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Laagri vs Paide II Result & Analysis

Date: 16/06/2024
Time: 11:00
Final 6-0
Laagri
Laagri
Vs
74%
14%
12%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Paide II
Paide II
Estonia: Esiliiga A
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Laagri win✓ Hit
74.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
14.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Paide II win✗ Miss
11.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

LaagriLaagri

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-821W00D41W50W82W20W42W43W11D22DA·FCI07/04H·TAR13/04A·TAL21/04H·ELV27/04A·PAI05/05A·TAR11/05H·FCI17/05H·JK 26/05A·FLO30/05A·VII02/06
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
3.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.431.541.541.821.35
vs Stronger (14)0.931.291.001.000.861.57
vs Similar (16)2.381.562.172.172.501.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Paide II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Paide IIPaide II

Last 10 – goals for & against
110-1122D03L01L05L28L30W12L18L05L111LA·ELV07/04A·FCI15/04H·FC 21/04A·VII27/04H·LAA05/05H·JK 11/05A·TAR19/05A·FC 26/05H·VII30/05H·FLO02/06
Avg total
5.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
4.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.373.101.273.471.472.73
vs Stronger (10)1.003.701.205.400.802.00
vs Similar (20)1.552.801.302.501.803.10
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Laagri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%22%29%2%04%112%217%319%417%529%6+
The model estimates around 4.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (29%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
94.2%
Under 1.5
5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
82.3%
Under 2.5
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
65.2%
Under 3.5
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
69.9%
No
30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
3-1
8.0%
2-1
7.5%
4-1
6.3%
3-0
6.2%
2-0
5.8%
1-1
5.2%
3-2
5.1%
4-0
4.9%
Laagri goals ↓
Paide II goals →
01234
01.6%1.0%1.0%0.4%0.1%
13.2%5.2%3.0%1.3%0.4%
25.8%7.5%4.8%2.1%0.7%
36.2%8.0%5.1%2.2%0.7%
44.9%6.3%4.1%1.8%0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Laagri goals (down), columns = Paide II goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Laagri
2.17
Viimsi
2.08
Flora II
1.83
Tartu Welco
1.67
FC Tallinn
1.47
Elva
1.24
FCI Levadia II
1.22
Tallinna Kalev II
1.17
Paide II
0.69
JK Tabasalu
0.44
Legion
0.00
Laagri is 1.47 points better than Paide II in terms of average points per game (2.17 vs 0.69).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Laagri
3.06
Flora II
2.67
Viimsi
2.08
Tallinna Kalev II
2.00
Tartu Welco
1.94
FC Tallinn
1.86
FCI Levadia II
1.67
Elva
1.47
Paide II
1.31
JK Tabasalu
0.97
Legion
0.00
Laagri is 1.75 goals better than Paide II in terms of goals scored per game (3.06 vs 1.31).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Laagri
1.17
Viimsi
1.17
Tartu Welco
1.22
FC Tallinn
1.50
Flora II
1.53
Elva
1.63
FCI Levadia II
1.97
Tallinna Kalev II
2.42
JK Tabasalu
2.81
Paide II
3.36
Legion
4.50
Laagri is 2.19 goals better than Paide II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 3.36).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LaagriLaagri

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D20W20W32W10W32W21W01L11DA·FCI07/04H·TAR13/04A·TAL21/04H·ELV27/04A·PAI05/05A·TAR11/05H·FCI17/05H·JK 26/05A·FLO30/05A·VII02/06
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.600.770.620.760.59
vs Stronger (14)0.360.500.430.290.290.71
vs Similar (16)1.120.691.171.001.100.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Paide II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Paide IIPaide II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W02L01L02L23L10W01L14L00D03LA·ELV07/04A·FCI15/04H·FC 21/04A·VII27/04H·LAA05/05H·JK 11/05A·TAR19/05A·FC 26/05H·VII30/05H·FLO02/06
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.330.671.330.871.33
vs Stronger (10)0.501.300.601.600.401.00
vs Similar (20)0.901.350.701.201.101.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Laagri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Laagri over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laagri over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laagri over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paide II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paide II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paide II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LaagriLaagri

