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La Fiorita vs Cosmos Result & Analysis

Date: 17/05/2024
Time: 18:45
Final 2-0
La Fiorita
La Fiorita
Vs
36%
31%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Cosmos
Cosmos
San-Marino: Campionato
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

La Fiorita win✓ Hit
36.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Cosmos win✗ Miss
33.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

La FioritaLa Fiorita

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W30W32W20W20W10W00D13L10WA·TRE10/03H·FIO13/03A·SAN16/03H·TRE07/04H·DOM14/04A·CAI20/04H·FOL28/04A·FOL01/05H·MUR04/05A·MUR11/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.170.632.270.672.070.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.251.001.250.751.251.25
vs Weaker (22)2.500.502.640.642.360.36
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosmos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CosmosCosmos

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-650W62W01L01L01L30W12L30W11D00DA·SAN09/03H·PEN12/03A·VIR16/03A·MUR06/04H·LIB13/04A·FAE20/04H·SAN27/04A·SAN30/04H·TRE04/05A·TRE11/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.530.902.931.002.130.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.821.181.500.830.001.60
vs Weaker (19)3.530.743.891.113.200.40
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (La Fiorita) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.4%
Under 1.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.6%
Under 2.5
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.2%
Under 3.5
79.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.2%
No
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.3%
1-0
10.5%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-0 ✓
7.0%
0-2
6.3%
La Fiorita goals ↓
Cosmos goals →
01234
011%9.8%6.3%2.3%0.7%
110%15%7.4%2.8%0.8%
27.0%7.8%4.4%1.6%0.5%
32.8%3.1%1.7%0.7%0.2%
40.8%0.9%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = La Fiorita goals (down), columns = Cosmos goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Virtus
2.63
La Fiorita
2.49
Tre Penne
1.97
Murata
1.91
Cosmos
1.86
Tre Fiori
1.81
Juvenes / Dogana
1.55
San Giovanni
1.50
Folgore
1.30
Fiorentino
1.23
Domagnano
1.13
Faetano
0.87
Libertas
0.77
San Marino Academy
0.73
Cailungo
0.47
Pennarossa
0.27
La Fiorita is 0.63 points better than Cosmos in terms of average points per game (2.49 vs 1.86).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cosmos
2.37
Tre Penne
2.37
La Fiorita
2.17
Virtus
2.03
Tre Fiori
1.78
San Giovanni
1.78
Murata
1.77
Juvenes / Dogana
1.55
Faetano
1.47
Folgore
1.39
Fiorentino
1.29
San Marino Academy
1.07
Libertas
1.07
Domagnano
1.06
Pennarossa
0.60
Cailungo
0.50
La Fiorita is 0.20 goals worse than Cosmos in terms of goals scored per game (2.17 vs 2.37).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
La Fiorita
0.60
Virtus
0.67
Murata
0.74
Cosmos
0.94
Tre Fiori
1.00
Tre Penne
1.03
Folgore
1.15
San Giovanni
1.44
Domagnano
1.45
Juvenes / Dogana
1.64
Fiorentino
1.84
Libertas
1.87
San Marino Academy
2.47
Cailungo
2.57
Faetano
2.63
Pennarossa
3.20
La Fiorita is 0.34 goals better than Cosmos in terms of goals conceded per game (0.60 vs 0.94).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

La FioritaLa Fiorita

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

CosmosCosmos

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

La FioritaLa Fiorita

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.08.08.00.20.20.2---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (16)8.08.08.00.60.50.6---
vs Weaker (34)---0.00.00.0---
% over line0%0%0%4%4%4%---
% under line100%100%100%96%96%96%---
This opponent (Cosmos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CosmosCosmos

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.016.04.00.20.20.1---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (19)10.016.04.00.50.60.3---
vs Weaker (31)---0.00.00.0---
% over line50%100%0%2%4%0%---
% under line50%0%100%98%96%100%---
This opponent (La Fiorita) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Cosmos
10.0
Tre Fiori
9.0
La Fiorita
7.8
Tre Penne
7.2

