This opponent (Red Bull Salzburg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Red Bull Salzburg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.86
0.82
1.57
0.43
2.14
1.21
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (8)
0.62
1.25
0.75
0.25
0.50
2.25
vs Weaker (18)
2.50
0.56
2.00
0.33
3.00
0.78
Clean sheet %
46% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Lask Linz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.2%
Under 1.5
12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
67.9%
Under 2.5
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.3%
Under 3.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.7%
No
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
9.6%
1-1
9.0%
0-2 ✓
8.3%
1-3
7.5%
0-3
6.5%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.5%
2-1
4.7%
Lask Linz goals ↓
Red Bull Salzburg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.8%
6.3%
8.3%
6.5%
3.8%
1
2.7%
9.0%
9.6%
7.5%
4.4%
2
2.0%
4.7%
5.5%
4.3%
2.5%
3
0.8%
1.8%
2.1%
1.7%
1.0%
4
0.2%
0.5%
0.6%
0.5%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lask Linz goals (down), columns = Red Bull Salzburg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Red Bull Salzburg
2.41
Sturm Graz
2.06
Lask Linz
1.69
Austria Vienna
1.38
Rapid Vienna
1.31
Wolfsberger AC
1.30
Austria Lustenau
1.29
Austria Klagenfurt
1.19
WSG Wattens
1.19
TSV Hartberg
1.03
SCR Altach
0.88
Ried
0.72
Lask Linz is 0.72 points worse than Red Bull Salzburg in terms of average points per game (1.69 vs 2.41).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Red Bull Salzburg
2.09
Austria Vienna
1.79
Sturm Graz
1.78
Lask Linz
1.69
Wolfsberger AC
1.58
Rapid Vienna
1.56
Austria Lustenau
1.49
Austria Klagenfurt
1.41
WSG Wattens
1.38
TSV Hartberg
1.22
SCR Altach
0.91
Ried
0.84
Lask Linz is 0.41 goals worse than Red Bull Salzburg in terms of goals scored per game (1.69 vs 2.09).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Red Bull Salzburg
0.69
Sturm Graz
0.91
Lask Linz
1.19
Rapid Vienna
1.47
Austria Vienna
1.56
Ried
1.56
Wolfsberger AC
1.58
WSG Wattens
1.66
SCR Altach
1.66
Austria Lustenau
1.74
TSV Hartberg
1.75
Austria Klagenfurt
1.97
Lask Linz is 0.50 goals worse than Red Bull Salzburg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 0.69).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
56%
Lask Linz
55%
Austria Vienna
53%
Rapid Vienna
52%
Sturm Graz
49%
Wolfsberger AC
49%
WSG Wattens
49%
SCR Altach
49%
Austria Lustenau
48%
TSV Hartberg
47%
Austria Klagenfurt
46%
Ried
46%
Lask Linz is 1.8 percentage points worse than Red Bull Salzburg in terms of average possession (55% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lask Linz
For 5.8 · Against 4.3 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 15.1 · Total 27.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Red Bull Salzburg
For 5.9 · Against 4.3 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 10.4 · Total 22.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lask Linz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (20)
10.2
10.2
10.3
4.2
4.0
4.4
26.1
26.8
25.5
vs Stronger (1)
13.0
-
13.0
1.0
-
1.0
20.0
-
20.0
vs Similar (8)
10.6
9.8
11.5
3.5
3.2
3.8
27.1
30.5
23.8
vs Weaker (11)
9.7
10.5
8.8
5.0
4.5
5.6
26.0
24.3
28.0
% over line
70%
70%
70%
70%
60%
80%
85%
90%
80%
% under line
30%
30%
30%
30%
40%
20%
15%
10%
20%
This opponent (Red Bull Salzburg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Red Bull Salzburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (28)
9.9
11.1
8.7
3.9
3.6
4.1
23.9
23.4
24.4
vs Stronger (2)
8.0
11.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
5.0
25.5
29.0
22.0
vs Similar (8)
8.0
7.8
8.2
4.5
5.5
3.5
22.0
23.8
20.2
vs Weaker (18)
10.9
12.6
9.3
3.6
2.9
4.2
24.6
22.7
26.4
% over line
57%
64%
50%
57%
57%
57%
68%
71%
64%
% under line
43%
36%
50%
43%
43%
43%
32%
29%
36%
