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La Fiorita vs Pennarossa Result & Analysis

Date: 02/03/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 3-0
La Fiorita
La Fiorita
Vs
85%
11%
4%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Pennarossa
Pennarossa
San-Marino: Campionato
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

La Fiorita win✓ Hit
85.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
11.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Pennarossa win✗ Miss
3.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

La FioritaLa Fiorita

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-761W70W30W21W01L40W21W10W01L21WA·DOM06/01H·CAI13/01A·LIB20/01H·FAE23/01A·FOL27/01H·JUV04/02A·MUR10/02H·COS17/02H·VIR20/02H·SAN25/02
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.130.672.210.572.060.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.910.911.000.600.831.17
vs Weaker (19)2.840.532.890.562.800.50
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Pennarossa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PennarossaPennarossa

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-808L14L04L14L01L03L13L05L00D03LA·FOL07/01H·LIB13/01A·FIO21/01H·VIR24/01H·SAN28/01A·TRE03/02A·JUV11/02H·TRE17/02A·DOM20/02H·MUR24/02
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
3.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.503.030.443.250.572.79
vs Stronger (20)0.703.000.603.200.802.80
vs Similar (10)0.103.100.173.330.002.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (La Fiorita) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%011%120%222%319%413%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.6%
Under 1.5
14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.6%
Under 2.5
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.7%
Under 3.5
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
37.8%
No
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
14.1%
3-0 ✓
13.6%
4-0
9.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-1
6.8%
5-0
5.6%
1-1
5.4%
La Fiorita goals ↓
Pennarossa goals →
01234
03.9%1.2%0.4%0.1%0.0%
19.3%5.4%1.2%0.2%0.0%
214%7.1%1.8%0.3%0.0%
314%6.8%1.7%0.3%0.0%
49.8%4.9%1.2%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = La Fiorita goals (down), columns = Pennarossa goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Virtus
2.63
La Fiorita
2.49
Tre Penne
1.97
Murata
1.91
Cosmos
1.86
Tre Fiori
1.81
Juvenes / Dogana
1.55
San Giovanni
1.50
Folgore
1.30
Fiorentino
1.23
Domagnano
1.13
Faetano
0.87
Libertas
0.77
San Marino Academy
0.73
Cailungo
0.47
Pennarossa
0.27
La Fiorita is 2.22 points better than Pennarossa in terms of average points per game (2.49 vs 0.27).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cosmos
2.37
Tre Penne
2.37
La Fiorita
2.17
Virtus
2.03
Tre Fiori
1.78
San Giovanni
1.78
Murata
1.77
Juvenes / Dogana
1.55
Faetano
1.47
Folgore
1.39
Fiorentino
1.29
San Marino Academy
1.07
Libertas
1.07
Domagnano
1.06
Pennarossa
0.60
Cailungo
0.50
La Fiorita is 1.57 goals better than Pennarossa in terms of goals scored per game (2.17 vs 0.60).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
La Fiorita
0.60
Virtus
0.67
Murata
0.74
Cosmos
0.94
Tre Fiori
1.00
Tre Penne
1.03
Folgore
1.15
San Giovanni
1.44
Domagnano
1.45
Juvenes / Dogana
1.64
Fiorentino
1.84
Libertas
1.87
San Marino Academy
2.47
Cailungo
2.57
Faetano
2.63
Pennarossa
3.20
La Fiorita is 2.60 goals better than Pennarossa in terms of goals conceded per game (0.60 vs 3.20).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

La FioritaLa Fiorita

For 2.5 · Against 5.5 · Total 8.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

80263588A·ZIMH·ZIM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

50143154A·ZIMH·ZIM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

PennarossaPennarossa

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

La FioritaLa Fiorita

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.08.08.00.20.20.2---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (16)8.08.08.00.60.60.6---
vs Weaker (34)---0.00.00.0---
% over line0%0%0%4%4%4%---
% under line100%100%100%96%96%96%---
This opponent (Pennarossa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PennarossaPennarossa

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (33)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (17)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (La Fiorita) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Cosmos
10.0
Tre Fiori
9.0
La Fiorita
7.8
Tre Penne
7.2

