Las Palmas enter the match after a defeat to Girona, their last five showing a mix of wins and a loss, while Leganes come off a two-game winning streak against Eldense. The model favours a home win at 58%, with a 27% chance of a draw and only 15% for an away victory. The expected total of goals is 2.3, with the most likely total being two goals at 28% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-0 for Las Palmas, a 15.3% chance. Las Palmas average 1.11 goals scored and 0.56 conceded at home against similar opposition, whereas Leganes average 0.85 goals scored and 1.54 conceded on the road against similar teams. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.5%), Under 6.5 (99.1%, edge 3%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.1%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.1%, edge 6%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.2%, edge 5%), Under 5.5 (97.2%, edge 5%) and Away under 2.5 goals (96.9%, edge 8%).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Las Palmas win
58.4%
Avg Implied 47.1% · @ 1.98
Edge
+11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.08
1xBet
2.07
Dafabet
2.05
Betano
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
Draw
27.1%
Avg Implied 28.8% · @ 3.23
Edge
-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
3.50
Dafabet
3.30
1xBet
3.25
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.25
Leganes win
14.5%
Avg Implied 24.1% · @ 3.87
Edge
-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
4.20
Pinnacle
4.12
10Bet
4.10
Betano
4.05
1xBet
3.99
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Las Palmas
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.27
1.64
0.64
1.44
1.81
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.25
1.50
1.11
0.56
1.36
2.27
vs Weaker (10)
2.10
0.80
2.60
0.80
1.60
0.80
Clean sheet %
27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Leganes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leganes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.20
1.19
0.94
0.86
1.50
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
1.04
1.26
1.21
1.00
0.85
1.54
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Las Palmas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
67.4%
@ 1.34-2.7%
Under 1.5
32.6%
@ 3.12+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
Betfair
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
Superbet
1.35
10Bet
1.35
Under
Betano
3.25
Superbet
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.22
Betfair
3.10
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
39.6%
@ 2.07-5.8%
Under 2.5
60.4%
@ 1.73+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.16
Bet365
2.10
Unibet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
SBO
2.09
Under
1xBet
1.80
Betano
1.78
Marathonbet
1.77
10Bet
1.75
Superbet
1.75
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
19.5%
@ 3.65-6.2%
Under 3.5
80.5%
@ 1.26+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.90
Unibet
3.85
Pinnacle
3.81
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Under
Betano
1.30
Pinnacle
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Both teams to score
Yes
40.3%
@ 1.84-10.0%
No
59.7%
@ 1.86+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.90
Betfair
1.87
Unibet
1.85
William Hil
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
No
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
Betfair
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.3%@ 6.16+8.2%
2-0
13.1%@ 8.32+7.9%
1-1
12.2%@ 5.81+4.7%
0-0
11.4%@ 8.00+6.0%
2-1
8.9%@ 7.83+3.3%
3-0
7.0%@ 15.64+4.2%
0-1
5.9%@ 9.26+1.2%
3-1
4.7%@ 14.86+1.8%
Las Palmas goals ↓
Leganes goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
5.9%
2.4%
0.5%
0.1%
1
15%
12%
3.8%
0.8%
0.1%
2
13%
8.9%
3.0%
0.7%
0.1%
3
7.0%
4.7%
1.6%
0.4%
0.1%
4
2.8%
1.9%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Las Palmas goals (down), columns = Leganes goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Girona
1.96
Almeria
1.72
Burgos
1.71
Mallorca
1.70
Las Palmas
1.68
Castellón
1.66
Eibar
1.60
Oviedo
1.58
Cordoba
1.45
Sporting Gijon
1.45
AD Ceuta FC
1.45
Albacete
1.40
FC Andorra
1.38
Tenerife
1.34
Sabadell
1.16
Granada CF
1.14
Celta de Vigo II
1.14
Eldense
1.13
Real Sociedad II
1.12
Valladolid
1.10
Leganes
1.10
Cadiz
1.02
Las Palmas is 0.59 points better than Leganes in terms of average points per game (1.68 vs 1.10).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Girona
1.87
Almeria
1.87
Castellón
1.66
Mallorca
1.62
Oviedo
1.51
FC Andorra
1.48
Sporting Gijon
1.43
Cordoba
1.36
Albacete
1.33
Las Palmas
1.32
Tenerife
1.28
Eibar
1.24
Real Sociedad II
1.24
AD Ceuta FC
1.21
Granada CF
1.19
Burgos
1.14
Sabadell
1.10
Celta de Vigo II
1.09
Eldense
1.08
Valladolid
1.05
Leganes
1.02
Cadiz
0.98
Las Palmas is 0.29 goals better than Leganes in terms of goals scored per game (1.32 vs 1.02).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Burgos
0.79
Girona
0.92
Eibar
0.95
Las Palmas
0.95
Mallorca
1.06
Oviedo
1.14
Leganes
1.21
Castellón
1.25
FC Andorra
1.29
Sporting Gijon
1.29
Albacete
1.31
Granada CF
1.33
Tenerife
1.35
Valladolid
1.36
Cordoba
1.45
Cadiz
1.45
Real Sociedad II
1.45
Almeria
1.48
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Sabadell
1.56
Celta de Vigo II
1.58
Eldense
1.59
Las Palmas is 0.26 goals better than Leganes in terms of goals conceded per game (0.95 vs 1.21).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Andorra
61%
Cordoba
58%
Las Palmas
56%
Castellón
55%
Almeria
52%
Leganes
51%
AD Ceuta FC
51%
Granada CF
50%
Valladolid
50%
Eibar
49%
Burgos
46%
Cadiz
46%
Sporting Gijon
46%
Real Sociedad II
44%
Albacete
42%
Las Palmas is 4.3 percentage points better than Leganes in terms of average possession (56% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Las Palmas
For 3.5 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.9 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 15.3 · Total 25.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Leganes
For 3.7 · Against 6.2 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 13.3 · Total 26.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Las Palmas
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.1
8.3
8.0
4.4
4.5
4.2
27.4
27.0
27.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (35)
8.4
8.7
8.2
4.4
4.6
4.3
26.8
26.4
27.2
vs Weaker (15)
7.4
7.4
7.4
4.2
4.4
4.0
28.9
28.6
29.3
% over line
35%
42%
28%
60%
54%
65%
90%
88%
92%
% under line
65%
58%
72%
40%
46%
35%
10%
12%
8%
This opponent (Leganes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leganes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.8
9.2
5.0
5.0
4.9
25.9
26.9
25.0
vs Stronger (2)
9.0
-
9.0
3.5
-
3.5
19.0
-
19.0
vs Similar (44)
9.5
10.0
9.0
5.2
5.1
5.4
26.4
27.4
25.5
vs Weaker (4)
9.0
7.5
12.0
2.5
3.5
1.5
23.3
22.0
26.0
% over line
46%
48%
44%
76%
75%
77%
86%
83%
88%
% under line
54%
52%
56%
24%
25%
23%
14%
17%
12%
This opponent (Las Palmas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Albacete
10.8
Cordoba
10.6
Mallorca
10.1
Castellón
10.0
Sporting Gijon
9.7
Cadiz
9.5
Almeria
9.5
Leganes
9.5
Real Sociedad II
9.4
Eibar
9.3
Eldense
9.3
Oviedo
9.3
Girona
9.2
Granada CF
9.2
Tenerife
9.1
Valladolid
9.1
FC Andorra
8.9
AD Ceuta FC
8.8
Sabadell
8.7
Burgos
8.5
Las Palmas
8.1
Celta de Vigo II
7.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Castellón
6.0
Real Sociedad II
5.9
Valladolid
5.7
Celta de Vigo II
5.7
Cordoba
5.6
Burgos
5.6
Almeria
5.6
Granada CF
5.5
FC Andorra
5.4
Sporting Gijon
5.2
Eibar
5.2
AD Ceuta FC
5.2
Cadiz
5.1
Leganes
5.0
Tenerife
4.8
Sabadell
4.7
Las Palmas
4.6
Albacete
4.5
Girona
4.5
Eldense
4.4
Mallorca
4.4
Oviedo
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cordoba
29.9
Real Sociedad II
28.8
Valladolid
28.6
Celta de Vigo II
28.3
Castellón
28.1
AD Ceuta FC
27.6
Las Palmas
27.6
FC Andorra
27.6
Sabadell
27.6
Granada CF
27.4
Tenerife
27.1
Almeria
26.6
Burgos
26.5
Leganes
26.0
Cadiz
25.6
Eibar
25.5
Girona
25.4
Oviedo
25.1
Eldense
24.4
Mallorca
24.3
Sporting Gijon
22.6
Albacete
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
41.7%
@ 2.15-1.3%
Under 9.5
58.3%
@ 1.62+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.23
Marathonbet
2.18
1xBet
2.16
Superbet
2.12
Under
Unibet
1.70
Superbet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.62
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
71.6%
@ 1.41+5.9%
Under 3.5
28.4%
@ 2.69-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.41
Under
Pinnacle
2.69
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
78.3%
Under 21.5
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Las Palmas or Draw
85.5%
Avg Implied 76.3% · @ 1.23
Edge
+9.2%
58%
27%
15%
covers Las Palmas + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Las Palmas or Leganes
72.9%
Avg Implied 71.7% · @ 1.30
Edge
+1.2%
58%
27%
15%
covers Las Palmas + Leganes
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.35
Betano
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Draw or Leganes
41.6%
Avg Implied 52.0% · @ 1.80
Edge
-10.4%
58%
27%
15%
covers Draw + Leganes
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.97
Superbet
1.90
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.82
Bet365
1.80
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Las Palmas over/under 0.5
Over
79.7%
@ 1.21+3.3%
Under
20.3%
@ 3.92-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.23
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Under
Pinnacle
4.11
Superbet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Las Palmas over/under 1.5
Over
47.3%
@ 2.10+2.8%
Under
52.7%
@ 1.68-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.21
BetVictor
2.15
Unibet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Under
Superbet
1.74
10Bet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.71
1xBet
1.71
Betano
1.70
Las Palmas over/under 2.5
Over
21.5%
@ 4.45+0.6%
Under
78.5%
@ 1.17-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
4.75
Unibet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Pinnacle
4.35
Under
Superbet
1.20
Betano
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Las Palmas over/under 3.5
Over
7.8%
@ 9.82-1.7%
Under
92.2%
@ 1.03+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
10.00
Superbet
9.40
Marathonbet
9.00
1xBet
9.00
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Leganes over/under 0.5
Over
49.2%
@ 1.48-13.5%
Under
50.8%
@ 2.49+13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.54
Pinnacle
1.52
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
BetVictor
1.47
Under
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.61
Betano
2.55
Bet365
2.50
BetVictor
2.50
Leganes over/under 1.5
Over
14.8%
@ 3.38-12.8%
Under
85.2%
@ 1.28+12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.60
Superbet
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Bet365
3.50
BetVictor
3.30
Under
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Leganes over/under 2.5
Over
3.1%
@ 9.08-7.2%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.04+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Superbet
9.60
Betfair
9.50
1xBet
8.40
Marathonbet
8.40
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Leganes over/under 3.5
Over
0.5%
@ 23.83-3.6%
Under
99.5%
@ 1.01+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
30.00
Bet365
29.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Las Palmas, so a minus line means Las Palmas give that many goals of a start and Leganes receive them. At -1, Las Palmas must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Las Palmas win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Las Palmas)
Las Palmas -2
13.9%
@ 7.72+2.3%
Draw -2
18.5%
@ 5.47+2.1%
Leganes +2
67.6%
@ 1.25-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
9.00
Bet365
8.00
Unibet
8.00
10Bet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.10
Draw
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.70
Bet365
5.50
Unibet
5.30
10Bet
5.25
Away
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.29
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
Unibet
1.21
Handicap -1 (Las Palmas)
Las Palmas -1
32.4%
@ 3.51+7.1%
Draw -1
26.0%
@ 3.52+0.7%
Leganes +1
41.6%
@ 1.80-7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Bet365
3.40
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.64
Superbet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Away
Superbet
1.88
10Bet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Marathonbet
1.75
Unibet
1.74
Handicap +1 (Las Palmas)
Las Palmas +1
85.5%
@ 1.22+12.1%
Draw +1
10.4%
@ 5.34-6.4%
Leganes -1
4.2%
@ 9.07-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Draw
Bet365
6.00
10Bet
5.50
Superbet
5.45
Marathonbet
5.30
Betfair
5.00
Away
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
10.00
10Bet
9.50
Superbet
8.60
Marathonbet
7.80
Handicap +2 (Las Palmas)