This opponent (Lask Linz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Wolfsberger AC
11.3
Rapid Vienna
10.8
Ried
10.5
Austria Vienna
10.3
Lask Linz
10.2
Austria Lustenau
10.0
Red Bull Salzburg
9.9
Sturm Graz
9.6
WSG Wattens
9.5
Austria Klagenfurt
9.5
TSV Hartberg
9.2
SCR Altach
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sturm Graz
5.4
SCR Altach
4.9
Austria Klagenfurt
4.7
Austria Lustenau
4.6
Rapid Vienna
4.5
Lask Linz
4.4
Austria Vienna
4.3
TSV Hartberg
4.2
Red Bull Salzburg
4.2
WSG Wattens
4.0
Ried
3.9
Wolfsberger AC
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Austria Lustenau
28.2
SCR Altach
27.4
Rapid Vienna
27.2
Lask Linz
26.1
Austria Klagenfurt
25.9
Sturm Graz
25.7
Wolfsberger AC
25.4
Austria Vienna
25.0
TSV Hartberg
24.6
Ried
24.6
Red Bull Salzburg
23.9
WSG Wattens
22.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
51.3%
Under 9.5
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
61.0%
Under 3.5
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
80.3%
Under 21.5
19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lask Linz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.95
0.30
1.00
0.30
0.90
0.30
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (8)
1.12
0.12
1.25
0.00
1.00
0.25
vs Weaker (11)
0.91
0.45
0.83
0.50
1.00
0.40
Clean sheet %
80% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Bull Salzburg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Red Bull Salzburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.61
0.36
0.50
0.21
0.71
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (8)
0.25
0.75
0.25
0.25
0.25
1.25
vs Weaker (18)
0.83
0.17
0.67
0.11
1.00
0.22
Clean sheet %
68% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Lask Linz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lask Linz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lask Linz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lask Linz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lask Linz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.85
0.90
0.90
1.20
0.80
0.60
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (8)
0.88
0.88
1.00
1.25
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (11)
0.82
0.91
0.83
1.17
0.80
0.60
Clean sheet %
25% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Bull Salzburg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Red Bull Salzburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.25
0.46
1.07
0.21
1.43
0.71
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (8)
0.38
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.25
1.00
vs Weaker (18)
1.67
0.39
1.33
0.22
2.00
0.56
Clean sheet %
64% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Lask Linz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lask Linz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lask Linz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lask Linz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lask Linz
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Keito Nakamura45%
Marin Ljubičić29%
Robert Žulj28%
Ibrahim Mustapha20%
Thomas Goiginger16%
Florian Flecker8%
Efthymios Koulouris7%
Sascha Horvath6%
Moses Usor6%
Filip Stojković4%
Branko Jovičić4%
René Renner3%
Philipp Ziereis3%
Marvin Potzmann0%
Tobias Okiki Lawal0%
Nemanja Celic0%
Alexander Schlager0%
Peter Michorl0%
Husein Balić0%
Felix Luckeneder0%
Adil Taoui0%
Hyunseok Hong0%
Ákos Kecskés0%
Maksym Taloverov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Branko Jovičić32%
Filip Stojković25%
Adil Taoui25%
Robert Žulj20%
Peter Michorl18%
René Renner17%
Ákos Kecskés17%
Thomas Goiginger16%
Nemanja Celic14%
Marin Ljubičić14%
Philipp Ziereis10%
Sascha Horvath10%
Alexander Schlager8%
Efthymios Koulouris7%
Marvin Potzmann7%
Florian Flecker4%
Felix Luckeneder3%
Keito Nakamura3%
Tobias Okiki Lawal0%
Husein Balić0%
Hyunseok Hong0%
