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Laci vs Kastrioti Krujë Result & Analysis

Date: 29/05/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 3-0
Laci
Laci
Vs
57%
27%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kastrioti Krujë
Kastrioti Krujë
Albania: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Laci win✓ Hit
57.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë win✗ Miss
15.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LaciLaci

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W12L21W32W11D20W11D03L13L11DH·VLL19/03A·KAS02/04A·TEU09/04H·PAR16/04A·EGN22/04A·BYL29/04H·ERZ07/05A·FK 17/05H·TIR21/05A·VLL25/05
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.371.431.291.191.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.391.351.361.271.421.42
vs Weaker (7)1.001.431.671.330.501.50
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Kastrioti Krujë) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L21W00D02L10W01L22D10W01L14LA·PAR19/03H·LAC02/04A·ERZ15/04H·BYL19/04H·FK 23/04A·TIR30/04H·VLL06/05H·EGN17/05A·TEU21/05H·PAR25/05
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.401.191.190.361.64
vs Stronger (24)0.791.541.151.230.361.91
vs Similar (6)0.830.831.331.000.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Laci) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%020%127%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.9%
Under 1.5
30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.6%
Under 2.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.8%
Under 3.5
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.5%
No
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.0%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
12.3%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-0 ✓
6.7%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.0%
Laci goals ↓
Kastrioti Krujë goals →
01234
010%5.8%2.6%0.6%0.1%
114%12%4.2%1.1%0.2%
212%9.2%3.4%0.9%0.2%
36.7%5.0%1.9%0.5%0.1%
42.7%2.1%0.8%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Laci goals (down), columns = Kastrioti Krujë goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Partizani
1.86
Tirana
1.86
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.44
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.39
Laci
1.33
Teuta Durrës
1.33
FK Kukesi
1.25
Erzeni Shijak
1.11
Bylis
1.06
Korabi Peshkopi
1.00
Kastrioti Krujë
0.97
Laci is 0.36 points better than Kastrioti Krujë in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 0.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Partizani
1.56
Tirana
1.56
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.28
Laci
1.25
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.08
Korabi Peshkopi
1.00
Erzeni Shijak
1.00
Teuta Durrës
0.92
Bylis
0.86
FK Kukesi
0.86
Kastrioti Krujë
0.72
Laci is 0.53 goals better than Kastrioti Krujë in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 0.72).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0.89
Tirana
0.92
FK Kukesi
0.97
Korabi Peshkopi
1.00
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.03
Partizani
1.03
Teuta Durrës
1.11
Bylis
1.17
Laci
1.28
Erzeni Shijak
1.32
Kastrioti Krujë
1.36
Laci is 0.08 goals better than Kastrioti Krujë in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.36).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LaciLaci

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D00D11D00D10W10W00D01L00DH·VLL19/03A·KAS02/04A·TEU09/04H·PAR16/04A·EGN22/04A·BYL29/04H·ERZ07/05A·FK 17/05H·TIR21/05A·VLL25/05
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.570.860.570.310.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.570.610.820.550.330.67
vs Weaker (7)0.570.431.000.670.250.25
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Kastrioti Krujë) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L00D00D02L10W00D11D00D01L12LA·PAR19/03H·LAC02/04A·ERZ15/04H·BYL19/04H·FK 23/04A·TIR30/04H·VLL06/05H·EGN17/05A·TEU21/05H·PAR25/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.730.440.620.290.86
vs Stronger (24)0.380.830.460.620.271.09
vs Similar (6)0.330.330.330.670.330.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Laci) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Laci over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LaciLaci

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D12L21W21W11D10W01L03L12L11DH·VLL19/03A·KAS02/04A·TEU09/04H·PAR16/04A·EGN22/04A·BYL29/04H·ERZ07/05A·FK 17/05H·TIR21/05A·VLL25/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.800.570.710.880.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.830.740.550.731.080.75
vs Weaker (7)0.431.000.670.670.251.25
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Kastrioti Krujë) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L21W00D00D00D01L11D10W00D02LA·PAR19/03H·LAC02/04A·ERZ15/04H·BYL19/04H·FK 23/04A·TIR30/04H·VLL06/05H·EGN17/05A·TEU21/05H·PAR25/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.670.750.560.070.79
vs Stronger (24)0.420.710.690.620.090.82
vs Similar (6)0.500.501.000.330.000.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Laci) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Laci over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (24)
€7m
TD (22)
€6m
PAR (29)
€5m
TIR (20)
€5m
VS (23)
€4m
LAC (22)
€3m
KK (18)
€2m
KP (24)
€2m
FK (20)
€1m
Laci's squad is €2m more valuable than Kastrioti Krujë's (€3m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAR (13)
€2m
TD (9)
€2m
TIR (7)
€2m
ER (6)
€2m
LAC (6)
€1m
VS (6)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
KP (9)
€1m
FK (6)
€0m
Laci and Kastrioti Krujë have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (5)
€1m
VS (7)
€1m
TIR (5)
€1m
LAC (6)
€1m
TD (4)
€1m
PAR (5)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
KP (4)
€0m
FK (4)
€0m
Laci and Kastrioti Krujë have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (13)
€3m
TD (9)
€3m
VS (10)
€3m
TIR (8)
€2m
PAR (11)
€2m
LAC (10)
€1m
KP (11)
€1m
FK (10)
€1m
KK (4)
€0m
Laci's defence is €1m more valuable than Kastrioti Krujë's (€1m vs €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
LAC wins
0
Draws
1
KK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Laci vs Kastrioti Krujë · H/A from LAC
DateH/AGameScore
02/04/23AKastrioti Krujë Vs LAC2-1
25/01/23HLAC Vs Kastrioti Krujë4-1
22/10/22AKastrioti Krujë Vs LAC0-1

LaciLaci

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/05/23AVllaznia Shkodër Vs LAC1-1
21/05/23HLAC Vs Tirana1-3
17/05/23AFK Kukesi Vs LAC3-0
07/05/23HLAC Vs Erzeni Shijak1-1
29/04/23ABylis Vs LAC0-2
22/04/23AEgnatia Rrogozhinë Vs LAC1-1
16/04/23HLAC Vs Partizani3-2
09/04/23ATeuta Durrës Vs LAC1-2
02/04/23AKastrioti Krujë Vs LAC2-1
19/03/23HLAC Vs Vllaznia Shkodër2-0

Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/05/23HKK Vs Partizani1-4
21/05/23ATeuta Durrës Vs KK1-0
17/05/23HKK Vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë1-0
06/05/23HKK Vs Vllaznia Shkodër2-2
30/04/23ATirana Vs KK1-0
23/04/23HKK Vs FK Kukesi1-0
19/04/23HKK Vs Bylis0-2
15/04/23AErzeni Shijak Vs KK0-0
02/04/23HKK Vs Laci2-1
19/03/23APartizani Vs KK4-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Laci
Laci
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLD1.28
HomeLWWDL1.26
AwayWDWLD1.30
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%37%35%
AVG goals2.412.582.25
Over 1.5 %59%58%60%
Over 2.5 %38%42%35%
Over 3.5 %23%32%15%
Scored1.131.261.00
Conceded1.281.321.25
BTTS49%53%45%
Clean Sheet26%21%30%
Corners12.0011.0013.00
Cards4.005.003.00
Kastrioti Krujë
Kastrioti Krujë
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLL1.00
HomeLWDWL1.39
AwayLLDLL0.59
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %23%33%12%
AVG goals2.062.112.00
Over 1.5 %51%56%47%
Over 2.5 %34%39%29%
Over 3.5 %23%22%24%
Scored0.741.060.41
Conceded1.311.061.59
BTTS37%44%29%
Clean Sheet31%39%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1TiranaTirana3667
56%
1.9
5633+23
2.5
69%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.60.9
-
2PartizaniPartizani3667
56%
1.9
5637+19
2.6
78%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.0
-
3Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë3652
39%
1.4
4632+14
2.2
64%
39%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2131.30.9
-
4Vllaznia ShkodërVllaznia Shkodër3650
36%
1.4
3937+2
2.1
58%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1131.11.0
-
5LaciLaci3648
39%
1.3
4546-1
2.5
64%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.3
-
6Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës3648
33%
1.3
3340-7
2.0
61%
31%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2130.91.1
-
7FK KukesiFK Kukesi3645
33%
1.2
3135-4
1.8
58%
31%
6%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.0
-
8Erzeni ShijakErzeni Shijak3741
22%
1.1
3749-12
2.3
73%
38%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
9BylisBylis3638
25%
1.1
3142-11
2.0
61%
31%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
10Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë3635
22%
1.0
2649-23
2.1
53%
36%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1100.71.4
-
11Korabi PeshkopiKorabi Peshkopi11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
Albania: Superliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: Superliga stats & trends →

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