This opponent (Athens Kallithea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AK
Athens Kallithea
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.52
1.14
1.64
0.69
1.38
vs Stronger (14)
0.86
1.57
1.00
1.71
0.71
1.43
vs Similar (13)
1.00
1.46
1.29
1.57
0.67
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
15% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Lamia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
64.1%
Under 1.5
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
35.8%
@ 2.28-5.4%
Under 2.5
64.2%
@ 1.60+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.7%
Under 3.5
83.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.7%
No
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
13.2%
0-1
12.8%
1-0
9.9%
0-2 â
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
5.3%
Lamia goals ↓
Athens Kallithea goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
13%
8.4%
3.3%
1.0%
1
9.9%
15%
7.9%
3.1%
0.9%
2
5.3%
6.3%
3.7%
1.5%
0.4%
3
1.7%
2.0%
1.2%
0.5%
0.1%
4
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lamia goals (down), columns = Athens Kallithea goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.36
Panathinaikos
1.92
AEK Athens FC
1.75
Aris Thessalonikis
1.74
PAOK
1.72
Asteras Tripolis
1.55
Levadiakos
1.48
Panetolikos
1.40
Atromitos
1.37
OFI Crete
1.19
OFI
1.19
Panserraikos
1.12
Kallithea
1.00
Volos NFC
0.98
Athens Kallithea
0.94
Lamia
0.54
Lamia is 0.41 points worse than Athens Kallithea in terms of average points per game (0.54 vs 0.94).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
PAOK
1.97
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.78
AEK Athens FC
1.53
Levadiakos
1.48
Panathinaikos
1.36
Aris Thessalonikis
1.32
OFI Crete
1.25
OFI
1.25
Panserraikos
1.24
Asteras Tripolis
1.24
Atromitos
1.21
Kallithea
1.00
Athens Kallithea
0.94
Volos NFC
0.93
Panetolikos
0.83
Lamia
0.56
Lamia is 0.38 goals worse than Athens Kallithea in terms of goals scored per game (0.56 vs 0.94).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.67
AEK Athens FC
0.81
Panetolikos
0.81
Aris Thessalonikis
1.00
Panathinaikos
1.00
Atromitos
1.08
Levadiakos
1.12
Asteras Tripolis
1.16
PAOK
1.19
Kallithea
1.44
OFI Crete
1.47
OFI
1.47
Athens Kallithea
1.49
Volos NFC
1.55
Panserraikos
1.69
Lamia
1.76
Lamia is 0.27 goals worse than Athens Kallithea in terms of goals conceded per game (1.76 vs 1.49).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
AEK Athens FC
65%
PAOK
58%
Olympiakos Piraeus
57%
Panathinaikos
57%
Aris Thessalonikis
54%
Levadiakos
49%
Panserraikos
49%
OFI
48%
Volos NFC
47%
Atromitos
45%
Asteras Tripolis
45%
Kallithea
45%
Panetolikos
43%
Lamia
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Lamia
For 3.6 · Against 5.9 · Total 9.5
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.9
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 14.2 · Total 28.2
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AK
Athens Kallithea
For 5.0 · Against 6.0 · Total 11.0
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.9 · Against 2.6 · Total 6.5
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 14.6 · Total 27.9
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lamia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.0
9.8
4.6
4.8
4.3
28.0
29.9
26.1
vs Stronger (35)
9.8
9.5
10.2
4.3
4.7
3.8
27.4
29.6
24.8
vs Similar (15)
8.3
7.3
9.0
5.3
5.2
5.3
29.3
30.8
28.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
46%
54%
38%
60%
67%
54%
90%
96%
83%
% under line
54%
46%
62%
40%
33%
46%
10%
4%
17%
This opponent (Athens Kallithea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AK
Athens Kallithea
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (27)
10.3
10.0
10.6
6.0
6.2
5.7
30.1
30.2
29.9
vs Stronger (14)
12.1
12.0
12.3
6.4
6.6
6.3
30.9
31.0
30.7
vs Similar (13)
8.3
8.0
8.7
5.5
5.9
5.0
29.2
29.4
29.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
63%
57%
69%
74%
79%
69%
93%
93%
92%
% under line
37%
43%
31%
26%
21%
31%
7%
7%
8%
This opponent (Lamia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Athens Kallithea
10.3
Kallithea
10.3
Panathinaikos
9.9
AEK Athens FC
9.4
Lamia
9.2
PAOK
9.1
OFI Crete
9.0
OFI
8.9
Asteras Tripolis
8.8
Panserraikos
8.7
Levadiakos
8.6
Volos NFC
8.6
Aris Thessalonikis
8.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.5
Atromitos
8.5
Panetolikos
8.1
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Panserraikos
6.9
Levadiakos
6.4
Volos NFC
6.4
Atromitos
6.4
Kallithea
6.1
OFI
6.0
Panathinaikos
6.0
OFI Crete
6.0
Athens Kallithea
6.0
Aris Thessalonikis
6.0
AEK Athens FC
5.7
Asteras Tripolis
5.6
PAOK
5.3
Panetolikos
5.3
Lamia
4.8
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.8
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Volos NFC
33.6
Levadiakos
30.8
Atromitos
30.3
Panserraikos
30.1
Athens Kallithea
30.1
OFI Crete
29.8
OFI
29.5
Panathinaikos
29.4
Aris Thessalonikis
29.1
Kallithea
28.7
Lamia
28.4
Panetolikos
27.7
AEK Athens FC
27.5
Asteras Tripolis
27.2
PAOK
25.2
Olympiakos Piraeus
24.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
53.4%
Under 9.5
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
81.2%
Under 3.5
18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
91.2%
Under 21.5
8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lamia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.23
0.70
0.33
0.60
0.13
0.80
vs Stronger (18)
0.28
0.78
0.33
0.67
0.22
0.89
vs Similar (12)
0.17
0.58
0.33
0.50
0.00
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Athens Kallithea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AK
Athens Kallithea
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.67
0.43
0.71
0.23
0.62
vs Stronger (14)
0.36
0.50
0.43
0.57
0.29
0.43
vs Similar (13)
0.31
0.85
0.43
0.86
0.17
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
44% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Lamia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lamia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lamia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lamia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athens Kallithea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athens Kallithea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athens Kallithea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lamia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
1.00
0.20
0.67
0.33
1.33
vs Stronger (18)
0.22
1.28
0.22
1.00
0.22
1.56
vs Similar (12)
0.33
0.58
0.17
0.17
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Athens Kallithea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AK
Athens Kallithea
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.59
0.85
0.71
0.93
0.46
0.77
vs Stronger (14)
0.50
1.07
0.57
1.14
0.43
1.00
vs Similar (13)
0.69
0.62
0.86
0.71
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
41% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Lamia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lamia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lamia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lamia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athens Kallithea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athens Kallithea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athens Kallithea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 2.5 cards
