This opponent (Panetolikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panetolikos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.90
0.56
1.67
1.00
2.25
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
3.00
0.00
2.67
0.40
3.20
vs Similar (22)
0.91
1.50
0.67
1.47
1.43
1.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Lamia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.7%
Under 1.5
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.0%
@ 2.34+13.8%
Under 2.5
46.0%
@ 1.57-13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.7%
Under 3.5
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.1%
No
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
1-0 ✓
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.3%
0-0
7.0%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.8%
Lamia goals ↓
Panetolikos goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.0%
6.2%
4.7%
2.0%
0.6%
1
8.1%
13%
7.3%
3.1%
1.0%
2
7.3%
9.2%
5.8%
2.4%
0.8%
3
3.8%
4.8%
3.0%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.5%
1.9%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lamia goals (down), columns = Panetolikos goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
PAOK
2.18
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.13
AEK Athens FC
2.13
Panathinaikos
1.95
Aris Thessalonikis
1.53
Asteras Tripolis
1.25
Panserraikos
1.17
Panetolikos
1.11
OFI Crete
1.06
OFI
1.06
Volos NFC
1.03
Atromitos
1.03
Lamia
0.97
Kifisia
0.92
PAS Giannina
0.69
Lamia is 0.14 points worse than Panetolikos in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 1.11).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
PAOK
2.39
Panathinaikos
2.26
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.24
AEK Athens FC
2.18
Aris Thessalonikis
1.42
Asteras Tripolis
1.28
Lamia
1.21
Volos NFC
1.14
Panserraikos
1.14
Kifisia
1.11
OFI Crete
1.09
OFI
1.09
Panetolikos
1.08
Atromitos
1.06
PAS Giannina
1.00
Lamia is 0.13 goals better than Panetolikos in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 1.08).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.89
PAOK
0.92
AEK Athens FC
0.97
Panathinaikos
1.05
Aris Thessalonikis
1.24
Panetolikos
1.44
OFI Crete
1.52
OFI
1.52
Atromitos
1.53
Asteras Tripolis
1.56
Panserraikos
1.67
Volos NFC
1.72
Kifisia
1.92
PAS Giannina
1.92
Lamia
2.16
Lamia is 0.71 goals worse than Panetolikos in terms of goals conceded per game (2.16 vs 1.44).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
AEK Athens FC
62%
Panathinaikos
61%
Olympiakos Piraeus
58%
PAOK
57%
OFI
52%
Aris Thessalonikis
51%
Atromitos
50%
Asteras Tripolis
48%
Panserraikos
45%
Panetolikos
44%
Volos NFC
44%
Kifisia
42%
PAS Giannina
42%
Lamia
40%
Lamia is 4.2 percentage points worse than Panetolikos in terms of average possession (40% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lamia
For 4.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.8 · Against 16.2 · Total 31.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Panetolikos
For 3.5 · Against 5.2 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 14.2 · Total 26.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lamia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
9.7
7.9
1.5
1.5
1.6
31.5
31.0
31.8
vs Stronger (28)
8.2
8.0
8.3
1.0
1.1
0.9
28.7
28.0
29.3
vs Similar (22)
8.9
11.0
7.7
2.2
2.1
2.2
33.0
33.2
32.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
35%
57%
20%
20%
22%
19%
94%
86%
100%
% under line
65%
43%
80%
80%
78%
81%
6%
14%
0%
This opponent (Panetolikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panetolikos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
8.6
11.4
1.3
1.3
1.3
29.1
29.5
28.4
vs Stronger (12)
10.0
9.0
11.0
0.4
0.5
0.3
21.0
24.0
18.0
vs Similar (37)
9.4
8.6
11.0
1.5
1.5
1.5
29.9
30.1
29.6
vs Weaker (1)
14.0
-
14.0
4.0
-
4.0
33.0
-
33.0
% over line
59%
40%
86%
20%
15%
26%
82%
80%
86%
% under line
41%
60%
14%
80%
85%
74%
18%
20%
14%
This opponent (Lamia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
AEK Athens FC
10.7
Kifisia
10.0
PAS Giannina
9.4
OFI
9.2
