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Laagri vs Tulevik Result & Analysis

Date: 02/04/2022
Time: 09:30
Final 6-0
Laagri
Laagri
Vs
47%
24%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Tulevik
Tulevik
Estonia: Esiliiga A
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Laagri win✓ Hit
47.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tulevik win✗ Miss
29.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LaagriLaagri

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-551W42W01L02LA·PAI03/03H·FLO07/03H·VII14/03A·ELV19/03
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.251.502.001.502.501.50
vs Stronger (2)2.001.502.001.50--
vs Similar (2)2.501.50--2.501.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-23pp vs league)
This opponent (Tulevik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TulevikTulevik

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W05L03L26LA·PÄR03/03H·PAI07/03A·FLO14/03H·NÕM19/03
Avg total
4.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
3.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.003.751.005.501.002.00
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (3)1.334.001.005.502.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-23pp vs league)
This opponent (Laagri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.5%
Under 1.5
13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
66.5%
Under 2.5
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
44.7%
Under 3.5
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
67.3%
No
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.8%
1-0
5.3%
3-2
4.4%
Laagri goals ↓
Tulevik goals →
01234
04.2%3.9%3.6%1.8%0.7%
15.3%10%7.0%3.5%1.3%
26.1%9.1%6.8%3.4%1.3%
33.9%5.8%4.4%2.2%0.8%
41.9%2.8%2.1%1.0%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Laagri goals (down), columns = Tulevik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Laagri
2.11
FCI Levadia II
1.89
Elva
1.83
Viimsi
1.75
Flora II
1.72
Nõmme United
1.67
Paide II
1.44
K-Järve JK Järve
0.82
Tulevik
0.64
Pärnu
0.56
Tallinna Kalev II
0.50
Laagri is 1.47 points better than Tulevik in terms of average points per game (2.11 vs 0.64).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Laagri
2.69
Flora II
2.44
FCI Levadia II
2.36
Nõmme United
2.19
Elva
2.11
Viimsi
2.11
Paide II
2.08
Tallinna Kalev II
1.50
K-Järve JK Järve
0.87
Pärnu
0.83
Tulevik
0.78
Laagri is 1.92 goals better than Tulevik in terms of goals scored per game (2.69 vs 0.78).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Viimsi
1.11
FCI Levadia II
1.25
Laagri
1.28
Elva
1.44
Flora II
1.44
Nõmme United
1.56
Tallinna Kalev II
2.00
Pärnu
2.14
Paide II
2.44
Tulevik
2.83
K-Järve JK Järve
2.84
Laagri is 1.56 goals better than Tulevik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 2.83).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Laagri or Draw✓ Hit
70.9%
Avg Implied -
47%
24%
29%
covers Laagri + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Laagri or Tulevik✓ Hit
76.1%
Avg Implied -
47%
24%
29%
covers Laagri + Tulevik
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Tulevik✗ Miss
53.0%
Avg Implied -
47%
24%
29%
covers Draw + Tulevik
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Laagri over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
85.5%
Under
14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laagri over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
57.5%
Under
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laagri over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
30.4%
Under
69.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laagri over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
13.0%
Under
87.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tulevik over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
77.6%
Under
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tulevik over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
44.1%
Under
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tulevik over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.0%
Under
81.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tulevik over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.5%
Under
93.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Laagri, so a minus line means Laagri give that many goals of a start and Tulevik receive them. At -1, Laagri must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Laagri win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Laagri)Actual: Laagri
Laagri -2
12.6%
Draw -2
14.5%
Tulevik +2
73.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Laagri)Actual: Laagri
Laagri -1
27.0%
Draw -1
20.0%
Tulevik +1
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Laagri)Actual: Laagri
Laagri +1
70.9%
Draw +1
15.3%
Tulevik -1
13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Laagri)Actual: Laagri
Laagri +2
86.2%
Draw +2
8.7%
Tulevik -2
5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LaagriLaagri