Las Palmas +2
95.8%
@ 1.04+6.3%
Draw +2
3.3%
@ 13.00-3.8%
Leganes -2
0.8%
@ 28.50-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.03
Draw
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
13.00
Away
Betfair
31.00
Bet365
26.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Las Palmas
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.43
0.93
0.29
0.62
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.50
0.67
0.11
0.73
0.82
vs Weaker (10)
0.90
0.30
1.40
0.60
0.40
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Leganes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leganes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.47
0.31
0.44
0.21
0.50
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.30
0.48
0.36
0.43
0.23
0.54
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Las Palmas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
65.4%
@ 1.43+0.3%
Under 0.5
34.6%
@ 2.67-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Marathonbet
1.46
1xBet
1.46
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
Under
William Hil
2.88
Pinnacle
2.79
Superbet
2.77
Betfair
2.75
10Bet
2.70
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
29.9%
@ 2.95-1.6%
Under 1.5
70.1%
@ 1.36+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.18
Betano
3.10
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Superbet
2.95
Under
Betano
1.38
10Bet
1.38
Superbet
1.38
1xBet
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
8.7%
@ 7.74-3.3%
Under 2.5
91.3%
@ 1.06+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
BetVictor
8.50
Betfair
8.00
William Hil
8.00
Superbet
7.50
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Las Palmas over/under 0.5 HT
Over
49.4%
@ 1.90+0.6%
Under
50.6%
@ 1.81-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.96
Betano
1.95
Marathonbet
1.93
1xBet
1.93
Unibet
1.89
Under
Superbet
1.87
Pinnacle
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.80
Unibet
1.79
Las Palmas over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.2%
@ 5.36-4.0%
Under
86.8%
@ 1.12+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.65
Marathonbet
5.65
Betano
5.40
Superbet
5.10
10Bet
5.00
Under
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Las Palmas over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.8%
@ 14.17-3.8%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.01+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
10Bet
15.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Leganes over/under 0.5 HT
Over
30.1%
@ 2.58-5.8%
Under
69.9%
@ 1.45+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.73
Superbet
2.65
Betano
2.57
10Bet
2.55
1xBet
2.53
Under
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
10Bet
1.45
Unibet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
Leganes over/under 1.5 HT
Over
5.3%
@ 9.13-4.9%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.03+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
9.80
Marathonbet
9.30
1xBet
9.30
10Bet
9.00
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
Leganes over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.9%
@ 40.00-99.1%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
40.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Las Palmas
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.83
0.71
0.36
0.81
1.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.55
1.00
0.44
0.44
0.64
1.45
vs Weaker (10)
1.20
0.50
1.20
0.20
1.20
0.80
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Leganes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leganes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.73
0.88
0.50
0.64
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.74
0.78
0.86
0.57
0.62
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Las Palmas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
75.1%
@ 1.27+1.7%
Under 0.5
24.9%
@ 3.50-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.24
Under
Betano
3.65
Superbet
3.60
1xBet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
39.2%
@ 2.23-2.8%
Under 1.5
60.8%
@ 1.61+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.30
Unibet
2.28
Bet365
2.25
William Hil
2.25
Betano
2.18
Under
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.65
1xBet
1.65
Superbet
1.61