Olympiakos Piraeus
9.2
PAOK
9.0
Volos NFC
9.0
Panetolikos
8.7
Panathinaikos
8.7
OFI Crete
8.7
Panserraikos
8.7
Lamia
8.5
Aris Thessalonikis
8.5
Atromitos
8.0
Asteras Tripolis
7.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Kifisia
6.4
Panserraikos
6.2
OFI
6.0
Aris Thessalonikis
5.4
Panathinaikos
5.4
PAOK
5.3
AEK Athens FC
5.2
OFI Crete
5.0
Volos NFC
4.8
Atromitos
4.5
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.5
Asteras Tripolis
4.5
PAS Giannina
4.3
Lamia
4.3
Panetolikos
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lamia
33.5
Panetolikos
33.3
Volos NFC
32.4
Aris Thessalonikis
32.1
Panathinaikos
31.2
PAS Giannina
31.1
Atromitos
31.0
OFI Crete
31.0
AEK Athens FC
30.5
OFI
30.5
Asteras Tripolis
30.5
Panserraikos
29.8
Kifisia
29.4
PAOK
28.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
27.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
46.8%
Under 9.5
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.1%
Under 3.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
92.5%
Under 21.5
7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lamia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.93
0.40
1.07
0.20
0.80
vs Stronger (17)
0.24
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.12
1.00
vs Similar (13)
0.38
0.85
0.50
1.17
0.29
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Panetolikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panetolikos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.23
0.70
0.11
0.56
0.42
0.92
vs Stronger (8)
0.12
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.20
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.27
0.59
0.13
0.47
0.57
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Lamia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lamia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lamia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lamia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panetolikos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panetolikos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panetolikos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lamia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.97
0.67
0.73
0.60
1.20
vs Stronger (17)
0.41
0.88
0.67
0.67
0.12
1.12
vs Similar (13)
0.92
1.08
0.67
0.83
1.14
1.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Panetolikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panetolikos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.20
0.44
1.11
0.58
1.33
vs Stronger (8)
0.12
2.00
0.00
1.67
0.20
2.20
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.91
0.53
1.00
0.86
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Lamia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lamia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lamia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lamia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panetolikos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panetolikos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panetolikos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lamia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Carlitos41%
Mathías Acuña20%
Vykintas Slivka18%
Flosard Malçi17%
Rubén Martínez14%
Sotiris Tsiloulis13%
Vasilios Kontonikos12%
Samuele Longo9%
Toshio Lake8%
Sidcley7%
Pedro Amaral6%
Adam Tzanetopoulos3%
Zoran Tošić3%
Cristopher Núñez3%
David Simón3%
Georgios Giannoutsos0%
Aleksandr Pavlovets0%
Kyriakos Papadopoulos0%
Giorgos Saramantas0%
Stavros Vasilantonopoulos0%
Nikolaos Tsoukalos0%
Theofanis Tzandaris0%
Kosmas Tsilianidis0%
Alexei Koşelev0%
Omar Santana0%
Álex Mula0%
Caleb Stanko0%
Georgios Kornezos0%
Alexandros Tereziou0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kyriakos Papadopoulos43%
Caleb Stanko35%
Mathías Acuña33%
Omar Santana31%
David Simón31%
Alexandros Tereziou25%
Vasilios Kontonikos25%
Adam Tzanetopoulos23%
Georgios Giannoutsos20%
Theofanis Tzandaris19%
Samuele Longo18%
Carlitos18%
Vykintas Slivka18%
Sidcley17%
Pedro Amaral17%
Cristopher Núñez16%