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W01L01LA·PAI03/03H·FLO07/03H·VII14/03A·ELV19/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.500.500.501.500.50
vs Stronger (2)0.500.500.500.50--
vs Similar (2)1.500.50--1.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Tulevik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TulevikTulevik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D03L01L10WA·PÄR03/03H·PAI07/03A·FLO14/03H·NÕM19/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.250.501.500.501.00
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (3)0.671.330.501.501.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Laagri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Laagri over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laagri over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laagri over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tulevik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tulevik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tulevik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LaagriLaagri

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W32W00D01LA·PAI03/03H·FLO07/03H·VII14/03A·ELV19/03
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.251.001.501.001.001.00
vs Stronger (2)1.501.001.501.00--
vs Similar (2)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Tulevik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TulevikTulevik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-610W02L02L16LA·PÄR03/03H·PAI07/03A·FLO14/03H·NÕM19/03
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.502.500.504.000.501.00
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (3)0.672.670.504.001.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Laagri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Laagri over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laagri over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laagri over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tulevik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tulevik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tulevik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.597.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.594.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals93.5%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals87.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.586.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.586.5%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap86.2%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals85.5%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals81.0%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals77.6%-------✗ Miss
Home or Away76.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.574.0%-------✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap73.0%-------✗ Miss
Home or Draw70.9%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap70.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAA (25)
€2m
NU (26)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAA (7)
€1m
NU (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAA (6)
€1m
NU (7)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NU (11)
€1m
LAA (12)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
LAA wins
0
Draws
0
TUL wins

Head-to-head

Laagri vs Tulevik · H/A from LAA
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

LaagriLaagri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/03/22AElva Vs LAA2-0
14/03/22HLAA Vs Viimsi0-1
07/03/22HLAA Vs Flora II4-2
03/03/22APaide II Vs LAA1-5

TulevikTulevik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/03/22HTUL Vs Nõmme United2-6
14/03/22AFlora II Vs TUL3-0
07/03/22HTUL Vs Paide II0-5
03/03/22APärnu Vs TUL1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Laagri
Laagri
Estonia: Esiliiga A
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLL1.50
HomeWL1.50
AwayWL1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%50%50%
AVG goals3.753.504.00
Over 1.5 %75%50%100%
Over 2.5 %50%50%50%
Over 3.5 %50%50%50%
Scored2.252.002.50
Conceded1.501.501.50
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Tulevik
Tulevik
Estonia: Esiliiga A
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLL0.75
HomeLL0.00
AwayWL1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%0%50%
AVG goals4.756.503.00
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %100%100%100%
Over 3.5 %50%100%0%
Scored1.001.001.00
Conceded3.755.502.00
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LaagriLaagri3676
67%
2.1
9746+51
4.0
81%
69%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.71.3
-
2FCI Levadia IIFCI Levadia II3668
58%
1.9
8545+40
3.6
94%
72%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.41.2
-
3ElvaElva3666
56%
1.8
7652+24
3.6
81%
53%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.4
-
4ViimsiViimsi3663
56%
1.8
7640+36
3.2
75%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.1
-
5Flora IIFlora II3662
53%
1.7
8852+36
3.9
89%
78%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.41.4
-
6Nõmme UnitedNõmme United3660
50%
1.7
7956+23
3.8
94%
64%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.21.6
-
7Paide IIPaide II3652
47%
1.4
7588-13
4.5
100%
86%
72%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.12.4
-
8K-Järve JK JärveK-Järve JK Järve3831
24%
0.8
33108-75
3.7
84%
76%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.8
-
9TulevikTulevik3623
17%
0.6
28102-74
3.6
86%
61%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.8
-
10PärnuPärnu3620
11%
0.6
3077-47
3.0
75%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.1
-
11Tallinna Kalev IITallinna Kalev II21
0%
0.5
34-1
3.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.0
-
Estonia: Esiliiga A 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Esiliiga A stats & trends →

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