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Tre Fiori
7.2
La Fiorita
4.5
Cosmos
4.5
Tre Penne
3.5

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Tre Penne
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

La FioritaLa Fiorita

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-661W30W10W11D00D30W10W10W00D20WA·DOM06/01H·CAI13/01A·LIB20/01H·FAE23/01A·FOL27/01H·JUV04/02A·MUR10/02H·COS17/02H·VIR20/02H·SAN25/02
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.271.140.211.250.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.450.450.600.200.330.67
vs Weaker (19)1.630.161.440.221.800.10
Clean sheet %73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Pennarossa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PennarossaPennarossa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L03L04L11D01L01L11D01L00D00DA·FOL07/01H·LIB13/01A·FIO21/01H·VIR24/01H·SAN28/01A·TRE03/02A·JUV11/02H·TRE17/02A·DOM20/02H·MUR24/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.371.430.251.560.501.29
vs Stronger (20)0.551.450.401.500.701.40
vs Similar (10)0.001.400.001.670.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (La Fiorita) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
La Fiorita over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Fiorita over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Fiorita over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pennarossa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pennarossa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pennarossa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

La FioritaLa Fiorita

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D40W20W10W01L10W11D00D01L01LA·DOM06/01H·CAI13/01A·LIB20/01H·FAE23/01A·FOL27/01H·JUV04/02A·MUR10/02H·COS17/02H·VIR20/02H·SAN25/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.401.070.360.810.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.450.450.400.400.500.50
vs Weaker (19)1.210.371.440.331.000.40
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Pennarossa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PennarossaPennarossa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-606L11D00D03L00D02L02L04L00D03LA·FOL07/01H·LIB13/01A·FIO21/01H·VIR24/01H·SAN28/01A·TRE03/02A·JUV11/02H·TRE17/02A·DOM20/02H·MUR24/02
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.131.600.191.690.071.50
vs Stronger (20)0.151.550.201.700.101.40
vs Similar (10)0.101.700.171.670.001.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (La Fiorita) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
La Fiorita over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Fiorita over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Fiorita over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pennarossa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pennarossa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pennarossa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.6%-------✓ Hit
Home win85.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (20)
€1m
LF (19)
€1m
FOL (19)
€1m
VIR (15)
€1m
DOM (19)
€1m
TP (14)
€1m
J/D (20)
€1m
COS (12)
€0m
CAI (18)
€0m
PEN (11)
€0m
SG (11)
€0m
FIO (9)
€0m
SMA (13)
€0m
LIB (9)
€0m
FAE (10)
€0m
MUR (7)
€0m
La Fiorita and Pennarossa have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (5)
€1m
LF (5)
€0m
FOL (5)
€0m
VIR (5)
€0m
J/D (7)
€0m
DOM (6)
€0m
PEN (4)
€0m
SG (3)
€0m
TP (5)
€0m
CAI (5)
€0m
COS (2)
€0m
FIO (2)
€0m
SMA (5)
€0m
FAE (2)
€0m
MUR (1)
€0m
LIB (0)
€0m
La Fiorita and Pennarossa have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LF (7)
€0m
TP (6)
€0m
TF (6)
€0m
VIR (4)
€0m
FOL (5)
€0m
DOM (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
SG (4)
€0m
J/D (5)
€0m
FIO (3)
€0m
LIB (4)
€0m
SMA (4)
€0m
COS (4)
€0m
CAI (4)
€0m
MUR (6)
€0m
FAE (2)
€0m
La Fiorita and Pennarossa have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (9)
€1m
FOL (9)
€0m
LF (7)
€0m
DOM (8)
€0m
J/D (8)
€0m
VIR (6)
€0m
COS (6)
€0m
CAI (9)
€0m
FAE (6)
€0m
LIB (5)
€0m
FIO (4)
€0m
TP (3)
€0m
SMA (4)
€0m
PEN (4)
€0m
SG (4)
€0m
MUR (0)
€0m
La Fiorita and Pennarossa have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
3
LF wins
0
Draws
0
PEN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

