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Fylkir
2.86
Fjolnir
2.32
HK Kopavogur
2.09
Grindavik
1.95
Grotta
1.91
Selfoss
1.86
Afturelding
1.77
Vestri
1.64
Kórdrengir
1.64
Thor Akureyri
1.41
KV
1.23
Thróttur Vogar
0.36
KV is 0.64 goals worse than Selfoss in terms of goals scored per game (1.23 vs 1.86).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Fylkir
1.05
HK Kopavogur
1.36
Kórdrengir
1.36
Grotta
1.50
Thor Akureyri
1.59
Fjolnir
1.68
Afturelding
1.77
Selfoss
1.77
Vestri
2.00
Grindavik
2.05
KV
2.36
Thróttur Vogar
2.55
KV is 0.59 goals worse than Selfoss in terms of goals conceded per game (2.36 vs 1.77).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KVKV

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L02L01L13L11D00D01L01L20W00DA·FYL05/05H·HK 12/05A·KÓR20/05A·GRO28/05A·FJO03/06H·AFT09/06A·GRI16/06H·THR22/06A·VES01/07A·THO05/07
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.100.001.000.711.14
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (7)0.570.860.001.000.800.80
vs Weaker (2)0.502.000.001.001.003.00
Clean sheet %30% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Selfoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SelfossSelfoss

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D21W00D10W10W01L20W10W10W01LA·HK 05/05H·GRO13/05A·AFT20/05H·THR27/05A·THO03/06H·FYL09/06A·KÓR16/06H·FJO24/06A·GRI01/07H·VES05/07
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.500.800.601.200.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.880.500.330.671.200.40
vs Weaker (2)1.500.501.500.50--
Clean sheet %60% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (KV) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
KV over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KVKV

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D01L02L02L21W11D10W22D13LA·FYL05/05H·HK 12/05A·KÓR20/05A·GRO28/05A·FJO03/06H·AFT09/06A·GRI16/06H·THR22/06A·VES01/07A·THO05/07
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.401.330.670.571.71
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (7)1.001.571.501.000.801.80
vs Weaker (2)0.501.001.000.000.002.00
Clean sheet %10% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Selfoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SelfossSelfoss

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D11D30W10W21W14L10W12L00DA·HK 05/05H·GRO13/05A·AFT20/05H·THR27/05A·THO03/06H·FYL09/06A·KÓR16/06H·FJO24/06A·GRI01/07H·VES05/07
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.801.200.201.001.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.001.001.000.331.001.40
vs Weaker (2)1.500.001.500.00--
Clean sheet %60% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (KV) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
KV over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (21)
€2m
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (7)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
VES (7)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (10)
€1m
AFT (7)
€0m
FYL (6)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
KV wins
0
Draws
0
SEL wins

Head-to-head

KV vs Selfoss · H/A from KV
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

KVKV

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/07/22AThor Akureyri Vs KV3-1
01/07/22AVestri Vs KV2-4
22/06/22HKV Vs Thróttur Vogar1-1
16/06/22AGrindavik Vs KV2-1
09/06/22HKV Vs Afturelding2-1
03/06/22AFjolnir Vs KV3-1
28/05/22AGrotta Vs KV5-1
20/05/22AKórdrengir Vs KV2-0
12/05/22HKV Vs HK Kopavogur1-3
05/05/22AFylkir Vs KV3-1

SelfossSelfoss

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/07/22HSEL Vs Vestri0-1
01/07/22AGrindavik Vs SEL2-2
24/06/22HSEL Vs Fjolnir2-0
16/06/22AKórdrengir Vs SEL4-3
09/06/22HSEL Vs Fylkir2-2
03/06/22AThor Akureyri Vs SEL0-2
27/05/22HSEL Vs Thróttur Vogar4-0
20/05/22AAfturelding Vs SEL1-1
13/05/22HSEL Vs Grotta2-1
05/05/22AHK Kopavogur Vs SEL2-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

KV
KV
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWL0.70
HomeLWD1.33
AwayLLLWL0.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%33%14%
AVG goals3.803.004.14
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %80%67%86%
Over 3.5 %60%33%71%
Scored1.301.331.29
Conceded2.501.672.86
BTTS90%100%86%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Selfoss
Selfoss
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDL1.80
HomeWWDWL2.00
AwayWDWLD1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%60%40%
AVG goals3.402.804.00
Over 1.5 %90%80%100%
Over 2.5 %60%60%60%
Over 3.5 %50%40%60%
Scored2.102.002.20
Conceded1.300.801.80
BTTS60%40%80%
Clean Sheet30%40%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FylkirFylkir2251
73%
2.3
6323+40
3.9
86%
68%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.91.0
-
2HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur2246
68%
2.1
4630+16
3.5
91%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.11.4
-
3GrottaGrotta2237
55%
1.7
4233+9
3.4
73%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.91.5
-
4FjolnirFjolnir2236
50%
1.6
5137+14
4.0
91%
77%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.7
-
5KórdrengirKórdrengir2233
41%
1.5
3630+6
3.0
77%
55%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.4
-
6SelfossSelfoss2232
41%
1.5
4139+2
3.6
91%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.8
-
7Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2230
41%
1.4
3135-4
3.0
73%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.6
-
8AftureldingAfturelding2229
36%
1.3
3939+0
3.5
86%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.81.8
-
9VestriVestri2228
32%
1.3
3644-8
3.6
86%
73%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.0
-
10GrindavikGrindavik2227
32%
1.2
4345-2
4.0
95%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.0
-
11KVKV2218
23%
0.8
2752-25
3.6
95%
77%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
12Thróttur VogarThróttur Vogar226
5%
0.3
856-48
2.9
82%
59%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.42.5
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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