Bet365
1.57
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.5%
@ 4.93-3.5%
Under 2.5
84.5%
@ 1.16+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.10
1xBet
4.50
Betano
4.50
Under
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Las Palmas over/under 0.5 2H
Over
57.6%
@ 1.61+0.1%
Under
42.4%
@ 2.19-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.62
1xBet
1.61
10Bet
1.60
Under
Betano
2.22
10Bet
2.20
Superbet
2.17
1xBet
2.15
Las Palmas over/under 1.5 2H
Over
20.4%
@ 3.88-3.4%
Under
79.6%
@ 1.21+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.95
Superbet
3.90
Betano
3.85
Marathonbet
3.84
1xBet
3.84
Under
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Las Palmas over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.1%
@ 10.00-5.3%
Under
95.9%
@ 1.03+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
11.00
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
Leganes over/under 0.5 2H
Over
42.1%
@ 2.10-1.9%
Under
57.9%
@ 1.66+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.20
10Bet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.05
1xBet
2.05
Betano
2.05
Under
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.67
1xBet
1.67
10Bet
1.62
Superbet
1.60
Leganes over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.3%
@ 6.64-3.7%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.08+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
7.10
10Bet
7.00
1xBet
6.55
Marathonbet
6.55
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Leganes over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.9%
@ 21.33-2.6%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
26.00
10Bet
26.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.5%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+3.6%
Under 6.5
99.1%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+2.3%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.6%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+3.8%
Under 5.5
97.2%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+3.5%
Away under 2.5 goals
96.9%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.03
+7.2%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.9%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
-
-
+5.3%
Home +2 handicap
95.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.03
-
-
-
+6.3%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.7%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
+4.9%
Home under 3.5 goals
92.2%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.01
+1.7%
Under 4.5
92.0%
1.07
Betano
1.11
Pinnacle
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
+4.9%
Under 2.5 HT goals
91.3%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
+3.3%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.7%
1.08
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
+3.7%
Over 19.5 fouls
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.8%
1.12
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
+4.0%
Over 2.5 cards
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
85.5%
1.23
Betano
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+9.2%
Home +1 handicap
85.5%
1.22
Unibet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
+12.1%
Away under 1.5 goals
85.2%
1.28
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
+12.8%
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.5%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
+3.5%
Under 3.5
80.5%
1.26
Betano
1.30
Pinnacle
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.26
+6.2%
Under 11.5 corners
80.0%
1.21
Unibet
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
+4.5%
Home over 0.5 goals
79.7%
1.21
Pinnacle
1.23
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
1xBet
1.21
+3.3%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
79.6%
1.21
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
+3.4%
Home under 2.5 goals
78.5%
1.17
Superbet
1.20
Betano
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
-0.6%
Over 21.5 fouls
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.1%
1.27
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.24
+1.7%
Home or Away
72.9%
1.30
1xBet
1.35
Betano
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
+1.2%
Over 3.5 cards
71.6%
1.41
Pinnacle
1.41
-
-
-
-
+5.9%
Under 10.5 corners
70.2%
1.36
Unibet
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
+3.1%
Under 1.5 HT goals
70.1%
1.36
Betano
1.38
10Bet
1.38
Superbet
1.38
1xBet
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
+1.6%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Las Palmas
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Taisei Miyashiro67%
Jesé Rodríguez33%
Manuel Fuster33%
Jefté Betancor0%
Enzo Loiodice0%
José Antonio Caro0%
Kirian Rodríguez0%
Sergio Ruiz0%
Alex Suárez0%
Giovanni Bonfanti0%
Juanma Herzog0%
Valentin Pezzolesi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Enzo Loiodice33%
Kirian Rodríguez33%
Giovanni Bonfanti33%
Jesé Rodríguez0%
Jefté Betancor0%
Taisei Miyashiro0%
José Antonio Caro0%
Manuel Fuster0%
Sergio Ruiz0%
Alex Suárez0%
Juanma Herzog0%
Valentin Pezzolesi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Taisei Miyashiro67%
Jesé Rodríguez0%
Jefté Betancor0%
Enzo Loiodice0%
José Antonio Caro0%
Kirian Rodríguez0%
Manuel Fuster0%
Sergio Ruiz0%
Alex Suárez0%
Giovanni Bonfanti0%
Juanma Herzog0%
Valentin Pezzolesi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Manuel Fuster33%
Jesé Rodríguez0%
Jefté Betancor0%
Enzo Loiodice0%
Taisei Miyashiro0%
José Antonio Caro0%
Kirian Rodríguez0%
Sergio Ruiz0%
Alex Suárez0%
Giovanni Bonfanti0%
Juanma Herzog0%
Valentin Pezzolesi0%
Leganes
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Miguel Atienza33%
Ismael Gharbi33%
Naim García33%
Patrick Soko0%
Dani Rodríguez0%
Ignasi Miquel0%
Rubén Peña0%
Yassine Kechta0%
Álex Millán0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Marvel0%
Lalo Aguilar0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ignasi Miquel33%
Álex Millán33%
Marvel33%
Patrick Soko0%
Dani Rodríguez0%
Rubén Peña0%
Yassine Kechta0%
Miguel Atienza0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Ismael Gharbi0%
Naim García0%
Lalo Aguilar0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Naim García33%
Patrick Soko0%
Dani Rodríguez0%
Ignasi Miquel0%
Rubén Peña0%
Yassine Kechta0%
Miguel Atienza0%
Álex Millán0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Ismael Gharbi0%
Marvel0%
Lalo Aguilar0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Patrick Soko0%
Dani Rodríguez0%
Ignasi Miquel0%
Rubén Peña0%
Yassine Kechta0%
Miguel Atienza0%
Álex Millán0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Ismael Gharbi0%
Naim García0%
Marvel0%
Lalo Aguilar0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (28)
€114m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
VAL (29)
€26m
RSI (25)
€23m
CAS (28)
€21m
ALB (27)
€18m
BUR (22)
€17m
GC (18)
€17m
COR (26)
€16m
EIB (24)
€15m
FA (26)
€15m
TEN (28)
€12m
ACF (22)
€10m
SAB (28)
€8m
CDV (22)
€8m
ELD (20)
€7m
Las Palmas and Leganes have a similar squad value (both €30m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
ALM (11)
€38m
MAL (11)
€23m
RSI (10)
€15m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
CAS (10)
€11m
VAL (11)
€10m
ALB (10)
€8m
BUR (7)
€8m
EIB (8)
€7m
GC (5)
€6m
FA (10)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
TEN (13)
€5m
COR (9)
€4m
CDV (9)
€4m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (8)
€3m
Las Palmas and Leganes have a similar attack value (both €14m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (7)
€28m
MAL (5)
€9m
LEG (5)
€8m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
RSI (6)
€4m
BUR (6)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
EIB (6)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
CAS (6)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
FA (5)
€3m
SAB (6)
€2m
ACF (4)
€1m
ELD (3)
€1m
CDV (3)
€1m
Las Palmas's midfield is €5m less valuable than Leganes's (€3m vs €8m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
CAS (12)
€8m
COR (12)
€7m
FA (11)
€7m
BUR (9)
€6m
ALB (10)
€5m
EIB (10)
€5m
RSI (9)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (9)
€3m
ACF (8)
€3m
CDV (10)
€2m
Las Palmas's defence is €4m more valuable than Leganes's (€13m vs €8m).
Spain: Segunda División 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Granada CF
Castellón
Sporting Gijon
Mallorca
Tenerife
Eibar
Sabadell
Girona
Celta de Vigo II
Burgos
Real Sociedad II
Oviedo
FC Andorra
Almeria
Cadiz
Cordoba
Valladolid
Eldense
Albacete
AD Ceuta FC