Maksym Taloverov0%
Ibrahim Mustapha0%
Moses Usor0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Hyunseok Hong33%
Thomas Goiginger20%
Ibrahim Mustapha20%
Peter Michorl18%
Robert Žulj16%
Florian Flecker12%
Sascha Horvath10%
Keito Nakamura10%
Filip Stojković7%
Efthymios Koulouris7%
René Renner7%
Moses Usor6%
Marin Ljubičić4%
Felix Luckeneder3%
Branko Jovičić0%
Marvin Potzmann0%
Tobias Okiki Lawal0%
Nemanja Celic0%
Alexander Schlager0%
Husein Balić0%
Adil Taoui0%
Philipp Ziereis0%
Ákos Kecskés0%
Maksym Taloverov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Keito Nakamura32%
Moses Usor25%
Robert Žulj20%
Marin Ljubičić14%
Ibrahim Mustapha7%
Thomas Goiginger4%
Sascha Horvath3%
Filip Stojković0%
Branko Jovičić0%
Marvin Potzmann0%
Tobias Okiki Lawal0%
Nemanja Celic0%
Alexander Schlager0%
Peter Michorl0%
Husein Balić0%
René Renner0%
Felix Luckeneder0%
Florian Flecker0%
Adil Taoui0%
Philipp Ziereis0%
Hyunseok Hong0%
Efthymios Koulouris0%
Ákos Kecskés0%
Maksym Taloverov0%
Red Bull Salzburg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Fernando45%
Benjamin Šeško35%
Noah Okafor34%
Karim Konaté33%
Chukwubuike Adamu22%
Nicolás Capaldo21%
Sekou Koita19%
Youba Diarra14%
Oscar Gloukh12%
Nicolas Seiwald10%
Dijon Kameri6%
Maurits Kjaergaard6%
Maximilian Wöber6%
Oumar Solet3%
Strahinja Pavlović3%
Amar Dedić3%
Andreas Ulmer0%
Philipp Köhn0%
Luka Sučić0%
Bernardo0%
Kamil Piątkowski0%
Ignace Van der Brempt0%
Lucas Gourna-Douath0%
Roko Šimić0%
Mamady Diambou0%
Forson Amankwah0%
Samson Baidoo0%
Lawrence Agyekum0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Strahinja Pavlović42%
Lawrence Agyekum33%
Lucas Gourna-Douath28%
Luka Sučić27%
Mamady Diambou25%
Amar Dedić23%
Nicolás Capaldo21%
Sekou Koita19%
Dijon Kameri19%
Roko Šimić18%
Youba Diarra14%
Oumar Solet13%
Maximilian Wöber11%
Karim Konaté11%
Andreas Ulmer10%
Noah Okafor10%
Chukwubuike Adamu8%
Nicolas Seiwald8%
Philipp Köhn8%
Maurits Kjaergaard6%
Oscar Gloukh6%
Bernardo4%
Benjamin Šeško3%
Fernando0%
Kamil Piątkowski0%
Ignace Van der Brempt0%
Forson Amankwah0%
Samson Baidoo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fernando36%
Luka Sučić18%
Maximilian Wöber17%
Sekou Koita15%
Maurits Kjaergaard15%
Andreas Ulmer14%
Dijon Kameri12%
Oscar Gloukh12%
Amar Dedić11%
Chukwubuike Adamu11%
Karim Konaté11%
Noah Okafor10%
Roko Šimić9%
Forson Amankwah8%
Benjamin Šeško8%
Nicolás Capaldo7%
Strahinja Pavlović6%
Nicolas Seiwald5%
Oumar Solet3%
Philipp Köhn0%
Bernardo0%
Youba Diarra0%
Kamil Piątkowski0%
Ignace Van der Brempt0%
Lucas Gourna-Douath0%
Mamady Diambou0%
Samson Baidoo0%
Lawrence Agyekum0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fernando55%
Benjamin Šeško38%
Luka Sučić27%
Noah Okafor17%
Chukwubuike Adamu17%
Sekou Koita12%
Strahinja Pavlović10%
Nicolás Capaldo7%
Dijon Kameri6%
Maurits Kjaergaard6%
Oumar Solet0%
Andreas Ulmer0%
Maximilian Wöber0%
Philipp Köhn0%
Amar Dedić0%
Nicolas Seiwald0%
Bernardo0%
Youba Diarra0%
Kamil Piątkowski0%
Ignace Van der Brempt0%
Lucas Gourna-Douath0%
Roko Šimić0%
Mamady Diambou0%
Forson Amankwah0%
Samson Baidoo0%
Oscar Gloukh0%
Karim Konaté0%
Lawrence Agyekum0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
SA (23)
€9m
RIE (24)
€7m
WW (22)
€7m
AL (22)
€5m
Lask Linz's squad is €61m less valuable than Red Bull Salzburg's (€44m vs €105m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
AL (10)
€2m
RIE (7)
€2m
Lask Linz's attack is €34m less valuable than Red Bull Salzburg's (€13m vs €47m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
RIE (8)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
SA (3)
€1m
AL (3)
€1m
Lask Linz's midfield is €18m less valuable than Red Bull Salzburg's (€11m vs €29m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
RIE (9)
€3m
AL (9)
€2m
Lask Linz's defence is €9m less valuable than Red Bull Salzburg's (€20m vs €29m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →