This opponent (Kallithea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kallithea
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.43
1.07
1.60
0.67
1.27
vs Stronger (12)
0.75
1.33
0.83
1.00
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (18)
0.94
1.50
1.22
2.00
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Lamia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.1%
Under 1.5
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.1%
@ 2.28-2.1%
Under 2.5
60.9%
@ 1.60+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.1%
Under 3.5
80.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.3%
No
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-1
12.0%
0-0
11.8%
1-0
9.0%
0-2 ✓
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.1%
Lamia goals ↓
Kallithea goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
12%
8.5%
3.6%
1.1%
1
9.0%
14%
8.3%
3.5%
1.1%
2
5.1%
6.5%
4.1%
1.7%
0.5%
3
1.7%
2.1%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lamia goals (down), columns = Kallithea goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.36
Panathinaikos
1.92
AEK Athens FC
1.75
Aris Thessalonikis
1.74
PAOK
1.72
Asteras Tripolis
1.55
Levadiakos
1.48
Panetolikos
1.40
Atromitos
1.37
OFI Crete
1.19
OFI
1.19
Panserraikos
1.12
Kallithea
1.00
Volos NFC
0.98
Athens Kallithea
0.94
Lamia
0.54
Lamia is 0.46 points worse than Kallithea in terms of average points per game (0.54 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
PAOK
1.97
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.78
AEK Athens FC
1.53
Levadiakos
1.48
Panathinaikos
1.36
Aris Thessalonikis
1.32
OFI Crete
1.25
OFI
1.25
Panserraikos
1.24
Asteras Tripolis
1.24
Atromitos
1.21
Kallithea
1.00
Athens Kallithea
0.94
Volos NFC
0.93
Panetolikos
0.83
Lamia
0.56
Lamia is 0.44 goals worse than Kallithea in terms of goals scored per game (0.56 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.67
AEK Athens FC
0.81
Panetolikos
0.81
Aris Thessalonikis
1.00
Panathinaikos
1.00
Atromitos
1.08
Levadiakos
1.12
Asteras Tripolis
1.16
PAOK
1.19
Kallithea
1.44
OFI Crete
1.47
OFI
1.47
Athens Kallithea
1.49
Volos NFC
1.55
Panserraikos
1.69
Lamia
1.76
Lamia is 0.31 goals worse than Kallithea in terms of goals conceded per game (1.76 vs 1.44).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
AEK Athens FC
65%
PAOK
58%
Olympiakos Piraeus
57%
Panathinaikos
57%
Aris Thessalonikis
54%
Levadiakos
49%
Panserraikos
49%
OFI
48%
Volos NFC
47%
Atromitos
45%
Asteras Tripolis
45%
Kallithea
45%
Panetolikos
43%
Lamia
41%
Lamia is 4.5 percentage points worse than Kallithea in terms of average possession (41% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lamia
For 3.6 · Against 5.9 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 14.2 · Total 28.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kallithea
For 5.0 · Against 6.0 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.8 · Against 2.7 · Total 6.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 14.6 · Total 27.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lamia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.0
9.8
4.6
4.8
4.3
28.0
29.9
26.1
vs Stronger (35)
9.8
9.5
10.2
4.3
4.7
3.8
27.4
29.6
24.8
vs Similar (15)
8.3
7.3
9.0
5.3
5.2
5.3
29.3
30.8
28.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
46%
54%
38%
60%
67%
54%
90%
96%
83%
% under line
54%
46%
62%
40%
33%
46%
10%
4%
17%
This opponent (Kallithea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kallithea
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.0
10.6
3.3
3.4
3.2
28.7
28.9
28.5
vs Stronger (12)
12.5
12.4
12.6
4.9
4.7
5.2
26.8
27.4
26.2
vs Similar (38)
9.0
8.7
9.4
2.8
2.9
2.6
29.8
29.7
30.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
63%
57%
69%
44%
44%
44%
93%
93%
92%
% under line
37%
43%
31%
56%
56%
56%
7%
7%
8%
This opponent (Lamia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Athens Kallithea
10.3
Kallithea
10.3
Panathinaikos
9.9
AEK Athens FC
9.4
Lamia
9.2
PAOK
9.1
OFI Crete
9.0
OFI
8.9
Asteras Tripolis
8.8
Panserraikos
8.7