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 3.5
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 3.5 cards
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Lamia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gustavo Furtado20%
Anestis Vlachomitros19%
Aaron Tshibola17%
Vedad Radonja6%
Nikolaos Gotzamanidis5%
Andreas Athanasakopoulos4%
Giannis Doiranlis4%
Sebastian Ring3%
Georgios Giannoutsos0%
Viktor Klonaridis0%
Saliou Guindo0%
Salvador SÃĄnchez0%
AndrÃĐs ChÃĄvez0%
Artem Bykov0%
Ãngelo HenrÃquez0%
Cristopher NÃšÃąez0%
Giorgos Saramantas0%
Vajebah Sakor0%
Antonis Dentakis0%
Dimitris Chantakias0%
Vasilios Vitlis0%
Ivan KostiÄ0%
Rober IbÃĄÃąez0%
Ãlvaro RatÃģn0%
Dimitrios Siovas0%
Simon Sandberg0%
Nedim MekiÄ0%
Georgios Kornezos0%
LÃĐo0%
Alexandros Tereziou0%
Alberto Simoni0%
Vasilios Sourlis0%
Carles Soria0%
Toshio Lake0%
Bilal Mazhar0%
Konstantinos Gyftomitros0%
Dimitrios Tsiakas0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aaron Tshibola42%
Gustavo Furtado40%
Cristopher NÃšÃąez36%
Sebastian Ring30%
AndrÃĐs ChÃĄvez29%
LÃĐo29%
Carles Soria29%
Viktor Klonaridis25%
Dimitrios Tsiakas25%
Vasilios Vitlis24%
Vajebah Sakor23%
Nikolaos Gotzamanidis23%
Giorgos Saramantas19%
Toshio Lake19%
Rober IbÃĄÃąez18%
Antonis Dentakis17%
Alexandros Tereziou17%
Anestis Vlachomitros16%
Artem Bykov14%
Georgios Kornezos13%
Andreas Athanasakopoulos13%
Vasilios Sourlis12%
Saliou Guindo10%
Ivan KostiÄ10%
Bilal Mazhar10%
Dimitris Chantakias9%
Ãngelo HenrÃquez8%
Giannis Doiranlis7%
Vedad Radonja6%
Georgios Giannoutsos0%
Salvador SÃĄnchez0%
Ãlvaro RatÃģn0%
Dimitrios Siovas0%
Simon Sandberg0%
Nedim MekiÄ0%
Alberto Simoni0%
Konstantinos Gyftomitros0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Carles Soria21%
Salvador SÃĄnchez17%
Nedim MekiÄ11%
Saliou Guindo10%
Cristopher NÃšÃąez9%
Rober IbÃĄÃąez9%
Artem Bykov7%
Toshio Lake6%
Sebastian Ring6%
Antonis Dentakis6%
Georgios Giannoutsos0%
Viktor Klonaridis0%
AndrÃĐs ChÃĄvez0%
Ãngelo HenrÃquez0%
Vedad Radonja0%
Giorgos Saramantas0%
Andreas Athanasakopoulos0%
Vajebah Sakor0%
Dimitris Chantakias0%
Vasilios Vitlis0%
Aaron Tshibola0%
Ivan KostiÄ0%
Ãlvaro RatÃģn0%
Dimitrios Siovas0%
Simon Sandberg0%
Georgios Kornezos0%
LÃĐo0%
Alexandros Tereziou0%
Alberto Simoni0%
Anestis Vlachomitros0%
Vasilios Sourlis0%
Nikolaos Gotzamanidis0%
Gustavo Furtado0%
Bilal Mazhar0%
Giannis Doiranlis0%
Konstantinos Gyftomitros0%
Dimitrios Tsiakas0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gustavo Furtado30%
Nedim MekiÄ22%
Toshio Lake12%
Saliou Guindo10%
Bilal Mazhar10%
Aaron Tshibola8%
Andreas Athanasakopoulos4%
Georgios Giannoutsos0%
Viktor Klonaridis0%
Salvador SÃĄnchez0%
AndrÃĐs ChÃĄvez0%
Artem Bykov0%
Ãngelo HenrÃquez0%
Cristopher NÃšÃąez0%
Vedad Radonja0%
Sebastian Ring0%
Giorgos Saramantas0%
Vajebah Sakor0%
Antonis Dentakis0%
Dimitris Chantakias0%
Vasilios Vitlis0%
Ivan KostiÄ0%
Rober IbÃĄÃąez0%
Ãlvaro RatÃģn0%
Dimitrios Siovas0%
Simon Sandberg0%
Georgios Kornezos0%
LÃĐo0%
Alexandros Tereziou0%
Alberto Simoni0%
Anestis Vlachomitros0%
Vasilios Sourlis0%
Nikolaos Gotzamanidis0%
Carles Soria0%
Giannis Doiranlis0%
Konstantinos Gyftomitros0%
Dimitrios Tsiakas0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Greece: Super League 1 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Lamia
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panathinaikos
Aris Thessalonikis
AEK Athens FC
PAOK
Levadiakos
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
Atromitos
Panserraikos
Volos NFC
OFI
Kallithea