La Fiorita vs Pennarossa · H/A from LF
DateH/AGameScore
11/11/23APennarossa Vs LF0-3
18/03/23HLF Vs Pennarossa2-0
26/11/22APennarossa Vs LF1-2

La FioritaLa Fiorita

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/02/24HLF Vs San Giovanni2-1
20/02/24HLF Vs Virtus0-1
17/02/24HLF Vs Cosmos1-0
10/02/24AMurata Vs LF1-2
04/02/24HLF Vs Juvenes / Dogana4-0
27/01/24AFolgore Vs LF1-0
23/01/24HLF Vs Faetano2-1
20/01/24ALibertas Vs LF0-3
13/01/24HLF Vs Cailungo7-0
06/01/24ADomagnano Vs LF1-6

PennarossaPennarossa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/02/24HPEN Vs Murata0-3
20/02/24ADomagnano Vs PEN0-0
17/02/24HPEN Vs Tre Penne0-5
11/02/24AJuvenes / Dogana Vs PEN3-1
03/02/24ATre Fiori Vs PEN3-0
28/01/24HPEN Vs San Marino Academy0-1
24/01/24HPEN Vs Virtus1-4
21/01/24AFiorentino Vs PEN4-0
13/01/24HPEN Vs Libertas1-4
07/01/24AFolgore Vs PEN8-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

La Fiorita
La Fiorita
San-Marino: Campionato
Recent: 8 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLW2.22
HomeWWWLW2.46
AwayWWWLW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %68%79%58%
AVG goals2.622.712.54
Over 1.5 %74%71%77%
Over 2.5 %52%50%54%
Over 3.5 %22%33%12%
Scored1.942.081.81
Conceded0.680.620.73
BTTS50%42%58%
Clean Sheet42%50%35%
Corners8.008.008.00
Cards4.504.005.00
Pennarossa
Pennarossa
San-Marino: Campionato
Recent: 0 Wins / 1 Draws / 9 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL0.48
HomeLLLLL0.32
AwayLLLLD0.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %12%8%16%
AVG goals3.383.603.16
Over 1.5 %82%88%76%
Over 2.5 %68%80%56%
Over 3.5 %44%48%40%
Scored0.860.840.88
Conceded2.522.762.28
BTTS44%48%40%
Clean Sheet12%8%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1La FioritaLa Fiorita3587
80%
2.5
7621+55
2.8
74%
57%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.20.6
-
2VirtusVirtus3079
87%
2.6
6120+41
2.7
70%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.00.7
-
3Tre PenneTre Penne3569
60%
2.0
8336+47
3.4
89%
69%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.41.0
-
4MurataMurata3567
60%
1.9
6226+36
2.5
63%
49%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.7
-
5CosmosCosmos3565
54%
1.9
8333+50
3.3
77%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.40.9
-
6Tre FioriTre Fiori3258
53%
1.8
5732+25
2.8
72%
62%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.81.0
-
7Juvenes / DoganaJuvenes / Dogana3351
48%
1.5
5154-3
3.2
76%
70%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.6
-
8San GiovanniSan Giovanni3248
47%
1.5
5746+11
3.2
88%
72%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.4
-
9FolgoreFolgore3343
36%
1.3
4638+8
2.5
70%
42%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.2
-
10FiorentinoFiorentino3138
35%
1.2
4057-17
3.1
81%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.8
-
11DomagnanoDomagnano3135
29%
1.1
3345-12
2.5
68%
39%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.5
-
12FaetanoFaetano3026
27%
0.9
4479-35
4.1
90%
77%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.6
-
13LibertasLibertas3023
20%
0.8
3256-24
2.9
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
14San Marino AcademySan Marino Academy3022
20%
0.7
3274-42
3.5
93%
73%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.5
-
15CailungoCailungo3014
13%
0.5
1577-62
3.1
80%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.6
-
16PennarossaPennarossa308
7%
0.3
1896-78
3.8
83%
73%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.2
-
San-Marino: Campionato 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full San-Marino: Campionato stats & trends →

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