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Laci vs Tirana Result & Analysis

Date: 04/05/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 1-0
Laci
Laci
Vs
28%
27%
45%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Tirana
Tirana
Albania: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Laci win✓ Hit
28.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tirana win✗ Miss
44.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LaciLaci

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D01L01L00D11D10W21W12L00DH·DIN17/02A·TIR26/02H·SKE01/03A·FK 11/03A·ERZ16/03H·PAR30/03A·TEU07/04A·VLL13/04H·EGN20/04A·DIN27/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.830.861.070.750.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.850.810.851.080.860.57
vs Weaker (3)0.331.001.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TiranaTirana

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L11D13L11D32W12L00D10W20W12LA·PAR16/02H·LAC26/02A·VLL02/03H·EGN10/03H·DIN17/03H·TEU29/03A·SKE08/04H·FK 13/04A·ERZ19/04H·PAR28/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.431.311.561.711.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.381.461.211.641.581.25
vs Weaker (4)2.251.252.001.002.501.50
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Laci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.6%
Under 1.5
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.8%
Under 2.5
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.5%
Under 3.5
68.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.7%
No
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
8.3%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
0-0
7.1%
1-0 ✓
6.1%
2-2
5.7%
Laci goals ↓
Tirana goals →
01234
07.1%8.3%7.5%4.0%1.6%
16.1%13%9.3%5.0%2.0%
24.5%7.2%5.7%3.0%1.2%
31.8%2.9%2.3%1.3%0.5%
40.6%0.9%0.7%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Laci goals (down), columns = Tirana goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.76
Partizani
1.74
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.58
Skenderbeu Korce
1.42
Teuta Durrës
1.39
Tirana
1.39
Dinamo Tirana
1.31
Laci
1.27
Flamurtari
1.00
Erzeni Shijak
0.89
FK Kukesi
0.75
Laci is 0.12 points worse than Tirana in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 1.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Tirana
1.56
Partizani
1.37
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.37
Dinamo Tirana
1.17
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.13
Skenderbeu Korce
1.05
Laci
1.03
Teuta Durrës
1.00
Flamurtari
1.00
FK Kukesi
0.86
Erzeni Shijak
0.81
Laci is 0.53 goals worse than Tirana in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.56).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Partizani
0.79
Laci
0.86
Teuta Durrës
0.97
Vllaznia Shkodër
0.97
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.00
Flamurtari
1.00
Skenderbeu Korce
1.11
Dinamo Tirana
1.19
Tirana
1.36
FK Kukesi
1.56
Erzeni Shijak
1.58
Laci is 0.50 goals better than Tirana in terms of goals conceded per game (0.86 vs 1.36).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LaciLaci

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D00D00D00D01L00D01L10W00DH·DIN17/02A·TIR26/02H·SKE01/03A·FK 11/03A·ERZ16/03H·PAR30/03A·TEU07/04A·VLL13/04H·EGN20/04A·DIN27/04
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.230.400.360.500.120.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.260.410.380.460.140.36
vs Weaker (3)0.000.330.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TiranaTirana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D02L00D20W01L00D00D10W11DA·PAR16/02H·LAC26/02A·VLL02/03H·EGN10/03H·DIN17/03H·TEU29/03A·SKE08/04H·FK 13/04A·ERZ19/04H·PAR28/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.600.690.560.570.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.650.620.710.640.580.58
vs Weaker (4)0.500.500.500.000.501.00
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Laci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Laci over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LaciLaci