Levadiakos
8.6
Volos NFC
8.6
Aris Thessalonikis
8.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.5
Atromitos
8.5
Panetolikos
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Panserraikos
6.9
Levadiakos
6.4
Volos NFC
6.4
Atromitos
6.4
Kallithea
6.1
OFI
6.0
Panathinaikos
6.0
OFI Crete
6.0
Athens Kallithea
6.0
Aris Thessalonikis
6.0
AEK Athens FC
5.7
Asteras Tripolis
5.6
PAOK
5.3
Panetolikos
5.3
Lamia
4.8
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Volos NFC
33.6
Levadiakos
30.8
Atromitos
30.3
Panserraikos
30.1
Athens Kallithea
30.1
OFI Crete
29.8
OFI
29.5
Panathinaikos
29.4
Aris Thessalonikis
29.1
Kallithea
28.7
Lamia
28.4
Panetolikos
27.7
AEK Athens FC
27.5
Asteras Tripolis
27.2
PAOK
25.2
Olympiakos Piraeus
24.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lamia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.23
0.70
0.33
0.60
0.13
0.80
vs Stronger (18)
0.28
0.78
0.33
0.67
0.22
0.89
vs Similar (12)
0.17
0.58
0.33
0.50
0.00
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Kallithea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kallithea
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.63
0.40
0.67
0.27
0.60
vs Stronger (12)
0.25
0.58
0.33
0.50
0.17
0.67
vs Similar (18)
0.39
0.67
0.44
0.78
0.33
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Lamia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lamia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lamia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lamia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kallithea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kallithea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kallithea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lamia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
1.00
0.20
0.67
0.33
1.33
vs Stronger (18)
0.22
1.28
0.22
1.00
0.22
1.56
vs Similar (12)
0.33
0.58
0.17
0.17
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Kallithea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kallithea
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.80
0.67
0.93
0.40
0.67
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.56
0.83
0.78
1.22
0.33
0.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Lamia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lamia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lamia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lamia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kallithea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kallithea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kallithea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lamia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gustavo Furtado20%
Anestis Vlachomitros19%
Aaron Tshibola17%
Vedad Radonja6%
Nikolaos Gotzamanidis5%
Andreas Athanasakopoulos4%
Giannis Doiranlis4%
Sebastian Ring3%
Georgios Giannoutsos0%
Viktor Klonaridis0%
Saliou Guindo0%
Salvador Sánchez0%
Andrés Chávez0%
Artem Bykov0%
Ángelo Henríquez0%
Cristopher Núñez0%
Giorgos Saramantas0%
Vajebah Sakor0%
Antonis Dentakis0%
Dimitris Chantakias0%
Vasilios Vitlis0%
Ivan Kostić0%
Rober Ibáñez0%
Álvaro Ratón0%
Dimitrios Siovas0%
Simon Sandberg0%
Nedim Mekić0%
Georgios Kornezos0%
Léo0%
Alexandros Tereziou0%
Alberto Simoni0%
Vasilios Sourlis0%
Carles Soria0%
Toshio Lake0%
Bilal Mazhar0%
Konstantinos Gyftomitros0%
Dimitrios Tsiakas0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aaron Tshibola42%
Gustavo Furtado40%
Cristopher Núñez36%
Sebastian Ring30%
Andrés Chávez29%
Léo29%
Carles Soria29%
Viktor Klonaridis25%
Dimitrios Tsiakas25%
Vasilios Vitlis24%
Vajebah Sakor23%
Nikolaos Gotzamanidis23%
Giorgos Saramantas19%
Toshio Lake19%
Rober Ibáñez18%
Antonis Dentakis17%
Alexandros Tereziou17%
Anestis Vlachomitros16%
Artem Bykov14%
Georgios Kornezos13%
Andreas Athanasakopoulos13%
Vasilios Sourlis12%
Saliou Guindo10%
Ivan Kostić10%
Bilal Mazhar10%
Dimitris Chantakias9%
Ángelo Henríquez8%
Giannis Doiranlis7%
Vedad Radonja6%
Georgios Giannoutsos0%
Salvador Sánchez0%
Álvaro Ratón0%
Dimitrios Siovas0%
Simon Sandberg0%
Nedim Mekić0%
Alberto Simoni0%
Konstantinos Gyftomitros0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Carles Soria21%
Salvador Sánchez17%
Nedim Mekić11%
Saliou Guindo10%
Cristopher Núñez9%
Rober Ibáñez9%
Artem Bykov7%
Toshio Lake6%
Sebastian Ring6%
Antonis Dentakis6%
Georgios Giannoutsos0%
Viktor Klonaridis0%
Andrés Chávez0%
Ángelo Henríquez0%
Vedad Radonja0%
Giorgos Saramantas0%
Andreas Athanasakopoulos0%
Vajebah Sakor0%
Dimitris Chantakias0%
Vasilios Vitlis0%
Aaron Tshibola0%
Ivan Kostić0%
Álvaro Ratón0%
Dimitrios Siovas0%
Simon Sandberg0%
Georgios Kornezos0%
Léo0%
Alexandros Tereziou0%
Alberto Simoni0%
Anestis Vlachomitros0%
Vasilios Sourlis0%
Nikolaos Gotzamanidis0%
Gustavo Furtado0%
Bilal Mazhar0%
Giannis Doiranlis0%
Konstantinos Gyftomitros0%
Dimitrios Tsiakas0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gustavo Furtado30%
Nedim Mekić22%
Toshio Lake12%
Saliou Guindo10%
Bilal Mazhar10%
Aaron Tshibola8%
Andreas Athanasakopoulos4%
Georgios Giannoutsos0%
Viktor Klonaridis0%
Salvador Sánchez0%
Andrés Chávez0%
Artem Bykov0%
Ángelo Henríquez0%
Cristopher Núñez0%
Vedad Radonja0%
Sebastian Ring0%
Giorgos Saramantas0%
Vajebah Sakor0%
Antonis Dentakis0%
Dimitris Chantakias0%
Vasilios Vitlis0%
Ivan Kostić0%
Rober Ibáñez0%
Álvaro Ratón0%
Dimitrios Siovas0%
Simon Sandberg0%
Georgios Kornezos0%
Léo0%
Alexandros Tereziou0%
Alberto Simoni0%
Anestis Vlachomitros0%
Vasilios Sourlis0%
Nikolaos Gotzamanidis0%
Carles Soria0%
Giannis Doiranlis0%
Konstantinos Gyftomitros0%
Dimitrios Tsiakas0%
Kallithea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Migouel Alfarela47%
Giannis Loukinas17%
Keelan Lebon15%
Elia Giani13%
Thierry Moutinho10%
Mathieu Valbuena9%
Pyry Soiri9%
Nicolas Isimat-Mirin8%
Miguel Mellado7%
Roberts Uldriķis7%
Nikolaos Kenourgios5%
Mor Ndiaye4%
Triantafyllos Pasalidis4%
Javier Matilla4%
Demethryus3%
Ioannis Gelios0%
Georgios Manthatis0%
James McGarry0%
Bernabé Barragán0%
Andreas Vasilogiannis0%
Matěj Hanousek0%
Josua Mejías0%
Giannis Tsivelekidis0%
Georgios Vrakas0%
Alessandro Mercati0%
Andrei Moțoc0%
Dimitrios Metaxas0%
Samba Diba0%
François Régis Mughe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Triantafyllos Pasalidis46%
Josua Mejías38%
Nicolas Isimat-Mirin33%
Alessandro Mercati30%
Georgios Vrakas27%
Miguel Mellado27%
Mor Ndiaye26%
Andreas Vasilogiannis25%
Andrei Moțoc25%
Javier Matilla23%
Elia Giani22%
Georgios Manthatis21%
François Régis Mughe20%
Nikolaos Kenourgios15%
Dimitrios Metaxas14%
Giannis Tsivelekidis14%
James McGarry12%
Samba Diba12%
Thierry Moutinho10%
Matěj Hanousek8%
Giannis Loukinas7%
Mathieu Valbuena6%
Pyry Soiri6%
Demethryus6%
Migouel Alfarela6%
Ioannis Gelios0%
Bernabé Barragán0%
Roberts Uldriķis0%
Keelan Lebon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mor Ndiaye13%
Thierry Moutinho10%
Mathieu Valbuena9%
Demethryus9%
Elia Giani9%
Andrei Moțoc8%
Javier Matilla8%
Keelan Lebon8%
Pyry Soiri6%
Josua Mejías4%
Georgios Manthatis4%
Giannis Loukinas3%
Alessandro Mercati3%
Nicolas Isimat-Mirin0%
Migouel Alfarela0%
Ioannis Gelios0%
Triantafyllos Pasalidis0%
Miguel Mellado0%
Nikolaos Kenourgios0%
James McGarry0%
Bernabé Barragán0%
Roberts Uldriķis0%
Andreas Vasilogiannis0%
Matěj Hanousek0%
Giannis Tsivelekidis0%
Georgios Vrakas0%
Dimitrios Metaxas0%
Samba Diba0%
François Régis Mughe0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Migouel Alfarela29%
Roberts Uldriķis20%
Giannis Loukinas14%
Elia Giani13%
Thierry Moutinho10%
Andreas Vasilogiannis8%
Demethryus6%
Alessandro Mercati3%
Mathieu Valbuena3%
Nicolas Isimat-Mirin0%
Pyry Soiri0%
Ioannis Gelios0%
Georgios Manthatis0%
Triantafyllos Pasalidis0%
Miguel Mellado0%
Nikolaos Kenourgios0%
James McGarry0%
Bernabé Barragán0%
Matěj Hanousek0%
Javier Matilla0%
Keelan Lebon0%
Josua Mejías0%
Mor Ndiaye0%
Giannis Tsivelekidis0%
Georgios Vrakas0%
Andrei Moțoc0%
Dimitrios Metaxas0%
Samba Diba0%
François Régis Mughe0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Greece: Super League 1 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →