This opponent (Ried) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ried
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.17
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.33
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (2)
0.50
2.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Lask Linz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.7%
Under 1.5
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.9%
Under 2.5
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.5%
Under 3.5
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.3%
No
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
13.3%
3-0
10.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.0%
1-1 ✓
8.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-0
6.3%
0-0
5.5%
Lask Linz goals ↓
Ried goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.5%
2.4%
1.1%
0.2%
0.0%
1
10%
8.3%
2.6%
0.6%
0.1%
2
13%
9.0%
3.0%
0.7%
0.1%
3
11%
7.2%
2.4%
0.5%
0.1%
4
6.3%
4.3%
1.4%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lask Linz goals (down), columns = Ried goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Red Bull Salzburg
2.41
Sturm Graz
2.06
Lask Linz
1.69
Austria Vienna
1.38
Rapid Vienna
1.31
Wolfsberger AC
1.30
Austria Lustenau
1.29
Austria Klagenfurt
1.19
WSG Wattens
1.19
TSV Hartberg
1.03
SCR Altach
0.88
Ried
0.72
Lask Linz is 0.97 points better than Ried in terms of average points per game (1.69 vs 0.72).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Red Bull Salzburg
2.09
Austria Vienna
1.79
Sturm Graz
1.78
Lask Linz
1.69
Wolfsberger AC
1.58
Rapid Vienna
1.56
Austria Lustenau
1.49
Austria Klagenfurt
1.41
WSG Wattens
1.38
TSV Hartberg
1.22
SCR Altach
0.91
Ried
0.84
Lask Linz is 0.84 goals better than Ried in terms of goals scored per game (1.69 vs 0.84).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Red Bull Salzburg
0.69
Sturm Graz
0.91
Lask Linz
1.19
Rapid Vienna
1.47
Austria Vienna
1.56
Ried
1.56
Wolfsberger AC
1.58
WSG Wattens
1.66
SCR Altach
1.66
Austria Lustenau
1.74
TSV Hartberg
1.75
Austria Klagenfurt
1.97
Lask Linz is 0.38 goals better than Ried in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 1.56).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
56%
Lask Linz
55%
Austria Vienna
53%
Rapid Vienna
52%
Sturm Graz
49%
Wolfsberger AC
49%
WSG Wattens
49%
SCR Altach
49%
Austria Lustenau
48%
TSV Hartberg
47%
Austria Klagenfurt
46%
Ried
46%
Lask Linz is 9.0 percentage points better than Ried in terms of average possession (55% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lask Linz
For 5.0 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 11.7 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ried
For 3.7 · Against 5.2 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.5 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 16.0 · Total 25.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lask Linz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (6)
10.5
9.3
11.7
4.8
5.3
4.3
25.0
26.0
24.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
10.0
5.0
11.7
4.2
4.0
4.3
27.2
37.0
24.0
vs Weaker (2)
11.5
11.5
-
6.0
6.0
-
20.5
20.5
-
% over line
83%
67%
100%
100%
100%
100%
83%
67%
100%
% under line
17%
33%
0%
0%
0%
0%
17%
33%
0%
This opponent (Ried) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ried
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (6)
8.8
10.7
7.0
4.3
3.3
5.3
25.3
27.7
23.0
vs Stronger (2)
8.0
6.0
10.0
4.5
6.0
3.0
25.5
27.0
24.0
vs Similar (2)
8.5
13.0
4.0
4.0
2.0
6.0
21.5
24.0
19.0
vs Weaker (2)
10.0
13.0
7.0
4.5
2.0
7.0
29.0
32.0
26.0
% over line
50%
67%
33%
50%
33%
67%
83%
100%
67%
% under line
50%
33%
67%
50%
67%
33%
17%
0%
33%
This opponent (Lask Linz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Wolfsberger AC
11.8
Austria Lustenau
11.7
Lask Linz
10.5
Sturm Graz
10.2
SCR Altach
10.0
Rapid Vienna
9.7
WSG Wattens
9.7
TSV Hartberg
9.7
Austria Vienna
9.1
Red Bull Salzburg
9.1
Ried
8.8
Austria Klagenfurt
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sturm Graz
6.9
Austria Klagenfurt
6.0
Rapid Vienna
5.4
SCR Altach
5.2
Lask Linz
4.8
WSG Wattens
4.8
Austria Lustenau
4.7
TSV Hartberg
4.7
Wolfsberger AC
4.4
Ried
4.3
Austria Vienna
4.1
Red Bull Salzburg
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rapid Vienna
29.6
Sturm Graz
28.9
Austria Lustenau
27.1
Austria Klagenfurt
26.8
Red Bull Salzburg
26.3
SCR Altach
26.0
Ried
25.3
Lask Linz
25.0
TSV Hartberg
24.7
Wolfsberger AC
24.4
Austria Vienna
24.3
WSG Wattens
23.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
45.0%
Under 9.5
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
78.9%
Under 3.5
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
79.8%
Under 21.5
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lask Linz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
0.00
1.67
0.00
1.33
0.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.33
0.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
1.50
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
100% (+74pp vs league)
This opponent (Ried) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ried
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.17
0.67
0.33
0.00
0.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
83% (+57pp vs league)
This opponent (Lask Linz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lask Linz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lask Linz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lask Linz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lask Linz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.83
1.33
1.00
1.00
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.75
0.75
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Ried) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ried
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.17
1.00
0.33
0.67
0.00
1.33
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Lask Linz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lask Linz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lask Linz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lask Linz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home win
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lask Linz
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Keito Nakamura45%
Marin Ljubičić29%
Robert Žulj28%
Ibrahim Mustapha20%
Thomas Goiginger16%
Florian Flecker8%
Efthymios Koulouris7%
Sascha Horvath6%
Moses Usor6%
Filip Stojković4%
Branko Jovičić4%
René Renner3%
Philipp Ziereis3%
Marvin Potzmann0%
Tobias Okiki Lawal0%
Nemanja Celic0%
Alexander Schlager0%
Peter Michorl0%
Husein Balić0%
Felix Luckeneder0%
Adil Taoui0%
Hyunseok Hong0%
Ákos Kecskés0%
Maksym Taloverov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Branko Jovičić32%
Filip Stojković25%
Adil Taoui25%
Robert Žulj20%
Peter Michorl18%
René Renner17%
Ákos Kecskés17%
Thomas Goiginger16%
Nemanja Celic14%
Marin Ljubičić14%
Philipp Ziereis10%
Sascha Horvath10%
Alexander Schlager8%
Efthymios Koulouris7%
Marvin Potzmann7%
Florian Flecker4%
Felix Luckeneder3%
Keito Nakamura3%
Tobias Okiki Lawal0%
Husein Balić0%
Hyunseok Hong0%
Maksym Taloverov0%
Ibrahim Mustapha0%
Moses Usor0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Hyunseok Hong33%
Thomas Goiginger20%
Ibrahim Mustapha20%
Peter Michorl18%
Robert Žulj16%
Florian Flecker12%
Sascha Horvath10%
Keito Nakamura10%
Filip Stojković7%
Efthymios Koulouris7%
René Renner7%
Moses Usor6%
Marin Ljubičić4%
Felix Luckeneder3%
Branko Jovičić0%
Marvin Potzmann0%
Tobias Okiki Lawal0%
Nemanja Celic0%
Alexander Schlager0%
Husein Balić0%
Adil Taoui0%
Philipp Ziereis0%
Ákos Kecskés0%
Maksym Taloverov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Keito Nakamura32%
Moses Usor25%
Robert Žulj20%
Marin Ljubičić14%
Ibrahim Mustapha7%
Thomas Goiginger4%
Sascha Horvath3%
Filip Stojković0%
Branko Jovičić0%
Marvin Potzmann0%
Tobias Okiki Lawal0%
Nemanja Celic0%
Alexander Schlager0%
Peter Michorl0%
Husein Balić0%
René Renner0%
Felix Luckeneder0%
Florian Flecker0%
Adil Taoui0%
Philipp Ziereis0%
Hyunseok Hong0%
Efthymios Koulouris0%
Ákos Kecskés0%
Maksym Taloverov0%
Ried
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christoph Lang20%
Tin Plavotić14%
Gontie Junior Diomande12%
Christoph Monschein12%
Seifedin Chabbi12%
Matthias Gragger11%
Stefan Nutz10%
Diego Madritsch9%
Belmin Beganovic8%
Leo Mikić7%
Philipp Pomer7%
Julian Wiessmeier5%
Marcel Ziegl0%
Nikola Stošić0%
Markus Lackner0%
Roko Jurišić0%
Samuel Sahin-Radlinger0%
Kingsley Michael0%
Oliver Kragl0%
Aleksandar Lutovac0%
Josef Weberbauer0%
Jonas Wendlinger0%
Julian Turi0%
Luca Kronberger0%
Michael Martin0%
David Ungar0%
Denizcan Cosgun0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marcel Ziegl29%
Roko Jurišić29%
Denizcan Cosgun27%
Diego Madritsch27%
Nikola Stošić25%
Luca Kronberger25%
Markus Lackner24%
Michael Martin21%
David Ungar19%
Josef Weberbauer18%
Jonas Wendlinger17%
Kingsley Michael15%
Christoph Lang13%
Christoph Monschein12%
Philipp Pomer11%
Seifedin Chabbi8%
Samuel Sahin-Radlinger8%
Aleksandar Lutovac8%
Leo Mikić7%
Matthias Gragger6%
Julian Wiessmeier5%
Stefan Nutz5%
Tin Plavotić3%
Oliver Kragl0%
Julian Turi0%
Gontie Junior Diomande0%
Belmin Beganovic0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Stefan Nutz14%
Philipp Pomer11%
Belmin Beganovic8%
Roko Jurišić7%
Christoph Lang7%
Julian Wiessmeier5%
Seifedin Chabbi4%
Michael Martin4%
Tin Plavotić3%
Marcel Ziegl0%
Nikola Stošić0%
Christoph Monschein0%
Markus Lackner0%
Samuel Sahin-Radlinger0%
Kingsley Michael0%
Oliver Kragl0%
Aleksandar Lutovac0%
Josef Weberbauer0%
Leo Mikić0%
Jonas Wendlinger0%
Julian Turi0%
Luca Kronberger0%
Matthias Gragger0%
David Ungar0%
Denizcan Cosgun0%
Gontie Junior Diomande0%
Diego Madritsch0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Seifedin Chabbi24%
Aleksandar Lutovac15%
Stefan Nutz10%
Christoph Monschein8%
Leo Mikić7%
Philipp Pomer7%
Christoph Lang7%
Julian Wiessmeier5%
David Ungar4%
Marcel Ziegl0%
Nikola Stošić0%
Tin Plavotić0%
Markus Lackner0%
Roko Jurišić0%
Samuel Sahin-Radlinger0%
Kingsley Michael0%
Oliver Kragl0%
Josef Weberbauer0%
Jonas Wendlinger0%
Julian Turi0%
Luca Kronberger0%
Matthias Gragger0%
Michael Martin0%
Denizcan Cosgun0%
Gontie Junior Diomande0%
Belmin Beganovic0%
Diego Madritsch0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
SA (23)
€9m
RIE (24)
€7m
WW (22)
€7m
AL (22)
€5m
Lask Linz's squad is €37m more valuable than Ried's (€44m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
AL (10)
€2m
RIE (7)
€2m
Lask Linz's attack is €11m more valuable than Ried's (€13m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
RIE (8)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
SA (3)
€1m
AL (3)
€1m
Lask Linz's midfield is €8m more valuable than Ried's (€11m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
RIE (9)
€3m
AL (9)
€2m
Lask Linz's defence is €17m more valuable than Ried's (€20m vs €3m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →
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Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz
Austria Vienna
Austria Lustenau
Wolfsberger AC
Rapid Vienna
WSG Wattens
Austria Klagenfurt
TSV Hartberg
SCR Altach