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Tre Fiori
7.2
La Fiorita
4.5
Cosmos
4.5
Tre Penne
3.5

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Tre Penne
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

La FioritaLa Fiorita

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W10W21W10W10W10W00D02L10WA·TRE10/03H·FIO13/03A·SAN16/03H·TRE07/04H·DOM14/04A·CAI20/04H·FOL28/04A·FOL01/05H·MUR04/05A·MUR11/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.271.130.331.270.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.500.380.750.250.250.50
vs Weaker (22)1.450.231.270.361.640.09
Clean sheet %77% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosmos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CosmosCosmos

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W40W01L00D01L10W11D00D10W00DA·SAN09/03H·PEN12/03A·VIR16/03A·MUR06/04H·LIB13/04A·FAE20/04H·SAN27/04A·SAN30/04H·TRE04/05A·TRE11/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.571.600.530.870.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.360.820.670.500.001.20
vs Weaker (19)1.740.422.220.561.300.30
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (La Fiorita) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
La Fiorita over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Fiorita over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Fiorita over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosmos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosmos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosmos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

La FioritaLa Fiorita

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W20W11D10W10W00D00D11D00DA·TRE10/03H·FIO13/03A·SAN16/03H·TRE07/04H·DOM14/04A·CAI20/04H·FOL28/04A·FOL01/05H·MUR04/05A·MUR11/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.371.130.330.800.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.750.620.500.501.000.75
vs Weaker (22)1.050.271.360.270.730.27
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosmos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CosmosCosmos

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W22D00D01L00D20W01L30W01L00DA·SAN09/03H·PEN12/03A·VIR16/03A·MUR06/04H·LIB13/04A·FAE20/04H·SAN27/04A·SAN30/04H·TRE04/05A·TRE11/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.331.330.471.270.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.450.360.830.330.000.40
vs Weaker (19)1.790.321.670.561.900.10
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (La Fiorita) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
La Fiorita over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Fiorita over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Fiorita over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosmos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosmos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosmos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (20)
€1m
LF (19)
€1m
FOL (19)
€1m
VIR (15)
€1m
DOM (19)
€1m
TP (14)
€1m
J/D (20)
€1m
COS (12)
€0m
CAI (18)
€0m
PEN (11)
€0m
SG (11)
€0m
FIO (9)
€0m
SMA (13)
€0m
LIB (9)
€0m
FAE (10)
€0m
MUR (7)
€0m
La Fiorita and Cosmos have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (5)
€1m
LF (5)
€0m
FOL (5)
€0m
VIR (5)
€0m
J/D (7)
€0m
DOM (6)
€0m
PEN (4)
€0m
SG (3)
€0m
TP (5)
€0m
CAI (5)
€0m
COS (2)
€0m
FIO (2)
€0m
SMA (5)
€0m
FAE (2)
€0m
MUR (1)
€0m
LIB (0)
€0m
La Fiorita and Cosmos have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LF (7)
€0m
TP (6)
€0m
TF (6)
€0m
VIR (4)
€0m
FOL (5)
€0m
DOM (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
SG (4)
€0m
J/D (5)
€0m
FIO (3)
€0m
LIB (4)
€0m
SMA (4)
€0m
COS (4)
€0m
CAI (4)
€0m
MUR (6)
€0m
FAE (2)
€0m
La Fiorita and Cosmos have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (9)
€1m
FOL (9)
€0m
LF (7)
€0m
DOM (8)
€0m
J/D (8)
€0m
VIR (6)
€0m
COS (6)
€0m
CAI (9)
€0m
FAE (6)
€0m
LIB (5)
€0m
FIO (4)
€0m
TP (3)
€0m
SMA (4)
€0m
PEN (4)
€0m
SG (4)
€0m
MUR (0)
€0m
La Fiorita and Cosmos have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
LF wins
2
Draws
1
COS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