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D01L01L00D10W10W20W02L00DH·DIN17/02A·TIR26/02H·SKE01/03A·FK 11/03A·ERZ16/03H·PAR30/03A·TEU07/04A·VLL13/04H·EGN20/04A·DIN27/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.430.500.570.620.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.590.410.460.620.710.21
vs Weaker (3)0.330.671.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TiranaTirana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D11D11D12L11D00D10W10W01LA·PAR16/02H·LAC26/02A·VLL02/03H·EGN10/03H·DIN17/03H·TEU29/03A·SKE08/04H·FK 13/04A·ERZ19/04H·PAR28/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.830.621.001.140.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.730.850.501.001.000.67
vs Weaker (4)1.750.751.501.002.000.50
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Laci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Laci over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.6%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (24)
€7m
DT (27)
€7m
TD (22)
€6m
PAR (29)
€5m
TIR (20)
€5m
VS (23)
€4m
SK (27)
€4m
LAC (22)
€3m
FK (20)
€1m
Laci's squad is €2m less valuable than Tirana's (€3m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
PAR (13)
€2m
TD (9)
€2m
TIR (7)
€2m
ER (6)
€2m
SK (9)
€2m
LAC (6)
€1m
VS (6)
€1m
FK (6)
€0m
Laci and Tirana have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (5)
€2m
ER (5)
€1m
VS (7)
€1m
TIR (5)
€1m
LAC (6)
€1m
TD (4)
€1m
PAR (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
FK (4)
€0m
Laci and Tirana have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (13)
€3m
TD (9)
€3m
VS (10)
€3m
TIR (8)
€2m
DT (11)
€2m
PAR (11)
€2m
SK (12)
€2m
LAC (10)
€1m
FK (10)
€1m
Laci and Tirana have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
1
LAC wins
3
Draws
3
TIR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Laci vs Tirana · H/A from LAC
DateH/AGameScore
26/02/24ATirana Vs LAC1-1
10/12/23HLAC Vs Tirana2-2
03/10/23ATirana Vs LAC0-3
21/05/23HLAC Vs Tirana1-3
11/03/23ATirana Vs LAC3-2
13/01/23HLAC Vs Tirana1-2
07/10/22ATirana Vs LAC3-3

LaciLaci

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/04/24ADinamo Tirana Vs LAC0-0
20/04/24HLAC Vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë1-2
13/04/24AVllaznia Shkodër Vs LAC1-2
07/04/24ATeuta Durrës Vs LAC0-1
30/03/24HLAC Vs Partizani1-1
16/03/24AErzeni Shijak Vs LAC0-0
11/03/24AFK Kukesi Vs LAC1-0
01/03/24HLAC Vs Skenderbeu Korce0-1
26/02/24ATirana Vs LAC1-1
17/02/24HLAC Vs Dinamo Tirana1-1

TiranaTirana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/04/24HTIR Vs Partizani1-2
19/04/24AErzeni Shijak Vs TIR0-2
13/04/24HTIR Vs FK Kukesi1-0
08/04/24ASkenderbeu Korce Vs TIR0-0
29/03/24HTIR Vs Teuta Durrës1-2
17/03/24HTIR Vs Dinamo Tirana3-2
10/03/24HTIR Vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë1-1
02/03/24AVllaznia Shkodër Vs TIR3-1
26/02/24HTIR Vs Laci1-1
16/02/24APartizani Vs TIR2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Laci
Laci
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLD1.22
HomeDDLDL1.12
AwayLDWWD1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%25%31%
AVG goals2.182.541.85
Over 1.5 %68%75%62%
Over 2.5 %36%38%35%
Over 3.5 %12%21%4%
Scored1.121.330.92
Conceded1.061.210.92
BTTS52%58%46%
Clean Sheet26%17%35%
Corners---
Cards---
Tirana
Tirana
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWL1.54
HomeDWLWL1.46
AwayWLLDW1.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%38%46%
AVG goals2.982.923.04
Over 1.5 %84%85%83%
Over 2.5 %58%50%67%
Over 3.5 %36%31%42%
Scored1.581.501.67
Conceded1.401.421.38
BTTS72%73%71%
Clean Sheet16%12%21%
Corners8.257.509.00
Cards3.00-3.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë3867
50%
1.8
5238+14
2.4
66%
42%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2131.41.0
-
2PartizaniPartizani3866
47%
1.7
5230+22
2.2
63%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.40.8
-
3Vllaznia ShkodërVllaznia Shkodër3860
42%
1.6
4337+6
2.1
58%
34%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1131.11.0
-
4Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce3854
42%
1.4
4042-2
2.2
53%
29%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.11.1
-
5TiranaTirana3650
36%
1.4
5649+7
2.9
78%
56%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.4
-
6Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës3650
36%
1.4
3635+1
2.0
50%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.01.0
-
7LaciLaci3747
27%
1.3
3832+6
1.9
59%
24%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.00.9
-
8Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana3647
36%
1.3
4243-1
2.4
67%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.21.2
-
9Erzeni ShijakErzeni Shijak3632
19%
0.9
2957-28
2.4
61%
47%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
-
10FK KukesiFK Kukesi3627
17%
0.8
3156-25
2.4
61%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.6
-
11FlamurtariFlamurtari11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
Albania: Superliga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: Superliga stats & trends →

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