Georgios Kornezos15%
Rubén Martínez14%
Sotiris Tsiloulis10%
Alexei Koşelev9%
Flosard Malçi9%
Nikolaos Tsoukalos8%
Zoran Tošić6%
Aleksandr Pavlovets0%
Giorgos Saramantas0%
Stavros Vasilantonopoulos0%
Kosmas Tsilianidis0%
Álex Mula0%
Toshio Lake0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Carlitos23%
Samuele Longo18%
Zoran Tošić16%
Vykintas Slivka12%
Pedro Amaral11%
David Simón9%
Toshio Lake8%
Sotiris Tsiloulis7%
Mathías Acuña7%
Kyriakos Papadopoulos5%
Flosard Malçi4%
Rubén Martínez4%
Sidcley3%
Theofanis Tzandaris3%
Georgios Giannoutsos0%
Aleksandr Pavlovets0%
Cristopher Núñez0%
Giorgos Saramantas0%
Adam Tzanetopoulos0%
Stavros Vasilantonopoulos0%
Nikolaos Tsoukalos0%
Kosmas Tsilianidis0%
Alexei Koşelev0%
Omar Santana0%
Álex Mula0%
Caleb Stanko0%
Georgios Kornezos0%
Alexandros Tereziou0%
Vasilios Kontonikos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Carlitos36%
Toshio Lake17%
Sotiris Tsiloulis10%
Rubén Martínez4%
Sidcley3%
David Simón3%
Georgios Giannoutsos0%
Aleksandr Pavlovets0%
Cristopher Núñez0%
Kyriakos Papadopoulos0%
Giorgos Saramantas0%
Adam Tzanetopoulos0%
Stavros Vasilantonopoulos0%
Nikolaos Tsoukalos0%
Theofanis Tzandaris0%
Pedro Amaral0%
Kosmas Tsilianidis0%
Samuele Longo0%
Alexei Koşelev0%
Omar Santana0%
Vykintas Slivka0%
Zoran Tošić0%
Álex Mula0%
Caleb Stanko0%
Mathías Acuña0%
Georgios Kornezos0%
Flosard Malçi0%
Alexandros Tereziou0%
Vasilios Kontonikos0%
Panetolikos
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sebastián Lomónaco20%
Jemal Tabidze17%
João Pedro Silva17%
Giannis Bouzoukis12%
Sergio Díaz12%
Levan Shengelia10%
Frederico Duarte10%
Nikolaos Karelis9%
Bruno Duarte8%
Charis Mavrias8%
Ilias Chatzitheodoridis8%
Franco Baldassarra7%
Georgios Liavas6%
Pedro Silva6%
Marios Oikonomou5%
Alexandros Malis5%
Sebastian Mladen5%
Juanpi Añor3%
Michalis Bakakis0%
Giorgos Xenidis0%
Alexandros Voilis0%
Lucas Cháves0%
Antonis Stergiakis0%
Stefanos Kapino0%
Angelos Tsingaras0%
Facundo Pérez0%
Nikola Stajić0%
Christos Belevonis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sebastian Mladen50%
Bruno Duarte38%
Antonis Stergiakis33%
Facundo Pérez30%
Juanpi Añor28%
Nikola Stajić22%
Marios Oikonomou20%
Sebastián Lomónaco20%
Franco Baldassarra20%
Nikolaos Karelis18%
Jemal Tabidze17%
Ilias Chatzitheodoridis15%
Levan Shengelia15%
Alexandros Malis14%
Frederico Duarte13%
Georgios Liavas13%
Alexandros Voilis12%
Charis Mavrias12%
Pedro Silva12%
Sergio Díaz12%
Giorgos Xenidis11%
João Pedro Silva10%
Michalis Bakakis0%
Lucas Cháves0%
Stefanos Kapino0%
Giannis Bouzoukis0%
Angelos Tsingaras0%
Christos Belevonis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pedro Silva16%
Juanpi Añor14%
Georgios Liavas13%
Sergio Díaz8%
Frederico Duarte7%
João Pedro Silva7%
Facundo Pérez7%
Levan Shengelia5%
Alexandros Malis5%
Nikolaos Karelis5%
Charis Mavrias4%
Ilias Chatzitheodoridis4%
Marios Oikonomou0%
Michalis Bakakis0%
Giorgos Xenidis0%
Alexandros Voilis0%
Sebastián Lomónaco0%
Franco Baldassarra0%
Bruno Duarte0%
Lucas Cháves0%
Antonis Stergiakis0%
Stefanos Kapino0%
Giannis Bouzoukis0%
Angelos Tsingaras0%
Sebastian Mladen0%
Jemal Tabidze0%
Nikola Stajić0%
Christos Belevonis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sergio Díaz20%
Nikolaos Karelis14%
João Pedro Silva13%
Sebastián Lomónaco10%
Frederico Duarte10%
Franco Baldassarra7%
Pedro Silva6%
Levan Shengelia5%
Charis Mavrias4%
Ilias Chatzitheodoridis4%
Juanpi Añor3%
Facundo Pérez3%
Georgios Liavas3%
Marios Oikonomou0%
Michalis Bakakis0%
Giorgos Xenidis0%
Alexandros Voilis0%
Bruno Duarte0%
Lucas Cháves0%
Antonis Stergiakis0%
Stefanos Kapino0%
Giannis Bouzoukis0%
Alexandros Malis0%
Angelos Tsingaras0%
Sebastian Mladen0%
Jemal Tabidze0%
Nikola Stajić0%
Christos Belevonis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Greece: Super League 1 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
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PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos
Aris Thessalonikis
Asteras Tripolis
Panserraikos
Atromitos
Volos NFC
OFI
Kifisia
PAS Giannina