La Fiorita vs Cosmos · H/A from LF
DateH/AGameScore
17/02/24HLF Vs Cosmos1-0
21/10/23ACosmos Vs LF1-1
20/05/23ACosmos Vs LF2-1
11/02/23ACosmos Vs LF1-1
01/10/22HLF Vs Cosmos2-0

La FioritaLa Fiorita

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/05/24AMurata Vs LF0-1
04/05/24HLF Vs Murata1-3
01/05/24AFolgore Vs LF0-0
28/04/24HLF Vs Folgore1-0
20/04/24ACailungo Vs LF0-2
14/04/24HLF Vs Domagnano2-0
07/04/24HLF Vs Tre Penne3-2
16/03/24ASan Marino Academy Vs LF0-3
13/03/24HLF Vs Fiorentino2-0
10/03/24ATre Fiori Vs LF1-1

CosmosCosmos

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/05/24ATre Penne Vs COS0-0
04/05/24HCOS Vs Tre Penne1-1
30/04/24ASan Giovanni Vs COS0-3
27/04/24HCOS Vs San Giovanni1-2
20/04/24AFaetano Vs COS0-3
13/04/24HCOS Vs Libertas0-1
06/04/24AMurata Vs COS1-0
16/03/24AVirtus Vs COS1-0
12/03/24HCOS Vs Pennarossa6-2
09/03/24ASan Marino Academy Vs COS0-5

📊 16. Overall Statistics

La Fiorita
La Fiorita
San-Marino: Campionato
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLW2.26
HomeWWWWL2.56
AwayDWWDW1.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %70%84%56%
AVG goals2.562.642.48
Over 1.5 %74%72%76%
Over 2.5 %50%48%52%
Over 3.5 %20%28%12%
Scored1.942.041.84
Conceded0.620.600.64
BTTS44%40%48%
Clean Sheet48%52%44%
Corners8.008.008.00
Cards4.504.005.00
Cosmos
Cosmos
San-Marino: Campionato
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDD2.08
HomeWWLLD2.26
AwayLLWWD1.87
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%67%57%
AVG goals3.163.562.70
Over 1.5 %76%89%61%
Over 2.5 %58%59%57%
Over 3.5 %36%37%35%
Scored2.382.781.91
Conceded0.780.780.78
BTTS44%63%22%
Clean Sheet42%33%52%
Corners10.0016.004.00
Cards4.506.003.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1La FioritaLa Fiorita3587
80%
2.5
7621+55
2.8
74%
57%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.20.6
-
2VirtusVirtus3079
87%
2.6
6120+41
2.7
70%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.00.7
-
3Tre PenneTre Penne3569
60%
2.0
8336+47
3.4
89%
69%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.41.0
-
4MurataMurata3567
60%
1.9
6226+36
2.5
63%
49%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.7
-
5CosmosCosmos3565
54%
1.9
8333+50
3.3
77%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.40.9
-
6Tre FioriTre Fiori3258
53%
1.8
5732+25
2.8
72%
62%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.81.0
-
7Juvenes / DoganaJuvenes / Dogana3351
48%
1.5
5154-3
3.2
76%
70%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.6
-
8San GiovanniSan Giovanni3248
47%
1.5
5746+11
3.2
88%
72%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.4
-
9FolgoreFolgore3343
36%
1.3
4638+8
2.5
70%
42%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.2
-
10FiorentinoFiorentino3138
35%
1.2
4057-17
3.1
81%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.8
-
11DomagnanoDomagnano3135
29%
1.1
3345-12
2.5
68%
39%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.5
-
12FaetanoFaetano3026
27%
0.9
4479-35
4.1
90%
77%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.6
-
13LibertasLibertas3023
20%
0.8
3256-24
2.9
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
14San Marino AcademySan Marino Academy3022
20%
0.7
3274-42
3.5
93%
73%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.5
-
15CailungoCailungo3014
13%
0.5
1577-62
3.1
80%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.6
-
16PennarossaPennarossa308
7%
0.3
1896-78
3.8
83%
73%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.2
-
San-Marino: Campionato 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full San-Marino: Campionato stats & trends →

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