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W00D21W30W50W10W10W22D10W11DA·FCI07/04H·TAR13/04A·TAL21/04H·ELV27/04A·PAI05/05A·TAR11/05H·FCI17/05H·JK 26/05A·FLO30/05A·VII02/06
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.830.770.921.060.76
vs Stronger (14)0.570.790.570.710.570.86
vs Similar (16)1.250.881.001.171.400.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Paide II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Paide IIPaide II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
80-812L01L00D03L05L20W11D04L05L18LA·ELV07/04A·FCI15/04H·FC 21/04A·VII27/04H·LAA05/05H·JK 11/05A·TAR19/05A·FC 26/05H·VII30/05H·FLO02/06
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
2.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.770.602.130.601.40
vs Stronger (10)0.502.400.603.800.401.00
vs Similar (20)0.651.450.601.300.701.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Laagri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Laagri over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laagri over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laagri over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paide II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paide II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paide II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.594.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.582.3%-------✓ Hit
Home win74.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAA (25)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAA (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAA (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAA (12)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
5
LAA wins
0
Draws
0
PI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Laagri vs Paide II · H/A from LAA
DateH/AGameScore
05/05/24APaide II Vs LAA2-8
11/09/22APaide II Vs LAA2-4
04/07/22HLAA Vs Paide II4-1
19/05/22HLAA Vs Paide II5-0
03/03/22APaide II Vs LAA1-5

LaagriLaagri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/06/24AViimsi Vs LAA2-2
30/05/24AFlora II Vs LAA1-1
26/05/24HLAA Vs JK Tabasalu4-3
17/05/24HLAA Vs FCI Levadia II4-2
11/05/24ATartu Welco Vs LAA0-2
05/05/24APaide II Vs LAA2-8
27/04/24HLAA Vs Elva5-0
21/04/24ATallinna Kalev II Vs LAA1-4
13/04/24HLAA Vs Tartu Welco0-0
07/04/24AFCI Levadia II Vs LAA1-2

Paide IIPaide II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/06/24HPI Vs Flora II1-11
30/05/24HPI Vs Viimsi0-5
26/05/24AFC Tallinn Vs PI8-1
19/05/24ATartu Welco Vs PI2-1
11/05/24HPI Vs JK Tabasalu3-0
05/05/24HPI Vs Laagri2-8
27/04/24AViimsi Vs PI5-0
21/04/24HPI Vs FC Tallinn0-1
15/04/24AFCI Levadia II Vs PI3-0
07/04/24AElva Vs PI2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Laagri
Laagri
Estonia: Esiliiga A
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDD1.10
HomeWDWWW1.04
AwayWWWDD1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%29%27%
AVG goals2.902.832.96
Over 1.5 %80%75%85%
Over 2.5 %46%50%42%
Over 3.5 %30%29%31%
Scored1.361.331.38
Conceded1.541.501.58
BTTS54%46%62%
Clean Sheet16%21%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Paide II
Paide II
Estonia: Esiliiga A
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL0.96
HomeLLWLL0.88
AwayDLLLL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%28%28%
AVG goals4.284.204.36
Over 1.5 %78%72%84%
Over 2.5 %70%68%72%
Over 3.5 %56%56%56%
Scored1.561.321.80
Conceded2.722.882.56
BTTS58%56%60%
Clean Sheet14%12%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LaagriLaagri3678
61%
2.2
11042+68
4.2
89%
69%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1113.11.2
-
2ViimsiViimsi3675
61%
2.1
7542+33
3.2
78%
61%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.2
-
3Flora IIFlora II3666
56%
1.8
9655+41
4.2
97%
72%
69%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.71.5
-
4Tartu WelcoTartu Welco3660
44%
1.7
7044+26
3.2
78%
56%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.2
-
5FC TallinnFC Tallinn3653
42%
1.5
6754+13
3.4
83%
61%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.5
-
6ElvaElva3847
32%
1.2
5662-6
3.1
79%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.6
-
7FCI Levadia IIFCI Levadia II3644
36%
1.2
6071-11
3.6
89%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.0
-
8Tallinna Kalev IITallinna Kalev II3642
31%
1.2
7287-15
4.4
94%
86%
72%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.4
-
9Paide IIPaide II3625
19%
0.7
47121-74
4.7
89%
86%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.33.4
-
10JK TabasaluJK Tabasalu3616
11%
0.4
35101-66
3.8
86%
78%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.8
-
11LegionLegion20
0%
0.0
09-9
4.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.04.5
-
Estonia: Esiliiga A 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Esiliiga A stats & trends →

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